Marshall 98 Posted February 2, 2017 Many of my usual sources for prop bets seem to be currently missing in action although, once again, Mike Tanier has come to the rescue with his http://www.bleacherreport.com/articles/2690330-bleacher-report-super-bowl-prop-bet-extravaganza A couple of examples: Will Tom Brady rush for over 2.5 yards? Brady has rushed for 117 yards in 33 playoff games, or 3.54 yards per game. He has cracked the 2.5 "over" of this prop bet 15 times, including both playoff games after the 2015 season. Kneeling at the end of a victory officially counts as a rush for minus-one yards in the play-by-play, so if everything goes according to plan for the Patriots, Brady will "run" two or three times for a loss of two or three. Brady has "rushed" for negative yardage in nine postseason games in his career. Take the Under on this one and you won't be disappointed when a four-yard sneak gets inched backward by a pair of fourth-quarter clock-killers. Will LeGarrette Blount score a touchdown? The last Patriots running back to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl was Laurence Maroney in the second quarter of Super Bowl XLII. Remember Maroney? He was the guy who used up Belichick's last ounce of patience, which is why Jamie Collins is cashing checks from the Browns instead of practicing this week. Anyway, Blount has gotten more goal-line opportunities than any Patriots running back since Corey Dillon. But this prop bet slams into the brick wall of Patriots contrarianism. There is too good a chance that they will line up in a heavy-jumbo package at the 1-inch line, fake a handoff to Blount, and then throw a fade in the corner of the end zone to eligible tackle Marcus Cannon. No. Who will have more rushing yards: Freeman or Coleman? It's cute that the designers of prop party bets gave up on the Patriots running game 10 years ago. They probably also lost patience with Maroney. Freeman. Which prop bets are you going for? Got any others to mention? (An aside: I purely miss Grantland on these occasions) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nobody 2,040 Posted February 2, 2017 Now way that Freeman/Coleman bet is a pick'em, though, right? It would have to be Freeman -20 or something. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted February 3, 2017 1. How many times will "Trump" be said on the live broadcast? Over/Under 1.5... Gotta go with the over. 2. First Touchdown Scorer (Bovada)... Julio Jones (ATL) 15/2LeGarrette Blount (NE) 8/1Julian Edelman (NE) 8/1Devonta Freeman (ATL) 17/2Chris Hogan (NE) 10/1Martellus Bennett (NE) 12/1Dion Lewis (NE) 12/1Mohamed Sanu (ATL) 12/1Tevin Coleman (ATL) 14/1Taylor Gabriel (ATL) 16/1Malcolm Mitchell (NE) 20/1James White (NE) 20/1Danny Amendola (NE) 22/1Tom Brady (NE) 22/1Austin Hooper (ATL) 22/1Matt Ryan (ATL) 28/1Justin Hardy (ATL) 33/1Levine Toilolo (ATL) 33/1Joshua Perkins (ATL) 66/1Eric Weems (ATL) 66/1Any other touchdown scorer 11/2 I'd take a stab with one of the QBs... a Brady or Matt Ryan sneak at the goaline? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mr Neil 63 Posted February 3, 2017 I went with the following: Edelman +6.5 rec yds vs Julio at -110 Lead change in 4th qtr +315 Game tied at HT and NE wins FT +1800 Hedged it with ATL HT NE FT +615 Score in first 2 mins of game +817 Tevin Coleman scores first TD +1275 So pretty much if Tevin scores a TD in first two mins of game everything is gravy 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 3, 2017 That was one of the better values imo Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 3, 2017 If I am a broadcaster, what's stopping me from betting on the over for saying something and making a mint off of it? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Marshall 98 Posted February 3, 2017 1. How many times will "Trump" be said on the live broadcast? Over/Under 1.5... Gotta go with the over. Seems like a safe bet, particularly as the scuttlebutt is that FOX is planning on doing a Trump interview either during halftime, or following the game (I forget which). Either way, the live broadcast is bound to be promoting it heavily throughout. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nobody 2,040 Posted February 3, 2017 If I am a broadcaster, what's stopping me from betting on the over for saying something and making a mint off of it? Those types of props are usually pretty limited. Like 500 bucks sometimes. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frank 2,145 Posted February 4, 2017 Those types of props are usually pretty limited. Like 500 bucks sometimes. Still, it would be awesome to tell all of your friends to bet the over and then start the broadcast by saying "Welcome to Super Trump Trump Bowl 51!" Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 4, 2017 Speaking of preseason props, I have two coming in tonight that I bet before the season started. Coach of the year: Jack Del Rio at 18:1 Rookie of the year: Dak Prescott at I don't remember. I am a little annoyed that everyone has decided Zeke is the winner and that is that. What Dak did was much more impressive. The both had the benefit of a great offensive line, but the rb position is a hell of a lot easier than the qb position. I think everyone should be saying Dak is the obvious choice. But because the media decided Zeke would be the chosen one he must get all the glory. Coach of the year is the annual The Media was Wrong award. I picked Del Rio because I thought the odds were pretty solid. I think Garrett doing what he did with the Cowboys probably prevents Del Rio from winning. Though I would say Del Rio deserves as much credit for what he did with his team (even though I think it was more luck and a lot of his decisions were poor). For the Raiders to take that big of a step forward should be on the same level accomplishment wise as what Garrett did. But I can understand if Belichick or Garrett win. They deserve it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nobody 2,040 Posted February 4, 2017 O/U on falcons made fieldgoals in the 1st half .5 for -175. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 5, 2017 O/U on falcons made fieldgoals in the 1st half .5 for -175. -175? wow. A lot of these bets look nice on the surface but the payouts are crap Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 5, 2017 Speaking of preseason props, I have two coming in tonight that I bet before the season started. Coach of the year: Jack Del Rio at 18:1 Rookie of the year: Dak Prescott at I don't remember. I am a little annoyed that everyone has decided Zeke is the winner and that is that. What Dak did was much more impressive. The both had the benefit of a great offensive line, but the rb position is a hell of a lot easier than the qb position. I think everyone should be saying Dak is the obvious choice. But because the media decided Zeke would be the chosen one he must get all the glory. Coach of the year is the annual The Media was Wrong award. I picked Del Rio because I thought the odds were pretty solid. I think Garrett doing what he did with the Cowboys probably prevents Del Rio from winning. Though I would say Del Rio deserves as much credit for what he did with his team (even though I think it was more luck and a lot of his decisions were poor). For the Raiders to take that big of a step forward should be on the same level accomplishment wise as what Garrett did. But I can understand if Belichick or Garrett win. They deserve it. Haha! Dak won. Told ya the media is beyond biased when it comes to NFL players. It is sickening. They already think Zeke is better than David Johnson or Leveon Bell. Even though both are equal runners but FAR superior receivers. The media made it a forgone conclusion that Zeke was the winner. What an absolute joke. Oh well, I won. Bet $10 to win $100. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Marshall 98 Posted February 5, 2017 Haha! Dak won. Told ya the media is beyond biased when it comes to NFL players. It is sickening. They already think Zeke is better than David Johnson or Leveon Bell. Even though both are equal runners but FAR superior receivers. The media made it a forgone conclusion that Zeke was the winner. What an absolute joke. Oh well, I won. Bet $10 to win $100. Congrats! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nobody 2,040 Posted February 5, 2017 -175? wow. A lot of these bets look nice on the surface but the payouts are crap Yeah 1.75:1 seems low to me. In their 18 games this year, they've only failed to kick a fieldgoal in the first half 4 times. 2 of those against the Saints non-existent red zone defense. Plus factor in the pats have a pretty good red zone defense. I would've thought it should be closer to -350. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frozenbeernuts 1,652 Posted February 5, 2017 I am making 3 bets on the SB. First player to score a TD Tevin Coleman Bet $10 to win $140 James White Bet $10 to win $220 Justin Hardy Bet $10 to win $500 Figured I would put down a little action. Didn't feel like putting down $100 on something just to win $80 or so. Edited it to James White. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
eagles115 23 Posted February 5, 2017 I placed 2 bets. +1000 on 4 TDs passes. Laid $100 +140 on gronk being mentioned 3 times. Laid $100 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted February 5, 2017 Ok good luck everyone , win lots. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
