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***Wagering thread***

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I had my tournament draft yesterday and will not be betting against any of these teams no matter what the numbers say. 

 

Seed Jason 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total  
8 Gonzaga             0  
6 Missouri             0  
4 Texas A&M             0  
7 St. Marys             0  
4 Purdue             0  
10 Arkansas             0  
13 Akron             0  
15 Bryant             0  
  Wins             0  
  Losses             0  
  Total             $0.00  

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Thursday 

Louisville -2.5 - Game in Lexington, short drive for L'ville. Louisville high pressure defense against a Creighton team that turns the ball over a lot. 

Purdue -7.5  Big discrepancy in Kenpom rating 19 vs 84. I'm fading the trendy dog. 

Montana +17 - Don't think they can win, but Wisc played Thur, Fri, Sat, Sunday last week and this game is in Denver. 

Clemson -7.5 Kenpom 18 vs 59. McNeese coach leaving for NC State job will be a distraction

 BYU -2.5 - Similar in Kenpom. VCU played Fri - Sunday and we are in Denver. Fading another trendy dog. 

Arkansas +5.5 - Boogie Fland is back.

Texas A&M -7.5 Kenpom 17 vs 73. Only 2 games last weekend for Yale, but still traveling across country to playing in altitude. A&M overlooked as they played in the best conference. 

UC San Diego ML +122 - I will bite on this trendy pick. close in Kenpom 37 vs 25. Michigan played 4 days last week and this game is in Denver. 

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ML Dogs I’m considering for tomorrow 

UC SD, VCU, Drake, UNC Wilmington 

this is mainly for the promo

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2 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

ML Dogs I’m considering for tomorrow 

UC SD, VCU, Drake, UNC Wilmington 

this is mainly for the promo

I’m not against Drake, but I drafted their opponent so I can’t root for them. 

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1 hour ago, BiffTannen said:

Purdue -7.5  Big discrepancy in Kenpom rating 19 vs 84. I'm fading the trendy dog. 

I feel you are pretty solid with college ball.  

Damn you.  

But yea high point seems too trendy.  I bet on them once this year and won so they are my team haha.  Thrn thr pic on the internet of the white fella.   

I know guard plsy is paramount.   But high point should have thrm covered on the interior.  And heard one of Purdues star players (smith) is looking at transfering.  

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11 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

ML Dogs I’m considering for tomorrow 

UC SD, VCU, Drake, UNC Wilmington 

this is mainly for the promo

Do they have to be tomorrow?

 

Friday dogs to win I like Ole Miss, Akron, and Memphis. 

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2 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

I feel you are pretty solid with college ball.  

Damn you.  

But yea high point seems too trendy.  I bet on them once this year and won so they are my team haha.  Thrn thr pic on the internet of the white fella.   

I know guard plsy is paramount.   But high point should have thrm covered on the interior.  And heard one of Purdues star players (smith) is looking at transfering.  

I'm never confident betting Purdue. Outside of reaching the final game last year, they have a habit of disappointing in the tournament. I'm using a combination of Kenpom ratings, fatigue, and fading the public. 

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4 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Do they have to be tomorrow?

 

Friday dogs to win I like Ole Miss, Akron, and Memphis. 

Yes, it has to be for tomorrow. They’ll be running the promo each of the first four days of the tournament so there’s no reason not to use the promo token every single day.

basically you get one token to use on an underdog money line and if that underdog is the highest seed that wins that day you share in the 1 million free bet pot. 

The wager requirement for the token is something silly like $.10 so it probably doesn’t make sense to use it on like a heavily picked 11 seed. So if I like Drake, for example I could just make a normal wager on them. It probably makes more sense to use the promo token on a 13 or 14 seed.

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1 minute ago, BiffTannen said:

I'm never confident betting Purdue. Outside of reaching the final game last year, they have a habit of disappointing in the tournament. I'm using a combination of Kenpom ratings, fatigue, and fading the public. 

Yea public dog love has me worried but already bet high point ml +295.  

I used to be a huge college bball guy.   I can still remember watching Durants one year at Texas while I was maybe just out of HS and turning on games weekedays.  I dont catch a ton anymore.   But I like to bet and will read up.   So I dont really know much on college ball these days.   Thr tournament is still fun but I dont like it as much as I used to.  Basketball was my main sport in HS so I liked to follow college and would get into it.   Still love the game.  Still think college is far superior to NBA as far as viewing.  

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17 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

I’m not against Drake, but I drafted their opponent so I can’t root for them. 

Also add Yale to that list. I may be leaning Yale as a #13 for the token. I love teams that shoot very well from 3 and from the foul line come tourney time. 

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7 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

I'm never confident betting Purdue. Outside of reaching the final game last year, they have a habit of disappointing in the tournament. I'm using a combination of Kenpom ratings, fatigue, and fading the public. 

Agreed. (Mich st has felt that way lately as well). 
I can see myself going high point on my bracket since I don’t have Purdue going past Clemson anyway 

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7 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Yea public dog love has me worried but already bet high point ml +295.  

I used to be a huge college bball guy.   I can still remember watching Durants one year at Texas while I was maybe just out of HS and turning on games weekedays.  I dont catch a ton anymore.   But I like to bet and will read up.   So I dont really know much on college ball these days.   Thr tournament is still fun but I dont like it as much as I used to.  Basketball was my main sport in HS so I liked to follow college and would get into it.   Still love the game.  Still think college is far superior to NBA as far as viewing.  

Same. 20 years ago I would watch college hoops the entire season, but don't find the time anymore. Tomorrow is still my 2nd favorite day of the year (Thursday at the Masters is number 1)

I'm kinda disappointed in the first 3 games though. They could have give us one that looks good on paper. 

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17 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Do they have to be tomorrow?

 

Friday dogs to win I like Ole Miss, Akron, and Memphis. 

I can’t bet Akron. I’ve got Arizona making a run until Duke. 
Memphis wouldn’t make sense for it as a 5 seed. No chance they are the highest seed dog to win 

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5 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I can’t bet Akron. I’ve got Arizona making a run until Duke. 
Memphis wouldn’t make sense for it as a 5 seed. No chance they are the highest seed dog to win 

I didn't realize the seeding played a role. Memphis no good if that is the case. 

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13 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I can’t bet Akron. I’ve got Arizona making a run until Duke. 
Memphis wouldn’t make sense for it as a 5 seed. No chance they are the highest seed dog to win 

Jerry is on the Grand Canyon train, but I think Maryland is too tough. 

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7 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

I didn't realize the seeding played a role. Memphis no good if that is the case. 

Yup. I’m not even going to make a real bet when I use the token. I’ll do the minimum 10 cents just to be entered into the promo. So I’m definitely looking Yale tomorrow. 
 

I’ll save the dogs I feel more confident in for regular bets. UCSD, Drake tomorrow… agreed with Memphis as small dogs Friday. 

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1 minute ago, BiffTannen said:

Jerry is on the Grand Canyon train, but I think Maryland is too tough. 

I’ll get another token at some point for Fridays games. I won’t look at those until late tomorrow night but GCU is on the radar for the promo. 

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FD is also giving a “bet back” promo where you can cancel you bet for full amount (up to $10 for me) in bonus bets before it grades as a loss. 
I may parlay 3 dogs and take my wager back as soon as one looks like a loss late in the 2nd 

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21 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Jerry is on the Grand Canyon train, but I think Maryland is too tough. 

 

19 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

I’ll get another token at some point for Fridays games. I won’t look at those until late tomorrow night but GCU is on the radar for the promo. 

I can't speak for Maryland, but GCU is good.  They've had a lot of help over the years from Jerry Colangelo, the godfather of basketball (and baseball) here in Phoenix.  I'm not sure if it is a religious thing (Colangelo is a devout Christian and GCU is a Christian university here in Phoenix), but he has put a lot of effort into getting quality coaching and recruits here.  

That being said, I admit it is a bit of a homer pick, but they've got good pedigree.

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Texas ML, over 150.5, Tre Johnson 15+

looks good at the half. Let’s see which leg focks me 😂 

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1 hour ago, WhiteWonder said:

Texas ML, over 150.5, Tre Johnson 15+

looks good at the half. Let’s see which leg focks me 😂 

Focking Texas haha

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Grabbing Oklahoma +5.5 for tomorrow. Thinking about the ML as well. UConn struggles against good guards. 

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okay here are some of my plays today.  Yes, I know. Lots of parlays but the profit boosts are too hard to ignore and I have had success playing some totals down. Last night for example I hit a 7 leg NBA plyer prop in that fashion.

 

1. Louisville ML, Clemson ML, Gonzaga ML    (this does not pay out great but certainly better than risking 1 unit on each game)

2. dog parlay...  Yale ML, Drake ML, UC San Diego ML   (this pays +2350)

3. player props...  Milos Uzan 10+ pts, Emmanuel Sharp O12.5 pts, Ray'Sean Taylor 15+ pts, Hunter Dickinson 15+ pts, Hunter Dickinson 8+ reb, Zeke Mayo 10+ pts   (this does not pay terribly well because 4/6 props are played down from their over/under lines but that has been key to a lot of college prop parlays I've hit in the past month. It is also profit boosted and paying +1000)

* keep in mind I have a bet back token I can use on any one of these if it's not looking good. My largest unit is on the dog parlay so that's most likely where I would use it. 

 

Straight bets

BYU -2.5
Utah St. +5.5
Yale +7.5
Montana +16.5
High Point +7.5
------------------------------------
And most of the player props listed above at their regular o/u marks. LJ Cryer 15+ as well but he has a weird habit of vanishing in games in favor of Uzan and Sharp. 

 

I won't play all of these straight bets though.. just what stands out to me on a day where not a lot of spread bets do, plus as stated before I hate spread bets on college especially during tournament time. 

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7 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

okay here are some of my plays today.  Yes, I know. Lots of parlays but the profit boosts are too hard to ignore and I have had success playing some totals down. Last night for example I hit a 7 leg NBA plyer prop in that fashion.

 

1. Louisville ML, Clemson ML, Gonzaga ML    (this does not pay out great but certainly better than risking 1 unit on each game)

2. dog parlay...  Yale ML, Drake ML, UC San Diego ML   (this pays +2350)

3. player props...  Milos Uzan 10+ pts, Emmanuel Sharp O12.5 pts, Ray'Sean Taylor 15+ pts, Hunter Dickinson 15+ pts, Hunter Dickinson 8+ reb, Zeke Mayo 10+ pts   (this does not pay terribly well because 4/6 props are played down from their over/under lines but that has been key to a lot of college prop parlays I've hit in the past month. It is also profit boosted and paying +1000)

* keep in mind I have a bet back token I can use on any one of these if it's not looking good. My largest unit is on the dog parlay so that's most likely where I would use it. 

 

Straight bets

BYU -2.5
Utah St. +5.5
Yale +7.5
Montana +16.5
High Point +7.5
------------------------------------
And most of the player props listed above at their regular o/u marks. LJ Cryer 15+ as well but he has a weird habit of vanishing in games in favor of Uzan and Sharp. 

 

I won't play all of these straight bets though.. just what stands out to me on a day where not a lot of spread bets do, plus as stated before I hate spread bets on college especially during tournament time. 

Good luck, buddy. One of the best days of the year is about to kickoff in 45 minutes. :headbanger:

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20 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

okay here are some of my plays today.  Yes, I know. Lots of parlays but the profit boosts are too hard to ignore and I have had success playing some totals down. Last night for example I hit a 7 leg NBA plyer prop in that fashion.

 

1. Louisville ML, Clemson ML, Gonzaga ML    (this does not pay out great but certainly better than risking 1 unit on each game)

 

Parlays are just a way to play multiple games that are going on at once.  Not sure start times here if they overlap, probably.   But if you just bet thr first game, roll over and put it on the 2nd game, win and roll that over on Zaga.....its the same exact payout.  

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2 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Parlays are just a way to play multiple games that are going on at once.  Not sure start times here if they overlap, probably.   But if you just bet thr first game, roll over and put it on the 2nd game, win and roll that over on Zaga.....its the same exact payout.  

So in short you wouldnt have to bet any more to get the same return.  

But thse games may overlap so you wouldnt be able to secure a win before placing the next bet.  

If you know what im saying.  Its the same odds.  

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1 hour ago, listen2me 23 said:

Parlays are just a way to play multiple games that are going on at once.  Not sure start times here if they overlap, probably.   But if you just bet thr first game, roll over and put it on the 2nd game, win and roll that over on Zaga.....it’s the same exact payout.  

Not without the offered profit boost on 3 leg parlays. Which I understand is to rope you in. 
If you roll over the original bet plus winnings I agree. But if you make 3 separate 1 unit bets and you go 2-1 it’s not worth it with -200 or longer favorites 

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1 minute ago, WhiteWonder said:

Not without the offered profit boost on 3 leg parlays. Which I understand is to rope you in. 
If you roll over the original bet plus winnings I agree. But if you make 3 separate 1 unit bets and you go 2-1 it’s not worth it with -200 or longer favorites 

No I agree.  And its more of a hassle to be ready to bet the next game as the prior is getting over.  I was just explaining this to a friend who thought a favorite parlay was getting him more return so I mentioned it here.  

And I forgot about profit boosts on the parlays.  

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Less than an hour in and I’m breaking out the hard liquor. Louisville shitting the bed in a de facto home game. 

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1 hour ago, BiffTannen said:

Less than an hour in and I’m breaking out the hard liquor. Louisville shitting the bed in a de facto home game. 

em. But I saved my bet back token for my dog parlay 

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6 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Grizzly Bears ran out of gas. 

So far you got them all wrong!  😅

I had Wisconsin and Purdue! 

 

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2 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

So far you got them all wrong!  😅

I had Wisconsin and Purdue! 

 

Where did I post High Point?

 

I've posted 6 plays for this tournament and I'm currently 4-2. 


Got them all wrong?

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11 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Where did I post High Point?

 

I've posted 6 plays for this tournament and I'm currently 4-2. 


Got them all wrong?

My bad...you quoted White Wonder.

White Wonder is a moron! 😅

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17 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

So far you got them all wrong!  😅

I had Wisconsin and Purdue! 

 

 

2 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

My bad...you quoted White Wonder.

White Wonder is a moron! 😅

You also don’t know how to read. I literally said I wasn’t betting all of those plays they were just lines  I liked. I did bet Montana though. 

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1 minute ago, HB Localboy said:

My bad...you quoted White Wonder.

White Wonder is a moron! 😅

We don't do that in here. This isn't one of the f@ggot political threads. If someone makes some losing picks, you pick up your teammate. 

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7 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

We don't do that in here. This isn't one of the f@ggot political threads. If someone makes some losing picks, you pick up your teammate. 

Who the fukk is "we"?

Fukk you and the horse you rode in on!

 

You don't speak for "we" and if you want your own wagering thread post it in a WAGERING FORUM!

FOOK YOU, LOSER!

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3 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

Who the fukk is "we"?

Literally everyone but you. Get lost.  

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