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beefy1

***Official College Football Wagering Thread*** 11/7

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I have actually upgraded my Boise play to 10 units. Everything else is 5.

 

Go Boise! I have the 1H (my plays on page 5). I think my plays match yours more often than philly's. Tell philly that we all need to stay together and we'll have more days like today :thumbsup:

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Go Boise! I have the 1H (my plays on page 5). I think my plays match yours more often than philly's. Tell philly that we all need to stay together and we'll have more days like today :thumbsup:

 

Yeah, I'm not too crazy about philly fading many of Ditka's plays. But you gotta respect a gambler that does his own thing and thinks for himself!

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Why is everyone on Navy??

Am i missing something? Thats a lot of points to cover on the road

 

I am one of the loner who's not on Navy's side. The line is moving up and up. Too much money on Navy side. Vegas ain't gonna like this. I would go opposite.

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I'll put it this way, I just called The Greek and said "Id like to place a loser please" They said "Sure thing sir, which game would you prefer to lose on this evening" I said "Feel free to pick one" They said "How about the CM/WM Over sir" I said "That sounds great"

 

We reconfirmed one loss on the call and hung up the phone...

I've seen guys do worse, this hobby tends to do that to a good man when it gets rough....

 

Good Luck!! :banana:

 

 

Dr Bob? When its all said and done, find someone who can post a 2 month record of 81-22-6 and be able to predict when they will lose....I must have been kicked by a mule or ate paint chips as a kid.

 

Good luck tomorrow!! :pointstosky:

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Sorry guys im drunk here.,....

 

My morning plays...putting my money where my mouth is HUGE (as punishment to myself for spouting off)

 

West Virginia TEAM TOTAL OVER 32.5. - They are now back in the picture with the Louisville loss since they face Rutgers in 2 weeks, time to impress.....

 

Oklahoma State TEAM TOTAL OVER 37.5 - Nothing more than I think they want to spank someone out of frustration from that Texas game lsat week...

 

Good Luck!! :banana:

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I am one of the loner who's not on Navy's side. The line is moving up and up. Too much money on Navy side. Vegas ain't gonna like this. I would go opposite.

 

 

I agree 100%. I will not touch Navy, and am tempted to go oppo here.

Eastern Michigan is at home, getting 14.5 pts(love the hook) and is seeing ONLY 5% of the public.

 

Ive convinced myself(I rarely go against Philly) that I am taking Eastern Michigan today.

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I hope I don't see a suckers bet here. There was a delay on the line coming out until last night.

 

Sat 11/11 323 Wisconsin -2 -122 OVER 38

09:00 AM 324 Iowa +2 +112 UNDER 38

 

I like the Badgers -2 for at least 5 units....make it 6.

 

That almost cleans me out. I've had a couple of bad weeks starting with Louis. beating WV. So then this week I take Louis. -6 to Rutgers and get popped on that. I've been a no show those weeks for the Sat. games, just to pissed. I need to mellow out and come together and get some good action with you guys this week.

 

Let me know what you think of my choices here, I'll keep it short.

 

Sat 11/11 345 Tennessee U +5.5 +196 OVER 47

11:00 AM 346 Arkansas -5.5 -222 UNDER 47

 

Tenn +5.5 for 2 units

 

Sat 11/11 367 Notre Dame -11.5 -430 OVER 56

01:00 PM 368 Air Force +11.5 +370 UNDER 56

 

For some reason I just like the Falcons and the +11.5 for a unit.

 

I hope I don't see a suckers bet here. There was a delay on the line coming out until last night.

 

Sat 11/11 323 Wisconsin -2 -122 OVER 38

09:00 AM 324 Iowa +2 +112 UNDER 38

 

I like the Badgers -2 for at least 5 units....make it 6.

 

That almost cleans me out. I've had a couple of bad weeks starting with Louis. beating WV. So then this week I take Louis. -6 to Rutgers and get popped on that. I've been a no show those weeks for the Sat. games, just to pissed. I need to mellow out and come together and get some good action with you guys this week.

 

Let me know what you think of my choices here, I'll keep it short.

 

Sat 11/11 345 Tennessee U +5.5 +196 OVER 47

11:00 AM 346 Arkansas -5.5 -222 UNDER 47

 

Tenn +5.5 for 2 units

 

Sat 11/11 367 Notre Dame -11.5 -430 OVER 56

01:00 PM 368 Air Force +11.5 +370 UNDER 56

 

For some reason I just like the Falcons and the +11.5 for a unit.

 

Wow, both games (Tenn/Ark and ND/ AF) went up +1 full point on the spread!!

 

I'm locked in on the Badger game giving 2. Hard to pass up these other two, what you think?? :pointstosky:

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I loved the Wisconsin game until Stocco's shoulder came into question. There is no way I could say that Wiscsonsin will win with confidence knowing that the status of my starting quarterback is questionable.

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I loved the Wisconsin game until Stocco's shoulder came into question. There is no way I could say that Wiscsonsin will win with confidence knowing that the status of my starting quarterback is questionable.

 

:cry: That spells trouble. I just hope their defense has a good game.

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Sorry guys im drunk here.,....

 

My morning plays...putting my money where my mouth is HUGE (as punishment to myself for spouting off)

 

West Virginia TEAM TOTAL OVER 32.5. - They are now back in the picture with the Louisville loss since they face Rutgers in 2 weeks, time to impress.....

 

Oklahoma State TEAM TOTAL OVER 37.5 - Nothing more than I think they want to spank someone out of frustration from that Texas game lsat week...

 

Good Luck!! :cry:

 

Added these to my card. I hope the hot stay hot and I catch fire because I've followed my best weekend ever with one of the worst slumps I've ever had.

 

Hopefully, being away from in-game betting and halftime wagers will prevent me from doing anything too stupid.

 

Good luck to all! :pointstosky:

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BETTING TRENDS

 

SYRACUSE

 

Syracuse is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

Syracuse is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Syracuse's last 13 games

Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Syracuse is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 6 games on the road

 

SOUTH FLORIDA

 

South Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

South Florida is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF

 

SYRACU 3-6 7-2 4-5 19.11 24.00

 

S.FLA 6-3 5-3 2-5-1 24.00 17.00

 

Syracuse 7-2 ATS is pretty good. I stay away from this game.

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Overall College YTD: 203-170-4; +50.47 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 98-71; +62.22 units

CFL: 21-13; +15.95 units

NBA: 23-20-1; +3.25 units

NCAA baskets: 8-9; -3.2 units

NFL (Reset, last three weeks): 22-20-1; +.75 units

 

All for 1 unit unless indicated otherwise. Subject to change. In time order.

 

Saturday Early

 

Minnesota (-1.5) WINNER

Illinois (-3) LOSER

Iowa (+2) LOSER

North Carolina (+13) WINNER

North Carolina St (+18) WINNER

Oklahoma St (-17) WINNER

Navy (-15) for 2 units WINNER!!

Marshall (+7) LOSER

Tulane (+4.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

Utah (-12.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

SMU (+3) for 2 units LOSER!!

Pittsburgh (-7.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

Miami Fla (Moneyline@+140) LOSER

Kent (+30.5) WINNER

Washington (-19) LOSER

Florida (-13) LOSER

California (-13.5) LOSER

Air Force (+11.5) LOSER

Florida Atlantic (M/L@+145) LOSER

North Texas (+11) WINNER

New Mexico (+7) for 2 units WINNER!!

San Jose St (+14) for 2 units WINNER!!

UCLA (Moneyline@+110) WINNER

 

Saturday Early Summary:

Overall: 11-12; -1.2 units

2 unit plays or higher: 4-3; +1.4 units

 

 

Saturday Later

 

Boston College (-29) for 2 units LOSER!!

Tennessee (+6) LOSER

Florida International (-2.5) LOSER

Alabama (+18) for 2 units WINNER!!

Central Florida (-2.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

Kansas St (+16) for 2 units WINNER!!

San Diego St (-9,-10) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

San Diego St 2nd H (-3) for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

Arizona St (+1) WINNER

Oregon (+8,+9.5) for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

Hawaii (-37.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

 

NBA

Chicago (-7) WINNER

 

NCAA

U Mass (-22.5) WINNER

Miami OH (-7) LOSER

Miami Fla (-15) for 2 units WINNER!!

DePaul (-3) for 2 units LOSER!!

Washington St (-3.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

Toledo (+8.5) LOSER

IUPUI (+7.5) WINNER

Cal Poly Slo (-3) PUSH

Oregon St (-9) for 2 units LOSER!!

Jacksonville St (+5) LOSER

 

Good luck to all.

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Everywhere I look folks are all over Tennessee. Not spooked by the backup QB who has never started a game, on the road at a pretty good Arkansas team?

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HUGE Bucky Homer here, and I highly suggest you tread carefully with this one. No Doubt that Wisconsin is the much, MUCH better team, but things just dont seem to be lining up for me. With or without Stocco, especially without.

Not to mention I rarely EVER take a home dog that is getting less than 20% Public.(Which Iowa is...)

 

Steer Clear!

FUKKEM BUCKY!!!(I suggest the over if you feel the need to play it...)

 

 

I hope I don't see a suckers bet here. There was a delay on the line coming out until last night.

 

Sat 11/11 323 Wisconsin -2 -122 OVER 38

09:00 AM 324 Iowa +2 +112 UNDER 38

 

I like the Badgers -2 for at least 5 units....make it 6.

 

That almost cleans me out. I've had a couple of bad weeks starting with Louis. beating WV. So then this week I take Louis. -6 to Rutgers and get popped on that. I've been a no show those weeks for the Sat. games, just to pissed. I need to mellow out and come together and get some good action with you guys this week.

 

Let me know what you think of my choices here, I'll keep it short.

 

Sat 11/11 345 Tennessee U +5.5 +196 OVER 47

11:00 AM 346 Arkansas -5.5 -222 UNDER 47

 

Tenn +5.5 for 2 units

 

Sat 11/11 367 Notre Dame -11.5 -430 OVER 56

01:00 PM 368 Air Force +11.5 +370 UNDER 56

 

For some reason I just like the Falcons and the +11.5 for a unit.

Wow, both games (Tenn/Ark and ND/ AF) went up +1 full point on the spread!!

 

I'm locked in on the Badger game giving 2. Hard to pass up these other two, what you think?? :D

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Air Force looks like a pretty good play, I hear its supposed to rain.

 

Good Luck!! :D

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Air Force is a good play with or without rain.....

 

 

Some of my early, stronger plays(home dogs getting less than 20% public)

 

Big Red Machine @ Iowa +2(although I would never bet against my Badgers) 19%

 

GTech @ North Carolina +14, 17%

 

Navy @ Eastern Michigan +15.5, 5%!!!!!

 

Notre Dame @ Air Force +11.5, 19%

 

California @ Arizona +13.5, 17%

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Air Force is a good play with or without rain.....

Some of my early, stronger plays(home dogs getting less than 20% public)

 

Big Red Machine @ Iowa +2(although I would never bet against my Badgers) 19%

 

GTech @ North Carolina +14, 17%

 

Navy @ Eastern Michigan +15.5, 5%!!!!!

 

Notre Dame @ Air Force +11.5, 19%

 

California @ Arizona +13.5, 17%

 

 

Thanks for that...my hangover is too brutal today to prognosticate. Im going to play Air Force and possibly piggybcak some of Ditkas plays today...gimme some winners HD!!

 

Good Luck!! :banana:

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I am one of the loner who's not on Navy's side. The line is moving up and up. Too much money on Navy side. Vegas ain't gonna like this. I would go opposite.

 

 

Opened at 11 up to 16 now

 

Air Force is a good play with or without rain.....

Some of my early, stronger plays(home dogs getting less than 20% public)

 

Big Red Machine @ Iowa +2(although I would never bet against my Badgers) 19%

 

GTech @ North Carolina +14, 17%

 

Navy @ Eastern Michigan +15.5, 5%!!!!!

 

Notre Dame @ Air Force +11.5, 19%

 

California @ Arizona +13.5, 17%

 

 

Just so you guys know about eastern Michigan, they may play at home, but they only get about 4-5 thousand people at their games

 

Also Iowa sucks, Northwestern blew them out last week.. I mean they looked pathetic last week.

 

I am still going to play Wisconsin

 

My Wisconsin line just dropped to +1.5 Looks like some action is starting to go with Iowa

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Opened at 11 up to 16 now

Just so you guys know about eastern Michigan, they may play at home, but they only get about 4-5 thousand people at their games

 

Also Iowa sucks, Northwestern blew them out last week.. I mean they looked pathetic last week.

 

I am still going to play Wisconsin

 

My Wisconsin line just dropped to +1.5 Looks like some action is starting to go with Iowa

I agree, I would stay away from Navy in this one.

I think Wisconsin will cover, but because of the heavy money on them, I would only include them in a teaser.

AF seems like a good one - I have to think about jumping on the bandwagon first though.

 

Rutgers +7 Win

Buffalo + 17.5 Win

UTEP +2 Win

I'm giddy

Now:

San Jose St +14

New Mex +7

Tenn +6

Oreg +9

Penn St -26/Mich -9.5/Wisc +8 Teaser

Wisc +4/NC St +23.5 Teaser

E Car -1/Houston +3 Teaser

Wake + 14.5/Memphis +9 Teaser

Once I see how I get out of the gates I' going to do a bunch of 2-team teasers with he later games.

Already have the Ravens -7 for tomorrow too.

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BuffaloU +17.5 Result: Wager Won

Rutgers +6 Result: Wager Won

 

Result: Wager Lost

1Louisville (1stHalf) 25

1Rutgers (1stHalf) 14

Under 25.5 (-115)

 

 

TennesseeU Arkansas Over 46.5

BoiseSt SanJoseSt BoiseSt -13.5

Wisconsin Iowa Wisconsin -1.5

 

BoiseSt

SanJoseSt

BoiseSt -3.5

 

Michigan

Indiana

Michigan -9

 

Navy(N)

EMichigan(N)

Navy(N) -6

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Final games before games start.

 

UTEP +2 3 units WINNER

Parlay: UTEP 2H +3 & Atl Falcons ML 1 unit to win 1.22 units

Parlay: UTEP 2H +3 & Broncos ML & Ravens ML 1 unit to win 1.81 units

Parlay: Broncos ML & Georgia Tech 2H -6.5 & Mich St. 2H u27.5 1 unit to win 3.32 unitsLOSER

Central Michigan -6 2 units WINNER

Navy -12.5 2 units WINNER

Navy 2H -4 2 units WINNER

Maryland -3 1 unit LOSER

Houston -5 2 unitsWINNER

Louisville -6.5 2 unitsLOSER

Louisville 1H -3.5 2 units WINNER

Louisville 2H -3 1 unit LOSER

Wyoming +19 2 units LOSER

Wyoming 1H +10.5 2 units LOSER

Wyoming 2H +7 1 unit LOSER

Purdue ML 2 units WINNER

Colorado St. +14 2 units WINNER

Minnesota U. -2 2 units WINNER

Central Florida -2.5 2 units LOSER

Central Florida -3 3 units LOSER

Central Florida 1H -1.5 4 units LOSER

Notre Dame -11.5 1 unit WINNER

Notre Dame 2H -3 1 unit LOSER

TCU -8 2 units 1 unit LOSER

TCU 2H -0.5 1 unit LOSER

California -13.5 4 unitsLOSER

California 1H -7 4 units WINNER

California 2H -6 2 units LOSER

Boise State -13.5 2 units LOSER

Boise State 1H -7 2 units LOSER

Indiana +19 2 units LOSER

Wisconsin -1 1 unit WINNER

Wisconsin 2H o21 1 unit LOSER

Washington St. PK 1 unit LOSER

Washington St. 1H u26 LOSER

Washington St. u49 1 unit LOSER

Tennessee +5.5 1 unit LOSER

Buffalo +16 2 units WINNER

South Florida -10 1 unit WINNER

South Florida 2H -3 1 unit WINNER

Kentucky -2 2 units WINNER

New Mexico St. 2H +7.5 1 unit WINNER

UCLA -1 1 unit WINNER

Hawaii -37.5 1 unit WINNER

Hawaii 1H -21.5 2 units LOSER

Hawaii 2H -17.5 1 unit WINNER

Oregon +10 3 units LOSER

Texas Tech 2H +6 1 unit LOSER

USC 2H -3 10 units WINNER

USC 2H -3.5 5 units WINNER

 

 

 

NCAAF YTD: 110-70-2

+56.09 units

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YTD College 117-57-9 (+82.5 units)

 

5 Unit Plays unless noted below

 

Boise St -13.5 10 Units (They want to be noticed so I expect a large margin of victory here)

Boise St -7 1st half LOSS

Texas Tech +9

Cincy/WV over 46 WIN

South FL/Syracuse over 39 LOSS

Navy -14.5 WIN

Minnesota -2 WIN

LaTech/Hawaii under 76 <----overrated offense

Air Force +11.5 LOSS

SMU +3 LOSS

Tenn/Arkansas over 46.5

Indiana +19 LOSS

Northwestern +23 LOSS

Pittsburgh -7.5 LOSS

Wisconsin -2 WIN

Oregon +9 <----------Consensus play

 

Added Pitt. and a couple others and I don't think Philly and I fade each others picks. We just stick with our system and let it ride. I power rank teams every week and look for gaps in lines, home field, o/u, weather, last years results, injuries. That is why I suck so bad midweek!!!! I don't stick with my system.

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Michigan State, aka "the team that doesn't care", with the early 7-0 lead off a blocked punt. Fantastic! :cry: :( :cry:

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Rutgers +7 Win

Buffalo + 17.5 Win

UTEP +2 Win

I'm giddy

Now:

San Jose St +14

New Mex +7

Tenn +6

Oreg +9

Penn St -26/Mich -9.5/Wisc +8 Teaser

Wisc +4/NC St +23.5 Teaser

E Car -1/Houston +3 Teaser

Wake + 14.5/Memphis +9 Teaser

Last minute addition:

WVa -19

Back later - watching the lines

GL

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Baylor is getting 18 points vs Okie st??

 

 

Anyone getting on that one?

 

 

Seems like a lot of points for OSu to cover

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Michigan State, aka "the team that doesn't care", with the early 7-0 lead off a blocked punt. Fantastic! :cry: :( :cry:

 

Michigan State ready to score again and we're not five minutes in.

 

W. Virginia misses a FG after a nice drive, killing two plays: Game total over and team over

 

A fitting way to start Saturday. Eccchhh!

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Opened the week with:

 

Rutgers +6.5 vs L'ville

 

Here's my Saturday selections:

 

Iowa +1.5 vs Wisc

 

OU -9 vs Tx Tech

 

Baylor +18 @ Ok St

 

Tx A&M +1.5 vs Nebraska

 

Fla -13.5 vs So Car

 

UGA +12.5 @ Aub

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JT, Tennessee homer here. Jonathan Crompton will be just fine. He played very well in the LSU game, and I expect nothing less against Arkansas. He's loaded with talent and has been in the system for a year now. And, by the way, do you remember what happened last time a Tennessee QB made his first ever road start? True freshman Erik Ainge won 19-14 as a 13.5 point underdog at #3 Georgia.

 

Philly, you're on 6 of my plays, and have no opinions on two others (Vandy and NMST). However, I was thinking about playing Wazzu, and seeing you and one of the good Covers cappers both on ASU is probably going to scare me off. Can you give me any reasons for that play, because it confuses me a bit?

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Michigan State ready to score again and we're not five minutes in.

 

W. Virginia misses a FG after a nice drive, killing two plays: Game total over and team over

 

A fitting way to start Saturday. Eccchhh!

 

 

Drew is out I guess Hoyer is in

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JT, Tennessee homer here. Jonathan Crompton will be just fine. He played very well in the LSU game, and I expect nothing less against Arkansas. He's loaded with talent and has been in the system for a year now. And, by the way, do you remember what happened last time a Tennessee QB made his first ever road start? True freshman Erik Ainge won 19-14 as a 13.5 point underdog at #3 Georgia.

 

Philly, you're on 6 of my plays, and have no opinions on two others (Vandy and NMST). However, I was thinking about playing Wazzu, and seeing you and one of the good Covers cappers both on ASU is probably going to scare me off. Can you give me any reasons for that play, because it confuses me a bit?

Didn't Crompton play for Ainge when Ainge got hurt last year?

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hey philly, why did you take SMU? Any more reason besides Dr Bob? I'm originally from Houston and they've always been pretty good at putting up points this year. I guess they have a horrible record away.

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No, he redshirted last year. Crompton is a freshman. He played last week against LSU.

Thanks. It must have been a year or 2 ago when Ainge went down, another guy stepped up well. I agree with you though that Tenn looks good w/6 pts

 

hey philly, why did you take SMU? Any more reason besides Dr Bob? I'm originally from Houston and they've always been pretty good at putting up points this year. I guess they have a horrible record away.

I agree. I think Dr Bob's getting too much respect on this one. I like Houston -3 too, indeedy-do.

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Aside from the Illinois game, Wisconsin has been a machine. What is the story on Stocco's shoulder? He got banged up last week and was replaced by the back-up late in the game.

 

Leaning towards:

 

Minnesota -1.5

Wisconsin -2 (assuming Stocco plays)

Eastern Michigan +15

Iowas St. +8.5

Illinois -3

Rice +14

UConn +8

 

Added:

 

Michigan -19

Northwestern +23

Arkansas -5.5

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Thanks. It must have been a year or 2 ago when Ainge went down, another guy stepped up well. I agree with you though that Tenn looks good w/6 pts

 

Ah, yes, it was two years ago, Jimmy Clausen stepped in and lost the game against Notre Dame. He did well for the rest of the season though. He graduated last year.

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Philly, you're on 6 of my plays, and have no opinions on two others (Vandy and NMST). However, I was thinking about playing Wazzu, and seeing you and one of the good Covers cappers both on ASU is probably going to scare me off. Can you give me any reasons for that play, because it confuses me a bit?

 

In a game with tons of WR injury issues for both teams, players out, Arizona St is the better running team. I'm taking the small home dog with the better chance to move the ball.

 

 

hey philly, why did you take SMU? Any more reason besides Dr Bob? I'm originally from Houston and they've always been pretty good at putting up points this year. I guess they have a horrible record away.

 

Wrong team is favored. Huge let down spot for Houston. Big time emotional upset win last week for Houston, in Kolb's final home game. SMU 11-4 ATS at home. SMU is 4-1 ATS in conference games. SMU is 4-0 SU at home. SMU needs this game to become bowl eligible. Houston is 1-2 on the road, and the win was by one point over Rice in week one.

 

I agree 100%. I will not touch Navy, and am tempted to go oppo here.

Eastern Michigan is at home, getting 14.5 pts(love the hook) and is seeing ONLY 5% of the public.

 

Ive convinced myself(I rarely go against Philly) that I am taking Eastern Michigan today.

 

Eastern Mich is terrible at stopping the run. Technical mismatch, the way Navy runs the ball.

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