Week 6 Thursday night under over

[seafoam1 3,025]

Denver vs. KC (-10.5)

U/O set at 49

Denver is the worst defensive team in the league giving up an average of over 450 yards per game. Last in giving up points per game with 36.2

And that's against LV, Wash, MIA, Chicago, NYJ.

One powerhouse offense only but that accounted for freaking 70, so...an outlier.

KC is #7 in offensive yards per game at 381. And top 10 in points per game. Offensive points per game 29.5

How many points do the Chiefs score vs. Denver playing in KC? You think they cover the 49 on their own?

 

[TBayXXXVII 2,546]

Thursday games virtually always suck because you never get either teams' best effort.  If this game were next Sunday, I'd think KC easily covers the over by themselves... but on Thursday, I'm thinking the game is something like 30-17, especially if Kelce is going to be a bit limited.

[Showboat 256]

And what if the Broncos actually win?  They may actually benefit from getting away from Denver (and knocking off the mighty Chiefs in KC might be like their Super Bowl - which they obviously are not getting to this year).  My Bold Prediction: Broncos 31 Chiefs 28

[seafoam1 3,025]

44 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

Thursday games virtually always suck because you never get either teams' best effort.  If this game were next Sunday, I'd think KC easily covers the over by themselves... but on Thursday, I'm thinking the game is something like 30-17, especially if Kelce is going to be a bit limited.

I could see this. Chiefs just running all night. 8 minute drives for the score. Before you know it's 7-0 after the first quarter. I was shocked by how flat Washington came out against the Bears, but I don't think KC would come out flat. Just a guess on my part. And as far as Washington was concerned, it was their defense that was flat. 

[seafoam1 3,025]

7 minutes ago, Showboat said:

And what if the Broncos actually win?  They may actually benefit from getting away from Denver (and knocking off the mighty Chiefs in KC might be like their Super Bowl - which they obviously are not getting to this year).  My Bold Prediction: Broncos 31 Chiefs 28

Now that would be something to watch. That would sure stir the loins of Thursday night football. 

[kcBlitzkrieg 29]

Patrick owns the Broncos.....made his first start against them on the road last game of the season when it was Alex's team and won....  10 wins later he is 11-0 career vs. Donkeys.  

[GobbleDog 996]

4 hours ago, TBayXXXVII said:

especially if Kelce is going to be a bit limited.

Last time Kelce missed a game, the Chiefs looked like they were drawing plays in the dirt.  If he's out, I'd be nervous betting the over.

[WhiteWonder 2,738]

if the game were Sunday, the spread is at least 50.5

I can see KC putting up 31. Can Denver score 18-20 is the question. 

[GobbleDog 996]

8 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

if the game were Sunday, the spread is at least 50.5

I can see KC putting up 31. Can Denver score 18-20 is the question. 

Last year Denver's offense was the problem - mainly Russel Wilson. This year, Denver's defense has been the problem. Wilson has thrown 2-3 Tds in every game except the Dolphin game where he only threw 1 and got pulled early. And they've scored 20 or more in 4 out of 5 games. Like everyone I wondered if Wilson was washed, but apparently not.

KC defense in middle of the pack in passing defense ... so Denver probably can score 20. I question if the Chiefs can score big without Kelce.

[WhiteWonder 2,738]

6 minutes ago, GobbleDog said:

Last year Denver's offense was the problem - mainly Russel Wilson. This year, Denver's defense has been the problem. Wilson has thrown 2-3 Tds in every game except the Dolphin game where he only threw 1 and got pulled early. And they've scored 20 or more in 4 out of 5 games. Like everyone I wondered if Wilson was washed, but apparently not.

KC defense in middle of the pack in passing defense ... so Denver probably can score 20. I question if the Chiefs can score big without Kelce.

well i tempered KC at 31 because of TNF, so I'm sort of also tempering Denver. If KC did score 31, Denver would need 19 for the over

[seafoam1 3,025]

 With all the talk about coming out and playing flat it looks like so far this year it's been the defenses that have been flat on Thursday nights. Not the offenses.

Week1 - Doesn't really qualify as a true Thursday night after a week of games.

Week 2 - 62 points

Week 3 - 42 points

Week 4 - 54

Week 5 - 60

3 overs and 1 under. 

[seafoam1 3,025]

Now I see the U/O has come down to 47. Early bets in on the under.