***official Week 4 Nfl Gambling Thread***

[Bouve 0]

Sunday:

 

Denver -9 vs Kansas City (46.5)

Cleveland vs Cincinnati -3.5 (44.5)

Houston vs Jacksonville -9 (42)

Arizona vs New York Jets -2 (45)

San Francisco vs New Orleans -5.5 (48)

Atlanta vs Carolina -7 (39)

Minnesota vs Tennessee -3 (36.5)

Green Bay vs Tampa Bay -1.5 (42.5)

Buffalo -8 vs St Louis (41.5)

San Diego -7 vs Oakland (45)

Washington vs Dallas -11 (46)

Philadelphia vs Chicago ***game is currently OTB***

 

Monday:

 

Baltimore vs Pittsburgh ***game is currently OTB***

[WhiteWonder 2,202]

yesterday i quickly made bets on

 

Denver -10

Buffalo -8

 

i also like the washington dallas OVER 46

[Bouve 0]

NCAA: 30-24-1

NFL: 21-16

 

Cleveland +3.5 WIN

Cleveland O21 LOSE

Denver O28 LOSE

Carolina -7 WIN

San Diego -7 WIN

San Diego O25.5 WIN

New Orleans -5 WIN

[cribdog 0]

NCAA: 30-24-1

NFL: 21-16

 

Cleveland +3.5

 

Dare I say, a must win for Cleveland and Derek Anderson?

 

Isn't it a must win for Cincinnati and Carson Palmer as well?

[WhiteWonder 2,202]

Isn't it a must win for Cincinnati and Carson Palmer as well?

 

staying the hell away form that game except maaayybey the over...

 

but either team could put it together and yea its must win for each at 0-3

[JackARoot 2]

Skins +11 looks pretty good to me.

[GreatGray 2]

I'd be very confident betting on Green Bay and fairly confident with Arizona to beat the spread. GB is undervalued having been whooped by Dallas (although they are now without Harris), but they're still solid; they're up against Griese. Jesus.

 

AZ has been solid on both offense and defense. They just lost and want some blood...Favre will be good, but he's still learning and they don't look nearly as tight as the Cardinals. Who's stopping Fitzgerald and Bolding? The Cardinals defense is underated.

 

The rest of the bets are sketchy, in my opinion. I might bet on Cleveland, with Anderson's job on the line against the ever-disappointing Bungles.

[Bouve 0]

Isn't it a must win for Cincinnati and Carson Palmer as well?

 

No, their season was over before it started.

[jmueller44 0]

Right now I'm leaning the UNDER on these 3 in-division games:

 

Denver -9 vs Kansas City (46.5)

This game is always a fight. The teams now each other well. Sure DEN should win this game, but I don't even think it is by 9.

Sure DEN offense is great, and their DEF is poor, but when you know the opponent, the scores go down.

 

Houston vs Jacksonville -9 (42) HEAVY on the UNDER

Both teams are looking to RUN. Can they? I just don't see it. I also like HOU +9 in this one.

 

San Diego -7 vs Oakland (45)

OAK at home in the divisional matchup, with their DEF playing really hard, keeps this score lower than most would think.

 

As of now, I have not laid a wager on any NFL this week. But there you have my UNDER leans for the week.

Probably won't end up better all 3, but I see myself getting action on two of the above.

GLTA!!!

[WhiteWonder 2,202]

along with single bets I already listed i put a 3 team parlay in

 

Denver -10

SD -8

Buffalo -8

 

i like all to cover... 2 units to win 10.5

[WhiteWonder 2,202]

there needs to be a whole lot more NFL gambling discussion.

[Bouve 0]

NCAA: 30-24-1

NFL: 21-16

 

Cleveland +3.5

Cleveland O21

Denver O28

Carolina -7

San Diego -7

San Diego O25.5

New Orleans -5

 

My plays for Sunday.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

Early leans

 

Cin/Cle OVER 44.5

Always got to look at the Over in the Battle of Ohio. Bengals showed some life last week and Brownies are due to have a good offensive game after getting some good defenses in previous weeks.

 

Tenn -3

Tenn has a super defense and is emerging as a real sleeper to me. I like Minnesota but just can't see Gus Frerotte going on the road and winning this game.

 

SD -7

Oakland is one-dimensional. SD will stack the line and Rivers is playing out of his mind right now. Only thing that worris me is the short week coming off the MNF game.

 

NO/SF Over 48

There is a reason that this is the highest OVER on the board this week--New Orelans has no defense and Mike Matrtz is coming to town. SF has a better defense than in previous years but NO has some great playmakers. Wouldn't be surpised by a 35-27 type game here at all.

[GobbleDog 822]

GobbleDog's LOCK OF THE WEEK

 

ytd: 1-2

 

 

Green Bay +1.5 = money in the bank! Once again I'll be betting against the 3 stooges - Gruden, Griese and Graham. This time they're at home facing a solid Packers team. If I don't get this pick right, I'll eat my hat.

[WhiteWonder 2,202]

GobbleDog's LOCK OF THE WEEK

 

ytd: 1-2

 

 

Green Bay +1.5 = money in the bank! Once again I'll be betting against the 3 stooges - Gruden, Griese and Graham. This time they're at home facing a solid Packers team. If I don't get this pick right, I'll eat my hat.

 

[phillybear 365]

NCAA YTD: 28-26-3; +1.4 units

CFL YTD: 7-9-1; -4.1 units

NFL YTD: 11-5-1; +14.0 units

 

All for 3 units.

 

Houston (+7) WINNER

Arizona (+1) LOSER

San Francisco (+4) LOSER

Atlanta (+7)@-120 LOSER

Green Bay (+1.5) LOSER

 

Buffalo (-8) WINNER

Dallas (-10) LOSER

 

Chicago (+3) WINNER

Chicago 1st H (+1.5)@-105 WINNER

 

CFL Montreal (-6.5) for 2 units WINNER

 

Good luck to all.

 

Edit:

NCAA YTD: 28-26-3; +1.4 units

CFL YTD: 8-9-1; -2.1 units

NFL YTD: 15-10-1; +9.2 units

 

Also, thank you SA Stars, rallying in the late stages of your WNBA playoff game to not only cover the 2nd H, but cover the game too. Nice. Salvaged my rotten NFL day.

[mitch moore 0]

Don't gamble on football, enjoy it.

 

If you have to gamble on it to enjoy it, you have a serious problem.

 

Guys making a kazillion dollars a year to set the spread have it all over us.

 

I live in Vegas and the dudes who have won the Hilton contest(world's biggest pts spread contest) have never gotten over %70, pay the vig, what have you got, just action.

 

Isn't having a fantasy team(or 7) enuf?

[ToledoLurch 0]

One wong teaser this week.

 

Buff -2/San Diego -1.5 for 2 units - winner

Cleveland ML 2.5 units to win 4 - winner

 

I will be jumping on pittsburg later

 

Good luck all!!!

[phillybear 365]

I've posted these in the past, an average from a number of offshore books, where the action is going, who the betting public is taking.

 

Denver 65% over Kansas City

Cleveland 56% over Cincinnati

Jacksonville 66% over Houston

NY Jets 50% over Arizona

New Orleans 62% over San Francisco

Carolina 70% over Atlanta

Tennessee 71% over Minnesota

Green Bay 61% over Tampa Bay

 

Buffalo 77% over St Louis

San Diego 74% over Oakland

Washington 53% over Dallas

 

Philadelphia 78% over Chicago

Pittsburgh 61% over Baltimore

[IndyFan 2]

Cincy -3.5

SD -7

 

 

3 and 0 last week. Making it 5-0 this week

[swirvenirvin 25]

Didnt get a chance to post but making up for crappy college last night

I made the Browns bets last night before I knew Palmer was out so lucked out a little

 

All 1 unit plays

 

NFL New Record 12-10 +2 units

 

Antwaan Randle El (Redskins) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Under 48.5 (-105) Winner

 

Chargers vs Raiders - Adjusted Line and Total

Raiders +3.5 (+170) Loser THEY BLEW IT!!

 

Browns vs Bengals - Team to Score First

Browns even Winner

 

Browns vs Bengals - Adjusted Line and Total

Over 51.5 (+200) Loser

 

Browns vs Bengals - Adjusted Line and Total

Browns -3.5 (+240) Winner

 

Matt Schaub (Texans) What Will He Have More Of - Must Play

Touchdown Passes even Winner

 

Eddie Royal (Broncos) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No -140 Winner

[Bouve 0]

NCAA: 30-24-1

NFL: 21-16

 

Cleveland +3.5 WIN

Cleveland O21 LOSE

Denver O28 LOSE

Carolina -7 WIN

San Diego -7 WIN

San Diego O25.5 WIN

New Orleans -5 WIN

 

Went 5-2 and taking Philly -3 tonight.

[swirvenirvin 25]

GobbleDog's LOCK OF THE WEEK

 

ytd: 1-2

 

 

Green Bay +1.5 = money in the bank! Once again I'll be betting against the 3 stooges - Gruden, Griese and Graham. This time they're at home facing a solid Packers team. If I don't get this pick right, I'll eat my hat.

Chomp Chomp Bechewy Chomp

[phillybear 365]

Chomp Chomp Bechewy Chomp

 

In betting circles, the word "Lock" is a dead nut mush. It's the biggest jinx word in existence. If I would have read this thread more carefully, I would have passed on betting on GB.

 

Gobbledog, please never use that word again. It's the worst word in the English language. Screw the "N word". The "L word" is more damaging.

 

Now, if anyone uses "Game of the Year", I will have to do a whole new lecture. Don't do it.

[ToledoLurch 0]

2-0 on the day adding 6 much needed units to the bankroll after yesterday's disaster. I believe in the NFC East.

 

Philly -3 for 4 units

 

Good luck all!!!

[Big Blue 06 195]

Well, I didn't get a chance to post earlier, but my bets for the day are/were:

 

YTD: NFL 7-6, +.8 units.

 

Packers +1 - 1 unit: LOSS

Tease for 2 units:

Chargers -2

Broncos -4 LOSS

 

Eagles -3, 1 unit.

 

This has not gone how I hoped it would.

[JackARoot 2]

Skins +11 looks pretty good to me.

 

Get way dowown!!! This is the first NFL wager I've made in years. Also, when I saw that my fantasy opponent's QB-Carson Palmer was questionable due to his right elbow, I went ahead and took the Browns on the money-line +130 and under 45 points total.

[OGAR 0]

WOW!! Thats all I can say.

 

I stated in the CFB thread that I have done well playing the Home dogs so far this season and done real shitty in NFL.

 

So this weekend, what do I do but play three road favs and lose all three. Cincy, Wisky and Fresno.

 

I missed yesterdays a.m. NFL games as I was taking old lady to LAX. Got home right before k/o and realized SD/ Oak have hit the over in their last 10 or so games.

 

SO... after getting stuck about 20 units on Sat, I made my biggest bet of the season (10 unit play) on SD over 45. With 1:30 to play my buddy and I both looked at each other and sed, we are focked. Low and behold, LT is god!!

 

I'm a die hard Bears fan and as I expected got about 4 calls from my other bros and they all wanted philly. I took all their bets and with the goal line stand... WINNER!!!

 

Lost about 1 unit in juice this weekend. Some how, some way.

[OGAR 0]

Don't gamble on football, enjoy it.

 

If you have to gamble on it to enjoy it, you have a serious problem.

 

Guys making a kazillion dollars a year to set the spread have it all over us.

 

I live in Vegas and the dudes who have won the Hilton contest(world's biggest pts spread contest) have never gotten over %70, pay the vig, what have you got, just action.

 

Isn't having a fantasy team(or 7) enuf?

 

 

 

DAD???? Is that you??

 

Get a life, bro! Its a message board on the internet. We can't be saved. Move on. Silently.

[IndyFan 2]

Cincy -3.5

SD -7

3 and 0 last week. Making it 5-0 this week

[/quote

 

4-1 Didn't know Palmer was out until after game started.

[Bouve 0]

I am taking Baltimore +6 tonight.

[ToledoLurch 0]

I have watched every Browns game this year and learned that while the Browns suck, Baltimore is not any better. Pittsburg will roll. They have enough film on Flacco to put him in the morgue.

 

Pitt -6 for 5 units

[OGAR 0]

I have watched every Browns game this year and learned that while the Browns suck, Baltimore is not any better. Pittsburg will roll. They have enough film on Flacco to put him in the morgue.

 

Pitt -6 for 5 units

 

 

Why would you say that about the browns? What do they have to do with this game? Pitt looked bad and got waxed by a Philly D that I wouldn't call any better if at all than Balt D. No fast willie and an Ailing Big Ben?

 

I'll take the points in this one.

[Headslap75 0]

DAD???? Is that you??

 

Get a life, bro! Its a message board on the internet. We can't be saved. Move on. Silently.

[new-guru 0]

Philly who ya like

Iam leaning on the over and Pit

[big easy 0]

That is exactly what I'm on guru. 5-1 yesterday after horrific weekend in college ball.

 

Pittsburgh -5.5 2 units

over 34.5 1 unit

[phillybear 365]

NCAA YTD: 28-26-3; +1.4 units

CFL YTD: 8-9-1; -2.1 units

NFL YTD: 15-10-1; +9.2 units

 

Baltimore (+6) for 1 unit WINNER

 

Small play. With most of the money on Pittsburgh today, and tout services all over Pittsburgh, I'm going to do a small fade on the underrated Baltimore team in an ugly game where there won't be many points scored, going contrarian. Looks too easy to take Pittsburgh. I may or may not add the under, but probably won't, as totals don't excite me in general.

 

Good luck to all.

 

Edit with updated total:

NCAA YTD: 28-26-3; +1.4 units

CFL YTD: 8-9-1; -2.1 units

NFL YTD: 16-10-1; +10.2 units