cday 0 Posted July 27, 2006 "The Journal/NBC poll shows a modest uptick in Mr. Bush's job performance, to 39% from 37% last month, but a 56% majority disapproves Mr. Bush's job performance. Congress fares even worse, with 25% approval and 60% disapproval . . . "The public's desire for a change in direction represents bad news for the Republican majority. By 48%-38%, voters say they prefer that Democrats win control of Congress this fall; by identical proportions, voters say its time to 'give a new person a chance' in Congress." http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...5041100587.html 60% disapproval for congress is what jumps out as me. that seems really, really high. anyone know of any historics for this? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GobbleDog 822 Posted July 27, 2006 58% think polls are meaningless. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDC 5,903 Posted July 27, 2006 "The Journal/NBC poll shows a modest uptick in Mr. Bush's job performance, to 39% from 37% last month, but a 56% majority disapproves Mr. Bush's job performance. Congress fares even worse, with 25% approval and 60% disapproval . . . "The public's desire for a change in direction represents bad news for the Republican majority. By 48%-38%, voters say they prefer that Democrats win control of Congress this fall; by identical proportions, voters say its time to 'give a new person a chance' in Congress." http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...5041100587.html 60% disapproval for congress is what jumps out as me. that seems really, really high. anyone know of any historics for this? Most people disapprove of Congress but they approve of their own representatives. The worst of the bunch, like Rick Santorum, are going to be voted out but I still think the GOP will maintain Congress. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cmh6476 759 Posted July 27, 2006 only ones who respond to these polls are people who are sitting at home during the day and not working, which would typically mean democrat. Also, these people dont vote regardless Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
torridjoe 0 Posted July 27, 2006 only ones who respond to these polls are people who are sitting at home during the day and not working, which would typically mean democrat. Also, these people dont vote regardless You're clueless. Most phone polling is done in the evenings. And almost every political poll (with the exception of Harris) routinely reports figures from both registered and likely voters. I think 60% disapproval is high, but not unseen. I recall approval ratings for Congress in the 20s last happened in 1994, when the last wave of antiincumbency occurred. MDC, the GOP is going in the toilet. Republican incumbents are losing in crazy places like Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Wyoming. Cook Report now agrees the strongest likelihood is a 10-20 seat gain in the House, and a 3-7 seat gain in the Senate--leaning towards the latter figures. The House is well within reach; the Senate is considered tougher but plausible. The Dems need 6 seats; they look solid in four right now and have one real good shot. The 6th will require further deterioration in GOP support, it appears. I'll have more data about the extraordinary results of polling in GOP districts in a separate thread... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Snuff 10 Posted July 27, 2006 I'll have more data about the extraordinary results of polling in GOP districts in a separate thread... We can't wait! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GobbleDog 822 Posted July 27, 2006 I'll have more data about the extraordinary results of polling in GOP districts in a separate thread... With porn links? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cmh6476 759 Posted July 27, 2006 You're clueless. Most phone polling is done in the evenings. And almost every political poll (with the exception of Harris) routinely reports figures from both registered and likely voters.I think 60% disapproval is high, but not unseen. I recall approval ratings for Congress in the 20s last happened in 1994, when the last wave of antiincumbency occurred. MDC, the GOP is going in the toilet. Republican incumbents are losing in crazy places like Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Wyoming. Cook Report now agrees the strongest likelihood is a 10-20 seat gain in the House, and a 3-7 seat gain in the Senate--leaning towards the latter figures. The House is well within reach; the Senate is considered tougher but plausible. The Dems need 6 seats; they look solid in four right now and have one real good shot. The 6th will require further deterioration in GOP support, it appears. I'll have more data about the extraordinary results of polling in GOP districts in a separate thread... http://www.fftodayforums.com/forum/index.p...howtopic=206084 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
torridjoe 0 Posted July 27, 2006 We can't wait! If you're looking for anything but really bad news for Republican maintenance of Congress, you probably should avoid it... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Snuff 10 Posted July 27, 2006 If you're looking for anything but really bad news for Republican maintenance of Congress, you probably should avoid it... I'm so apeshiit excited I don't care! I love your links! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDC 5,903 Posted July 27, 2006 You're clueless. Most phone polling is done in the evenings. And almost every political poll (with the exception of Harris) routinely reports figures from both registered and likely voters.I think 60% disapproval is high, but not unseen. I recall approval ratings for Congress in the 20s last happened in 1994, when the last wave of antiincumbency occurred. MDC, the GOP is going in the toilet. Republican incumbents are losing in crazy places like Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Wyoming. Cook Report now agrees the strongest likelihood is a 10-20 seat gain in the House, and a 3-7 seat gain in the Senate--leaning towards the latter figures. The House is well within reach; the Senate is considered tougher but plausible. The Dems need 6 seats; they look solid in four right now and have one real good shot. The 6th will require further deterioration in GOP support, it appears. I'll have more data about the extraordinary results of polling in GOP districts in a separate thread... I'll stand by my prediction. Dems will absolutely pick up seats but I just don't believe they're going to take either house of Congress. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mungwater 588 Posted July 27, 2006 there is no way I'm voting for him again now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
torridjoe 0 Posted July 27, 2006 there is no way I'm voting for him again now. The President's approval rating is strongly correlated with the performance of the majority power in Congress, so it's far from meaningless. MDC, you might change your tune soon. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
