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***Official College Football Wagering Thread***

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Why is the 10th ranked team only favored by 4.5, then the line drops to 4 when the public is supposedly on Clemson? Well, I don't know, but I'm going to take a stab at Virginia Tech and the money line. I think I like the Tigers to even the series in St. Louis too. Bonderman baby!!

 

I guess it's time for a 2 team parlay:

 

Tigers -106 & Virginia Tech +155=============> Damn line keeps dropping

 

 

 

 

 

Edited to add that the payout is almost 4 times the bet. I was over 4 times, but the line moved against me.

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Sharp money is on the home dog y'all.

 

That's what I think too. I guess we will see what happens.

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I'm locking in a couple of games for Saturday before they go up any more.

 

Miami OH (-5.5) for 3 units

Marshall (-9.5) for 3 units

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I'm locking in a couple of games for Saturday before they go up any more.

 

Miami OH (-5.5) for 3 units

Marshall (-9.5) for 3 units

 

Im right behind you OG

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i hated being on the side of the public, esp on a weekday game, but imo clemson was just far superior and the only angle i could see for vtech was the homefield.

 

cappers i follow were fairly divided on this game, and after seeing philly's bet i probably should have just played clem for 1 unit instead of 2 cause i hate being opposite of him (the bear usually wins!). oh well.

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I wouldn't worry about going against my picks right now. I've been slumping for 3 weeks now. I'm still remaining optimistic about turning it around soon.

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I wouldn't worry about going against my picks right now. I've been slumping for 3 weeks now. I'm still remaining optimistic about turning it around soon.

 

ditto here

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For those of you still feeling strong about Clemson who have access to live betting, you can take them as a pick right now on the live line, just a heads up, maybe something worth checking into....

 

 

Good Luck!! :banana:

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Glad I decided to pass on tonights game. I wanted to take Clemson badly but couldn't do it. There's plenty more games on Sat.

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2nd half:

 

Clemson -1.5 22

 

I seriously dont think there will be 3 TD's in the 2nd half, but have a pretty big chunk already on VT, so i'll just prey they hang on.

 

I need to quit smokin herb. That Glennon fumble looked a hellava lot like his knee was down before he fumbled....they didnt even give us another camera angle proving that it was a fumble....which I guess makes it obvious that it was?? Losin my mind here....

 

Just say no.

 

Good Luck!! :unsure:

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I don't understand the halftime spread.

 

 

It has Virginia Tech +3, but Tech is winning 10-7 at the half. The game won't end in a draw. I'm wondering about a halftime hedge here with Clemson -3. But since it can't end in a draw, Clemson would have to cover at least by 4 to win this spread.

 

 

Anybody think Tech can win this?

 

 

Edited to add that I'm just going with my original bet. Detroit leads by2 but that's not a guarenteed win. So, I'd hate to be burned trying to hedge against Virginia Tech, thinking Detroit will win, when Detroit loses. I'd lose more then.

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as a Clemson fan, born and raised, I've never been so dissappointed in our team. I'd rather have a 6-6 record than show up with this gameplan. We suck, we are outcoached, and I hate to say it, our QB looks like ######. I guess there is always next year..... The phrase we use every year. Bye bye ACC Championship game, bye bye BCS Bowl....... :bench:

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Clemson -4 2 units LOSER

 

shoulda passed on this game, i fell for the trap.

This is easily the most humbling month i've had betting college football. down 12 units this month...sigh. is it possible to fade yourself?

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Detroit leads 3-2 going into the bottom of the 7th. I don't feel real confident here. I'm hedging. Using the in game option, I'm taking Cardinals +212. This will assure me a one unit profit if the Cards win, and I still get close to a 3 unit profit if Detroit wins.

 

 

Good job calling the V-Tech win, Phillybear, Art, and Yer Mom. I kind of alligned myself with your expertise.

 

 

 

Edited to add that now it's Detroit +279 after the 7th inning. That's how quick baseball can change. Cards lead 4-3 going into the top of the 8th. Whew, I hedged that just in the nick of time. I'm still rooting for the Tigers to come from behind, but it won't be easy.

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phillybear

 

question

 

do you follow this guy Dr Bob??? I was reading a post on covers(which you have directed me towards) and supposedly when he releases his picks the line moves by 2 pts or so...supposedly his released games this week are marshall,miami oh, and south carolina??

 

I was just looking at your early plays...and was wondering if you follow him sometimes?

 

thanks

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Being relatively new to this board, I've only made two "official" predictions, and stand at 1-1. I won with Washington two weeks ago, but lost with my Razorbacks last week, after predicting that they would allow Ole Miss to keep it close.

 

This week, here are my picks (remember, I know nothing)

 

UCLA -1.5 v. WASU

I don't think WASU is as good as UCLA flat out, and they're playing in Cali

 

Ga. Tech -5.5 v. Miami FLA

Ga. Tech seems to elevate its level of play against big schools - and don't we all hate Miami?

 

S. Carolina +3.5 v. Tennessee

Gonna be a close one, but HFA in the SEC is always a big deal. Tennessee overrated imho.

 

Notre Dame -13.5 v. Navy

Played at neutral site, but Charlie Weis is pissed right now and will want to make a BCS statement

 

 

I'm playing many other games as well, but these are my "official" picks for the week. I wanted to try out some Over/Under action, but Bodog and Sportsbetting.com don't have them up yet. Grrr....

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I was looking at the Purdue/Penn St game as well. Morelli looked really bad last week even though Penn State came back for the win. One of their scores came on a red zone turnover, outside of that they moved the ball very poorly at home against a pretty bad Illinois defense. Purdue getting +3 at home looks awfully tempting, may have to ride ya on that one!

 

Good Luck!! :dunno:

 

From a Purdue fan....don't take us.

 

1) We don't beat "the big teams". Even if Penn St. sucks right now, we'll find a way to lose.

2) Painter is having issues.

3) Have you seen our secondary? Seriously....

 

If you think Purdue will win....just stay away from this game.

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From a Purdue fan....don't take us.

 

1) We don't beat "the big teams". Even if Penn St. sucks right now, we'll find a way to lose.

2) Painter is having issues.

3) Have you seen our secondary? Seriously....

 

If you think Purdue will win....just stay away from this game.

agreed. And PS is not a bad football team.

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phillybear

 

question

 

do you follow this guy Dr Bob??? I was reading a post on covers(which you have directed me towards) and supposedly when he releases his picks the line moves by 2 pts or so...supposedly his released games this week are marshall,miami oh, and south carolina??

 

I was just looking at your early plays...and was wondering if you follow him sometimes?

 

thanks

 

I was wondering when someone was going to catch on.

 

Absolutely legit. He handicaps his games very similar to the way I cap games. I lot of times, I will wait for him to release his games before I put in my games, to see if we matchup. He is one of the very few legit handicappers. Emphasis on very few. I have read his takes on games for many, many years now. I have posted before that sometimes I wait to see what a couple of handicappers are going with before I post, to see if we are on the same page. And he is one of them.

 

Dr. Bob hit around 75 to 80 percent of his best bets last year in college. That is scary good. And I had a very good year as well last year. I love when we matchup on plays. In the NFL, he was terrible last year, and he is about .500 this year.

 

Remember, I would never advocate for paying for picks, ever. And most of the handicappers are scum bags. I read his writeups for free, which is important to note. Things are cyclical in gambling, and right now this guy is doing well. This guy seems honest and legit, for now. But use your own head when betting.

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Had to go oppo than Philly here.

LETS GO TIGERS!!!!!

 

I WILL NEVER GO AGAINST PHILLY AGAIN, I WIL NEVER GO AGAINST PHILLY AGAIN......

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I was wondering when someone was going to catch on.

 

Absolutely legit. He handicaps his games very similar to the way I cap games. I lot of times, I will wait for him to release his games before I put in my games, to see if we matchup. He is one of the very few legit handicappers. Emphasis on very few. I have read his takes on games for many, many years now. I have posted before that sometimes I wait to see what a couple of handicappers are going with before I post, to see if we are on the same page. And he is one of them.

 

Dr. Bob hit around 75 to 80 percent of his best bets last year in college. That is scary good. And I had a very good year as well last year. I love when we matchup on plays. In the NFL, he was terrible last year, and he is about .500 this year.

 

Remember, I would never advocate for paying for picks, ever. And most of the handicappers are scum bags. I read his writeups for free, which is important to note. Things are cyclical in gambling, and right now this guy is doing well. This guy seems honest and legit, for now. But use your own head when betting.

 

Philly what web-site is Dr bob at!!! And also I like the boston college/Buffalo over, any thought on why it would open at 49 and go all the way down to 44 when buffalo is aloowing some godly numbers the last few weeks!!!

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Philly what web-site is Dr bob at!!! And also I like the boston college/Buffalo over, any thought on why it would open at 49 and go all the way down to 44 when buffalo is aloowing some godly numbers the last few weeks!!!

 

 

www.covers.com

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Overall College YTD: 156-139-4; +15.62 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 69-57-1; +23.77 units

CFL: 19-11; +17.35 units

 

Friday

 

Tulsa (-14) for 2 units LOSER!!

Tulsa 2nd H (-7.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

(9:00 EST start) Edmonton (-4.5) for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

 

Tulsa is seeing 73% of the action.

 

I really wanted to make Tulsa a 3 unit game, and still might upgrade, but for now, it’s a 2 unit game.

 

UTEP gains 2.9 yards per rush vs teams that allow 3.9 ypr

UTEP completes 68.7% of passes vs teams that allow 61.3%

UTEP gains 5.7 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.5 ypp

UTEP allows 4.1 ypr vs teams that gain 3.5

UTEP allows 66.1% completions vs teams that gain 63.2%

UTEP allows 5.6 yards per play vs teams that gain 5.7 ypp

 

Tulsa gains 4.5 yards per rush vs teams that allow 4.3 ypr

Tulsa completes 68% of passes vs teams that allow 61.3%

Tulsa gains 6.2 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.6 ypp

Tulsa allows 4.1 ypr vs teams that gain 4.1

Tulsa allows 52.6% completions vs teams that gain 58.5%

Tulsa allows 4.4 yards per play vs teams that gain 5.1 ypp

 

Key numbers:

Tulsa is 15-3 ATS in last 18 games

Tulsa is 12-0-1 ATS in last 13 games when they score 28 points or more

Tulsa has given up only 3 defensive TDs in their last 3 games

Tulsa is ranked #1 in Conference USA in defense

Tulsa is ranked #2 in Conf USA in offense

Tulsa is ranked #2 in pass defense in the country.

UTEP is ranked #107 in rushing offense in the country

UTEP is ranked #103 in total defense in the country

 

Tulsa is clearly the class of the conference this year. They can run, they can throw, they can play defense. There isn’t much to say about them that the stats and numbers can’t. They have been overlooked for a while now, undervalued, as their ATS run will indicate. UTEP is overrated this year. Sure, they have Carson Palmer’s brother at QB, Jordan Palmer. But they can’t run the ball, they can’t play defense. They can pass, completing close to 70% of their passes, which is keeping me from making this a bigger play. Tulsa is determined to not let Palmer beat them, and will pressure the QB, but a key throw can go a long ways.

 

Tulsa has been dominant, winning 5 games in a row since a loss to a very good BYU team, they have won by margins of 25, 1, 14, 21, 21. They have won each game by at least 14 (the spread tonight) except for the one point win over Navy, in a game where Tulsa was an underdog on the road. UTEP has played some close games this year, has been involved in some shootouts, but in their 3 losses, they lost by totals of 3 to Tex Tech(at home), and on the road by 13 to New Mexico, and 17 to Houston. UTEP tends to fall apart in second halves, so I certainly would not play Tulsa for a 1st half bet. But Tulsa should pound UTEP in the second half, and win going away. Still, their worst loss was by 17, although this is arguably the best team that UTEP has played this year. Lay the lumber.

 

Edmonton has been eliminated from the playoffs for the first time in the CFL in about 30 some years. But they are relishing their role as a spoiler, beating Montreal last week 30-20, on the road, in a game that meant a lot to Als as they are in a fight for winning their division. Tonight, this game means absolutely nothing to Saskatchewan, as they are locked into third place in their division and a road playoff game, so they have nothing to play for, nothing to worry about except for staying healthy. Edmonton still is the top passing team in the CFL with Ricky Ray, but the backup looked OK last week too in limited play. Edmonton benched leading rusher Troy Davis, yet the backup Ron McClendon ran for 198 and a couple of scores. So even if they play some of the younger players, they seem capable of producing good numbers. I’ll take Edmonton tonight. Lay the lumber.

 

Good luck to all.

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Giants Rule

Are you having any problems getting your money from Greek

 

just wondering since the new gambling law

Fire Pay does no longer work who do u trust

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I am at my hotel getting ready to go to a wedding tomorrow and DA BEARS game Sunday.

 

Since this is some of my wifes friends getting married I am going to play some games and sneak off to watch them throughout the day! DEGENERATE!

 

Still sitting on 99 wins:

 

Nebraska -6 (4 units)

USC -11 (2 units)

Purdue +3 (2 units)

Georgia Tech -5 (2 units)

Navy +13.5 (2 units)

 

Indy Colts +2.5 (8 units)

 

Small card and I am wagering strictly on my gut with minimal research.

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From a Purdue fan....don't take us.

 

1) We don't beat "the big teams". Even if Penn St. sucks right now, we'll find a way to lose.

2) Painter is having issues.

3) Have you seen our secondary? Seriously....

 

If you think Purdue will win....just stay away from this game.

 

 

agreed. And PS is not a bad football team.

 

 

Thanks for the heads up fellas, perhaps I take a deeper look at this game. It would be a smaller play anyhow as my big ones have been posted on the beginning of the board.

 

Yo Shep, you must have moved that Michigan line cause it went from 33 to -29.5!!!! NW was looking pretty solid at +33, was hoping to get it at that number!

 

Giants Rule

Are you having any problems getting your money from Greek

 

just wondering since the new gambling law

Fire Pay does no longer work who do u trust

 

 

I had the problem with FirePay as well. It seems ATM Online is still willing to play ball....

 

Good Luck!! :pointstosky:

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Thanks for the heads up fellas, perhaps I take a deeper look at this game. It would be a smaller play anyhow as my big ones have been posted on the beginning of the board.

 

Yo Shep, you must have moved that Michigan line cause it went from 33 to -29.5!!!! NW was looking pretty solid at +33, was hoping to get it at that number!

I had the problem with FirePay as well. It seems ATM Online is still willing to play ball....

 

Good Luck!! :first:

 

Yer mom:

 

Dr Bob moved this line

 

Supposedly he posts his picks at about 10:00 PST on Thursdays. For the games he predicts, the lines move 2-3 pts immediatley

 

 

I just heard of this guy..it would be good to see how he does

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2006 College betting record

103-91-5 +5.23 units

2+ plays 21-23-1 -4.295 units

 

since i'm ice cold i'm gonna lay lower and piggyback some of the way better cappers this weekend.

 

Tulsa -13.5@ risking 1.5 units to win 1.2 LOSER

(really wanted under 14)

UTEP/Tulsa UNDER 54.5 .5 unit WINNER

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Giants Rule

Are you having any problems getting your money from Greek

 

just wondering since the new gambling law

Fire Pay does no longer work who do u trust

 

Nope, but that's mostly because I also have a Neteller account.

 

I raised this issue with Olympic when the bill looked like it was getting signed because I made my initial deposits through Firepay. Their original policy was to refund your original deposit back to Firepay, and then subsequent withdrawals could be the option of your choice.

 

Apparently, if you live in the U.S. and deposited by Firepay, they now allow you to pick one of the other withdrawal methods to get your funds. They seem pretty flexible but prefer either Neteller (which is an awesome free service that's highly reliable) or eCheck (which may have some minor costs, but I haven't looked into them.) Email them at support@thegreek.com to find out what your options are.

 

Also, keep in mind your rollover requirements. If you received sign-on (or reload) bonuses, you can't request a withdrawal until you've bet your deposit + bonus a certain amount of times (can't check from work whether it's a 3X or 4X rollover, but it's one of the industry's lowest).

 

Any other questions, I'll happily try to answer. And, for those of you who are missing out on the wonders of reliable online sports gambling, sign up at http://www.thegreek.com and tell em Member 47829 sent ya! They'll treat you good and hook you up with a nice sign-on bonus! Email me at BTC316@hotmail.com if you have any questions. (sorry for the cheap plug boys, but the referrals I get help offset losses from stupid bets!)

 

I am at my hotel getting ready to go to a wedding tomorrow and DA BEARS game Sunday.

 

Since this is some of my wifes friends getting married I am going to play some games and sneak off to watch them throughout the day! DEGENERATE!

 

Still sitting on 99 wins:

 

Nebraska -6 (4 units)

USC -11 (2 units)

Purdue +3 (2 units)

Georgia Tech -5 (2 units)

Navy +13.5 (2 units)

 

Indy Colts +2.5 (8 units)

 

Small card and I am wagering strictly on my gut with minimal research.

 

Whew! Thanks for this gift, buddy! I'm confident you can pick games right out of a hat at this point! Enjoy the weekend and your BEARS! :lol:

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Nope, but that's mostly because I also have a Neteller account.

 

I raised this issue with Olympic when the bill looked like it was getting signed because I made my initial deposits through Firepay. Their original policy was to refund your original deposit back to Firepay, and then subsequent withdrawals could be the option of your choice.

 

Apparently, if you live in the U.S. and deposited by Firepay, they now allow you to pick one of the other withdrawal methods to get your funds. They seem pretty flexible but prefer either Neteller (which is an awesome free service that's highly reliable) or eCheck (which may have some minor costs, but I haven't looked into them.) Email them at support@thegreek.com to find out what your options are.

 

Also, keep in mind your rollover requirements. If you received sign-on (or reload) bonuses, you can't request a withdrawal until you've bet your deposit + bonus a certain amount of times (can't check from work whether it's a 3X or 4X rollover, but it's one of the industry's lowest).

 

Any other questions, I'll happily try to answer. And, for those of you who are missing out on the wonders of reliable online sports gambling, sign up at http://www.thegreek.com and tell em Member 47829 sent ya! They'll treat you good and hook you up with a nice sign-on bonus! Email me at BTC316@hotmail.com if you have any questions. (sorry for the cheap plug boys, but the referrals I get help offset losses from stupid bets!)

Whew! Thanks for this gift, buddy! I'm confident you can pick games right out of a hat at this point! Enjoy the weekend and your BEARS! :dunno:

I hope I can enjoy the Bears. This darn weather here in Chicago is 38 degrees with rain and wind right now. Has me stuck in the hotel thumbing myself while the wife is shopping on Michigan Ave. Kids are with the grandparents. I think I might catch a cab to Ditkas restaraunt for some pork chops and wine.

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Thanks for the heads up fellas, perhaps I take a deeper look at this game. It would be a smaller play anyhow as my big ones have been posted on the beginning of the board.

 

Yo Shep, you must have moved that Michigan line cause it went from 33 to -29.5!!!! NW was looking pretty solid at +33, was hoping to get it at that number!

I had the problem with FirePay as well. It seems ATM Online is still willing to play ball....

 

Good Luck!! :doublethumbsup:

YM, Purdue may be a play - their history shows that they play Penn State tough. The problem is guageing Paterno's boys - how are they going to play? As you know, Penn State draws great athletes, and if that group ever gets in sync they can dominate - I saw flashes wen they played our Buckeyes and also against Notre Dame before that game got out of hand. Here are the results of the previous 3 meetings:

2005: PS 33-15, 2004: Purd 20-13, 2003: Purd 28-14. Purdue's coming off a 24-3 drubbing at home from Wisconsin, PS beat a lousy Illinois team in Champaign. I lean toward PS, but not enough to risk lunch money.

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Eye's Saturday Picks: Total: +50.7units

 

2units- Neb -5, Wake -8.5

 

2units- ND -13, Wisc -22

 

2units- Penn St -3, Auburn-19

 

2units- BYU -9, FSU -4

 

2units- Texas -10.5, TAMU -5

 

10units- Texas -10.5 (possible, depends if I hit early in the day) :dunno:

 

 

 

 

 

Game Times

 

Wake Forest -8.5 @ N. Carolina-----------2:30

Notre Dame -13 @ Navy-------------------11am

Wisconsin -22 vs Illinois----------------------11am

BYU -9 @ Air Force------------------------1pm

Texas -10.5 @ T Tech---------------------------6pm

Texas Am -5 @ Baylor------------------------6pm

Florida St -4 @ Maryland-----------------6pm

Penn St -3 @ Purdue--------------------------11am

Nebraska -5 @ OK St-------------------------2:30

Auburn -19 @ Ole Miss----------------------11:30

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Here is my contribution:

I started off getting Va Tech +5.5 last night, and I bought half a point to get to +6. With a W in the bank, I add these for tomorrow:

Nebraska -5.5

Nebraska the Under 51.5

Miami OH -5.5

USC -10 (bought hallf a point)

San Jose St -9

Colorado/Kansas Over 41.5

Colorado St -6.5

I wish you all luck.

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Here are my picks for the year. I won't post my record, since I haven't posted it here before. That being said, this is by far the best year that I have had in a while.

 

I took Va. Tech on the moneyline last night. Didn't post it though, so it doesn't count.

 

[Tulsa -14 over UTEP (3 units) Tulsa is money against the # the past few years (16-5 ATS in last 21). Palmer will make some mistakes, as usual.

 

BYU-7.5 over AF (2 units) Thinking about the Over (57) Just think BYU's offense will be too much for the Falcons.

BYU are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.

Over is 11-2 in BYU last 13 games on Grass

Over is 14-4 in AIRFC last 18 conference games.

 

Oklahoma +1.5 over Mizzou (1 unit) - Was wavering on this but I am still not sold on the Tigers. I think OU slows down Daniel enough and they pull out a close game. The trends aren't in my favor here, just have a feeling on this one.

 

UF -13.5 over UGA (2 units) - Yes, I know this is a rivalry game, but I don't see UGA even being in this with that offense. The only thing that will keep this close is if UGA scores a couple of TDs off of special teams or defense.

UGA is 2-6 ATS

 

Miami , OH -5 over BSU (4 units) - Love this play. Miami seems to be coming around finally. They are a very young team, but with the # of games they have under the belt they are vastly improved. Also, they are a good team at home. In fact, they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 at home.

 

ND -13 over Navy (1 unit) - I am thinking about playing a couple more units, but the Irish have been dreadful against the # this year. They seem to play down to their competition. That being said, I think this will be a statement game for the Irish considering last week's drop in the polls. They need a blowout. That, coupled with the fact that Navy's best player (QB Hampton) is out for the year and his replacement will be starting his first game ever makes me like the Irish in this spot.

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YM:

 

What's the play tonight? I'm not doing anything in college without your (or Ditka's) input. It's just too much of a disaster.

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7 Point Teaser (3 Teams) 10/27/06 17:05 ET

5.00/6.00 Result: Pending

MinnesotaU

OhioSt 10/28/06 (15:35 ET)

OhioSt -20 (-105)

 

NotreDame(N)

Navy(N) 10/28/06 (12:05 ET)

NotreDame(N) -6 (-115)

 

USC

OregonSt 10/28/06 (15:35 ET)

USC -3.5 (-115

 

Straight Wager 10/27/06 17:08 ET

5.00/12.00 Result: Pending

MichiganSt

Indiana 10/28/06 (12:00 ET)

Indiana +240

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hey philly i'm gonna go ahead and throw a unit at edmonton -4.5. thats the only line i've seen so i assume thats the one you'll get. GL!

 

Can anyone posts Dr. Bobs picks?

 

his big plays were Mia OH -3.5 (good to -6), Marshall -7 (good to -9), and S. Car +4.5 (good to +3).

 

he had a bunch of other leans but these were the 3 to know. personally, i like tenn -3 instead of s. car but haven't decided for sure yet. i'm def. playing the mia oh and marshall games though.

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