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markblaz

**Official College Bowl Games Betting Thread**

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Fair points Philly, but here is another piece of info from a local paper..

 

K-State may want to brace for a heavy dose of Ray Rice, especially since the sophomore running back seems to have a spring in his step again. Rice has proven he can handle a 30-carry-or-more load (Rutgers is 3-0 this year when he does) and the Wildcats defense doesn't scare anyone. The unit is No. 70 nationally against the run and No. 63 overall. With the wide receiver situation shaky for the Knights, this could be one of those ball-control performances for Rutgers -- which means plenty of Rice and Brian Leonard. The Wildcats were 7-5 and technically the Big 12's No. 8 team for a reason: They're not consistent and, outside of their special teams, they're average at best.

 

I've watched all the RU games this year (the Louisville game was the best sporting event I've ever been to), and I just think that this is not a team that will let down in a game like this. Obviously you can make the Cincinnati argument, but the team has had 4 weeks off since West Virginia, and I think Schiano will have the troops ready.

 

I have watched both teams several times this year. Whoever wrote that Kansas St's defense doesn't scare anyone is an idiot. At the beginning of the season, Kansas St was terrible offensively. Their defense singlehandedly kept them in games. They played Louisville earlier this year. They shut them down almost completely. It took a last minute garbage TD by Louisville to make the final score a bit deceptive. Kansas St has a good defense. They happened to play against a bunch of good offensive teams in the Big Twelve. And their offense got much better as the season went along. Kansas St's defense held Louisville to 24 points, and Rutgers held Louisville to 25 points. And Louisville is the 2nd best offense in the country. Missouri and Texas were the only two teams to put up more than 27 points vs Kansas St. I could go on and on....but that's just sloppy reporting by a newspaper writer.

 

Now that I have mushed Kansas St, watch Rutgers score 50 on them. :banana:

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I have watched both teams several times this year. Whoever wrote that Kansas St's defense doesn't scare anyone is an idiot. At the beginning of the season, Kansas St was terrible offensively. Their defense singlehandedly kept them in games. They played Louisville earlier this year. They shut them down almost completely. It took a last minute garbage TD by Louisville to make the final score a bit deceptive. Kansas St has a good defense. They happened to play against a bunch of good offensive teams in the Big Twelve. And their offense got much better as the season went along. Kansas St's defense held Louisville to 24 points, and Rutgers held Louisville to 25 points. And Louisville is the 2nd best offense in the country. Missouri and Texas were the only two teams to put up more than 27 points vs Kansas St. I could go on and on....but that's just sloppy reporting by a newspaper writer.

 

Now that I have mushed Kansas St, watch Rutgers score 50 on them. :banana:

 

Phillybear - Great points! I was already on K-State, especially getting more than a TD. The line is going up even more! It's at 8.5 right now... The biggest thing IMO to look at for bowls is the last 4 games of the year. Both finished about the same, but I think Rutgers is very one dimensional and not good enough to be laying that many points against a decent Big 12 school on the rise....

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Grabbed my first loss of the day:

 

Oklahoma State -2.5

 

Really hope this thing turns around soon. I just can't understand why I go on these runs where I can't lose and follow it up immediately with runs where I can't buy a win.

 

Good luck to all!

 

B)

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I

 

Now that I have mushed Kansas St, watch Rutgers score 50 on them. :first:

 

 

 

Well, I hope so. I'm on RU - bought to 7 from 7.5. I see the line is upwards of 8.5 now. Guess there is a lot of late money on RU. I'm not sure if I like that or not, but I'll be rooting for the Scarlet Knights.

 

One other thing for the degenerates out there. With the exception of the Louisville and South Florida games, Rutgers has a tendency to get out of the gate quickly. They have had a number of decent leads at halftime, just to go to a very conservative gameplan in the second half. 1st half line of -4 may be a play.

 

Also, there is a prop of Ray Rice rushing attempts at 24.5. I jumped on this for a little, as unless RU falls behind by 20 I would be absolutely shocked to see Rice get less than 28-30 carries.

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Well, I hope so. I'm on RU - bought to 7 from 7.5. I see the line is upwards of 8.5 now. Guess there is a lot of late money on RU. I'm not sure if I like that or not, but I'll be rooting for the Scarlet Knights.

 

One other thing for the degenerates out there. With the exception of the Louisville and South Florida games, Rutgers has a tendency to get out of the gate quickly. They have had a number of decent leads at halftime, just to go to a very conservative gameplan in the second half. 1st half line of -4 may be a play.

 

Also, there is a prop of Ray Rice rushing attempts at 24.5. I jumped on this for a little, as unless RU falls behind by 20 I would be absolutely shocked to see Rice get less than 28-30 carries.

 

I'm always down for a good prop. Where did you get it (please say Olympic, BetUS, or Skybook as those are my only funded outs at the moment!)

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Great. Fvcking great. Oklahoma goes 3 and out and allows Alabama to score the tying touchdown. I can't fvcking believe this. Another loss to log and I'm not even in the car for the commute home yet!

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Wow. Right now, I'm glad Ok St was a small play. On the verge of putting the game away, they give up a TD on a punt return, then fumble the kickoff. Brutal.

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C'mon Bama. :dunno: Win or lose this is turning into a great game. It's about time we have some suspense.

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It's about time we have some suspense.

 

I'm hoping for suspense in the other two games tonight. :dunno:

 

Come on, Ok St, convert that FG to win. Please. :o

 

 

OK St covers. :banana:

 

A new high water mark for the year. Hell, I'll settle for a split on the two night games at this point.

 

Hey, GR, you're off the schneid. :(

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Bama almost pulled it off, their defense was awful all game and it shouldn't have even been that close.

 

Seeing how yet another fav. covered I'll take the 2 remaining dogs tonight.

5-5 so far for bowls

K ST +8.5

A+M +3

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Rutgers punts on their first possession. :cry:

 

Sucks I don't have this game on TV, but CBS sportsline play by play will have to do.

 

Took the day from work tomorrow. Let the drinking get serious....now.

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You guys have any inside info on bowl games ? I have a couple guys in my league trying to win some of their money back and want to bet on 3 games .

 

game 1 is Boise St. + 7 vs Oklahoma

 

2 is Notre Dame + 9.5 vs LSU

 

3 is Florida + 7.5 vs Ohio State

 

Any help would be appreciated . I do not follow college that close but would love to add insult to injury .

 

Thanks in advance and best of luck in your games

 

:cry:

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You guys have any inside info on bowl games ? I have a couple guys in my league trying to win some of their money back and want to bet on 3 games .

 

game 1 is Boise St. + 7 vs Oklahoma

 

2 is Notre Dame + 9.5 vs LSU

 

3 is Florida + 7.5 vs Ohio State

 

Any help would be appreciated . I do not follow college that close but would love to add insult to injury .

 

Thanks in advance and best of luck in your games

 

:cry:

 

I don't know about any inside info, but right now, I am leaning to LSU and Florida. I really, really, really like Boise plus the points on Oklahoma. Might make a big play on it.

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Focking Rutgers is on fire tonight. Teel with 2 TD passes. 14-0 Rutgers. :cry:

 

A&M with a fake punt. Converted. It's gonna be a wild night.

 

I'll try to stop babbling....now.

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We have two games within a point of the spread at the half time. I have to explore the halftime plays, to see if anything is worth playing. Chewing my fingernails.

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Whoever seemed confident in the A&M-California Over, I jumped on it too. So when it loses, I'm sorry. Started off so promising with two early touchdowns, only for A&M to eat up half the 2nd half clock for a fvcking field goal. Then the "automatic" kicker for Cali, misses a very makeable 42-yarder to end the half. Lovely.

 

Can't believe I bet on Texas Tech in basketball. Love how everybody talks about how much passion for the game college b-ball players have over the NBA yet these kids have the opportunity to make history for their coach at home and they are getting their asses kicked. Only my Giants have less enthusiasm.

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Adding Parlay .5 units to win 1.3 units....

 

K St (+3.5) 2nd H

Tex A&M (+.5) 2nd H

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That was the WORST attempt at an option pass ever! They've got to know I have a double bet on the over. There's no other way to explain it! :D :banana: :banana:

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Adding Parlay .5 units to win 1.3 units....

 

K St (+3.5) 2nd H

Tex A&M (+.5) 2nd H

 

I did the exact opposite...rolled the parlay on Rutgers (-3) 2H and Cal (-.5) 2H.

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Why the fvck are college programs allergic to field goals?!? They never ever go for it on 4th and short whether they are on the opponent's 2 yard line or their own! A FG would have given them some momentum. Instead, they fail to convert two short yardage downs which anybody could see coming a mile away (except the retard A&M offensive coordinator) and now California will run out the clock. And yes, it's a conspiracy against me.

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Wow, A&M BLOWS!!!! That was my favorite play so far this bowl season! Just when I think I know what the fvck I am doing, I lay big coin on the frigging Holiday Bowl and get KILLED. I serously thought the wrong team was favored in this game. Now back to second guessing ever frigging play again!!! DAMN!!!!

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2-0 tonight. back tomorrow am with friday plays.

 

Nice call... wish I were 2-0! Fvcking Big 12 can kiss my a##!!! Fvcking pansy a$$es!! :D

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I'm stunned. I'm positively stunned. Never thought I would get two more TDs, both by California, in the final four minutes.

 

After the week I've had, I definitely deserved it. I love California, you score running up mother fvckers!!!

 

:D

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Two early games on tap tomorrow. I'm hoping you guys can get the plays in relatively early so I can call them in from work.

 

Kentucky Wildcats +10 -110 +330 O 58 -110

Clemson Tigers -10 -110 -420 U 58 -110

* Game Note: MUSIC CITY BOWL - The Coliseum - Nashville, TN

 

Missouri Tigers +3½ -110 +145 O 52 -110

Oregon State Beavers -3½ -110 -165 U 52 -110

* Game Note: SUN BOWL - Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX

 

I'm guessing that Oregon State will be a popular play?

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Too impatient too wait. Even though I said I wouldn't take my own plays, I'm going to buck my own advice again and just hope I'm on the right sides:

 

Clemson -9.5 (free half point from Skybook)

 

Oregon State Team Over 27 (-115)

 

Good luck to all!

 

:pointstosky:

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Have 1 unit plays in for 4 of the 5 favorites.

 

Clemson -10

Oregon State -3.5

South Carolina -6

Texas Tech -7

 

Don't have a play in for Purdue/Maryland yet, but I like all the favorites in the other games. GL. :pointstosky:

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Favs have been a run away freight train that I hate to step in front of. 0-3 yesterday drops me to 5-7 so far.

With that being said I'm taking Kentucky +10 and Missouri +3.5. Clemson has been playing like crap the last month and barely even beat NC St although on paper they are the much better team. Kentucky could keep it close and even possibly win or get totally blown out as both teams have been up and down all year. As for Missouri, you never know which team will show up. Hopefully it will be the team who started out playing well and not the team who struggled down the stretch. The Beavers are yet another Jeckyl and Hyde team too. Tonight I'm leaning towards both favs even though Perdue/MD is more or less a push.

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Bowl Record 9-4

 

Clemson -10 over UK 2 units

UK's offense has been pretty good this year, but the numbers are a bit deceiving. They have put up huge numbers and points against bad defenses. When they face good defenses they struggle mightily.

Florida - 7 points

S. Carolina - 17 points

LSU - 0 points

Tennessee - 12 points

 

Clemson only gives up 15 points per game. They are very solid on that side of the ball. Kentucky's strength on offense is passing the ball. Woodson is having a great season and has been very impressive. That being said, Clemson only gives up 166 yards a game through the air. If UK can't throw the ball they will be run off the field.

 

On the other side of the ball Kentucky's defense gives up 29 points a game. This doesn't bode well against a Clemson team that scores an average of 33 a game (yes, I know this is inflated due to a few blowouts). As we all know, Clemson's strength on offense is running the ball with Spiller and Davis. They average 225 yards a game on the ground. UK gives up 189 yards a game on the ground. This spells potential disaster for the Wildcats.

 

If Clemson decides to come out and play I think they will run UK off the field. They simply have too much talent and speed. I think Clemson will cover this number with ease.

 

Oregon St. -3.5 over Mizzou 3 units

There area few factors that lead me to this decision.

1) Mizzou has been hit hard by the flu this week. For the most part only backups got sick, but this still affects the practices and last minute adjustments. I think this may be a bigger factor than most people believe.

 

2) Mizzou is without DE Brian Smith. He was their top defensive playmaker. This is a huge loss for them. Without Smith I like the Beavers senior QB Moore to have time to make the right decisions and account for some nice yardage through the air. I always like to go with the team that has a senior QB in bowl games.

 

3) OSU should be able to run the ball effectively with Bernard. He is having a nice year and should continue that against a Mizzou defense that ranks 61st in the nation against the run. That number is somewhat deceiving since teams in the last 4 weeks of the season have run the ball down their throats. I don't even think they are the 61st best run D in the country. The loss of Smith hurts them even more in the run game.

 

4) Oregon State's D-line is tough. They rank 4th in the nation in sacks. I think they will be very disruptive and will force the young QB Daniel into some mistakes. Chase has had a very nice year, but he still is a sophomore, and this shows in some of his decision making.

 

5) Special teams is also an advantage for the Beavers. Serna is pretty reliable.

 

6) Lastly, OSU has some of the best athletes in the country.

 

For these reasons I like the Beavs to win by at least a TD.

 

Purdue -1 over Maryland 3 units

This is as much a gut play as anything. I know that Purdue has beaten no one this year. That being said, I think they have faced a tougher schedule than Maryland (just my opinion). Line movement on this one appears to indicate the sharp money may be on Purdue. The public has been hitting Maryland ever since this line came out and the line has continued to climb on Purdue. I believe it started with Purdue +4 and now they are giving 1. Something is going on here. I will take a chance and go with the Boilermakers.

 

TTech -6.5 over Minnesota (got in early) 4 units

Over 65 1 unit

Plain and simple, no defense will be played in this game. Texas Tech doesn't care about D and Minnesota's is just bad against the pass, which we all know is not what you want against a Texas Tech team. I think Harrell may get close to 500 yards passing this game. The extra practice time should do this young QB wonders. Also, hell, Minnesota almost lost to N. Dakota St.

 

Too be honest, this line almost seems too low, which worries me. That being said, I couldn't pass up on it and just hope that Coach Leach has his boys ready to put on a show.

 

GL to all!!

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Bowl Record 9-4

 

Clemson -10 over UK

UK's offense has been pretty good this year, but the numbers are a bit deceiving. They have put up huge numbers and points against bad defenses. When they face good defenses they struggle mightily.

Florida - 7 points

S. Carolina - 17 points

LSU - 0 points

Tennessee - 12 points

 

Clemson only gives up 15 points per game. They are very solid on that side of the ball. Kentucky's strength on offense is passing the ball. Woodson is having a great season and has been very impressive. That being said, Clemson only gives up 166 yards a game through the air. If UK can't throw the ball they will be run off the field.

 

On the other side of the ball Kentucky's defense gives up 29 points a game. This doesn't bode well against a Clemson team that scores an average of 33 a game (yes, I know this is inflated due to a few blowouts). As we all know, Clemson's strength on offense is running the ball with Spiller and Davis. They average 225 yards a game on the ground. UK gives up 189 yards a game on the ground. This spells potential disaster for the Wildcats.

 

If Clemson decides to come out and play I think they will run UK off the field. They simply have too much talent and speed. I think Clemson will cover this number with ease.

 

Going 4 units with Clemson Over 34. Bowl game scoring is starting to pick up and Kentucky does not have the strongest defense around. I will also go with Clemson for 2 units. Clemson is the much stronger team based on the numbers and seems like the sound play.

 

GL and happy betting!

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Bowl Record 9-4

 

Clemson -10 over UK

UK's offense has been pretty good this year, but the numbers are a bit deceiving. They have put up huge numbers and points against bad defenses. When they face good defenses they struggle mightily.

Florida - 7 points

S. Carolina - 17 points

LSU - 0 points

Tennessee - 12 points

 

Clemson only gives up 15 points per game. They are very solid on that side of the ball. Kentucky's strength on offense is passing the ball. Woodson is having a great season and has been very impressive. That being said, Clemson only gives up 166 yards a game through the air. If UK can't throw the ball they will be run off the field.

 

On the other side of the ball Kentucky's defense gives up 29 points a game. This doesn't bode well against a Clemson team that scores an average of 33 a game (yes, I know this is inflated due to a few blowouts). As we all know, Clemson's strength on offense is running the ball with Spiller and Davis. They average 225 yards a game on the ground. UK gives up 189 yards a game on the ground. This spells potential disaster for the Wildcats.

 

If Clemson decides to come out and play I think they will run UK off the field. They simply have too much talent and speed. I think Clemson will cover this number with ease.

 

Oregon St. -3.5 over Mizzou

There area few factors that lead me to this decision.

1) Mizzou has been hit hard by the flu this week. For the most part only backups got sick, but this still affects the practices and last minute adjustments. I think this may be a bigger factor than most people believe.

 

2) Mizzou is without DE Brian Smith. He was their top defensive playmaker. This is a huge loss for them. Without Smith I like the Beavers senior QB Moore to have time to make the right decisions and account for some nice yardage through the air. I always like to go with the team that has a senior QB in bowl games.

 

3) OSU should be able to run the ball effectively with Bernard. He is having a nice year and should continue that against a Mizzou defense that ranks 61st in the nation against the run. That number is somewhat deceiving since teams in the last 4 weeks of the season have run the ball down their throats. I don't even think they are the 61st best run D in the country. The loss of Smith hurts them even more in the run game.

 

4) Oregon State's D-line is tough. They rank 4th in the nation in sacks. I think they will be very disruptive and will force the young QB Daniel into some mistakes. Chase has had a very nice year, but he still is a sophomore, and this shows in some of his decision making.

 

5) Special teams is also an advantage for the Beavers. Serna is pretty reliable.

 

6) Lastly, OSU has some of the best athletes in the country.

 

For these reasons I like the Beavs to win by at least a TD.

 

Purdue -1 over Maryland

This is as much a gut play as anything. I know that Purdue has beaten no one this year. That being said, I think they have faced a tougher schedule than Maryland (just my opinion). Line movement on this one appears to indicate the sharp money may be on Purdue. The public has been hitting Maryland ever since this line came out and the line has continued to climb on Purdue. I believe it started with Purdue +4 and now they are giving 1. Something is going on here. I will take a chance and go with the Boilermakers.

 

TTech -6.5 over Minnesota (got in early)

Over 65

Plain and simple, no defense will be played in this game. Texas Tech doesn't care about D and Minnesota's is just bad against the pass, which we all know is not what you want against a Texas Tech team. I think Harrell may get close to 500 yards passing this game. The extra practice time should do this young QB wonders. Also, hell, Minnesota almost lost to N. Dakota St.

 

Too be honest, this line almost seems too low, which worries me. That being said, I couldn't pass up on it and just hope that Coach Leach has his boys ready to put on a show.

 

GL to all!!

 

Nice analysis! :banana: I am all over Texas Tech today... that is a huge mismatch by the numbers!

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dmaid: No concerns over how high the over is here? After getting burned by Hawaii on Sunday night (even though the over missed by just a TD after a 7-3 first half), I'm very hesitant to take such a high over. Even last night, when I had the A&M/California Over 53.5, I only hit it because of two lucky rushing TDs in the final five minutes. If it was any other team, they would have taken a knee and this would have ended in the high 40s.

 

I'm not a hard sell, so just convince me why even with 65 points, the over is a solid play.

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dmaid: No concerns over how high the over is here? After getting burned by Hawaii on Sunday night (even though the over missed by just a TD after a 7-3 first half), I'm very hesitant to take such a high over. Even last night, when I had the A&M/California Over 53.5, I only hit it because of two lucky rushing TDs in the final five minutes. If it was any other team, they would have taken a knee and this would have ended in the high 40s.

 

I'm not a hard sell, so just convince me why even with 65 points, the over is a solid play.

 

There are definitely concerns with such a large number, but I have my reasons. Mainly, both defenses are bad. They both give up roughly 24 points a game. I think with the extra practice these offenses will come out with some new wrinkles and will be able to put up big points. This is only a 1 unit play for me, so proceed with caution.

 

I was on that over in the Cal game as well. Evidently Tedford told the QB to kneel down on the last TD but the QB wanted the little used RB to get a TD. Thank God Ayoob didn't listen to the coach. Tedford was pissed off after that.

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Gents: Having a good year in bowl season except for UCLA.

Hope to keep it going today as I sit at home with an off day to watch some games...

 

KY/Clem OV 58.5 for TWO UNITS

Oregon St -3.5 for 1.5 UNITS

SCar -5 for 2 UNITS

TTech -7 for 3.5 UNITS

 

Lean Purdue but haven't pulled trigger yet.

Also like Ky plus points but the OVER seemed safer.

 

gl to all

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There are definitely concerns with such a large number, but I have my reasons. Mainly, both defenses are bad. They both give up roughly 24 points a game. I think with the extra practice these offenses will come out with some new wrinkles and will be able to put up big points. This is only a 1 unit play for me, so proceed with caution.

 

Thanks for the insight. I'm just looking for the safer play. Sounds like it may be Texas Tech or the Texas Tech team over. I can totally see a final score in the 80s, but can't sit watching the game cringing with every punt or turnover.

 

I was on that over in the Cal game as well. Evidently Tedford told the QB to kneel down on the last TD but the QB wanted the little used RB to get a TD. Thank God Ayoob didn't listen to the coach. Tedford was pissed off after that.

 

I think you're the reason I took the over, so thanks!

 

I saw the coach getting irked by the TD with 30 seconds left. IMHO, I think he was putting up a front. No way the players go into business for themselves like that. He simply was trying to look like the "good cop" because of his relationship with the A&M coach. He knew why the team did it and how excited the kid would be to score the final TD of the game. By grabbing his QB by the facemask and ripping into him on the sidelines live on national (cable) TV, he doesn't have to take the blame off the field.

 

Honestly, I don't give two rat feces why they scored the TD. But I almost pulled my shoulder pumping my arm in celebration when the total went over. Al Michaels must have been so proud!

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Hungover. Trying to forget yesterday's disastrous night games. I'm gonna skip the writeups today. Need to research the baskets.

 

Overall College YTD: 262-229-6; +43.82 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 133-109-2; +53.32 units

Subset: College bowls: 6-5; +1.8 units

 

Friday

 

Kentucky (+11) for 2 units WINNER!!

Missouri (+3) for 2 units WINNER!!

Houston (+5) for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

Minnesota (+8.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

Purdue (-1) for 2 units LOSER!!

Over Purd/Mary (54.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

 

After deciding on my plays, I noticed I am fading the public on every game. I'll wait until close to kickoff before putting in my plays, hoping for better lines.

 

Good luck to all.

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5-6 Bowl Games ATS

 

2-1 day yesterday (got a couple beers in me and lost all my homer apprehension, making a last minute play on Rutgers). Feeling a bit better about the bowl season, though still shaking my head over Texas A&M. The decision not to kick the FG trailing by 18 with 10:00+ on the clock went against everything this team did all season long. Failing to convert that 4th and 6 opened the floodgates, effectively ending the game for players that have scrapped til the final second all year. A strange call by the coaching staff.

 

Reading some of the picks/analysis today, and I think you guys are missing the days best bet.

 

Houston +5.5 So Carolina : Houston is 10-3, and has beaten bowl teams Rice, Ok State, Tulsa, So Miss, and lost 14-13 @ Miami. QB Kolb is a 4 year starter, 27 TD - 3 INT this year. So Carolina didn't run away from anyone, winning or losing close games weekly. Surprisingly for a Spuirrier team, the Gamecocks will get killed if this becomes a shootout. Houston has the better skill players with the possible exception of WR Sidney Rice. I say possible because, for all the hype, Rice did little against the good teams, fattening his stats against the weak sisters. Houston got embarassed in last year's bowl game, and I don't see it happening again. This is a good, solid, overlooked team. It's too many points.

 

Clemson -10 Kentucky: The Wildcats have been a nice story, and their pass happy offense can keep things interesting for a while. Most don't know that KU's run defense is Top 20 in the nation (Clemson's too). But KU's is a product of team's having to abandon the run to keep up the scoring pace. Clemson just has better personnel, size and speed. I see this turning into the worst game of the day.

 

Missouri +3.5 Oregon St: OSU finished the year hot; Missouri didn't. But the Tigers have the edge in virtually every statistical category except run defense. That's a factor, but Missouri isn't going to beat anyone running the ball anyway. QB Chase Daniels is the key for Mizzou. As noted earlier, the Tigers lost their best defensive player, Brian Smith, but that was mid-season. It had a big impact on their defense, but I don't see either D being a big factor today. Lots of points; a break one way or the other will decide this one. A FG game.

 

Tex Tech -6.5 Minnesota: The only stats you need to know: Minnesota is 112th nationally in total defense & 95th vs the pass. Not a good combination vs the Tech offense. Graham Harrell is the best QB prospect yet to run Mike Leach's offense. The Red Raiders will be missing one of their best WR, but not to worry. There's plenty of talent to go around. Many don't realize that Tech's defense is considerably better this year, ranking in the top 50 in total defense. The run is their softest spot, and that would be a big factor vs a normal Minnesota team. But the running game this year is nowhere near what it's been in the past. The Gophers actually rely more on QB Cupito to win games. I don't see it here.

 

I'm not sure that I'm going to make a play on Purdue-Maryland. Purdue sucks, but at least they suck consistently, ranking 92nd nationally in scoring offense and defense. The Boilermakers give away the ball like ecstasy at an all night rave, but Maryland ranks even lower in TO margin. This game, in my mind, really comes down to the coaches. I don't see a clear-cut winner in Tiller vs Big Ralph (though Md has stomped it's last couple bowl opponents).

 

Good luck to all!

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Hungover. Trying to forget yesterday's disastrous night games. I'm gonna skip the writeups today. Need to research the baskets.

 

Overall College YTD: 262-229-6; +43.82 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 133-109-2; +53.32 units

Subset: College bowls: 6-5; +1.8 units

 

Friday

 

Kentucky (+) for 2 units

Missouri (+) for 2 units

Houston (+) for 3 units

Minnesota (+) for 2 units

Purdue (-) for 2 units

Over Purd/Mary for 1 unit

 

After deciding on my plays, I noticed I am fading the public on every game. I'll wait until close to kickoff before putting in my plays, hoping for better lines.

 

Good luck to all.

 

philly: Is Minnesota strictly a fade play, or do you have some reasoning behind it? I haven't seen anyone (sharps or squares) picking Minnesota in this game.

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