bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 15, 2022 I will be taking a look at matchups here soon and post. I'm betting the farm this week based on one stat - strokes gained off the tee. I will be blind betting Matt Fitzpatrick and Corey Conners blind vs any matchup they have. I will also be fading Tyrrell Hatton vs any matchup he has. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 Just now, bostonlager said: I will be taking a look at matchups here soon and post. I'm betting the farm this week based on one stat - strokes gained off the tee. I will be blind betting Matt Fitzpatrick and Corey Conners blind vs any matchup they have. I will also be fading Tyrrell Hatton vs any matchup he has. Everyone is fading Cam Smith because of driving accuracy. Watch him win the thing. Going to be like 6% owned on DFS. It is the Players so it isn't quite US Open rough but Southern Hills played difficult. Cam lost 5.2 strokes OTT and won the thing. Of course his putter can go unconscious and ththaththat makesall the difference. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 15, 2022 1 minute ago, listen2me 23 said: Everyone is fading Cam Smith because of driving accuracy. Watch him win the thing. Going to be like 6% owned on DFS. It is the Players so it isn't quite US Open rough but Southern Hills played difficult. Cam lost 5.2 strokes OTT and won the thing. Of course his putter can go unconscious and ththaththat makesall the difference. Oh yeah, there is risk involved and if this approach fails, I will eat sh1t. Cam is not a guy I would ever fade, for the reasons you mention above. If he plays against one of the guys I'm blind betting, I will roll the dice with minimal skin in the game. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 I know tee to green especially approach is the stat that everyone goes by since it SEEMS less hot or cold. But I don't trust guys who suck at putting to survive at tough tracks. The amount of up and downs you need to save par this week is a lot. The guy who wins usually is rolling in those 6 to 10 footers all week long. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said: I know tee to green especially approach is the stat that everyone goes by since it SEEMS less hot or cold. But I don't trust guys who suck at putting to survive at tough tracks. The amount of up and downs you need to save par this week is a lot. The guy who wins usually is rolling in those 6 to 10 footers all week long. An excellent reason to fade Hovland this week. Add him in with Hatton. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, bostonlager said: An excellent reason to fade Hovland this week. Add him in with Hatton. I am a big fan of the HOV. But yeah not high on him here. He can but will need a ton of birdies to contend. He is prone to a big number once a round. His close putting is actually really good but hr cant chip it to 7 feet. All depends how it plays. US Open most times can bank on a tough scoring tourney. But people have been wrong before. There was a tourney this year that people said would play tough that didn't at all. API? I dont remember. I am looking forward to this week and have fot a while. I remember in maybe 2020 looking at thr future sites of the pga us and british and seeing this venue and being pretty excited about going to a different spot yet one with a bunch of history. As it reads I will like this style course as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 15, 2022 Viktor Hovland to miss the cut +195 The bolds are 1st round matchups - regular font is tournament matchups Matt Fitzpatrick over Patrick Cantlay +100 Matt Fitzpatrick over Shane Lowry -110 Matt Fitzpatrick over Dustin Johnson -120 Justin Rose over Tyrrell Hatton -115 Cameron Young over Aaron Wise -115 Cameron Young over Billy Horschel -115 Sungjae Im over Viktor Hovland -130 Will Zalatoris over Dustin Johnson -145 Corey Conners over Webb Simpson -140 Adri Arnaus over Sam Horsfield -110 Jon Rahm over Collin Morikawa -140 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 "Pretty playable off the tee" "There is some rough" "But if you just miss the fairway you can certainly get it to the green" -Rory Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 Just watching a few interviews now.. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 15, 2022 What do the par 3s look like at this place? Will there be a hole in one Yes - 150 No +120 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 15, 2022 19 minutes ago, bostonlager said: What do the par 3s look like at this place? Will there be a hole in one Yes - 150 No +120 Well the one they are using for 1st time since 1913 is 130 yards . Number 11. Not sure on rest Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 16, 2022 DK Lineup Will Zalatoris Matthew Fitzpatrick Corey Conners Sungjae Im Joaquin Niemann Mito Pereira Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WhiteWonder 2,172 Posted June 16, 2022 1 hour ago, bostonlager said: DK Lineup Will Zalatoris Matthew Fitzpatrick Corey Conners Sungjae Im Joaquin Niemann Mito Pereira Solid. I’ve got a few Zalatoris x3 Xander x2 Homa Fitzpatrick x4 Lowry x4 Young x4 Niemann Conners Keegan Hoge Clark (in a lineup where I needed one super cheap play) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted June 17, 2022 On 6/15/2022 at 9:09 AM, dain11279 said: US OPEN BETS: Zander Souffle 17-1 FRL: My boy Will 40-1, Bruce Cupcakes 50-1, Tom Fleetwood 50-1, Grace 100-1 Also took Koepka 50-1 and Fleetwood 50-1 low score any round GL Eat a d1ck Colon Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lod001 1,237 Posted June 17, 2022 On 6/15/2022 at 10:12 PM, bostonlager said: DK Lineup Will Zalatoris Matthew Fitzpatrick Corey Conners Sungjae Im Joaquin Niemann Mito Pereira I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WhiteWonder 2,172 Posted June 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, lod001 said: I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero. yup. i had 4 lineups. all 4 had cam young and shane lowry at +4... one also had Clark +4 and two had Conners +4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lod001 1,237 Posted June 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said: yup. i had 4 lineups. all 4 had cam young and shane lowry at +4... one also had Clark +4 and two had Conners +4 Im, Cam, Lowry, Pereria, Webb splattered across the lineups. Can't even outplay nobodies like bramlett, naegel, gotterup and stevens. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 18, 2022 42 minutes ago, lod001 said: I had 24 lineups (including the 4 free ones). If the cut is +4 virtually all of them except the ones with Louie are 6-6 making the cut. Instead. I get zero. We got screwed by winds being high late Thurs/Early Friday. The other side of the draw had it much easier. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WhiteWonder 2,172 Posted June 18, 2022 1 hour ago, bostonlager said: We got screwed by winds being high late Thurs/Early Friday. The other side of the draw had it much easier. Tell that to Cameron young…. A fat faced fock Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 19, 2022 How far back is too far back? Possible or anyone +1 to catch a little fire and make a move? Woodland as won it before and is currently +15000 - I'm in Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 19, 2022 On 6/15/2022 at 9:08 AM, listen2me 23 said: Niemann 40-1 Zal 35-1 Berger +105 over DJ for tournament Rats. Good tourny tho Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted June 19, 2022 Damn Will is snake-bitten, getting beat by one guy in all these majors. He’ll knock one off eventually but his odds will blow from here on out though. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WhiteWonder 2,172 Posted June 19, 2022 the Fitzpatrick stack let me cash in all 4 of my DFS lineups despite having 3 missed cuts on every card. turned $1 ($1 and three free entries) into a whopping $3.05! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 22, 2022 Strong field this week for the Travelers. DK Justin Thomas Joaquin Niemann Kevin Streelman Si Woo Kim Adam Long Brendan Steele Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted June 22, 2022 Travelers Championship Bets: Davis Riley (40-1) FRL: HV3 (50-1), Straka (100-1) GLGLGL Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 22, 2022 Just a couple of stabs this week for action. KH Lee 90-1 Theegala 125-1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 23, 2022 Brendan Steele +6000 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BufordT 371 Posted June 23, 2022 22 hours ago, bostonlager said: Strong field this week for the Travelers. DK Justin Thomas Joaquin Niemann Kevin Streelman Si Woo Kim Adam Long Brendan Steele Justin Thomas withdrew due to back issues Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, BufordT said: Justin Thomas withdrew due to back issues Good looking out. I changed it up and now going with Brendan Steele Si Woo Kim KH Lee Joaquin Niemann Mito Pereira Aaron Wise Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 24, 2022 JT Poston looks like a clone of Davis Love III Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WhiteWonder 2,172 Posted June 24, 2022 niemann and burns focked my lineups. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 24, 2022 Rory with a one-putt quad today. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,179 Posted June 26, 2022 https://golfweek.usatoday.com/2022/06/25/jason-kokrak-dq-travelers-championship-epic-walkout-pga-tour-liv-golf/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 26, 2022 Theegala up one and doubles 18 to lose. Lexi Thompson up 2 with 3 to play in the lady golf major championship and bogeys 16 and 17 to lose. Clutch did not have a good day. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 26, 2022 51 minutes ago, Alias Detective said: https://golfweek.usatoday.com/2022/06/25/jason-kokrak-dq-travelers-championship-epic-walkout-pga-tour-liv-golf/ I wouldn't be surprised if he goes LIV, but the explanation from McGirt makes sense. If you're not going to make the cut, there is no point in walking back and rehitting the shot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted June 26, 2022 Took Zander a week too early Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 26, 2022 Ryder Cup part II Paddy wins a duel with Steve Stricker to the win the US Sr Open Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
listen2me 23 1,542 Posted June 26, 2022 On 6/22/2022 at 7:59 AM, listen2me 23 said: Just a couple of stabs this week for action. KH Lee 90-1 Theegala 125-1 Rats again Easy hedge at the end qhen it was between he and Xander. So was able to at least come away with some money. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,465 Posted June 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said: Rats again Easy hedge at the end qhen it was between he and Xander. So was able to at least come away with some money. Nice you were able to get the hedge. That was a brutal 72nd hole. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites