** Official College Football Wagering Thead **

[phillybear 366]

Adding Marshall (-3.5) for 1 unit. I now have two units on the game.

 

Aside from the movie angle, I was reading how Marshall was pissed when they lost to Central Florida last year, and that ended something like a 20 game losing streak for Cent Flor, they witnessed fireworks, pulling down goalposts, just a wild celebration. Marshall is really looking for revenge tonight.

 

Also, to counter the statements that Marshall hasn't covered yet this year, they got front door covered against Kansas St and Tennessee, where both their opponents scored very late, Tennessee blatently running up the score to cost Marshall the covers. Besides, Centr Flor is either 1-2 or 0-2-1 ATS this year.

 

Good luck to all.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

Took Marshall--they have a better D.

 

And taking the UNDER because we have two bad QBs playing.

 

one unit on marshall, one unit on under

 

 

gl to all

[gummo_dude 0]

I'm took Marshall -3 here. Central Florida has only played once on the road and Marshall has only played once at home.

[American Chewy 98]

Season

62-46-5 +19.995 units

2+ plays 13-11-1 +5.995 units

 

Marshall -3.5 LOSER

 

wish i woulda gotten the line at 3 or less but oh well. i liked marshall's duel threat qb when i saw them play kstate earlier this year. their main problem seemed to be penalties. i think they win this one at home with no problem.

 

 

 

hey philly, does the hawaii line have value over 10? i think its near 11 now and it costs -126 to get it down to 9.5. i really want to get on that game.

[phillybear 366]

hey philly, does the hawaii line have value over 10? i think its near 11 now and it costs -126 to get it down to 9.5. i really want to get on that game.

 

I would have played it for anything under 14. I jumped on the line at -9.5, anticipating a move, and an hour later it jumped to -11. Nevada secondary is not that good at all. Hawaii should shred them. I hope. Hawaii rested a bunch of people last week against Eastern Illinois, some starters didn't even play.

[GiantsRule 0]

Season

62-46-5 +19.995 units

2+ plays 13-11-1 +5.995 units

 

Marshall -3.5

 

wish i woulda gotten the line at 3 or less but oh well. i liked marshall's duel threat qb when i saw them play kstate earlier this year. their main problem seemed to be penalties. i think they win this one at home with no problem.

hey philly, does the hawaii line have value over 10? i think its near 11 now and it costs -126 to get it down to 9.5. i really want to get on that game.

 

If you had an Olympic Sportsbook account, you could have had Marshall -3 +100 during the opening drive.

 

I'm just saying that's all.

[American Chewy 98]

If you had an Olympic Sportsbook account, you could have had Marshall -3 +100 during the opening drive.

 

I'm just saying that's all.

 

yeah i could line shop better with multiple accounts but i dont have the bankroll at this point to facilitate that.

[GiantsRule 0]

yeah i could line shop better with multiple accounts but i dont have the bankroll at this point to facilitate that.

 

Sorry. Wasn't trying to rub anything in. Just weakly trying to get a referral bonus through Olympic!

[American Chewy 98]

I would have played it for anything under 14. I jumped on the line at -9.5, anticipating a move, and an hour later it jumped to -11. Nevada secondary is not that good at all. Hawaii should shred them. I hope. Hawaii rested a bunch of people last week against Eastern Illinois, some starters didn't even play.

 

thanks, i 'll go ahead and put a unit on it at 11 and maybe hope it drops for another unit.

[GobbleDog 997]

Let's go KNIGHTS!!!!

 

My alma mater and my $50 riding tonight-

[American Chewy 98]

Sorry. Wasn't trying to rub anything in. Just weakly trying to get a referral bonus through Olympic!

 

oh no problem dude!

 

 

sweet review holdup and stand by marshall! hope the refs are with the home team tonight!

[iceblumist610 0]

oh no problem dude!

sweet review holdup and stand by marshall! hope the refs are with the home team tonight!

 

 

I think he was in. Then again, I'm on UCF.

[GiantsRule 0]

Sorry guys. The botched conversion on the first touchdown sold me that this game really could go either way:

 

Central Florida ML +150

[GiantsRule 0]

Sorry guys. The botched conversion on the first touchdown sold me that this game really could go either way:

 

Central Florida ML +150

 

If Cent. Fla scores here, I may jump on either the Marshall ML for guaranteed money, or Marshall +points to try and hit a middle.

[new-guru 0]

just getting in first half score did not look good

Any Idea on second half ? where did the turnover come in at?

[new-guru 0]

Giants

Iam just signing up

how does this sight pay you

I don't know cause i go through a local

 

any other tip i should know about this sight

 

signing up in 15 min.

[GiantsRule 0]

Giants

Iam just signing up

how does this sight pay you

I don't know cause i go through a local

 

any other tip i should know about this sight

 

signing up in 15 min.

 

Awesome news! Thanks buddy!

 

If you win, they pay you up to the amount of your deposit using the same method (use a credit card to fund your account, it goes back to your card, use Firepay, it goes back to Firepay, etc.) Any amount beyond that you can request whatever you want - online account (Firepay/Neteller, check by mail, check by FedEx, etc.)

 

I just took a small withdrawal today that was sent to my Firepay account. I was told it would take 48 hours; it actually took three!

 

Please email me at BTC316@hotmail.com when you get set up so I can get your information to claim the bonus (you'll get your bonus right away; I have to request mine.)

 

If I could ever return the favor, let me know. I'm all about paying it forward (I think I owe Ditka a house, or at least a small car already!)

[GiantsRule 0]

Damn, passed up on Marshall +7.5 (+110) before that quick score.

 

If Central Florida scores again, I'm definitely jumping on the points for Marshall.

 

The kicker should lineup and let each of his teammates demonstrate how to kick a field goal by nailing him right in the crotch!

[GiantsRule 0]

Guys, I need your support here. Lost every opportunity to hedge and now this tubby little waste of space controls my destiny.

 

*Whew*

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I knew exactly how that game was going to be played tonight before the kickoff. Glad I stayed away.

[GiantsRule 0]

I knew exactly how that game was going to be played tonight before the kickoff. Glad I stayed away.

 

Well, lookie what we have here: A degenerate who knows his limits!

[Grind 0]

Any early thoughts on tonights game?

 

Ditka, are you working on your weekend picks? Hope your back isn't getting soar from carrying me. I'm filling up my piggy bank piggy backing off your picks.

[donkeyboy22 0]

What do I not know about TCU / Utah tonight????

 

The line opened TCU -2.5 and is now Utah -3. A 5.5 pt swing in 3 days!!!

 

[Grind 0]

What do I not know about TCU / Utah tonight????

 

The line opened TCU -2.5 and is now Utah -3. A 5.5 pt swing in 3 days!!!

 

 

 

So the public is going with Utah. What is the good play or is there even a good play?

[GiantsRule 0]

Any early thoughts on tonights game?

 

Ditka, are you working on your weekend picks? Hope your back isn't getting soar from carrying me. I'm filling up my piggy bank piggy backing off your picks.

 

I'm going to be gone all weekend. I'm going to put in Ditka's picks and then count my cash later in the evening when I check wireless web. No worries.

[GiantsRule 0]

What do I not know about TCU / Utah tonight????

 

The line opened TCU -2.5 and is now Utah -3. A 5.5 pt swing in 3 days!!!

 

 

Hoping to catch some middling opportunities in live betting like last night (grabbed Central Fla ML +150 and waited too long to jump on Marshall +7.5 (+110)). Still eeked out a winning wager but it could have been an extra special night.

[American Chewy 98]

So the public is going with Utah. What is the good play or is there even a good play?

 

Overall

62-47-5 +18.945 units

2+ plays 13-11-1 +5.995 units

 

Utah -2.5@-112 WINNER

 

Actually, TCU is seeing 70% of the action as of this hour. Despite that, the line has swung 5 points...fishy? Also, check this out http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/sports/colleges/15675384.htm TCU is missing some key players here.

I'm also thinking Utah isn't too happy about their showing at home against Boise last weekend.

 

TCU has an edge in offense (Utah 62nd, TCU 38th) but Utah leads in defense (Utah 30th, TCU 46th). Utah turns the ball over less though, they are 14th in the nation there at +1 per game.

[4i's 0]

The line for the UCF and Marshall was the same. It was a pick'em then it moved toward Marshall -3.5. If the trend is like this with Utah and TCU, i would pick TCU and take the point. Also, TCU was embarrassed last week and they will come out fighting tonight.

[markblaz 0]

The line for the UCF and Marshall was the same. It was a pick'em then it moved toward Marshall -3.5. If the trend is like this with Utah and TCU, i would pick TCU and take the point. Also, TCU was embarrassed last week and they will come out fighting tonight.

i wouldnt compare the 2 line changes, and base your pick off of that. besides last night marshall was the majority of the money getting like 60%, so the line change was valid, tonight utah is the minority getting like 40% of the action.

utah also got embarrased last week, so both teams are coming off of similar situations. i actually think tcu's situation will hurt them more tonight, snapping their long winning streak, that was probably their motivation the past 6 weeks or so. also, snapping any kind of national championship hopes (i know, they probably had no shot anyways, but try telling them that before last weeks lost). i think its going to be tough for them to get refocused on tonights game.

[cyclone24 1,914]

i wouldnt compare the 2 line changes, and base your pick off of that. besides last night marshall was the majority of the money getting like 60%, so the line change was valid, tonight utah is the minority getting like 40% of the action.

utah also got embarrased last week, so both teams are coming off of similar situations. i actually think tcu's situation will hurt them more tonight, snapping their long winning streak, that was probably their motivation the past 6 weeks or so. also, snapping any kind of national championship hopes (i know, they probably had no shot anyways, but try telling them that before last weeks lost). i think its going to be tough for them to get refocused on tonights game.

 

 

 

-2.5 right now is the line?

 

Gotta go with TCU here dont ya?

[phillybear 366]

Overall College YTD: 96-77-4; +36.72 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 40-25-1; +36.72 units

 

Thursday

 

All for 1 unit

 

North Carolina St (+9.5) WINNER

North Carolina 1st H (+6)@-115 WINNER

Under 2nd H FlorSt/NCSt 20.5 for .5 units LOSER

Utah (-2.5) WINNER

Utah 1st H (-1.5)@-105 WINNER

Utah 2nd H (Pk)@Even for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

 

North Carolina St was been playing lousy football, but so has Florida St. NC St is 4-1 ATS, 3-2 SU vs Flor St last 5 meetings. NC St has a much, much better running game, Flor St has the better passing game, with NC St starting a freshman. But the freshman can't be any worse than the QB he replaced. Flor St can't run on anyone, and only had a good game on offense against a terrible Rice defense that can't stop the running game on anyone. Battle of two good defenses, I'll take the better running team as a home dog. Flor St might wear them down late, so I'll take a shot at the first half line for a fired up NC St team that may be doing the annual save Chuck Amato's job routine.

 

Two teams coming off blow out losses at home. I watched both games closely. TCU was completely outclassed by a much better BYU team, which lends credence to my theory in last weeks writeup that TCU was overrated, enjoying their success last year mostly due to an incredible plus in turnover margin. They have a bunch of hurt skill position players, and a QB with a sore THROWING shoulder. Utah lost in a snowball game vs what likely will be a Boise ST team that will now run the table this year. Utah missed some chances early, and started turning the ball over. And over. And over. The game quickly got away from them, and the backup QB was playing early. Utah is still a strong home field, and it's hard for me to envision Utah losing two home games in a row as a favorite with the offensive talent that they possess. Also, the line doesn't make sense, as the line movement was ridiculous, with TCU getting 70+% of the action, and going from -3 to +3. Utah has been receiving sharp money the last couple weeks, and this looks like another example. It worked out went Utah killed San Diego St, but didn't when Utah lost to Boise St. It looks too easy to take TCU tonight.

 

A couple of game I think are toss ups tonight. I don't love them. But I'll take them.

 

Also, tomorrow, I will be on Midd Tenn St.

 

Good luck to all.

[chiz3 1]

TCU was a top 25 team last week. Now they are getting 3. From Utah? Id have to say TCU.

[phillybear 366]

Phillybear, i see that you have Hawaii for Three units already, with the line locked at 9.5. I was wondering what your reasoning behind this was cause i know that this Nevada team isn't that bad? Just wondering if you could do a write up why you like them so much.

 

Also Im really confused about the UB vs. Ball State line. Ball State isn't that bad of a team from what i have seen, i mean, there not great but not horrible. I just dont understand why the line is only 5?? Is the UB team that good or are they both really that bad that not alot of points will be scored. Would love to hear your opinion.

 

Big surprise, I'm on Hawaii again. But they've covered every lined game, I've bet them every game, and I'll take them again. Nevada is forcing tons of turnovers lately, 9-1 advantage and winning as a result, since they are not outgaining anyone in yardage. I don't think their luck will hold up. Hawaii is moving the ball for 500 yards on everyone, including good defenses like Hawaii and Boise St. Hawaii is 9-0 ATS as a favorite at home in conference games, Nevada (editted:) 1-8 ATS on road. Nevada has faced a series of teams that can't throw the ball at all this year, but the only team that has a passing game pulse, the shaky Arizona St, put up 347 passing against them. Without going into an depth stat analysis, Nevada is considerably below average defensively, especially in the secondary,and only average offensively. Hawaii is AVERAGING 500 total offense, 400 of it passing. Despite Hawaii being -7 in turnovers this year, they are dominating games offensively. They lost at the goal line at Alabama. They kept screwing up kicking opportunities and turning the ball over vs Boise St, and still were within 7 points at the end, on an awesome home field for Boise St. After the game, Boise players were quoted as saying Hawaii won't lose another game this year. They were impressed. Me, I'm not impressed. I expected this out of Hawaii, as pro scouts are following this team around, with the talent that Hawaii has on both sides of the ball. Hawaii seems to be covering each game by nearly double digits. A 15+ double digit dog that has come close to winning two games outright. And were up 42-0 early in the second half on UNLV at home.

 

The Ball St /Buffalo game is not a surprise, since Ball St has a terrible defense, giving up 500 yards per game. Buffalo has covered every game this year so far. It's hard to lay points with this defense on the road, as Ball St seems to be more of a back door covering team. Buffalo first home game after three straight on the road. They actually kept it close vs Auburn their last game, as Auburn finally pulled away late. Buffalo is improving, and I would say take Buffalo or nothing. I know that I won't take Ball St this week. I don't know if I will take Buffalo, however.

[phillybear 366]

The second college game tonight will be on the former Outdoor Life Network.

 

Adding: Over 61 Idaho/New Mex St for 3 units

 

Both teams are ranked below #100 in pass defense. Both teams love to pass. New Mex St is the #1 passing offense in college football. The shootout to end all shootouts.

 

Previous plays for Saturday:

 

Hawaii (-9.5) for 3 units

Kent (-24) for 3 units

New Mex St (Pk) for 3 units

 

Big surprise, I'm on Hawaii again. But they've covered every game, and I'll take them again. Nevada is forcing tons of turnovers lately, 9-1 advantage and winning as a result, since they are not outgaining anyone in yardage. I don't think their luck will hold up. Hawaii is moving the ball for 500 yards on everyone, including good defenses like Hawaii and Boise St. They will win by double digits.

 

Kent is the class of the MAC this year, and would have scored 50 points on a decent Akron defense last week if it wasn't for turnovers. Their defense has been decent for a couple of years, but their offense playing at a high level right now. Temple actually covered last week vs Vanderbilt, so a little line value here with Kent.

 

The very much improved New Mex St already covered two games for me as a 3 unit game, and I'll try them again. New Mex St is the #1 passing offense in college, and will outscore Idaho. Idaho had a phoney win last week over an awful Utah St team, as Idaho had a pair of game changing long defensive TDs. Utah St played Idaho even last week in yardage

[BMoney 0]

i dont bet or know much about college fb...BUT..

 

does anyone think that a 20.5 spread is too high for northwestern-wisconsin?

 

i know the tragedy that hit NW and they have struggled mightily...

 

wisc has won every game and played mich tough, only to lose...

 

 

i cant envision a rout...no matter how much better wisconsin may be...

[phillybear 366]

i dont bet or know much about college fb...BUT..

 

does anyone think that a 20.5 spread is too high for northwestern-wisconsin?

 

i know the tragedy that hit NW and they have struggled mightily...

 

wisc has won every game and played mich tough, only to lose...

i cant envision a rout...no matter how much better wisconsin may be...

 

A lot of that will depend on the health of the NW QB Kafka. He missed last weeks game vs Penn St, and NW could not move the ball at all. I don't know if Wisconsin's offense is good enough to pull off two huge blow outs in a row, but the NW QB health is the key to the game. Plus, I believe Wisc is playing with revenge, for an embarrasing performance by their defense last year in a 51-48 loss. NW had almost 700 yards offense in that game. But the NW offense is much worse this year.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I am all over the TCU/Utah over 42 total. That is my only play tonight. BYU scored almost at will on TCU and Boise State put some points on Utah last week. I like the over alot tonight in a back and forth game that should be much better to watch that NCS/FSU.

[GBFAVRE4 0]

i dont bet or know much about college fb...BUT..

 

does anyone think that a 20.5 spread is too high for northwestern-wisconsin?

 

i know the tragedy that hit NW and they have struggled mightily...

 

wisc has won every game and played mich tough, only to lose...

i cant envision a rout...no matter how much better wisconsin may be...

 

 

WI homer, and I would be surprised if they covered 20.5+.....at the same time, I was leary about the 11 point spread and they kicked IU's ARSE.

Homecoming next weekend vs Minnesota looming.

WI wins, but not by 3 TDs

[phillybear 366]

I am all over the TCU/Utah over 42 total. That is my only play tonight. BYU scored almost at will on TCU and Boise State put some points on Utah last week. I like the over alot tonight in a back and forth game that should be much better to watch that NCS/FSU.

 

I like the over too. I just didn't pull the trigger. Yet. The weather is supposed to be possibly rainy and possible winds of 10-20 mph. But I think it's the right side.

 

Good luck.

[GiantsRule 0]

Sorry I'm posting late. Picked up NC State first half ML (+230).

 

Not sure what I'm doing in the TCU game yet. Perhaps something in live betting.