I'll link again the heat map which shows fever data from a network of smart thermometers.
https://healthweather.us/
They've added a "trends" tab and you'll notice that the entire country is blue, even NY, which means fever readings are decreasing. It has been that way for about a week. If you click on NY, Bronx, Queens counties, you'll see that after a large spike, they have decreased in the past week to such an extent that the data is back into the expected range for this time of year. My county (Maricopa) has plummeted well below expected.
My take on this is that the social distancing etc. have had an effect such that COVID + flu for this year are < flu in past years. As such I would not expect hospitals to be overrun in the next week. In general if we keep this distancing up, I'm cautiously optimistic about things.