***Early College Football Wagering Thread***

[GBFAVRE4 0]

nice FG Jackassss

[needmoremoney 0]

If you are not watching this game (Be thankful you're not)

 

Ill give you a summary of the UL offense.

 

Draw play--0 yds

Draw play--0 yds

Incomplete pass

Punt

Next possession

 

Incomplete pass

Draw play-- 0 yds

Incomplete pass

Punt

 

Press repeat

 

Add on "missed 31 yd FG"....

[Yer mom 2]

The fix is in boyz!!!! I could have made that field goal......Seriously.....I would have made that field goal. Fat Tony sits comfortably in his 75 man spa somewhere in the desert......

[GiantsRule 0]

*SIGH* It was bound to happen, but I'm now officially in a slump. Haven't won a game in any sport since Sunday night. Record winnings slowly being eaten away.

[Yer mom 2]

Fock it....just put 50 on Fla Atl to win the game +350

 

If ULL can score again, huge night....its already staying under.....got that.

 

Whatever at this point.

[needmoremoney 0]

Fock it....just put 50 on Fla Atl to win the game +350

 

If ULL can score again, huge night....its already staying under.....got that.

 

Whatever at this point.

 

u may have just turned around the bad luck !!!!!!!!!!!!!

[GiantsRule 0]

Fock it....just put 50 on Fla Atl to win the game +350

 

If ULL can score again, huge night....its already staying under.....got that.

 

Whatever at this point.

 

Dude, you literally wipe your ass with money, don't you?

[R8dr Fan 87 0]

I hope FAU drives the field and wins this game now. What a shitty game!

[cyclone24 1,568]

I hope FAU drives the field and wins this game now. What a shitty game!

 

 

no kidding...fvck those numbnuts. They cost me money tonight.

[GiantsRule 0]

I hope FAU drives the field and wins this game now. What a shitty game!

 

This easily beats the MNF Dallas-Washington game from a few years ago as the worst nationally televised game I have ever seen (the infamous "pretending we're watching when the rivalry mattered" game).

[R8dr Fan 87 0]

Any locks for tomorrow nights games?

[GiantsRule 0]

Any locks for tomorrow nights games?

 

No such thing.

[R8dr Fan 87 0]

No such thing.

 

your very right. gambling on useless college games is all i really have left. its not like my beloved raiders are going to give me any joy next year

[needmoremoney 0]

missed FG cost cost me 4 units.... ugh

[R8dr Fan 87 0]

missed FG cost cost me 4 units.... ugh

 

missed field goal lost us all money

[GiantsRule 0]

And once again, many of us get stuck chasing (if not 2nd half, then in real-time betting).

 

What worries me is that this was the 2nd straight "consensus play" the betting threads have had that lost (Chicago and now ULL.) Please don't tell me the luck is finally turning against us!

[Guest SheVegas]

Lost On La -5.5 first half Lost on La -9...But hit the halftime Fla +4.....What a chity game...but not as chitty as this Monday Night crushing of the Giants. Dallas 41-24. TO 3 TD's again.

[Yer mom 2]

That was the worst game in the history of football...scientific fact. For what its worth, which is about zero, ULL seemed to be the right side

 

And once again, many of us get stuck chasing (if not 2nd half, then in real-time betting).

 

What worries me is that this was the 2nd straight "consensus play" the betting threads have had that lost (Chicago and now ULL.) Please don't tell me the luck is finally turning against us!

 

 

Them road favorites are a mother....when its the only game of the night there has to be either good discipline or acceptance to give a bit back. In my case the latter.

 

In game betting saves the night once again, I owe you a frosty beverage if I ever bump into you GiantsRule Sportsbook.com didnt have that sh!t.

[GBFAVRE4 0]

Lost On La -5.5 first half Lost on La -9...But hit the halftime Fla +4.....What a chity game...but not as chitty as this Monday Night crushing of the Giants. Dallas 41-24. TO 3 TD's again.

 

 

SheVegas....Any chance you live in WI?

[phillybear 363]

Force 5 or 6 turnovers. Block a FG. And score only 6 points. That's impossible. Yet, it happened. I am speechless.

 

Gotta shake my head at that. I'll try again tomorrow. My slump continues.

[Guest SheVegas]

GBFavre- Nope live in Dayton, Ohio.....Why would I live in Wi?

[GBFAVRE4 0]

Force 5 or 6 turnovers. Block a FG. And score only 6 points. That's impossible. Yet, it happened. I am speechless.

 

Gotta shake my head at that. I'll try again tomorrow. My slump continues.

 

 

Philly.....shake it bud. You have made many people on this site a lot of $$$.

You will turn, and many will be singing the praises of PHILLYBEAR once again.

 

With that said, I make my own card, I make my own decisions. When your picks match mine, or vice versa, it only makes my picks seem that more solid.

Lets get em this wknd!

FUKKEM BUCKY!

[GiantsRule 0]

That was the worst game in the history of football...scientific fact. For what its worth, which is about zero, ULL seemed to be the right side

Them road favorites are a mother....when its the only game of the night there has to be either good discipline or acceptance to give a bit back. In my case the latter.

 

In game betting saves the night once again, I owe you a frosty beverage if I ever bump into you GiantsRule Sportsbook.com didnt have that sh!t.

 

Create an alias and join Olympic again. Almost as good! (or get another friend to join; you know my account number - 47829!)

 

Glad you got something that worked for you. I'm almost sick that I didn't take Fla Atl +9 for the hedge when I had the chance. Instead, grabbed +6 and a few bucks on ML +320 so at least the final 30 seconds of the game were exciting! Having the +6 at least allowed me to clear a little more of my bonuses.

 

If I have to look at the glass half-full, at least I didn't get greedy and put more money on ULL when it was -7.5 for almost 2:1 odds.

 

You seem to have a knack for real-time betting. I did OK a few weeks ago, but it's been one disappointment after another.

[GBFAVRE4 0]

GBFavre- Nope live in Dayton, Ohio.....Why would I live in Wi?

 

 

City I know well in WI named Sheboygan. May have heard of it? Anyway....some of my buds call it SheVegas for jokes. City doesnt have that much to offer, kinda a joke for those around the area and thought you may be a resident.

 

Thx and good luck with your card this wknd.

[GiantsRule 0]

I know the over hasn't been a great play mid-week, but F it:

 

3-team parlay:

 

Bowling Green/Central Michigan - total Over 50 (-120)

North Carolina/Virginia - total Over 41 (-120)

Utah/New Mexico - total Over 40 (-120)

 

Speaking of wiping your ass with money...

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

*SIGH* It was bound to happen, but I'm now officially in a slump. Haven't won a game in any sport since Sunday night. Record winnings slowly being eaten away.

 

Force 5 or 6 turnovers. Block a FG. And score only 6 points. That's impossible. Yet, it happened. I am speechless.

 

Gotta shake my head at that. I'll try again tomorrow. My slump continues.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

You guys got to ease up on this midweek crap. The games suck and the lines have sucked. Virgina~n~Carolina is a game that you should all ignore because there is no money to be made on these teams. The same should of been said with tonights game.

 

I guess I am going to pick you bastages up off the carpet this week and get some credits back into your accounts.

 

Giantsrule, I am still waiting for my dollar.

[GiantsRule 0]

You guys got to ease up on this midweek crap. The games suck and the lines have sucked. Virgina~n~Carolina is a game that you should all ignore because there is no money to be made on these teams. The same should of been said with tonights game.

 

I guess I am going to pick you bastages up off the carpet this week and get some credits back into your accounts.

 

Giantsrule, I am still waiting for my dollar.

 

Yes, and get a move on please or $1 is all I'm going to have left!

 

I'm still waiting for you to email me your address. I'll find a nice, crisp new one straight from the bank once I get it. (BTC316@hotmail.com).

[The Shepherd 10]

Philly, don't be down - the fact is that sometimes that's the way the elongated spheroid bounces, just the luck, or lack of it. The point is, you do very astute, thorough analysis that everyone with half a nat's brain on this site appreciates. Keep it up, and dump the slump talk - your analysis is nigh perfect.

Boys, I have to bug out until next Wednesday and may or may not have access to an internet computer (probably not). So good luck to all.

[TimmySmith 2,782]

i can't agree with the ku pick. you've got a big strength in baylors passing game going against a horrendous weakness in ku's passing def. i think baylor, despite their loss last week to texas, has a lot of momentum going right now and ku is absolutely reeling. plus, ku is rotten on the road in the big 12. this game probably will be close, but i dont think 3.5 is enough for a ku side. i'm on baylor -3 right now (got it earlier in the week).

 

did you know if baylor beats kansas this week that they will be tied for worst conf record since the big 12 began?

 

I really don't cap games so much as I look at certain criteria. Then when a game fits I dig a little deeper. You obviously seem to know about these two teams, whereas I really don't know much about either. On the surface Kansas is a much more complete offensive team, especialy running. They have played 2 roadies this year and lost both in OT. If they had won both they would be top 25. Last 2 tough losses to uber quality opponents. They seem to play to the level of their competition. Baylor is all over the map, good team, but completely inconsistent. Also coming off of two tough games, I look for a letdown at home. My feeling is that on a neutral field Kansas is far superior, getting 3.5 is great value. We'll see.

[timr510 0]

How strong do u guys feel about the hawaii game?? it started out this week at 67.5 and is already up to 73.5. I havent been doing to well lately and i have been tryin to pick and choose my games carefully. I no most of you said you like it but just give me an idea on how good of a pick you think it might be.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

I would bet the Hawaii OVER up to 80. BETCRIS doesn't have it (WTF?) so I haven't been able to.

 

Tonight:

 

Virginia -6 for TWO UNITS

BG +7 for ONE UNIT

 

 

gl to all...

[GiantsRule 0]

I would bet the Hawaii OVER up to 80. BETCRIS doesn't have it (WTF?) so I haven't been able to.

 

Tonight:

 

Virginia -6 for TWO UNITS

BG +7 for ONE UNIT

gl to all...

 

Art, I know you've heard this from me COUNTLESS times before, but Olympic Sportsbook has the sides, totals, and quarter lines of pretty much every Division I-A game there is (including the Hawaii game). They are also a bit slower to adjust to gameday reactions (heavy money on a side, weather, etc.) And for the true degenerates: live in-game betting for select games.

 

Email me at BTC316@hotmail.com if you have any questions.

[Swanny1981 0]

Wow, what a brutal game to watch last night. It was like a minor league college football game. Too bad ULL's kicker couldn't just make us happy and make the easy field goal. Is it harassment to email him and ask him what happened?

 

Gotta keep on rolling. Tonight:

 

Virigina -6

3 Units

 

Long story short; Virginia is on the up and up, Carolina is going nowhere but down. I finally can play a team who is playing at home. I've had this game marked since Monday morning, and added a unit today. I smell a 10+ point victory by Virginia here, led by their 2 dimensional quarterback Jameel Sewell. Offense has matured the past few weeks. Even I-AA team Furman had no trouble moving the ball on Carolina. Come on, the Furman Paladins put up 43 points against them. What the hell is a paladin? Carolina's senior linebacker who leads the team in tackles is out for the game too. Carolina hasn’t won in Scott Stadium since 1981. Carolina has all but given up, fans were calling for the coaches resignation last week. All signs point to a Cavalier cover. Crack open a beer, sit back, relax and make a few bucks. Go Cavs!

[JetsFan28 0]

Wow, what a brutal game to watch last night. It was like a minor league college football game. Too bad ULL's kicker couldn't just make us happy and make the easy field goal. Is it harassment to email him and ask him what happened?

 

Gotta keep on rolling. Tonight:

 

Virigina -6

3 Units

 

Long story short; Virginia is on the up and up, Carolina is going nowhere but down. I finally can play a team who is playing at home. I've had this game marked since Monday morning, and added a unit today. I smell a 10+ point victory by Virginia here, led by their 2 dimensional quarterback Jameel Sewell. Offense has matured the past few weeks. Even I-AA team Furman had no trouble moving the ball on Carolina. Come on, the Furman Paladins put up 43 points against them. What the hell is a paladin? Carolina's senior linebacker who leads the team in tackles is out for the game too. Carolina hasn’t won in Scott Stadium since 1981. Carolina has all but given up, fans were calling for the coaches resignation last week. All signs point to a Cavalier cover. Crack open a beer, sit back, relax and make a few bucks. Go Cavs!

I know next to nothing about both of these teams, but I think I'm gonna go ahead and take your word on Virginia covering tonight. I don't know why, but it seems like a good idea.

[GiantsRule 0]

I'm kind of torn:

 

On one hand, Ditka, who is a major reason I have done so well this season, has said it's foolish to bet on any of the mid-week games this week because there is no real value.

 

On the other hand, I'm in a riduculous slump and desperate to get some of my winnings back and the VA-backers seem so sure.

 

One thing's for certain: I'm beginning to feel like whatever I do, the opposite will happen. If I take VA, they won't cover; if I sit out, they'll cover easily and I'll be kicking myself for not taking advantage.

 

Ah, the gambler's paradox.

[ToledoLurch 0]

Hi guys,

 

I have been reading these posts for the last several weeks, and I appreciate all the great info. I had a great weekend last weekend, thank you.

 

I don't understand why everyone is not all over Central Michigan. There seems to be a lot of MAC action on this site, and this should be an easy cover. CMU is 5-0 ATS the last five games and BGSU is terrible this year.

[dmaidlow73 0]

Hi guys,

 

I have been reading these posts for the last several weeks, and I appreciate all the great info. I had a great weekend last weekend, thank you.

 

I don't understand why everyone is not all over Central Michigan. There seems to be a lot of MAC action on this site, and this should be an easy cover. CMU is 5-0 ATS the last five games and BGSU is terrible this year.

 

I am absolutely with you on the Chippewas, if that is what they are even called anymore in the over PC world. BG is pretty banged up and I look for a dog game from them on the road.

[phillybear 363]

Overall College YTD: 137-122-4; +16.82 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 58-49-1; +18.12 units

CFL: 18-10; +16.55 units

 

Thursday

 

Central Michigan (-7) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Utah (-6) for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

Adding Utah 2nd H (-.5)@-115 for 1 unit LOSER

 

Central Michigan

 

Central Michigan is seeing 77% of the action.

 

BG averages 4.4 ypr vs teams that allow 4.2 ypr

BG completes 57.7% of passes vs teams that allow 57.9%

BG averages 5.0 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.0

BG allows 4.0 ypr vs teams that average 3.7 ypr

BG allows 63.6% passes to be completed by teams that average 59.8%

BG allows 5.0 yards per play vs teams that average 5.1

 

CM averages 3.8 ypr vs teams that allow 4.1

CM completes 59.5% passes vs teams that allow 60.3%

CM averages 5.4 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.6

CM allows 3.6 ypr vs teams that average 3.4 ypr

CM allows 63.7% passes to be completed by teams that average 58.7%

CM allows 5.1 yards per play vs teams that average 5.1

 

Central Michigan has been underrated for some time now, and as a result, a spread covering machine. Centr Mich is 7-0 ATS this year, 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games. They are 4-0 in conference games, cruising towards the division win and playing in the MAC championship game this year. And I have been betting on them most of the year. They certainly got my attention in their first game of year, going toe to toe with Boston College, losing by 7 in a closely contested game. After losing to Michigan, Centr Mich has won 5 of their last 6 games. The only loss was to Kentucky on the road, where CM outgained Kentucky 558 to 373, yet lost the game. But that game seemed to spring board Central Mich a bit, since they played that game with some significant injuries, and they bounced back to blow out Toledo at Toledo and beat Ball St last week, both double digit wins. Now, Toledo has been a dominant home team for many years, so beating them by 22 in the Glass Bowl is a bit surprising. Then holding the excellent offense of Ball St to only 7 points last week was a very good defensive effort. Centr Mich only scored 18 points last week (3 TDs, no conversions), but they were plagued by a ridiculous amount of penalties, which killed drives over and over and over again. I expect a better mental effort tonight. The Central Mich QB has gone 61-97 for 826 yards, 7 TDs, 1 INT in the last 3 games. Central Mich has lost the last 5 matchups between these two teams, and will be playing with meaningful revenge.

 

Bowling Green is in rebuilding mode, with 25 freshmen making contributions on the playing field, but is surprisingly 3-1 in the MAC. The problem is that they lost to first place Kent, and trail by a game and a half. It’s going to be hard to catch them. They are no longer the aerial assault offense led by Omar Jacobs, but are now a running team, and they are doing it pretty well, 16th nationally. And Bowling Green is a much better team with QB Turner under center, as he has had injury issues this year.

 

Central Mich has been on a roll this year, and seems to me to be the more impressive team this year, not necessarily statistically, but by effort on the field. I feel that Centr Mich has played a tougher schedule so far. Since playing Boston College and Michigan, they have averaged over 406 yards of offense per game. They have held all of their MAC opponents to 21 points or less, and if they do so tonight, they should probably win and cover. Lay the lumber.

 

Utah

 

Utah is seeing 59% of the action

 

UT averages 4.2 ypr vs teams that allow 3.8 ypr

UT completes 51.2% of passes vs teams that allow 57.9%

UT averages 5.1 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.4

UT allows 3.1 ypr vs teams that average 3.7 ypr

UT allows 57.6% passes to be completed by teams that average 61.1%

UT allows 4.7 yards per play vs teams that average 5.0

 

NM averages 2.7 ypr vs teams that allow 3.7

NM completes 49.3% passes vs teams that allow 61.0%

NM averages 4.6 yards per play vs teams that allow 5.4

NM allows 3.3 ypr vs teams that average 3.6 ypr

NM allows 61.0% passes to be completed by teams that average 61.9%

NM allows 5.0 yards per play vs teams that average 5.4

 

Utah is a bit of disappointment this year, but are still good enough to earn a bowl bid. Their offense has been shaky vs very good defenses, and the Utah defense has been pretty good most of the year. The three good defense that Utah faced, UCLA, Boise St, and Wyoming, all three defenses are among the best in the nation, have shut down the Utah offense. But in all games vs mediocre to poor defense, Utah’s offense has played well, won, and covered the spread, winning each game by 45-7, 48-0, 38-7, and 20-7 (over TCU). So is this New Mexico team closer to UCLA, Boise St and Wyoming, or closer to Northern Arizona, Utah St, San Diego St, and TCU. I say the later.

 

The New Mexico is rebuilding this year, losing their QB, RB, and top WR from last year, so as a result, the offense is pretty dam bad. Awful production, awful stats. They haven’t topped 280 yards of offense in their last 5 games, and that 280 game went to overtime. Most of their scoring and/or scoring opportunities have been a direct result of turnovers. The offensive line isn’t getting any push, and the running game is mostly non-existent. The QB is shaky. I don’t see them scoring much against the solid Utah defense. New Mexico is only 1-3 SU at home this year.

 

To me, this looks like another very beatable opponent for Utah, which has lost consecutive conference games only once since 2002. I like Utah to win comfortably. Lay the lumber.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Seriously I wouldn't lay the lumber on any of these games tonight.

 

Utah is not the program that it once was. New Mexico could hang in for a while tonight.

 

Virginia has had some ridiculous scoring droughts this year where they couldn't trip and make a first down. And they are poorly coached IMO. North Carolina sucks in every way.

 

Central Michigan/Bowling Green is actually the best play to handicap tonight and they are the lesser known schools. Bowling Green has very little experience and no depth. Central Michigan has been great ATS.

 

If someone forced me to play tonight I would look at:

 

Central Michigan and the under

Virginia and the under

Utah

 

Good luck all!