GettnHuge 1 Posted August 8, 2011 53-47 24 Dem senators up for re-election, 9 Repubs up. Many Dems senators are in red states, Repubs look to gain between 7 and 10 seats. Repubs have 242 seats in the House, Dems would need a strong showing to take it back. Barry won't likely win Ohio, Va, Indiana, NC, or Florida this time around, that's 85 EV Electoral votes have moved to Red states. Will the people vote to bail out the Dems? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yer mom 2 Posted August 9, 2011 Army of the Twelve Monkeys Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bonkbonk 5 Posted August 9, 2011 world ends.... i well have a kid and be married in 2012 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GettnHuge 1 Posted August 9, 2011 Army of the Twelve Monkeys obamabots? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
patweisers44 701 Posted August 9, 2011 Army of the Twelve Monkeys the Casey Anthony or OJ Simpson juries? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GettnHuge 1 Posted August 10, 2011 You 5 who think congress will stay the same, I'd like to know how you think the Dems will keep all these seats Ben Nelson Nebraska: gone Jon Tester Montana: gone Sherrod Brown Ohio: gone Kent Conrad ND: gone There's your Repub majority right there. Debbie Stabenow MI: 30% approval, likely gone Claire Mccaskill MO: 30% approval, likely gone Jim Webb VA: likely gone Bob Casey PA: very unpopular, likely gone Herb Kohl Wis: likely gone Ben Nelson Fla: very unpopular: possibly gone Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Vikings4ever 496 Posted August 10, 2011 If I had to bet right now, I'd say Obama keeps the presidency, and both houses of Congress flip. I'd put the Senate switch at about 95% certainty, with the other two at about 55% Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
shovelheadt 62 Posted August 10, 2011 Barry won't likely win Ohio, Va, Indiana, NC, or Florida this time around, that's 85 EV Electoral votes have moved to Red states. What exactly are you basing this off of? Just a gut I'm guessing. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,570 Posted August 10, 2011 '96 was a good year for Dems as they chased many Bush-worshipping scumbags out of office. I'd hate to see Tester and Webb go. Especially Webb, he's been outstanding and I've come to admire him in his short 5 years. I use to like really Conrad too, use to be a deficit hawk and knows the tune and the reasoning. When I found out that he was a major part of that December 2010 compromise that burst the deficit, I was p*ssed and anyone who participated in it can go fock themselves. I don't know accurate your "likely gones" list is. I wouldn't mind replacing Stabenow in Michigan but the GOP can't find a good candidate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
shovelheadt 62 Posted August 10, 2011 The Republican party is split beyond repair..at least not by the election. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GettnHuge 1 Posted August 10, 2011 What exactly are you basing this off of? Just a gut I'm guessing. uhm because his approval ratings in those states are in the low 40s, and many of them, like ohio, went very red across the board in 2010. Same with colorado, virginia, NC etc. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bushy 0 Posted August 10, 2011 '96 was a good year for Dems as they chased many Bush-worshipping scumbags out of office. I'd hate to see Tester and Webb go. Especially Webb, he's been outstanding and I've come to admire him in his short 5 years. I use to like really Conrad too, use to be a deficit hawk and knows the tune and the reasoning. When I found out that he was a major part of that December 2010 compromise that burst the deficit, I was p*ssed and anyone who participated in it can go fock themselves. I don't know accurate your "likely gones" list is. I wouldn't mind replacing Stabenow in Michigan but the GOP can't find a good candidate. Webb is definitely gone. He's already said he's not running. Same for Herb Kohl. Same for Conrad. Obama may win Ohio, but I don't see any way he wins NC, Florida, VA, or Indiana. He barely won those states last time and that was when he was flying high. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Recliner Pilot 61 Posted August 10, 2011 Several Red States picked up electoral votes due to the census, and some blue states lost some electoral votes due to the census. If I recall, I heard that if Obama gets every state he had last time he will get like 16 fewer electoral votes. That's not insignificant, and makes any swing state crucial. Also, Reps control the majority of the State Houses. Redistricting for each state due to the census will be in affect for 2012. That means the Reps get to draw the lines in more states, and they will be that way for the next 10 years. This bodes well for the Reps when it comes to congressional races. Given all that, and the trainwreck Obama is, it will be a tough year for him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
titans&bucs&bearsohmy! 2,745 Posted August 11, 2011 Several Red States picked up electoral votes due to the census, and some blue states lost some electoral votes due to the census. If I recall, I heard that if Obama gets every state he had last time he will get like 16 fewer electoral votes. That's not insignificant, and makes any swing state crucial. Also, Reps control the majority of the State Houses. Redistricting for each state due to the census will be in affect for 2012. That means the Reps get to draw the lines in more states, and they will be that way for the next 10 years. This bodes well for the Reps when it comes to congressional races. Given all that, and the trainwreck Obama is, it will be a tough year for him. The republicans still have to find a plausable candidate that people will actually vote for, and I haven't seen one yet. This election reminds me of Bush-Kerry. The Dems seemed to think that anyone would beat Bush because he was so unpopular. Didn't work out that way though. I agree that if the Republicans nominated someone that wasn't bat-sh!t crazy (Bachman, Cain) or someone that seems to be nothing but a weasely flip flopper (Romney, and don't underestimate the Mormon thing) that they would have a strong chance. But I have a hard time buying any of the current crop of Republican hopefulls pulling it off. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Recliner Pilot 61 Posted August 11, 2011 The republicans still have to find a plausable candidate that people will actually vote for, and I haven't seen one yet. Imagine that. One of the biggest Obama cacksuckers on the bored can't find anyone in the Rep field to vote for. Jeebus! We haven't even had the Iowa straw poll yet. Where was Obama at this point in '08? Changing his diapers most likely. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
titans&bucs&bearsohmy! 2,745 Posted August 11, 2011 Imagine that. One of the biggest Obama cacksuckers on the bored can't find anyone in the Rep field to vote for. Jeebus! We haven't even had the Iowa straw poll yet. Where was Obama at this point in '08? Changing his diapers most likely. I'm not a huge Obama supporter. I think he has pretty much p!ssed on every campaign promise he's made. Let's look... End the wars - Nope. Repeal the Patriot Act - Nope. In fact, affirmed it twice. Transperency in government - Nope. Quite the opposite. Changed the culture in Washington - Hell focking no. Used the stimulus money on "shovel ready" infastructure projects? - Nope. Seems it all went to banks and other corporations. Reformed health care - He tried, but I'd say he failed. Time will tell though. Truthfully, I wish the Dems would run a primary challenge to him. I supported him last time, but am very very turned off now. Still doesn't change the fact that the Republican slate of candidates is a complete focking joke. The incumbancy is a pretty powerful thing in an election, and I don't see any of these loons beating him. The only one I like at all is Ron Paul, and I don't think the Republican leadership will allow him to succeed. Obama is definately beatable, but it says something when the frontrunner is a former Mass. Liberal who failed to even beat out McCain in the Primary last time around. And Bachman and Cain are loony toon idiots that don't stand a chance in hell, as is Palin should she hop in. Just sayin. I really don't care, both parties are a joke. It is really just a question of what you want to hear whispered in your ear as they assfock you and drive this country off a cliff. I probably won't vote at all. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mungwater 588 Posted August 11, 2011 There isn't anyone in the current crop that will be able to beat Obama in 2012. Repubs will probably get the majority in congress. Washington as usual. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GettnHuge 1 Posted September 15, 2011 What exactly are you basing this off of? Just a gut I'm guessing. RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — President Barack Obama's disapproval rating has soared to 54 percent in Virginia, a battleground state the Democrat took from the Republicans to win the White House in 2008 and will likely need to carry next year to win re-election, a new poll released Thursday shows. The Quinnipiac University Poll, based on telephone interviews with 1,368 registered voters from Sept. 7-12, found that only 40 percent approved of the president's performance, down from 48 percent in the same survey in June. Six percent were undecided. The survey's margin of sampling error was plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. The results mirror other polls that show a continuing slide in the president's popularity in a slow, troubled economy. In the Virginia survey, a majority — 51 percent — said they did not think Obama deserves to be re-elected, compared to 41 percent who would re-elect him. Eight percent didn't know or wouldn't say. Most troubling for Obama is his poor performance among independents, many of whom supported him three years ago. Sixty-three percent of unaligned voters disapproved of the way Obama is handling his duties while only 29 percent approved. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
