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**Official College Bowl Games Betting Thread**

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Gopher probably in a "HOLD" the lead mode. This plays right into Red Raider's hand.

 

TD Raiders...

BIG possession for the Gophers. Momentum has clearly changed in this game. If Raiders can hold they can trim it down to 10 with another TD.

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Here we go!!! 38-28!!!

Gophers are in BIG TROUBLE if they don't move the ball or score here.

 

One hell of a game!!! TD Raiders!!! 38-35..Gophers hanging on by 3 points.

 

2 minutes left...they need a stop here or it's over.

3rd and 8. at the 50....one more stop and this game will get very interesting.

 

 

SACK!!! 4th and 15..Gophers call timeout.

1:30 left in the clock. Punt or Go for it?

 

Raiders ball with 29 seconds left...

Ball at the 50...

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One hell of a game!!! TD Raiders!!! 38-35..Gophers hanging on by 3 points.

 

2 minutes left...they need a stop here or it's over.

3rd and 8. at the 50....one more stop and this game will get very interesting.

SACK!!! 4th and 15..Gophers call timeout.

1:30 left in the clock. Punt or Go for it?

 

Raiders ball with 29 seconds left...

Ball at the 50...

Great comback and they will probably win at this point. Unfortunately, I don't think many, if any, got the line at less than 6.5.....................THAT MEANS WE ALL LOSE THAT WENT WITH TECH :headbanger: :cheers: :wacko:

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BIG TEN :mad:

 

Great comback and they will probably win at this point. Unfortunately, I don't think many, if any, got the line at less than 6.5.....................THAT MEANS WE ALL LOSE THAT WENT WITH TECH :cheers: :wacko: :wacko:

 

 

i got them at 6.5

 

they could have scored 1st and then Minn not scored :headbanger:

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Great comback and they will probably win at this point. Unfortunately, I don't think many, if any, got the line at less than 6.5.....................THAT MEANS WE ALL LOSE THAT WENT WITH TECH :headbanger: :cheers: :wacko:

 

I guess if Tech would have gotten the ball first and scored a TD, I still had hope. Is there hope if they both score equally? Do they continue with MN getting the first possession? I guess I haven't seen an OT game in a while.........

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Ball on Gophers 35 yard line with 5 seconds.

 

52 FG!!!!

 

Tie game!!

 

Red Raiders won dispite being down BIG early...i mean BIG...

This was one hell of a game. The gophers committed the worst sin in football. "Hang'n on" to a victory is the worst thing one can do.

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7-9 after losing both late games last night and not getting in my S Car play yesterday :ninja: . Today I feel like a bowling pin ready to be knocked down as I'm taking the first two favs. BC has been absolute gold in bowls and like someone pointed out has a solid run D vs a run only team. Taking BC-7. Navy is one of those teams that I never am on the right side of so those taking them are probably in good shape. I usually stay away from their games but I'm playing every bowl game.

 

Then we have the "easy" play of the year, a horrible Iowa team who can't cover a game all year. Only problem is Texas hasn't covered much either and has lost their last 2 games to the likes of K St and A+M who both were just slaughtered. And of course they have the hometown jinx working here. Does anyone else smell trap? I'm going with Texas just because Iowa has been so bad ATS but I'm fully expecting both me and the squares to be bent over on this one. This looks like a classic dog day and I'm on the favs. I just can't go against a great recent bowl team like BC or hop on an Iowa team who's covered one game all year. I hate days like today. :banana:

 

ETA: At least we can all take some free $$ off the books hands in the NFL with games like the Skins +2 and Titans-3. There are a few others to bet the farm on this weekend too.

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I know BC players are notoriously slow starters, but with a total of 47 and a Navy team that scores early and doesn't have the best defense, this seemed too solid a play to pass up:

 

1st quarter BC-Navy Over 7.5 (-115)

 

I could be kidding myself and it will be another BC 7-0 1st quarter lead, but maybe (for once) I'll luck out.

 

Looking forward to others' plays. Good luck to all!

 

:cheers:

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taking navy +7

taking iowa +8.5

lean on vt

 

i've been cold so fade these picks :cheers:

 

ASB, what do you think of my 1st quarter play in the early game? It's already up to -135 for same spread on BetUS and I grabbed it at Olympic for -115. Is it overly optimistic to think that BC will open up the offense from the get-go in the Bowls since they haven't really done it all sea.son (hell, even in the 41-0 rout of Buffalo, they only put up 10 points in the 1st quarter.) I did this because Navy seems to score (and give up scores) early.

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I would lay it, GR. I just don't like betting quarters, it's too short...

 

*SIGH* It's in the instant gratification factor. Get happy or miserable in just a half hour rather than three hours plus. :dunno:

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*SIGH* It's in the instant gratification factor. Get happy or miserable in just a half hour rather than three hours plus. :dunno:

 

Lose less money in one three hour bet then three one hour bets... :) I know your point though. I don't bet through the net anymore, I go the old fashioned way. But when I did, I was always chasing my money with the halftime lines. That and casino blackjack forced me to close my account! I have no will power...

 

Good luck all today... I am on Texas huge today and V Tech. Still wavering on the early game. Now leaning towards BC... I was hoping Philly was going to post as I usually check on his picks, but I faded him yesterday and went 1-2!! The Cocks saved me from a dowright horrible day...

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Get these in quick before the games start, but hopefully too late for anyone else to be persuaded by my arguments.

 

Bowls 6-9 ATS

 

BC -7 Navy: Usually like Navy in bowls; it's a tough offense to prep for when you haven't seen it, and even tougher to replicate in practice. But Navy doesn't usually play teams as good as this BC squad. Horrible matchup for the Middies: great run defense, athletic LB. HJust the things you need to play the option. Add in BC's bowl experience, and Navy's awful showing against their better opponents this year, and I like BC.

 

Tx -8.5 Iowa: I don't sense a letdfown for Texas. McCoy is back healthy, and this is a quality team on both sides of the ball. Iowa has been a huge disappointment.

 

Georgia +3.5 Va Tech: This bowl season, in games where the teams have had a single common opponent, the team that holds the decided advantage in that matchup has won & covered each game (5-0). Both played Ga Tech. Georgia won, Va Tech got beaten by 10 or so. That's it.

 

Good luck to all!

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Overall College YTD: 265-232-6; +42.12 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 136-112-2; +51.62 units

Subset: College bowls: 9-8; +.1 units

 

Just got home, and missed the first game. Oh, well.

 

Saturday

 

Iowa (+9.5) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Georgia (+3) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

Good luck to all.

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I know BC players are notoriously slow starters, but with a total of 47 and a Navy team that scores early and doesn't have the best defense, this seemed too solid a play to pass up:

 

1st quarter BC-Navy Over 7.5 (-115)

 

I could be kidding myself and it will be another BC 7-0 1st quarter lead, but maybe (for once) I'll luck out.

 

Looking forward to others' plays. Good luck to all!

 

:dunno:

 

Unexpected Navy TD pass puts it over with plenty of time to spare. Too bad I lost it before the game started with stupid 1st half basketball plays (missed Michigan by one fvcking point!) :mad:

 

Overall College YTD: 265-232-6; +42.12 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 136-112-2; +51.62 units

Subset: College bowls: 9-8; +.1 units

 

Just got home, and missed the first game. Oh, well.

 

Saturday

 

Iowa (+9.5) for 3 units

Georgia (+3) for 2 units

 

Good luck to all.

 

I'm on Iowa +10 (free 1/2 point from Skybook), but I'm honestly nervous with a healthy McCoy returning.

 

Also on Texas team over 31 (-115)

 

Good luck to all!

 

:(

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BC recovers fumble with 1:43 to go. Continuing my streak, they'll come back and win, but fail to cover.

 

I swear that every year I finish the college season just strong enough to delude myself into thinking I know something. Then the bowl games play out just like they have: aside from a couple obvious mismatches, the team with the greatest incentive/emotion plays the hardest.

 

Oh well, he who doesn't learn from the past...

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I am jumping back into it tonight because I am going to a huge UFC party. Figure I may as well wager across the board:

 

Texas -9.5 (2 units)

Texas 1st Half -6.5 (1 unit)

Georgia +3 (3 units)

 

Tito Ortiz +165 (3 units)

 

NY Giants -2 (5 units)

 

Cavs +4.5 (1 unit)

 

Gonzaga -4.5 (2 units)

Pacific -5.5 (3 units)

 

Had to reload and see what happens!

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Does Texas suck this much or is Iowa this good? Or a combination of both? I stayed away from this game and talked myself out of taking Iowa +10 in the last 5 minutes before gametime :dunno: . I know it's a long game, but Texas doesn't look like it gives a sh1t after winning the national championship last year.

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TD Raiders!!!

 

 

That's a phrase I haven't heard much this year. (oaklandwords)

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Not looking so bad right now.

No 'ish! WTF happened in this game? I turned it back on and it was 24-21. Now it's 31-21! Woohoo! <_<

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I've just now made it back to my computer. Earlier in the third quarter, did anyone else hear this chucklehead color guy say "This is really going to be a tough duty for Bobo" ?!?!?

 

Say it out loud and savor it.

 

My entire year of football viewing is now time well spent.

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Overall College YTD: 265-232-6; +42.12 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 136-112-2; +51.62 units

Subset: College bowls: 9-8; +.1 units

 

Just got home, and missed the first game. Oh, well.

 

Saturday

 

Iowa (+9.5) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Georgia (+3) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

Good luck to all.

 

Finally had a decent day.

 

Overall College YTD: 267-232-6; +47.12 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 138-112-2; +56.62 units

Subset: College bowls: 11-8; +5.1 units

 

Not crazy about tonight's Miami Fla/Nevada game. The firing of Larry Coker might make Miami play harder to his going away game, as I think he was well liked. Nevada had a great year, but the way they melted down completely in their last game to Boise St is troubling. I just don't like the idea of laying points with Miami on a field where Nevada should be comfortable playing on. If I play it, it will be small.

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Posting a couple of games early, for tomorrow. First time this year I have gone over 3 units on a football play.

 

West Virginia (-11) for 6 units

Boise St (+7.5) for 6 units

 

West Virginia should rout Georgia Tech. While both defenses are comparable, WV owns the much better offense, by over 140 total yards per game. WV averages 6.7 yards per rush vs teams that allow 4.2 ypr. WV averages 7.3 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.4 ypp. The only other good running team that GT faced, Clemson gained 322 yards rushing in that game. West Virginia's strength on defense is vs the run, and their mediocre pass defense will be facing a backup QB, as Reggie Ball is out for this game. Motivation is another thing. While WV lately has been a solid team in bowls, GT is in a similar situation this year as last. GT was disappointed in their bowl game, and lost to Utah 38-10. This year, GT lost to Wake Forest in the ACC championship game, and missed out on a BCS slot. GT lost their last two games of the year, despite leading in the 4th quarter. They struggled to score their last couple of games, totaling 7 points vs North Carolina, 12 points vs Georgia, and 6 points vs Wake Forest (and put up decent points vs a crappy Duke team). So how many points realistically will GT score here. WV lost to Louisville and So Flor, but rallied with in inspiring win over Rutgers in their season finale, a game they played without QB Pat White. He will be back for this game. Lay the lumber.

 

I honestly think the wrong team is favored, as Boise St looks like the better team. Let's look at the scheduling. Boise St played cupcakes, right? Well, they went 5-0 SU vs bowl teams, including some big time routs of Oregon St, Utah, and Nevada. You might point to Boise St losing at Georgia last year, but Boise turned it over 5 times in the first half, and could not overcome that disaster. However, let's look at Boise St in the last 2 bowl game, both losses. Both times, they were underdogs. And they lost to Louisville, at Louisville's home field 44-40, in a BCS game. They also lost to BC last year 27-21. Both times, they stayed within 7 points. Boise is overlooked, underrated, and for real. They own the better offense and better defensive stats in this game. Yep, better defense than Oklahoma. Boise St is 7th in the nation vs the rush, giving up 3.0 ypr vs teams that average 3.9 ypr, which bodes well vs Oklahoma's run heavy attack. Yep, Adrian Peterson is back from his broken collarbone, but how will he react to live hitting. Collarbones are tough injuries to shake off quickly. Realistically, Oklahoma backed their way into the Big 12 championship when Texas lost to Kansas St. I like Boise St to move the ball very effectively with veteran QB Zabransky and the #2 rushing leader in the nation Ian Johnson. Also, the WAC is pretty good this year, seeing Hawaii and San Jose St already winning their bowl games. Take the points.

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The day ended badly when VT spit the bit.

 

Love Nevada today. Took two units already. Played half unit on ML too.

 

Them Miami boys are going to be cold in Boise.

 

My New Years Day plays are probably going to be Auburn, Tennessee, Wisconsin, WVU, Michigan and Boise St.

 

(I really like that big WVU play Philly, totally agree)

 

gl to all

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Posting a couple of games early, for tomorrow. First time this year I have gone over 3 units on a football play.

 

West Virginia (-11) for 6 units

Boise St (+7.5) for 6 units

 

West Virginia should rout Georgia Tech. While both defenses are comparable, WV owns the much better offense, by over 140 total yards per game. WV averages 6.7 yards per rush vs teams that allow 4.2 ypr. WV averages 7.3 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.4 ypp. The only other good running team that GT faced, Clemson gained 322 yards rushing in that game. West Virginia's strength on defense is vs the run, and their mediocre pass defense will be facing a backup QB, as Reggie Ball is out for this game. Motivation is another thing. While WV lately has been a solid team in bowls, GT is in a similar situation this year as last. GT was disappointed in their bowl game, and lost to Utah 38-10. This year, GT lost to Wake Forest in the ACC championship game, and missed out on a BCS slot. GT lost their last two games of the year, despite leading in the 4th quarter. They struggled to score their last couple of games, totaling 7 points vs North Carolina, 12 points vs Georgia, and 6 points vs Wake Forest (and put up decent points vs a crappy Duke team). So how many points realistically will GT score here. WV lost to Louisville and So Flor, but rallied with in inspiring win over Rutgers in their season finale, a game they played without QB Pat White. He will be back for this game. Lay the lumber.

 

I honestly think the wrong team is favored, as Boise St looks like the better team. Let's look at the scheduling. Boise St played cupcakes, right? Well, they went 5-0 SU vs bowl teams, including some big time routs of Oregon St, Utah, and Nevada. You might point to Boise St losing at Georgia last year, but Boise turned it over 5 times in the first half, and could not overcome that disaster. However, let's look at Boise St in the last 2 bowl game, both losses. Both times, they were underdogs. And they lost to Louisville, at Louisville's home field 44-40, in a BCS game. They also lost to BC last year 27-21. Both times, they stayed within 7 points. Boise is overlooked, underrated, and for real. They own the better offense and better defensive stats in this game. Yep, better defense than Oklahoma. Boise St is 7th in the nation vs the rush, giving up 3.0 ypr vs teams that average 3.9 ypr, which bodes well vs Oklahoma's run heavy attack. Yep, Adrian Peterson is back from his broken collarbone, but how will he react to live hitting. Collarbones are tough injuries to shake off quickly. Realistically, Oklahoma backed their way into the Big 12 championship when Texas lost to Kansas St. I like Boise St to move the ball very effectively with veteran QB Zabransky and the #2 rushing leader in the nation Ian Johnson. Also, the WAC is pretty good this year, seeing Hawaii and San Jose St already winning their bowl games. Take the points.

 

Two strongest plays of the day. Don't know that I'd go so far as to say the wrong team is favored in OU-Boise, but the bowl season has shown the power of a chip on the shoulder. In the last couple days, teams that were widely considered overmatched (Kentucky, Navy, Iowa, Minnesota) have stepped up and either won outright or built early leads that held til superior talent/scheme squeaked by. In the case of WVU-GT, Tech simply has had too many negatives late in the season, while WVU should be healthy and anxious to show the country just how good they are.

 

Also looking hard at Tenn -3.5 Penn St. The LIons have trouble scoring points, and Tennessee has some playmakers. The Vols are healthy; when they're at full strength, this is a tough ball club.

 

Tough to ignore Wisc +2 Arkansas. Badgers have to be the most overlooked 11-1 major conference team in history. Stocco is a solid senior, Hill is healthy for the first time in weeks.

 

Got to think a bit more on those two, but right with you on WVU and Boise.

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Overall College YTD: 267-232-6; +47.12 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 138-112-2; +56.62 units

Subset: College bowls: 11-8; +5.1 units

 

Sunday

 

Nevada (+3.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

I finally decided on this game, after reading a lot of articles. Miami players are whining about the frigid weather in Boise. They have gone as far as to complain about the blue turf. Miami players are talking a lot about how they are returning a bunch of starters next year. Point is, they are focusing on next year already. Granted, Miami has more athletic talent. But they seem to have a bad attitude towards this game. Familiarity is also a key, as Nevada is 7-1 SU on turf this year, and Miami has played every game on grass. Nevada runs an usual offense, the Pistol, and Miami will have some trouble preparing for it.

 

Good luck to all.

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I'm staying away from the Citrus Bowl (screw naming games after sponsors!). How can you tell what on earth Wisconsin is going to do? They haven't lost to any team outside of the top 3 all year, but they haven't beaten a top 25 team all year. I s'pose I'd lean slightly towards Arkansas, but I think Wisconsin is a total unknown. I also like that WV pick that you're all taking.

 

My thoughts on the other New Year's Day games...

 

I don't trust Auburn. They ended the season on a huge ATS skid, which means they were underperforming expectations, and after last year, I'm not convinced in Tub's ability to motivate them for a non-BCS bowl game. Nebraska beat a heavy favorite in their bowl last year. Lean toward the Huskers.

 

I'm gonna have to think strongly about USC tomorrow. I think the teams are reasonably even, but with a month to prepare, I'll take Pete Carroll over Lloyd Carr any day of the week.

 

No clue on Boise/Choklahoma

 

And finally, my homer assessment of Tennessee/PSU...

 

Tennessee is reasonably healthy for the first time in a long, long time, but they did lose one important player: WR #3 Bret Smith (academically ineligible). Ask Georgia how difficult it was to defend all those 3 WR sets with a 3rd receiver as good as Smith. I'm not convinced that Briscoe or Taylor will be able to pick up the slack, but they're both young, so they may see significant improvement before the bowl game. I do expect Tennessee to be able to pass well on Penn State. Defensively, a lot has been made of Tennessee's poor run defense and Penn State's good run offense, but I'm wracking my brain and cannot think of a situation in which Tennessee played poor run defense in a game where the other opponent ran out of a big formation (in fact, Alabama tried this and ran horribly the whole game). Arkansas, South Carolina, and LSU all ran well against the Vols, but they all ran out of the spread. I haven't seen Penn State play this year, but I don't believe they run out of the spread. And Tennessee will definitely be pumped for this game after not playing in a bowl last year. Have to go with the Vols in this one.

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The day ended badly when VT spit the bit.

 

Love Nevada today. Took two units already. Played half unit on ML too.

 

Them Miami boys are going to be cold in Boise.

 

My New Years Day plays are probably going to be Auburn, Tennessee, Wisconsin, WVU, Michigan and Boise St.

 

(I really like that big WVU play Philly, totally agree)

 

gl to all

 

Slaton may not play or if he does, they say he will be limited. Reggie Ball out for this game may actually be a blessing for GT. He is the WORST Division 1A QB I have ever seen. He couldn't complete a pass to the Grand Canyon if he was standing over it... Regardless WV is probably the play, but I am so whipped lately I can't think straight. That V Tech game pretty much put me over the edge!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Philly, what do you know about GT's QB? You're very strong on that play, and your reasoning seems to make sense, but I know very little about this quarterback. I've heard that he's a relatively tall lefty who is a pocket passer and significantly better than Ball (not hard). Do you have any other info, or are you just expecting him to struggle in his first start?

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Philly, what do you know about GT's QB? You're very strong on that play, and your reasoning seems to make sense, but I know very little about this quarterback. I've heard that he's a relatively tall lefty who is a pocket passer and significantly better than Ball (not hard). Do you have any other info, or are you just expecting him to struggle in his first start?

 

A bit of an unknown. Started one game last year, and didn't do all that great, 11-30 for 142. Reggie Ball is extremely inconsistent, so it's hard to gauge the dropoff, other than experience.

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