joneo 556 Posted September 11, 2023 put $50 to win $325 teaser parlay.6 picks: Pitt/ SF under 47.5 NYG/ DAL under 53 BALT/HST under50 DET +12 JAX +2 WASH - .5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 3,157 Posted September 11, 2023 Congrats. That’s awesome 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fireballer 2,639 Posted September 11, 2023 Take it to the wagering thread 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,664 Posted September 11, 2023 Nice hit, joneo. Would you like some constructive criticism? Good because I'm going to give it to you. 1. Never tease totals 2. Never tease through the number zero. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alias Detective 1,389 Posted September 11, 2023 2 and 0 in posted picks in the wagering thread. I should quit! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,664 Posted September 11, 2023 14 minutes ago, Alias Detective said: 2 and 0 in posted picks in the wagering thread. I should quit! Nice shootin" I tailed both and meant to say something but got distracted. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Horseman 2,369 Posted September 11, 2023 Strickland by decision +1200 8-2-1 Totals 10-10 props Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
joneo 556 Posted September 11, 2023 51 minutes ago, Fireballer said: Take it to the wagering thread Thanks. I see that now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
joneo 556 Posted September 11, 2023 3 hours ago, bostonlager said: Nice hit, joneo. Would you like some constructive criticism? Good because I'm going to give it to you. 1. Never tease totals 2. Never tease through the number zero. I don't understand #2. Can you help me understand the logic? I am assume it's statistics but am not wrapping my head around it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,664 Posted September 11, 2023 Just now, joneo said: I don't understand #2. Can you help me understand the logic? I am assume it's statistics but am not wrapping my head around it. Jacksonville was favored at what -4? You teased them down and through the number zero in order to get +2. The odds of a game ending in a tie are extremely low so you in theory only took advantage of 5 of the 6 points you teased. Also getting 2 points isn't very helpful because while it does happen from time to time, most NFL games are going to end with a 3 point or more victory. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bostonlager 2,664 Posted September 11, 2023 7 minutes ago, joneo said: I don't understand #2. Can you help me understand the logic? I am assume it's statistics but am not wrapping my head around it. They won't all hit every time, but if you want long term teaser success over the course of a season do the following. 1.5, 2, and 2.5 point underdogs - tease them up 6 points. 7.5, 8, and 8.5 favorites - tease them down 6 points. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
posty 2,612 Posted September 11, 2023 No losses here... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cloaca du jour 2,147 Posted September 11, 2023 16 hours ago, weepaws said: Congrats. That’s awesome Jesus Approves!! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
