jgcrawfish 232 Posted December 11, 2015 Vegas lines aren't supposed to be correct. They're supposed to induce betting on both sides equally and that's exactly what they do. Following are the result of every NFL game from the 1983 to 2008 seasons: Over wins: 48.00% Under wins: 49.52% Game ends exactly on total: 2.49% I wonder what the variance or devation is aroudn those lines. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
plasma george 63 Posted December 12, 2015 And many times them Vegas lines are wrong , if not many of us would not be here posting .NoThe Vegas lines are where half the money is evenly split on both side It continues moving until this happens Because of this The over under is very difficult to be It is a great gauge to whether a game will be high scoring or not Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,345 Posted December 12, 2015 No The Vegas lines are where half the money is evenly split on both side It continues moving until this happens Because of this The over under is very difficult to be It is a great gauge to whether a game will be high scoring or not Yeah but you bet one side of the line or the other . So you either win or lose . And just because the under over line is high doesn't always mean that's the way the game will go . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
giraldi02 476 Posted December 12, 2015 Yeah but you bet one side of the line or the other . So you either win or lose . And just because the under over line is high doesn't always mean that's the way the game will go . http://www.boydsbets.com/standard-deviations-of-overunder-margins-by-total/ The standard deviation and correlation of NFL set totals is frightening. They're right more often than not. And that is almost an understatement. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
plasma george 63 Posted December 12, 2015 Yeah but you bet one side of the line or the other . So you either win or lose . And just because the under over line is high doesn't always mean that's the way the game will go .ObviouslyBut the line on the weekend is where it needed to move to get half the money on the under and half the money on the over (Vegas makes sure of this) IOW, that's what the money (millions $$$$) thinks, not some person or computer. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,345 Posted December 12, 2015 Lol how did this post get on the topic of betting , im still saying I don't think this game is as high of scoring of a game as most think . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Filthy Fernadez 2,696 Posted December 12, 2015 Vegas lines aren't supposed to be correct. They're supposed to induce betting on both sides equally and that's exactly what they do. Following are the result of every NFL game from the 1983 to 2008 seasons: Over wins: 48.00% Under wins: 49.52% Game ends exactly on total: 2.49% So you're saying there's a chance......................... YEAAAAH!!!!! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SpenceToons 70 Posted December 12, 2015 I'm going to step forward with a call for (A), the 48.00% chance of an OVER in this contest, with the same confidence that Mr. Burger King has been touting his $1.49 nuggets in the debate commercials. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SpenceToons 70 Posted December 14, 2015 The two lines I'd seen during the week were 49.50 and 50.00 points so, as the final score was 33-20, it was technically a win for the Overs. But, in spirit, it was a win for those positioned themselves for the Under and faded Roethlisberger, Dalton or Brown. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Bag-O-Bones 5 Posted December 14, 2015 I enjoyed this game given my opponent had A. Brown and and M. Jones vs. my AJ. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
