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***Wagering thread***

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easiest bet of the year, sorry for not sharing

red sox minus 1.5 +125 today vs butt pirates. Giolito era of .5 last 10 home starts

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10 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

ND's qb sucks and think I just wasted $10, maybe their D will make some splash plays.

that's what I was afraid of but was hoping their D was the play for -2.5. Still early and close

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3 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

that's what I was afraid of but was hoping their D was the play for -2.5. Still early and close

That was a crazy play he made there but still think he sucks and hope he proves me wrong.

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What did we learn ? ND is not to good cause of lack of offense talent and QB is average, bet against them when they play good teams. Don't know their schedule but predict they lose 4 or more games this year. 

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5 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

What did we learn ? ND is not to good cause of lack of offense talent and QB is average, bet against them when they play good teams. Don't know their schedule but predict they lose 4 or more games this year. 

Defensive line is terribly undersized and got pushed around too.  

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6 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

What did we learn ?

Don't bet based on what people say here :D 

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i should have gone with my gut on Miami ML but no biggie. My gut says to fade belicheat today....  what are we feeling?

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36 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

i should have gone with my gut on Miami ML but no biggie. My gut says to fade belicheat today....  what are we feeling?

No play for me. Not sure what to expect out of BB’s first game. 

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11 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

No play for me. Not sure what to expect out of BB’s first game. 

the damn promotions and profit boosts make me play it. won't be a big wager but TCU -3.5  +134  seems like a decent play

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Coco Gauff -145 vs Noami Osucka 

today 2:45 

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33 minutes ago, edjr said:

Coco Gauff -145 vs Noami Osucka 

today 2:45 

In at -135

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4 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

the damn promotions and profit boosts make me play it. won't be a big wager but TCU -3.5  +134  seems like a decent play

What could you have boosted the TCU ML to?  If positive take that and bet the UNC ML at a different book and lock in a profit 

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17 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

What could you have boosted the TCU ML to?  If positive take that and bet the UNC ML at a different book and lock in a profit 

From -180 to -120

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1 hour ago, BiffTannen said:

What could you have boosted the TCU ML to?  If positive take that and bet the UNC ML at a different book and lock in a profit 

All good. I don’t have the time or patience to do that at other books just to lock in $2 profit. I could theoretically play unc at espnbet. But as mentioned, the 50% boost wasn’t getting TCU ML to plus money 

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4 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

All good. I don’t have the time or patience to shop other books to lock in $2 profit 

I’m 4-2 on full unit college plays so far. My 2 losses were giving points on the road. TCU is a solid squad and I want to pull the hammer, but the BB mystique could rule the day. 

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14 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

I’m 4-2 on full unit college plays so far. My 2 losses were giving points on the road. TCU is a solid squad and I want to pull the hammer, but the BB mystique could rule the day. 

Agreed. Small play though. I hit a parlay earlier Mets, Soto for a hit, Red Sux and Astros 

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10 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

Agreed. Small play though. I hit a parlay earlier Mets, Soto for a hit, Red Sux and Astros 

That helps if you tailed ed on the tennis play. 

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1 minute ago, BiffTannen said:

That helps if you tailed ed on the tennis play. 

$4 and change on TCU -3.5 +134 just because I like to leave my account balance at round numbers like a nerd 😆 

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12 hours ago, BiffTannen said:

Defensive line is terribly undersized and got pushed around too.  

ND is not a bad team but I just don't like their QB and will change my prediction and say they lose 2 more before the season is over.

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On 9/14/2023 at 12:40 AM, BeenHereBefore said:

Under Bettors Won Big

A common belief is that NFL teams, especially now with a shortened preseason, are rusty on offense to start the season. If you share this theory and heavily bet the under on game totals yesterday, then you won a lot of money. Through the 15 games played so far this week, unders are 11-4.

After many years betting week 1 unders, last year is the first year it didn't pan out.  

What are we thinking?  I think it had to do with the rule changes but maybe last year was an outlier?

@BiffTannen mguinnjr is back at the other place.  

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34 minutes ago, Horseman said:

After many years betting week 1 unders, last year is the first year it didn't pan out.  

What are we thinking?  I think it had to do with the rule changes but maybe last year was an outlier?

@BiffTannen mguinnjr is back at the other place.  

I have always blind bet the unders for half a unit. I will get in again this year for kicks. 

 

He posting good plays over there?

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I only played games where I was receiving a promotion.  3-2 outcome.  Would have been 4-1 if I stuck with my original Miami pick. Only terrible call was Bama. 

This will probably be the most CFB I wager on all year unless they keep the promotions coming. 

For me, it's time to start talking NFL.   I have 50% boost and No Sweat for TNF, no sweat for Friday Night and a No Sweat for any Sunday wager (probably will be a parlay :D)

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How do we feel about Philly/Dallas? No hangover for Philly? Sadly the line is -8.5 now on FD. I'm thinking play it down under a touchdown and use the no sweat token for that.  With the 50% boost on an anytime TD wager on Lamb which moves that to +218.    I also have a token to use on an anytime TD wager in this game where if your player scores the first or last touchdown, you get a share of 2M in bonus bets split among everyone who opted in and had that player for their token pick.  My brother hit the same promo during the super bowl and took home a decent amount of bonus bets. The temptation is to pick a less obvious... Goedert, Ferguson.  I am more of the mindset to pick Barkley/Hurts/Lamb and have a better chance to just win the wager itself even if they are not first or last. 

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LA/ KC?  I think I lean KC -3 here. Pacheco looked much better in camp and preseason. No Rashee but an expected step forward for Worthy and Hollywood should be on the field. 

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Not interested in thr Friday game much.  But Harbaugh, I believe,  has a real good ATS or SU record in week 1s.  

In Brazil.  Brings more randomness in play.  

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Favorites mopped up as a whole last season.  One of the better seasons ever for favorites.  

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56 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

I have always blind bet the unders for half a unit. I will get in again this year for kicks. 

 

He posting good plays over there?

Just barely came back. Says he is going to. 

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26 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I only played games where I was receiving a promotion.  3-2 outcome.  Would have been 4-1 if I stuck with my original Miami pick. Only terrible call was Bama. 

This will probably be the most CFB I wager on all year unless they keep the promotions coming. 

For me, it's time to start talking NFL.   I have 50% boost and No Sweat for TNF, no sweat for Friday Night and a No Sweat for any Sunday wager (probably will be a parlay :D)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

How do we feel about Philly/Dallas? No hangover for Philly? Sadly the line is -8.5 now on FD. I'm thinking play it down under a touchdown and use the no sweat token for that.  With the 50% boost on an anytime TD wager on Lamb which moves that to +218.    I also have a token to use on an anytime TD wager in this game where if your player scores the first or last touchdown, you get a share of 2M in bonus bets split among everyone who opted in and had that player for their token pick.  My brother hit the same promo during the super bowl and took home a decent amount of bonus bets. The temptation is to pick a less obvious... Goedert, Ferguson.  I am more of the mindset to pick Barkley/Hurts/Lamb and have a better chance to just win the wager itself even if they are not first or last. 

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LA/ KC?  I think I lean KC -3 here. Pacheco looked much better in camp and preseason. No Rashee but an expected step forward for Worthy and Hollywood should be on the field. 

Great, you jinxed me on the Lamb anytime TD. 😝

But the whole public, 90% is on Philly, I'll take the points.  

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4 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Great, you jinxed me on the Lamb anytime TD. 😝

But the whole public, 90% is on Philly, I'll take the points.  

I am very often a jinx, but the NFL is my thing so i'd be at least a little less worried about it if I were you :mellow:

any thought on LA/KC?

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3 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I am very often a jinx, but the NFL is my thing so i'd be at least a little less worried about it if I were you :mellow:

any thought on LA/KC?

Seems about right. I'll be looking at props. The public is on KC 74% so if you need to play the spread you might get the hook for LA by game time.   

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