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***Wagering thread***

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2 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

55% of the tickets are on Marquette. I'm am going the opposite. 

Good Luck.

Marq is the best bet of the day. 

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1 minute ago, HB Localboy said:

Good Luck.

 

Marq is the best bet of the day. 

I appreciate it, I'm volume better. I don't have plays of the day or hitch my wagon to a single game. I'm playing the sheet. 

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Just now, BiffTannen said:

I appreciate it, I'm volume better. I don't have plays of the day or hitch my wagon to a single game. I'm playing the sheet. 

According to your sources....which way was the MARQ line moving?

What was the opening line 

What is the current line?

 

Thanks

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Perfect. St Mary's will be over before NM Marq game. Inclination is to fade the guy that claims to have bet 50K on the Chiefs.  LOL

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2 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

According to your sources....which way was the MARQ line moving?

What was the opening line 

What is the current line?

 

Thanks

There is a difference between money on a game and tickets on a game. 

 

If tickets are skewed in one direction and the money in the other direction. There is only one side to be on. Could Marquette win the game? yes, but it is not the correct side. 

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2 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Perfect. St Mary's will be over before NM Marq game. Inclination is to fade the guy that claims to have bet 50K on the Chiefs.  LOL

I started betting in college back in the 80's.

I was convinced there was a way to make $$$ betting so I've studied EVERYTHING for 40 years now.

I have come to the conclusion to avoid betting lots of games and be patient and selective.  

I don't think betting on KC was a bad bet considering the history of Patrick Mahommes.

 

I am standing by my picks above.

NC, UCONN, MARYLAND and MARQ

 

 

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12 minutes ago, HB Localboy said:

I started betting in college back in the 80's.

I was convinced there was a way to make $$$ betting so I've studied EVERYTHING for 40 years now.

I have come to the conclusion to avoid betting lots of games and be patient and selective.  

I don't think betting on KC was a bad bet considering the history of Patrick Mahommes.

 

I am standing by my picks above.

NC, UCONN, MARYLAND and MARQ

 

 

Why are you such a d!ck? If you have a system - share it. If you have plays - share them. Make your case for them and leave it at that. If your system or plays are different than others in here, no one cares. Our goal is to beat the books, not argue about who is the best capper. 

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44 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

If you have a system - share it. 

I studied sports gambling for 40 years!

There ISN'T a system for winning!

HOME UNDERDOGS

WEST COAST TEAMS TRAVELING EAST

EAST COAST TEAMS TRAVELING WEST

BETTING AGAINST TEAMS ON LOSING STREAKS

BETTING ON TEAMS ON A WINNING STEAK

 

VOLUME BETTING!

 

THERE ISN"T A SYSTEM!

 

 

 

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7 hours ago, HB Localboy said:

I studied sports gambling for 40 years!

There ISN'T a system for winning!

HOME UNDERDOGS

WEST COAST TEAMS TRAVELING EAST

EAST COAST TEAMS TRAVELING WEST

BETTING AGAINST TEAMS ON LOSING STREAKS

BETTING ON TEAMS ON A WINNING STEAK

 

VOLUME BETTING!

 

THERE ISN"T A SYSTEM!

 

 

 

There are absolutely systems for winning.  Do you know the sure sign of a system is working...when you start getting limited and blacked balled from books.  I'm guessing that's never happened to you.  

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Xavier ML +136 - X is healthy and trending up over the last 6 weeks while the Illini have been wildly inconsistent. 

 

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16 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

 

You also don’t know how to read. I literally said I wasn’t betting all of those plays they were just lines  I liked. I did bet Montana though. 

Just like in golf.  Throw out names as “I thought about taking these guy’s” yet you never draft them or take as an alt.

Cover all your bases. 🤣

 

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50 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

Just like in golf.  Throw out names as “I thought about taking these guy’s” yet you never draft them or take as an alt.

Cover all your bases. 🤣

 

I played a decent amount of them, just saying the guy couldn’t read my post. It was definitely a bad day for sure 😂 

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1-1 first day.  

Hit Arkansas ML.  Lost on HP.  I guess I also put in a longshot parlay to use the no sweat but dont really count that.  

Played Memphis ML so far.  Will add when I hear some opinions

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1 minute ago, listen2me 23 said:

1-1 first day.  

Hit Arkansas ML.  Lost on HP.  I guess I also put in a longshot parlay to use the no sweat but dont really count that.  

Played Memphis ML so far.  Will add when I hear some opinions

Open to tailing some plays. I have a few out there, but today’s slate isn’t as appealing as yesterday’s. I’m reduced to looking at team totals right now. 

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Colorado State -1.5 - winners of 10 straight, a potential lottery pick in the lineup, and Memphis could be without 2 guards.  

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22 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Open to tailing some plays. I have a few out there, but today’s slate isn’t as appealing as yesterday’s. I’m reduced to looking at team totals right now. 

Ive just read about C. ST'S 3 PT % run over last 10 or so.  Its like 46% to their opponents uncer 30%.  And mountain west has been pretty bad vs the spread in tourny over last few years.  Of course these %s could stay the course and fhey dont miss and Memphis backers look stupid.  But..

Memphis is down a top guy but they have played without him some and did fine.  

Seems like Colorado St is being overrated some.  Ill take the athletes and hope all of CSU's 3s dont keep going in.  

Im still looking dont love a ton.  Thought Baylor but have sort of backed away from that.  

What is your read on UNC game?  Maybe you already posted and I didnt read it.  Almost bet them in the play in.  Seemed like a no brainer.  UNC still has talent even if its not what it usually is.  And they just gave Duke a run and have been playing better.  They are free rolling it.  Not too familiar with Ole Miss so would have to look a bit before I bet UNC.  Just seems like the classic unperforming season from a top program but finding it late.  

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Didnt really look as it sways me too much.  But looks like im on thr popular side of all 3 of these.  

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2 minutes ago, listen2me 23 said:

Ive just read about C. ST'S 3 PT % run over last 10 or so.  Its like 46% to their opponents uncer 30%.  And mountain west has been pretty bad vs the spread in tourny over last few years.  Of course these %s could stay the course and fhey dont miss and Memphis backers look stupid.  But..

Memphis is down a top guy but they have played without him some and did fine.  

Seems like Colorado St is being overrated some.  Ill take the athletes and hope all of CSU's 3s dont keep going in.  

Im still looking dont love a ton.  Thought Baylor but have sort of backed away from that.  

What is your read on UNC game?  Maybe you already posted and I didnt read it.  Almost bet them in the play in.  Seemed like a no brainer.  UNC still has talent even if its not what it usually is.  And they just gave Duke a run and have been playing better.  They are free rolling it.  Not too familiar with Ole Miss so would have to look a bit before I bet UNC.  Just seems like the classic unperforming season from a top program but finding it late.  

I posted a page or so back in taking the Ole Miss ML. Feels like a trap game so I’m fading the heels 

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Friday plays consolidated 

 

St. Marys -4  - Kenpom 20 vs 47. Gaels have good guards and a top 10 defense. 

Oklahoma +5.5  - Uconn has slightly better Kenpom 35 vs 40, but I think there is too much recency bias baked into this. OU has great guard play and may win this outright. 

Ole Miss ML +115 - This game has trap written all over it. I'm fading.

New Mexico ML +155 - trending in different directions right now. Kid Pitino has built a solid program. 

Akron +15 - Homer pick. I'm rooting for my conference. 

1/4 unit on Akron ML +755

Xavier ML +136 - X is healthy and trending up over the last 6 weeks while the Illini have been wildly inconsistent.

Colorado State -1.5 - winners of 10 straight, a potential lottery pick in the lineup, and Memphis could be without 2 guards. 

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I been mostly Live betting the games, the ones I'm watching and doing pretty good, I can tell what teams have better D and what teams are shooting better.

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11 hours ago, BiffTannen said:

I appreciate it, I'm volume better. I don't have plays of the day or hitch my wagon to a single game. I'm playing the sheet. 

im definitely not a volume bettor, I think I even mentioned to you yesterday that I dont like playing college bb spreads, especially at tournament time. but it's march madness, couldn't help but bet some :lol:.  I also learned a bit of a lesson, even though it should have been fairly obvious... that as much as i've done well with player props, I should probably avoid them with heavily favored higher seeds like Houston for example. With that game script there was just no reason for all of Houstons usual suspects to be hitting their overs. 

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31 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

 

Colorado State -1.5 - winners of 10 straight, a potential lottery pick in the lineup, and Memphis could be without 2 guards. 

used today's promo token on Col St.   I didn't think they qualified since they are favored but apparently you can use the token on any team you want money line, you just won't win a share of the pot unless your team is the highest seed to win the day. 

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25 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

im definitely not a volume bettor, I think I even mentioned to you yesterday that I dont like playing college bb spreads, especially at tournament time. but it's march madness, couldn't help but bet some :lol:.  I also learned a bit of a lesson, even though it should have been fairly obvious... that as much as i've done well with player props, I should probably avoid them with heavily favored higher seeds like Houston for example. With that game script there was just no reason for all of Houstons usual suspects to be hitting their overs. 

This line of thought has me wanting to take Florida TT u 91.5. If its over early and the horses rest a big part of the 2nd half, are they going to hit this number?

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2 hours ago, BiffTannen said:

Friday plays consolidated 

 

St. Marys -4  - Kenpom 20 vs 47. Gaels have good guards and a top 10 defense. 

Oklahoma +5.5  - Uconn has slightly better Kenpom 35 vs 40, but I think there is too much recency bias baked into this. OU has great guard play and may win this outright. 

Ole Miss ML +115 - This game has trap written all over it. I'm fading.

New Mexico ML +155 - trending in different directions right now. Kid Pitino has built a solid program. 

Akron +15 - Homer pick. I'm rooting for my conference. 

1/4 unit on Akron ML +755

Xavier ML +136 - X is healthy and trending up over the last 6 weeks while the Illini have been wildly inconsistent.

Colorado State -1.5 - winners of 10 straight, a potential lottery pick in the lineup, and Memphis could be without 2 guards. 

One more. 
 

Bryant +17. McD’s AA on the roster and they have power 5 size.  Should be able to hang. 

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26 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

One more. 
 

Bryant +17. McD’s AA on the roster and they have power 5 size.  Should be able to hang. 

Tail. Also grabbed Robert Morris +16 at the half.  

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3 hours ago, Horseman said:

Safer tail of Baby Jesus's St. Marys.  Taking the ML again.   

Its go time. :bandana:

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18 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

Its go time. :bandana:

What do you think of CO St after the first half?  I wasn't watching that one.  

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1 minute ago, Horseman said:

What do you think of CO St after the first half?  I wasn't watching that one.  

They are hanging tough. Hoping they wear Memphis down in the last 15 minutes. 

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10 minutes ago, BiffTannen said:

They are hanging tough. Hoping they wear Memphis down in the last 15 minutes. 

Was going to to hop on at near opening line but looks like I missed it.  

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2 hours ago, Horseman said:

Was going to to hop on at near opening line but looks like I missed it.  

Pissed I lost St. Mary's but glad you got yours. I was scared for a minute. 

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1 minute ago, BiffTannen said:

Pissed I lost St. Mary's but glad you got yours. I was scared for a minute. 

What a comeback!   3-0 now with your help. 

Next up New Mexico, I'll take the 4 points.  

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1 minute ago, Alias Detective said:

I’m boned up and gonna play a $100 parlay on DK.  Who’s is your best bests for this wager? 🥃

@BiffTannen @WhiteWonder @jerryskids @listen2me 23 @Horseman

I don't bet parlays. You will have to ask those guys. 

 

I know I do the lottery ticket for EdEx, but now for this stuff. 

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3 hours ago, Alias Detective said:

I’m boned up and gonna play a $100 parlay on DK.  Who’s is your best bests for this wager? 🥃

@BiffTannen @WhiteWonder @jerryskids @listen2me 23 @Horseman

For tomorrow? I had Colorado state ML and st Mary’s ML earlier today. My preference on parlays is player props unless I’m using a profit boost or no sweat token. Let me look…

 

if it has to be tonight, maybe Oklahoma +5.5, Xavier +4.5 and Jase Richardson of Michigan state 15+ points. Again I’m not big on spread bets at tourney time at least in round 1 but I like Oklahoma and Xavier straight up so I’m willing to take the points. 

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3 hours ago, Alias Detective said:

I’m boned up and gonna play a $100 parlay on DK.  Who’s is your best bests for this wager? 🥃

@BiffTannen @WhiteWonder @jerryskids @listen2me 23 @Horseman

Tomorrow I like all the favorites aside from possibly McNeese and Arkansas. 
 

so if I had to I would probably parlay Houston ML, Texas A&M ML, and Auburn ML if you need a 3rd. Maybe Wisconsin ML if you want a better payout on it. 

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