***Wagering thread***

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

1 hour ago, BiffTannen said:

I've played this same number for what seems like 6 weeks in a row now. I'm riding it until it loses. 

Brandon Cooks for 2.5 rec is also a good one again. Most of the props suck this week and didn't offer half of the ones I wanted.

[BiffTannen 945]

Just now, BeenHereBefore said:

Brandon Cooks for 2.5 rec is also a good one again. Most of the props suck this week and didn't offer half of the ones I wanted.

Week 18 is pretty much dead. Too many variables to put an entire card together 

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

3 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Week 18 is pretty much dead. Too many variables to put an entire card together 

I see but there was some good match ups but wasn't offered. Did a bunch of work for nothing lol.

[Fireballer 2,642]

Bruce Brown is very dependable with Halliburton out.  I grabbed him at O12.5 pt.  Wouldn’t be surprised if he hits O14.5 by tip.  

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

30 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Bruce Brown is very dependable with Halliburton out.  I grabbed him at O12.5 pt.  Wouldn’t be surprised if he hits O14.5 by tip.  

BB Ball but what team ?

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

18 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

BB Ball but what team ?

Nevermind and got him at 12.5 too thanks.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

3 hours ago, Fireballer said:

Bruce Brown is very dependable with Halliburton out.  I grabbed him at O12.5 pt.  Wouldn’t be surprised if he hits O14.5 by tip.  

hit that over 2 of his last 3 starts. Only 3 of his last 10 though. but with Haliburton out and playing against washington, i'm willing to go with it. I will probably wait until tip off, hope he doesn't score a quick bucket, and use my 25% live profit boost on fanduel. 

[Fireballer 2,642]

41 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

, and use my 25% live profit boost on fanduel. 

I was gonna double up on that too

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

3 hours ago, Fireballer said:

I was gonna double up on that too

Good call and thanks!

[Fireballer 2,642]

6 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

hit that over 2 of his last 3 starts. Only 3 of his last 10 though. but with Haliburton out and playing against washington, i'm willing to go with it. I will probably wait until tip off, hope he doesn't score a quick bucket, and use my 25% live profit boost on fanduel. 

I could never use the boost on him, it was locked down

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

I could never use the boost on him, it was locked down

Same. I used it on Jordan poole over 19.5

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

What props do you guys like for FD's No sweat same game parlay tonight ?

[Fireballer 2,642]

8 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

What props do you guys like for FD's No sweat same game parlay tonight ?

Not sure.  NBA props are a little quirky.  I usually only run them when there’s an attached anomaly in the situation (like Halliburton being out last night). I don’t do the FD no sweat a lot because you gotta be +400, right?  The blowouts in NBA are making things hard.  Props. Cash has a filter I may start using with stats for players in their games where they win or lose by 10to 15+ points.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

Blowouts will kill it. Have to stick to 1 or 2 games to minimize the risk of one blowout ruining your parlay. Will still happen though. 
 

3 legs will get you that +400 normally but I like to lower someone’s points down let’s say from 28.5 to “25+” and do 4 legs 

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

7 hours ago, Fireballer said:

Not sure.  NBA props are a little quirky.  I usually only run them when there’s an attached anomaly in the situation (like Halliburton being out last night). I don’t do the FD no sweat a lot because you gotta be +400, right?  The blowouts in NBA are making things hard.  Props. Cash has a filter I may start using with stats for players in their games where they win or lose by 10to 15+ points.

Yes around +400 and almost hit a 3 leg free one last week but haven't followed the NBA that much in the last year or two and my 3rd prop was a dud. I'll try to figure another one for tonight's no sweat.

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

4 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

Blowouts will kill it. Have to stick to 1 or 2 games to minimize the risk of one blowout ruining your parlay. Will still happen though. 
 

3 legs will get you that +400 normally but I like to lower someone’s points down let’s say from 28.5 to “25+” and do 4 legs 

I'm really not trying to get into the NBA parlays and just doing the no sweat Thursday ones but they have to be SGP's.

[Fireballer 2,642]

4 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

 

3 legs will get you that +400 normally but I like to lower someone’s points down let’s say from 28.5 to “25+” and do 4 legs 

One thing I like to do if I play an SGP, is to take whatever my wager would be and split it 4 ways and make 4 separate tickets.  Then add two legs to each ticket to include the O/U and spread. This will take advantage of a Fanduel algorithm and will usually really boost 2 of the 4 tix. The other 2  will be slightly lower, but usually about not too much lower than what your regular payout would be on the parlay.
 

For example, if your gonna put down a 5 leg prop parlay tonight  with +307 odds on Mavs game, a 5 dollar bet gets you $15.40.  If you make 4 tix at $1.25 you will get one of the following payouts…$11.38, $12.77, $21.19, or $31.12. So you risk a lower payout for chance to double your payout.  But, you have to subtract the other $3.75 from total winnings because you know your gonna lose 3 of 4 bets.

[Fireballer 2,642]

32 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I'm really not trying to get into the NBA parlays and just doing the no sweat Thursday ones but they have to be SGP's.

I’ll throw one together, but will prob only be +100 odds.  With blow out potentials, I like to use alt unders.  I’m smoking a parlay on the Cavs game now.  Standby. I’ll use OKC game.  With 14 pt spread, starters should do light duty. Hopefully.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

The thing is its a risk free SGP/SGP+ so theres really no reason not to do +400 odds to qualify or even longer. If you lose, and get the wager back as a free bet, you can turn around and bet it on something much "safer".

 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

21 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

One thing I like to do if I play an SGP, is to take whatever my wager would be and split it 4 ways and make 4 separate tickets.  Then add two legs to each ticket to include the O/U and spread. This will take advantage of a Fanduel algorithm and will usually really boost 2 of the 4 tix. The other 2  will be slightly lower, but usually about not too much lower than what your regular payout would be on the parlay.
 

For example, if your gonna put down a 5 leg prop parlay tonight  with +307 odds on Mavs game, a 5 dollar bet gets you $15.40.  If you make 4 tix at $1.25 you will get one of the following payouts…$11.38, $12.77, $21.19, or $31.12. So you risk a lower payout for chance to double your payout.  But, you have to subtract the other $3.75 from total winnings because you know your gonna lose 3 of 4 bets.

I hear ya. I wouldn't bother with a 5 leg parlay that was only +307, but I understand what you're saying as an example. 

Bet each individual prop along with the over/under and spread so you end up with 4  three leg tickets for the same cost.  But in your example what happens to leg 5 or did you mean 4 legs at +307?

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

1 minute ago, WhiteWonder said:

The thing is its a risk free SGP/SGP+ so theres really no reason not to do +400 odds to qualify or even longer. If you lose, and get the wager back as a free bet, you can turn around and bet it on something much "safer".

 

Exactly and will do a $10 one and if it doesn't work will use it on a nfl bet this weekend that I would have bet on anyways. If I would win the free bet then it's a extra 50 bucks or more .

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

45 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I'm really not trying to get into the NBA parlays and just doing the no sweat Thursday ones but they have to be SGP's.

to some degree they are easier than NFL player prop parlays.  With NBA you have to worry about blowouts killing you when teams pull their starters in the 4th BUT on the flip side you worry less about an injury instantly killing your play. NBA is also a little less dependent on game flow/script. If the game is still close, the stars usually do what they do, whereas an NFL team can abandon the run, milk the clock, etc. 

I have more fun with NFL because I care about it more

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

Just now, WhiteWonder said:

to some degree they are easier than NFL player prop parlays.  With NBA you have to worry about blowouts killing you when teams pull their starters in the 4th BUT on the flip side you worry less about an injury instantly killing your play. NBA is also a little less dependent on game flow/script. If the game is still close, the stars usually do what they do, whereas an NFL team can abandon the run, milk the clock, etc. 

I have more fun with NFL because I care about it more

Good points and thanks.

[Fireballer 2,642]

37 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I'm really not trying to get into the NBA parlays and just doing the no sweat Thursday ones but they have to be SGP's.

+106 oodds

 

Reath under 8.5 reb-  only gone over in 2 out of last 20 games.  They were anomalies where he played 32 and 40 mins

Giddey Under 8.5 reb-  Only hitting that 11% all season and zero out of last 10 games

Dort Under 6.5 Reb.  Only hit in 2 of last 20 and 11% for season

Hjolmgren 1 3pt made.  1+ in 90% of home games 

 

 

 

[Fireballer 2,642]

23 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I hear ya. I wouldn't bother with a 5 leg parlay that was only +307, but I understand what you're saying as an example. 

Bet each individual prop along with the over/under and spread so you end up with 4  three leg tickets for the same cost.  But in your example what happens to leg 5 or did you mean 4 legs at +307?

Once you add the O\U and spread variable too each ticket, it goes anywhere from +890 to +2450

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

I tried to make a easiest one possible for $10 and not get greedy, +459 $10 to win $45.53

Bobby Portis O 5.5 rebounds

Antentokounpo O 32.5 points

Jaylen Brown O 23.5 points

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

7 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Once you add the O\U and spread variable too each ticket, it goes anywhere from +890 to +2450

yeah i got ya, I was just curious because you said 5 legs on the Mavs game at +307 and then broke it down to 4 tix at $1.25 adding the over/under and spread to each.  Maybe I am not getting it. What is on each of those 4 tickets along with the o/u and spread?  it's a single player prop right?

[Fireballer 2,642]

7 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I tried to make a easiest one possible for $10 and not get greedy, +459 $10 to win $45.53

Bobby Portis O 5.5 rebounds

Antentokounpo O 32.5 points

Jaylen Brown O 23.5 points

Damn.  The one I made was for DK.  I forgot you said Fanduel that has to be +400.  DK doesn’t have min odds

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

1 minute ago, Fireballer said:

Damn.  The one I made was for DK.  I forgot you said Fanduel that has to be +400.  DK doesn’t have min odds

Fanduel is also specifically on the TNT games so it has to be a combo of props from Bos/Mil and LA/Pho

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

2 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Damn.  The one I made was for DK.  I forgot you said Fanduel that has to be +400.  DK doesn’t have min odds

dang well you can still make one for FD and have two game choices like White mentioned. I haven't used DK in a month or two.

[Fireballer 2,642]

3 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

yeah i got ya, I was just curious because you said 5 legs on the Mavs game at +307 and then broke it down to 4 tix at $1.25 adding the over/under and spread to each.  Maybe I am not getting it. What is on each of those 4 tickets along with the o/u and spread?  it's a single player prop right?

It’s just 4 tix.  It’s the same parlay on each, you joust change the o/u and spread on each so you’re guaranteeing a win on those two legs.  You’re splitting $5 into 4 different tix for 1.25 each

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

2 hours ago, Fireballer said:

It’s just 4 tix.  It’s the same parlay on each, you joust change the o/u and spread on each so you’re guaranteeing a win on those two legs.  You’re splitting $5 into 4 different tix for 1.25 each

Hah okay now I get where you’re at. 
 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

2 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

dang well you can still make one for FD and have two game choices like White mentioned. I haven't used DK in a month or two.

And honestly if I was in the mood to build an nba parlay tonight, without a no sweat, those are the two games I’d have my eye on anyway. 

i ended up doing Brown, Tatum, Dame, Giannis 30+ and AD 25+.   +1300  

Austin Reaves interests me as does Lebron. I don’t like the numbers on KD/Booker/Beal with all three playing and it seems a waste to play them down. 
AD rebounds might be good as well 

[listen2me 23 1,873]

Back to Kincaid well.  Weather is not good.  But here is to several 5 yd curls.  

Kincaid over 3.5 catches -130

[listen2me 23 1,873]

4 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Back to Kincaid well.  Weather is not good.  But here is to several 5 yd curls.  

Kincaid over 3.5 catches -130

Add Diggs longest catch under 22.5 -120

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

6 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Back to Kincaid well.  Weather is not good.  But here is to several 5 yd curls.  

Kincaid over 3.5 catches -130

That is a no brainer and TE's also kill my Steelers.

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

2 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Add Diggs longest catch under 22.5 -120

Yea Porter Jr will probably be guarding him and has been pretty good against top wrs most of the season. So I like the under.

[listen2me 23 1,873]

1 minute ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Yea Porter Jr will probably be guarding him and has been pretty good against top wrs most of the season. So I like the under.

Going to be windy.   Not sure how many 20+ yarders will be attempted.  

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

2 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Going to be windy.   Not sure how many 20+ yarders will be attempted.  

That too and what I mentioned. Game is shaping up in the Steelers favor cause of the weather.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

3 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Good points and thanks.

And this was my slight worry with Boston/MIL. Boston is in the second night of a back to back after winning in overtime. 
down 30 at the moment have to cut into it by the half