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***Official College Football Wagering Thread***

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Dont mind if I get the ball rollin early here:

 

10/26/06 301 Clemson -200 -4.5 (-115) Over 42.5

Buy Points:

19:35 ET 302 VirginiaTech +170 +4.5 (-105) Under 42.5

 

10/27/06 303 UTEP OFF +14.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 304 Tulsa OFF -14.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 305 NIllinois OFF +16.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 306 Iowa OFF -16.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 307 BuffaloU OFF +36 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 308 BostonCollege OFF -36 OFF

 

10/28/06 309 WakeForest OFF -8.5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 310 NorthCarolina OFF +8.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 311 NotreDame(N) OFF -14 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 312 Navy(N) OFF +14 OFF

 

10/28/06 313 NCState OFF 0 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 314 Virginia OFF 0 OFF

 

10/28/06 315 FloridaSt OFF -4.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 316 Maryland OFF +4.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 317 Syracuse OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 318 CincinnatiU OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 319 Northwestern OFF +33.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 320 Michigan OFF -33.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 321 Illinois OFF +21 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 322 Wisconsin OFF -21 OFF

 

10/28/06 323 MichiganSt OFF -7 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 324 Indiana OFF +7 OFF

 

10/28/06 325 BowlingGreen OFF -20 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 326 Temple OFF +20 OFF

 

10/28/06 327 Vanderbilt OFF -10 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 328 Duke OFF +10 OFF

 

10/28/06 329 BYU OFF -7.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 330 AirForce OFF +7.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 331 BallSt OFF +3.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 332 MiamiOhio OFF -3.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 333 IowaSt OFF +5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 334 KansasSt OFF -5 OFF

 

10/28/06 335 Texas OFF -12.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 336 TexasTech OFF +12.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 337 Army OFF +5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 338 Tulane OFF -5.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 339 TexasA&M OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 340 Baylor OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 341 PennSt OFF -3.5 (-105) OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 342 Purdue OFF +3.5 (-115) OFF

 

10/28/06 343 MinnesotaU OFF +27 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 344 OhioSt OFF -27 OFF

 

10/28/06 345 EMichigan OFF +15 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 346 WMichigan OFF -15 OFF

 

10/28/06 347 Auburn OFF -18.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:30 ET 348 Mississippi OFF +18.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 349 TennesseeU OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:50 ET 350 SCarolina OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 351 Georgia(N) OFF +14 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 352 Florida(N) OFF -14 OFF

 

10/28/06 353 USC OFF -12 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 354 OregonSt OFF +12 OFF

 

10/28/06 355 ArizonaSt OFF +1 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 356 WashingtonU OFF -1 OFF

 

10/28/06 357 Ohio OFF +7 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 358 Kent OFF -7 OFF

 

10/28/06 359 UNLV OFF +20 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 360 Utah OFF -20 OFF

 

10/28/06 361 NewMexicoSt OFF +17.5 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 362 Nevada OFF -17.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 363 Memphis OFF +7 OFF

Buy Points:

16:30 ET 364 Marshall OFF -7 OFF

 

10/28/06 365 NewMexico OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

17:30 ET 366 ColoradoSt OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 367 LouisianaTech OFF +9 OFF

Buy Points:

18:00 ET 368 SanJoseSt OFF -9 OFF

 

10/28/06 369 Kentucky OFF -1.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:30 ET 370 MississippiSt OFF +1.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 371 CFlorida OFF +18 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 372 HoustonU OFF -18 OFF

 

10/28/06 373 Akron OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 374 Toledo OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 375 MiamiFla OFF +6 (-105) OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 376 GaTech OFF -6 (-115) OFF

 

10/28/06 377 Oklahoma OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 378 Missouri OFF -2 OFF

 

10/28/06 379 Colorado OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 380 Kansas OFF -2 OFF

 

10/28/06 381 Nebraska OFF -6 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 382 OklahomaSt OFF +6 OFF

 

10/28/06 383 WashingtonSt OFF +1 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 384 UCLA OFF -1 OFF

 

10/28/06 385 Wyoming OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:30 ET 386 TCU OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 387 EastCarolina OFF +5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:30 ET 388 SMississippi OFF -5.5 OFF

 

10/29/06 389 Idaho OFF +26 OFF

Buy Points:

00:00 ET 390 Hawaii OFF -26 OFF

 

10/28/06 393 NorthTexas OFF +9 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 394 Troy OFF -9 OFF

 

10/28/06 395 ArkansasSt OFF -8 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 396 FloridaAtl OFF +8 OFF

 

10/28/06 397 MTennSt OFF +3 OFF

Buy Points:

17:00 ET 398 ULLafayette OFF -3 OFF

 

10/28/06 399 ULMonroe OFF +37 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 400 Arkansas OFF -37 OFF

 

10/29/06 427 Connecticut OFF +19.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 428 Rutgers OFF -19.5 OFF

 

 

Not posted above (since these lines came from sorry @ss sportsbook.com) are my two plays thus far:

 

Nevada/New Mexico State OVER 63.5

Hawaii/Idaho OVER 71

 

I cant lay off these high power offense/sh!tty defense games, I just love them. Whats more fun than than being able to cheer everytime someone scores, and especially when its frequently!! Until Hawaii or NM State face a bad offense or a really good defense im going to keep playing it until im convinced that it should go under.

 

More plays to come during the week!!

 

Good Luck!! :dunno:

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Florida State -4½ @ MARYLAND

 

Yes, I know FSU has been less than great this year. But when I'm betting on college football, I look for two things: the biggest talent discrepancy and the smallest point spread. This game has both of those characteristics. FSU is WAY more talented the Maryland can ever dream to be and a -4.5 spread ain't very much. To help matters, Bowden is dying to squash his next opponet after all the crap he's been taking this week. If he has a chance to run it up, he will.

 

Take the talent. Take FSU.

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Nevada/New Mexico State OVER 63.5

Hawaii/Idaho OVER 71

 

I know all ATS gambling is effectively a coin flip, but over/unders seem the most like PURE luck. I hate betting on them.

 

Over 71 points!?!?! :wub: You got guts! :lol:

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I know all ATS gambling is effectively a coin flip, but over/unders seem the most like PURE luck. I hate betting on them.

 

Over 71 points!?!?! :P You got guts! ;)

 

 

LOL. I think its pretty much all the same in terms of side choosing (fav, dog, over, under) The oddsmakers for the most part are pretty accurate with the lines. Unders are my worst enemy cause once it gets there, your done period. The reason sometimes I prefer games like these as opposed to playing a fav or dog is because the style of offense played here with poor defenses means your never really out of the game. As with a fav or dog if the game ends up ugly early you probably wont end up hitting the coverage. Not to imply its any better than a fav or dog bet though, just my two cents.

 

I agree it would be a good week to play FL St. with all thats going on there right now, but i'd be just as worried for the same reason. Like you said though, much better athletes and low point spread is hard to pass up!!

 

Good Luck!! :thumbsup:

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Dont mind if I get the ball rollin early here:

 

10/26/06 301 Clemson -200 -4.5 (-115) Over 42.5

Buy Points:

19:35 ET 302 VirginiaTech +170 +4.5 (-105) Under 42.5

 

10/27/06 303 UTEP OFF +14.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 304 Tulsa OFF -14.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 305 NIllinois OFF +16.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 306 Iowa OFF -16.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 307 BuffaloU OFF +36 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 308 BostonCollege OFF -36 OFF

 

10/28/06 309 WakeForest OFF -8.5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 310 NorthCarolina OFF +8.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 311 NotreDame(N) OFF -14 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 312 Navy(N) OFF +14 OFF

 

10/28/06 313 NCState OFF 0 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 314 Virginia OFF 0 OFF

 

10/28/06 315 FloridaSt OFF -4.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 316 Maryland OFF +4.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 317 Syracuse OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 318 CincinnatiU OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 319 Northwestern OFF +33.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 320 Michigan OFF -33.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 321 Illinois OFF +21 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 322 Wisconsin OFF -21 OFF

 

10/28/06 323 MichiganSt OFF -7 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 324 Indiana OFF +7 OFF

 

10/28/06 325 BowlingGreen OFF -20 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 326 Temple OFF +20 OFF

 

10/28/06 327 Vanderbilt OFF -10 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 328 Duke OFF +10 OFF

 

10/28/06 329 BYU OFF -7.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 330 AirForce OFF +7.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 331 BallSt OFF +3.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 332 MiamiOhio OFF -3.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 333 IowaSt OFF +5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 334 KansasSt OFF -5 OFF

 

10/28/06 335 Texas OFF -12.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 336 TexasTech OFF +12.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 337 Army OFF +5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 338 Tulane OFF -5.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 339 TexasA&M OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 340 Baylor OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 341 PennSt OFF -3.5 (-105) OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 342 Purdue OFF +3.5 (-115) OFF

 

10/28/06 343 MinnesotaU OFF +27 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 344 OhioSt OFF -27 OFF

 

10/28/06 345 EMichigan OFF +15 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 346 WMichigan OFF -15 OFF

 

10/28/06 347 Auburn OFF -18.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:30 ET 348 Mississippi OFF +18.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 349 TennesseeU OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:50 ET 350 SCarolina OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 351 Georgia(N) OFF +14 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 352 Florida(N) OFF -14 OFF

 

10/28/06 353 USC OFF -12 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 354 OregonSt OFF +12 OFF

 

10/28/06 355 ArizonaSt OFF +1 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 356 WashingtonU OFF -1 OFF

 

10/28/06 357 Ohio OFF +7 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 358 Kent OFF -7 OFF

 

10/28/06 359 UNLV OFF +20 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 360 Utah OFF -20 OFF

 

10/28/06 361 NewMexicoSt OFF +17.5 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 362 Nevada OFF -17.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 363 Memphis OFF +7 OFF

Buy Points:

16:30 ET 364 Marshall OFF -7 OFF

 

10/28/06 365 NewMexico OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

17:30 ET 366 ColoradoSt OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 367 LouisianaTech OFF +9 OFF

Buy Points:

18:00 ET 368 SanJoseSt OFF -9 OFF

 

10/28/06 369 Kentucky OFF -1.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:30 ET 370 MississippiSt OFF +1.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 371 CFlorida OFF +18 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 372 HoustonU OFF -18 OFF

 

10/28/06 373 Akron OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 374 Toledo OFF +5 OFF

 

10/28/06 375 MiamiFla OFF +6 (-105) OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 376 GaTech OFF -6 (-115) OFF

 

10/28/06 377 Oklahoma OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 378 Missouri OFF -2 OFF

 

10/28/06 379 Colorado OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 380 Kansas OFF -2 OFF

 

10/28/06 381 Nebraska OFF -6 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 382 OklahomaSt OFF +6 OFF

 

10/28/06 383 WashingtonSt OFF +1 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 384 UCLA OFF -1 OFF

 

10/28/06 385 Wyoming OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:30 ET 386 TCU OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/28/06 387 EastCarolina OFF +5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:30 ET 388 SMississippi OFF -5.5 OFF

 

10/29/06 389 Idaho OFF +26 OFF

Buy Points:

00:00 ET 390 Hawaii OFF -26 OFF

 

10/28/06 393 NorthTexas OFF +9 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 394 Troy OFF -9 OFF

 

10/28/06 395 ArkansasSt OFF -8 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 396 FloridaAtl OFF +8 OFF

 

10/28/06 397 MTennSt OFF +3 OFF

Buy Points:

17:00 ET 398 ULLafayette OFF -3 OFF

 

10/28/06 399 ULMonroe OFF +37 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 400 Arkansas OFF -37 OFF

 

10/29/06 427 Connecticut OFF +19.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 428 Rutgers OFF -19.5 OFF

 

 

Not posted above (since these lines came from sorry @ss sportsbook.com) are my two plays thus far:

 

Nevada/New Mexico State OVER 63.5

Hawaii/Idaho OVER 71

 

I cant lay off these high power offense/sh!tty defense games, I just love them. Whats more fun than than being able to cheer everytime someone scores, and especially when its frequently!! Until Hawaii or NM State face a bad offense or a really good defense im going to keep playing it until im convinced that it should go under.

 

More plays to come during the week!!

 

Good Luck!! :thumbsdown:

 

Just did my first If Bet in three years because of your picks:

 

Nevada/New Mexico State Over 63 (-120)

 

If that wins (or pushes):

 

Double on Idaho/Hawaii Over 72

 

Best of luck to you and everyone else! :( :P

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I will gone again this week off to see the Bears 49ers.

 

So that means you're not going to throw us a few bones before you leave? :ninja: :rolleyes:

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some early lines that deserve attention:

 

Clemson -4

Wake Forest -9

Buffalo +36 <----Really like this one

Nebraska -5.5

Kentucky PK

 

 

p.s. starting this week i am reducing the amount of games i play, hoping to increase my profit margin.

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Early picks... locked in the ones i liked more first... i'll make the small picks later...

 

UTEP +14 3 units

Clemson -4.5 2 units LOSER I was part of the dumb money....

Clemson 1H -2 2 units LOSER

Clemson 2H u21.5 2 units WINNER

Indiana +7 1 unit

Kent -7 2 units

Vanderbilt -10 2 units

BYU -7 2 units

Texas A&M -4 2 units

Wake Forest -8.5 3 units

Wake Forest 1H -5 3 units

Marshall -9.5 2 units

San Jose St. -9.5 2 units

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I am playing 2 games. Nebraska and Purdue.

 

 

I was looking at the Purdue/Penn St game as well. Morelli looked really bad last week even though Penn State came back for the win. One of their scores came on a red zone turnover, outside of that they moved the ball very poorly at home against a pretty bad Illinois defense. Purdue getting +3 at home looks awfully tempting, may have to ride ya on that one!

 

Good Luck!! :)

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Florida State -4½ @ MARYLAND

 

Yes, I know FSU has been less than great this year. But when I'm betting on college football, I look for two things: the biggest talent discrepancy and the smallest point spread. This game has both of those characteristics. FSU is WAY more talented the Maryland can ever dream to be and a -4.5 spread ain't very much. To help matters, Bowden is dying to squash his next opponet after all the crap he's been taking this week. If he has a chance to run it up, he will.

 

Take the talent. Take FSU.

 

 

Acutally like Maryland @ home with the points. FSU offense has been horrible to warrant as a favorite. Until Bowden fire his son as the offensive coordinator, this offense is going no where.

 

 

 

Anyone else feel that the Thursday night game Clemson vs. VT is a trap game? Clemson -4 to 4.5 on the road vs. VT and get 75% of the action.

 

I'm taking VT just because there is too much action on Clemson.

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Acutally like Maryland @ home with the points. FSU offense has been horrible to warrant as a favorite. Until Bowden fire his son as the offensive coordinator, this offense is going no where.

 

In your opinion, which team has more talent - FSU or Maryland? I'll take the talent.

 

I agree with you on the Clemson game. Clemson should win, but VT makes me nervous.

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Acutally like Maryland @ home with the points. FSU offense has been horrible to warrant as a favorite. Until Bowden fire his son as the offensive coordinator, this offense is going no where.

Anyone else feel that the Thursday night game Clemson vs. VT is a trap game? Clemson -4 to 4.5 on the road vs. VT and get 75% of the action.

 

I'm taking VT just because there is too much action on Clemson.

 

 

Im worried about this being a trap game. Clemson should roll on Tech which may be the reason they wont. It will be really hard for me to pull the trigger on VT though, Clemsons strong. I just worry that if Tech gets down, how will they get back in? Maybe Clowney finally shows up big for a home game? Dont know. More discussion to come...

 

Good Luck!! :(

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In your opinion, which team has more talent - FSU or Maryland? I'll take the talent.

 

I agree with you on the Clemson game. Clemson should win, but VT makes me nervous.

 

 

If u really look at the team that FSU beat, they are no body. Duke, Rice, Troy, and Miami at the season opener. Talents is only one factor, but if the damn coach doesn't know how to utilize these talents, it's a crap shoot imo. This offense has not produce more than 20 points against decent team.

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College/Pro: +53.9 on the season :dunno:

 

Thursday:

Clemson -4.5 and Over 42.5----------2units

 

 

 

 

Early Looks for Saturday and Sunday. Haven't decided what I'm putting on each game yet but I'm not betting any games str8 up just 2, 3 or 4 team parlays. NO Teasers!

 

Saturday:

 

Wake Forest -8.5 @ N. Carolina-----------2:30

Notre Dame -13.5 @ Navy-------------------11am

Wisconsin -22 vs Illinois----------------------11am

BYU -7.5 @ Air Force------------------------1pm

Texas -12 @ T Tech---------------------------6pm

Texas Am -5 @ Baylor------------------------6pm

Florida St -4.5 @ Maryland-----------------6pm

Penn St -3 @ Purdue--------------------------11am

Nebraska -5 @ OK St-------------------------2:30

 

Yes, I am taking all chalk this week!

 

Sunday:

 

Saints -2 vs Ravens---------------noon

Rams +9 vs Chargers-----------3pm

Ny Jets +2 vs Browns-----------3pm

Colts +2 @ Denver-------------3pm

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I'm leaning toward the home dog tonight.

 

 

Consensus today still show 70% on Clemson.

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Virginia Tech has beaten exactly nobody at home. The one good team they faced at home, GT rolled them by 11 points. The same GT team that Clemson throttled last week and held Calvin Johnson to zero catches. Perhaps Clemson prepared mightly to beat GTech while V-Tech getting So. Miss last week gave them extra time to prepare to face a great Clemson team tonight? Nothing about this match-up compels me to take V-Tech yet....

 

Inter Division Home Dogs!! A play that hits at about an astounding 70% of the time in covering or winning outright. This certainly applies more to the NFL, but none the less is still a factor in College as well. James Davis may be out tonight (Clem power RB, 50/50 chance to play) and Beamer plans to replace Sean Glennon with Ike Whitaker (Scrambling QB) at times tonight to throw off Clemsons defensive game plan. The Hokies offense got back on track last week with Brandon Ore running wild on So. Mississippi. Clemson Senior Offensive Lineman Roman Fry is out for the season and was like the Steve Hutchinson equivelant for the Tiger team, whom they could have used tonight going against a Hokie team that allows 98 yards rushing per game.

 

Reluctantly taking the points....

 

V-Tech +4.5

 

Good Luck!! :doh:

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I NEVER bet weeknight games but I'm all over this one tonight.

 

Clemson -4.5 and Over 43 - 2units

Clemson -4.5 - 5 units

 

 

Clemson 28 V Tech 17

 

 

 

Good Luck :wub:

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2006 College betting record

103-90-5 +7.40 units

2+ plays 21-22-1 -2.125 units

 

feel free to fade me, i've lost half my profits the past 3 weeks.

 

Clemson -4 2 units LOSER

 

ok vtech is 5-2 with blowout wins over stellar teams like northeastern, unc, duke, cincy, and so. miss. however when they have run into good ACC teams like B.C. and G-Tech they've played poorly losing by double digits.

 

tech is terrible on offense at #71 overall, and #82 in rushing. No idea how they will move the ball against clemson, ranked #4 in total defense, including #7 against the rush and #5 against the pass.

 

clemson is 7-1, with their only loss at B.C. by 1 point. they have won 6 in a row since the B.C. loss in week 2, and all their wins were by at least a TD, including @fla. st. and @wake forest. vtech lost at B.C. 22-3.

 

clemson is #4 in total offense, including #6 in rushing offense. James Davis, the top ACC rusher is expected back this week http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=2637469, although his backup has performed just as well. Also, Clemson wr Chansi Stuckey (leading ACC reciever last year) is back after being out for 3 weeks.

 

each team played gtech at home and clemson won 31-7, holding gtech to 205 yards of total offense. conversely, vtech lost at home to gtech 27-38 and gave up 325 yards of total offense. tech does have a strong def, but at best they might contain clemson at around 28 points(clem avgs 42), but no way vtech keeps up with their rotten offense and rotating QB's.

 

this line seems oddly low, but i'm guessing a lot of people see a certain mystique in thursday night games in blacksburg. but this isn't the same V-tech team we are used to, this line should honestly be at least 7 even on the road. no chance for a letdown for clemson, they are playing for a conf. title and who doesn't get pumped up for a thur night road game on national tv. I can easily see clemson winning something like 28-10.

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I'd love to hop aboard the Clemson bandwagon, but I just don't know how bad those injuries are.

 

I know James Davis is probable, but how bad will the left shoulder injury affect him from last week? Spiller, would maybe get more carries as he has 523 total yards(7th in ACC right now), and 9 touchdowns. James has 961 yards and 16 touchdowns this year and I'd hate to have that kind of producer ailing. He is probable to lace up as previous posters mentioned, so maybe he'll do just fine.

 

But what about the loss of Fry? "Now comes the news that they have lost senior offensive lineman Roman Fry to a torn ACL. Fry, who suffered the injury against the Yellow-Jackets, is the fourth Clemson starter lost for the season to injury." What kind of impact will this loss have on the running game?

 

Good informative posts in the thread so far, but I'm still not sure on this. Both defenses are very good. Clemson ranks 4th and Virginia Tech is 6th nationally.

 

Maybe the Under will be good at 42.5 with the good defenses battling.

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Went with Over 42 (-120).

 

The midweek games have definitely not been kind to big totals. Last Thursday, only the dreadful NM-Utah game went over. On Sunday night, the Cincy game was being outscored by the World Series halfway through (2-0).

 

No real reason I'm taking this (other than another poster taking it in a parlay). Just going on a hunch. I'll probably hedge in real-time if it's not going my way.

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I'm putting a very small wager on Clemson as they are the superior team by far and VT has one of their weeker squads in years. I do feel like I'm being set up like a bowling pin as everyone is on Clemson with their big win in prime time Sat. night. Normally I'd fade the public but I think VT is that bad this year. I'm definately not wagering as much as I would if Clemson wasn't coming off a prime time win last week. Unfortunately it's the kiss of death taking them in another prime time road game the following week against a team everyone is down on :dunno:. The smart play is VT but I can't bring myself to take them

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I am all over Clemson....they are the better team by far and only giving 4.5. Va Tech Thursday night luster has worn off, the Tigers will be ready to pounce!

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Clemson now seeing 83% of the action!! :doh: Why the heck does that not generate at least a half a point a line move??

 

GiantsRule...I will be there brother, speaking of in-game wagering of course....

 

 

Good Luck!! :sleep:

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Overall College YTD: 155-139-4; +13.62 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 68-57-1; +21.77 units

CFL: 19-11; +17.35 units

 

Thursday

 

Virginia Tech (+4.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

Friday (writeups will be tomorrow)

 

Tulsa (-14) for 2 units

Edmonton for 3 units

 

 

Clemson is seeing 70% of the action.

 

No doubt, Clemson has been the more impressive team this year, on offense, but both teams sport pretty good defenses.

 

Clemson averages 6.4 ypr vs teams allowing 4.3

Clemson completes 62.1% of passes vs team allowing 57.8%

Clemson averages 7.0 ypp vs teams that allow 5.5 yards per play

Clemson allows 2.2 ypr vs teams averaging 3.5

Clemson allows 52.0% complete vs teams averaging 55.5%

Clemson allows 3.7 ypp vs teams averaging 5.0

 

V Tech averages 3.8 ypr vs teams allowing 3.9

V Tech completes 57.8% of passes vs team allowing 60.7%

V Tech averages 5.6 ypp vs teams that allow 5.5 yards per play

V Tech allows 2.7 ypr vs teams averaging 3.4

V Tech allows 56.0% complete vs teams averaging 54.5%

V Tech allows 4.0 ypp vs teams averaging 4.6

 

Key angle:

Virg Tech is 10-1 ATS as a home dog

Virg Tech is 16-7 ATS last 23 at home

 

While it is true that Virg Tech schedule is littered with weak teams, Northeastern, North Carolina, Duke, they beat a decent Cincinnati team by 16, lost to Georgia Tech, lost to Boston College, and beat a decent So Miss team by 30 last week. The stats aren't impressive, but Virg Tech still has great special teams, still start with good field position on many drives, force turnovers, and have a significant home field angle, where they play above the level of their talent.

 

On the other hand, Clemson has beaten Fla Atl, North Carolina, La Tech, Temple, cup cakes like V Tech. Clemson beat Georg Tech at home, then faced the rest of their top competition on the road, losing to Boston College, beat overrated Flor ST by 7, and beating overachieving Wake Forest by 10 in a game Wake had a complete meltdown, and blew a huge lead. Bottom line, Clemson on the road against good teams has not as impressive as when they are blowing out donkeys at home. Clemson will try to run, but V Tech is a good run stuffing team. Clemson's top RB Davis is banged up and questionable for this game.

 

This game sets up as a struggle, but it is more meaningful for V Tech, with 2 losses, to preserve their run of playing in top bowl games every year. With a loss, they will be headed for a minor bowl. This is Clemson's last road game this year, and they might just let down just a bit of a what a relief moment. Clemson is trailing BC and lost the tiebreaker, which is going to greatly hinder a chance to win their division realistically, and Clemson knows it.

 

I'll side with a good defensive home dog. Call it a gut feeling. Good luck to all.

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I NEVER bet weeknight games but I'm all over this one tonight.

 

Clemson -4.5 and Over 43 - 2units

Clemson -4.5 - 5 units

Clemson 28 V Tech 17

Good Luck :D

 

 

 

Reconsidering my pick. Just called off my 5 unit str8 bet on Clemson, but still rolling Clem -4.5 and over 43 for 2units.

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before reading this thread, i was undecided on the Clemson/Va Tech game. after reading the first few posts - i was "talked into" taking clemson but then pb's post reaffirmed my fears/thoughts about VT. this is what happens when you think too much :D

 

who knows, still have an hour to mull it over - may just sit this one out and watch a great(hopefully) game :D

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Clemson lost to BC because of a failed PAT in overtime.

The following week Clemson bounces back by beating Florida State...at Florida State.

 

Clemson's Defense is ranked 4th in the nation. If VT can't move the ball vs BC, how the heck are they gonna move it against Clemson?

 

I say, Clemson wins by 2 TD tonight on the road.

 

I'm so damn confused, I think I'll just take the under...no wait, maybe I'll take the over! :D

 

When in Doubt...stay out.

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"If VT can't move the ball vs BC, how the heck are they gonna move it against Clemson? "

 

Because the fix is in and Billy Bob Vegas would lose a ton of cash if VT doesn't move the ball against Clemson and cover the spread, at least, that's what some people think...and they may be right. How the Heck did the Arizona's offense score 23 pts against the Bears and cover that game?

 

"When in Doubt...stay out."

 

Yep, that's the plan, hopefully it's a good game to watch! Although, I may just throw a little something on the under and hope these two D's show up...

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I see some line movement on the spread. VT is now +4 instead of +4.5. Interesting, that previous posts indicate that 80%+ of the action is on Clemson, yet the spread goes a half point in the wrong direction. Here is how I read that. The big money is on Virginia Tech, while the most bets are on Clemson. You could have 1000 5 dollar bets going on Clemson but only 10 bets for 1000 on Virginia Tech which would show us why reported action is on Clemson.

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