AxeElf

Matthew 7:20 "Therefore, you will fully know them by their fruits."

First mention in this thread of PPR scoring; but then people talked themselves out of drafting Derrick Henry in the past for the same reason.

Cam Akers, James Conner and Isiah Pacheco are all currently within 10 ADPs of Williams, and Herbert is about 25 ADPs later. I'd rather have any of them on my roster than Javonte Williams.

Too many other good options; I'm basically ignoring him unless I can get him for a dollar or two--and that's probably not happening, thanks to all my self-sacrificing leaguemates.

Are we there yet? I can not WAIT for this season to start! I mean, I can't wait for every season to start, but this one is different; this one is special... Fantasy Football 101 is "Don't Be a Homer!" There's always that guy who has to draft his favorite team's QB, RB, WR, and TE--and then he never makes the playoffs. And as an (almost) life-long resident of Kansas who was 7 years old when the Chiefs won their first Super Bowl, "Don't Be a Homer!" always applied in spades to us Kansas City fans. Oh, maybe we had a couple of solid fantasy RBs along the way here and there, and Tony Gonzalez, but that was about it. But now, with Mahomes and Kelce both pretty much locks to dominate their respective fantasy positions (barring injury), and other solid fantasy choices in Kadarius Toney and Isaiah Pacheco (and even McKinnon to some extent in PPR leagues)--people are even taking flyers on Skyy Moore and MVS--it's the perfect time to be a Kansas City fantasy homer! And so I am. It's absolutely the wrong strategy in any given year to invest a lot of draft capital in QBs and TEs--but not this year. This year you can put just about any combination of four or five legitimate starters on a team with Mahomes and Kelce and be a contender. Of course this is easier in auction drafts than snake drafts, but if you're somewhere around the middle of the draft order, go ahead and take Kelce/Mahomes 1/2. You'll still end up with something like Etienne/Dobbins at RB and Allen/Aiyuk/Ridley at WR. That should keep you competitive while Mahomes and Kelce are outscoring every other QB/TE combination by 15 pts per week. I've always taken quite a bit of enjoyment from "doing things wrong" in fantasy football and still winning--telling everyone else my strategy, drafting a K and a D in the first two rounds, drafting my team from the FAs left over after all the other teams have drafted, etc.--so being able to "do everything wrong" this season--be a KC homer in fantasy, while at the same time spending big draft capital on a QB and a TE--will make victory taste that much more sweet. Let's GO!!!

The latest position at which you can still draft Bijan Robinson is the best. That seems to range from the #1 spot in savvy leagues to #8 or worse in beginner drafts, so judge your league accordingly.

Not really the point; I was pointing out that given similar offensive lines to work with, Devin Singletary was a more efficient runner than Dameon Pierce. It will be interesting to see how Houston uses their two primary RBs.

Another interesting thing in this chart... Dameon Pierce was at a -0.20 or so, while Devin Singletary was at about +0.25 or so. Their offensive lines were comparably ranked--23rd for Buffalo and 26th for Houston. Houston is projected to remain the same at 25th in 2023.

There were no bots, and everyone is an idiot compared to Axe Elf, so what can I do? There's no one left to offer Axe Elf any competition, so I make do with what I have.

I don't necessarily bring every boring detail of free agency or weekly starting lineups to the boards, but I was referring more to the results of the past 30 years as evidence of the sufficiency of my machinations.

Well, judging by the previous 30 years, it shouldn't be much of a problem.

You'll excuse me if I still go for 1st.

Dang, you must be old as dirt; the book of James has been in its current state for over 1600 years now! Personal responsibility is a very paradoxical concept in Christianity. On the one hand we seem to be held responsible and judged on the basis of our actions, and yet we are told that we don't have free will, and that God has predetermined all the actions for which we will be judged. There's a whole passage in Romans 9 to address this apparent contradiction: And not only that, but this too: Rebecca conceived [two sons under exactly the same circumstances] by our forefather Isaac, and the children were yet unborn and had so far done nothing either good or evil. Even so, in order further to carry out God's purpose of selection (election, choice), which depends not on works or what men can do, but on Him Who calls [them], it was said to her that the elder [son] should serve the younger [son]. As it is written, Jacob have I loved, but Esau have I hated (held in relative disregard in comparison with My feeling for Jacob). What shall we conclude then? Is there injustice upon God's part? Certainly not! For He says to Moses, I will have mercy on whom I will have mercy and I will have compassion (pity) on whom I will have compassion. So then [God's gift] is not a question of human will and human effort, but of God's mercy. [It depends not on one's own willingness nor on his strenuous exertion as in running a race, but on God's having mercy on him.] For the Scripture says to Pharaoh, I have raised you up for this very purpose of displaying My power in [dealing with] you, so that My name may be proclaimed the whole world over. So then He has mercy on whomever He wills (chooses) and He hardens (makes stubborn and unyielding the heart of) whomever He wills. You will say to me, Why then does He still find fault and blame us [for sinning]? For who can resist and withstand His will? But who are you, a mere man, to criticize and contradict and answer back to God? Will what is formed say to him that formed it, Why have you made me thus? Has the potter no right over the clay, to make out of the same mass (lump) one vessel for beauty and distinction and honorable use, and another for menial or ignoble and dishonorable use? --Romans 9:10-21

So you're just like that guy who walks around campus talking to himself all the time, but you look people in the eye so at first they think you are talking to them? If you would ever like to converse, I would be happy to do so, but as long as you're just going to say my name and then not address me directly, you'll excuse me for not engaging in the game of trying to figure out what you're trying to say.

Well, I waited two weeks. I was axually scheduled to do my fourth draft yesterday afternoon--ON the Fourth!--but it didn't fill in time and got moved to tonight. I was trying to find something as close to the Yahoo Public Prize leagues as possible--10 teams, standard half-PPR, 1 Flex--but in a Private Prize league so as to pay a 3% rake instead of a 10% rake. When I signed up for the draft yesterday, the only things that didn't match those criteria were that it was a 12 team league instead of 10, and passing TDs were 6 pts instead of 4. (Well, this league also doesn't use Kickers, but that's kind of a fringe benefit, axually.) Then for some reason the scoring was changed today to full PPR, and QB scoring went from 1 pt per 25 yards to 1 pt per 20 yards, but passing TDs went from 6 pts to 5 pts. Meh, kind of a quarter-dozen to one, quarter-dozen to the other; I'm targeting Mahomes anyway. Quite foolishly, I might add, as any hope of scoring the quads (Mahomes/Robinson/Kupp/Kelce) went right out the window when I was forced to pay $51 for Mahomes (and Kelce went for $50 anyway). I mean, it wasn't THAT bad, in that Mahomes is about a 10 point per week advantage over any QB not named Allen, Burrow or Hurts in this scoring system (and Josh Allen went for $44), but it made me sweat a little. Any lingering hint of foolishness went right out the window, though, when I literally ended up with THE EXACT starting lineup that I wanted (if I wasn't able to get Kelce) in one of the most striking examples of the "Studs & Scrubs" auction strategies ever witnessed. I spent $193 on my starting lineup, and exactly $1 on each of my 7 bench players (one of which I will eventually have to trade in for a Defense)! I thought I was going to be in trouble when I had to use my last extra dollar to snipe Gesicki when someone else nominated him, but I literally had the perfect dollar store runout--nobody ever nominated anyone I wanted, and everyone I nominated I got for $1. So I got the exact starting lineup I was targeting (including a KC QB/WR stack), I have the potential #1 player at each of the top three skill positions (and top 15-20 players at RB2/WR2/Flex? to boot), I covered my butt at RB by handcuffing both starters, and I poured every possible dollar into my starting lineup while mining a ton of dollar store potential--and then there's my secret weapon Gesicki--so this was a darn near perfect 12 team PPR league auction draft. May your coffers be the richer for the ample example of Axe Elf! QB: Patrick Mahomes (10) $51 RB: Bijan Robinson (11) $54, J.K. Dobbins (13) $19, Devin Singletary (7) $1, Kareem Hunt (?) $1, Tyler Allgeier (11) $1, Gus Edwards (13) $1 WR: Cooper Kupp (10) $47, Brandon Aiyuk (9) $13, Kadarius Toney (10) $7, Terrace Marshall Jr. (7) $1, Romeo Doubs (6) $1, John Metchie III (7) $1 TE: Mike Gesicki (11) $2 DST: TBD Remaining: $0 Hopefully I can wait another two weeks now...