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beefy1

***Official College Football Wagering Thread*** 11/7

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If Doctor Knob is on Rutgers than my money is bet in the right place, with Louisville. I am still waiting for him to come here and post with the big boys!

i read a write up on covers about dr. bob, whats the big deal about him? ive never heard of him before.

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Overall College YTD: 198-168-4; +35.97 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 94-69; +48.72 units

CFL: 21-13; +15.95 units

Overall NBA: 20-17-1; +2.75 units

NCAA baskets: 1-0; +1.0 units

NHL: 3-4; -3.0 units

NFL (Reset, last two weeks): 22-20-1; +.75 units

 

Thursday

 

Buffalo (+) for 1 unit

Rutgers (+) for 2 units

Wyoming(+) for 2 units

 

 

Much like taking Air Force over Army last week, because I hated that Army team, I really hate this underachieving Akron team. They entered this year as the defending MAC champions, had a decent core of players back including QB Luke Getsy, and were expected to challenge for the MAC title again this year. They even upset NC St on the road the second game of the year. But they have been wildly inconsistent, their defense has been much worse than last year. They are 4-5, and need to win two games. But since they play Ohio U and West Mich in their last two games, I suspect Akron realizes that they are cooked, and their season is officially dead. Meanwhile Buffalo is a back door kind of team, trying hard in every game, and moving the ball up and down the field in second halves of games. They would have more points in the first halves of games, but they have had some issues with turnovers. Last week, they ended a 7 games losing streak by forcing 5 Kent turnovers in a stunning blow out win, and they certainly enter this game with more momentum, as Akron blew a double digit lead late to Bowling Green, fresh off a loss to Temple, and BG had a chance to tie the game as time ran out. Buffalo has covered their first four games, then played up and down based on turnovers. They had a couple of blow out losses mixed in to Ball St, Ohio U, and Boston College. Make no mistake, Buffalo could lose this game by 50. But they could also win this game outright. This is the first national TV game for Buffalo in some time, and they will have more enthusiasm, despite having less talent. Will it be enough? I have been fading Akron for weeks now. I’ll do it again.

did you know there starting QB drew willy is out?

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Updated plays...

 

UTEP +2 3 units WINNER

Parlay: UTEP 2H +3 & Atl Falcons ML 1 unit to win 1.22 units

Parlay: UTEP 2H +3 & Broncos ML & Ravens ML 1 unit to win 1.81 units

Central Michigan -6 2 units WINNER

Navy -12.5 2 units

Houston -5 2 units

Louisville -6.5 2 units

Louisville 1H -3.5 2 units WINNER

Louisville 2H -3 1 unit LOSER

Wyoming +19 2 units LOSER

Wyoming 1H +10.5 2 units LOSER

Wyoming 2H +7 1 unit LOSER

Purdue ML 2 units

Colorado St. +14 2 units

Minnesota U. -2 2 units

Central Florida -2.5 2 units

Notre Dame -11.5 2 units

TCU -8 2 units

California -13.5 4 units

California 1H -7 4 units

Boise State -13.5 2 units

Boise State 1H -7 2 units

Indiana +19 2 units

Wisconsin -1 2 units

Tennessee +5.5 1 unit

Buffalo +16 2 units WINNER

South Florida -10 1 unit

Kentucky -2 2 units

 

 

 

 

 

NCAAF YTD: 110-70-2

+56.09 units

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Predict tonights score everyone and let's see who comes the closest tomorrow. Since we all have been living in this thread every week.

 

Louisville- 36

Rutgers- 17

 

I know you mean 34-17 or 36-15 or 34-14? Noticing a pattern here? Let's keep predictions below 51 points please!

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did you know there starting QB drew willy is out?

 

His replacement started last week and they won 41-14, so he can't be any worse. From the looks of it, he may be better that this Willy character.... I'm not touching that game anyway, but I thought I would add my $.02.

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Does anybody have strong feelings against/for the Under if you can get it in the 50s?

 

If I had to...id play under

 

Predict tonights score everyone and let's see who comes the closest tomorrow. Since we all have been living in this thread every week.

 

Louisville- 36

Rutgers- 17

 

 

My prediction is Louisville scores 23-26 points, Rutgers 17-20....so ill say:

 

Louisville -23

Rutgers -17

 

Good Luck!! :pointstosky:

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If I had to...id play under

My prediction is Louisville scores 23-26 points, Rutgers 17-20....so ill say:

 

Louisville -23

Rutgers -17

 

Good Luck!! :dunno:

If your score happens I will jump off the ledge losing 8 units by a half of a point!

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Predict tonights score everyone and let's see who comes the closest tomorrow. Since we all have been living in this thread every week.

 

Louisville- 36

Rutgers- 17

 

Rutgers 27

Louisville 24

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phillybear, who are some of the respectable cappers on covers.com? if you dont mind could you list a couple off the top of your head?

 

I couldn't really say. I read many of the threads for information. Hawaiiguy is pretty good handicapping Hawaii games, and I read The Garfarthers Underdog thread, as there is always good info there. But I don't really pay attention to who is doing good or bad.

 

 

i read a write up on covers about dr. bob, whats the big deal about him? ive never heard of him before.

 

He is a handicapper that sells picks, but his writeups leak out on the internet. Last year, he hit about 75% of his best bets in college football, and he is over .500 each of the last few years, including this year.

 

The problem is that his picks this year are moving lines because some syndicates, basically groups of sharp bettors who wager very large amounts of money, are betting all of his games as soon as he puts them out on Thursdays. And that is moving the lines on those games. Most of the time this year, the line moves haven't affected whether he won or lost on his picks. Most of the time.

 

His writeups are mathematicaly thorough, and I enjoy reading them, to see if I agree with his assessment. I usually end up playing his games, as I typically liked those games as well.

 

Last week, he went 3-2 on his games. The problem is that the more people that follow him, the more likely that his good run will come to an end. Exposure like that can only lead to doom. Tread carefully following him.

 

 

did you know there starting QB drew willy is out?

 

Yes, which is a good thing, as Paoli has put up better numbers.

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If your score happens I will jump off the ledge losing 8 units by a half of a point!

 

 

Last time I entertained the thought of betting a Rutgers game, I was going to take Pitt and decided not to fade you thankfully.....be wrong tonight Ditka!!

 

The Greek has the live lines up for this game already...here I thought that I was the anxious one for the game to start...

 

Good Luck!! :cheers:

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Straight Wager 11/09/06 17:38 ET

5.00/5.00 Result: Pending

Louisville

Rutgers 11/09/06 (19:35 ET)

Rutgers +6 (Even)

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I am going to keep waiting on the Rutgers line, to see if it goes up to 6.5. Maybe buy it to 7. Maybe.

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I am going to keep waiting on the Rutgers line, to see if it goes up to 6.5. Maybe buy it to 7. Maybe.

 

 

As posted above I got only the 6 points, but got it straight up

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Im not going ot predict a score....

 

Just know that if Louisville doesnt cover the -6.5 that there will be one man in Iowa that will be putting down a fifth of Captain Morgan tonight and will most likely be out at 3 AM naked yelling at the trees wondering why UL couldnt score any points.

 

So......there ya go

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Might as well lock in these games early, as these lines are still moving.

 

New Mexico (+7) for 2 units

San Jose St (+14) for 2 units

 

By the way, Dr's picks, and why the lines moved on these game...

4stars: New Mexico, San Jose St

3stars: Rutgers, SMU, Kansas St

2stars: UTEP, Boston College, Central Flor, San Diego St, Pittsburgh

Opinion: Navy

 

If I take any of the others, I will wait because there is no point in locking in the lines right now.

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Im not going ot predict a score....

 

Just know that if Louisville doesnt cover the -6.5 that there will be one man in Iowa that will be putting down a fifth of Captain Morgan tonight and will most likely be out at 3 AM naked yelling at the trees wondering why UL couldnt score any points.

 

So......there ya go

 

If L'ville doesn't cover you will see that in Chicago as well!!!! :unsure:

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Might as well lock in these games early, as these lines are still moving.

 

New Mexico (+7) for 2 units

San Jose St (+14) for 2 units

 

By the way, Dr's picks, and why the lines moved on these game...

4stars: New Mexico, San Jose St

3stars: Rutgers, SMU, Kansas St

2stars: UTEP, Boston College, Central Flor, San Diego St, Pittsburgh

Opinion: Navy

 

If I take any of the others, I will wait because there is no point in locking in the lines right now.

 

I feel better now.. i'm always going against Dr. Bob. :unsure: So far so good.

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Adding for Thursday...

 

NCAA

 

St Bonaventure (-3.5) for 1 unit

Alcorn St (+28.5) for 1 unit

 

NHL

 

Under TB/Pitt (6)@105 for 1 unit

Dallas (-1.5)@+165 for 1 unit

Columbus M/L@+115 for 1 unit

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After watching that Thursday night game between Louisville and West Virginia last week. It seemed like neither team knew the basics of defense. The quarterback of WV would just hike the ball and run for 1st downs all night. He'd give it to his running back to mix it up a little. West Virginia could not hang on to the ball either. It was popping out when nobody was hitting them. However, Louisville can't stop the run. Rutgers can run, as Pittsburgh found out. The question is, can Louisville pass effectively on Rutgers? I think they can. Rutgers is known for stopping the run, but this Louisville team actually has some decent passing plays. I think the sophistication of Louisville's passing will be too much for Rutger's defense to adjust to.

 

 

Final score:

 

Louisville 30

Rutgers 21

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2006 College betting record

129-110-6 +9.148 units

2+ plays 26-26-1 -.915 units

 

Louisville -5.5 LOSER

Wyoming +17.5 LOSER

 

 

Louisville 36

Rutgers 16

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phillybear, who are some of the respectable cappers on covers.com? if you dont mind could you list a couple off the top of your head?

 

 

I'm not Philly, buuuuuuuuut...

 

I always read Garfather's ML dogs thread. Don't really play ML dogs, but it's good some good info on the teams. And BoDogKilla is freaking on fire this year. He's winning like 80%. And CarolinaBlue has been doing very well this season too. I don't know how BDK and CB did last year though. Garfather has been doing this for quite a while.

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Rutgers 35

Louisville 27

 

Get ready fellas, and HD please dont jump from any tall buildings. Just lower your units, and then jump from a smaller point.....

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Straight Wager 11/09/06 18:41 ET

5.00/4.35 Result: Pending

1Louisville (1stHalf)

1Rutgers (1stHalf) 11/09/06 (19:50 ET)

Under 25.5 (-115)

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L'ville-Rutgers Under 52 (-120) - 2X play; really need this to hit to get over my mini slump

 

BYU Team Over 33 (-115)

 

Thankfully, missed the Buffalo-Akron game. Akron are my boys so I didn't want to bet against them, plus Buffalo is so f'ing bad, it's embarrassing.

 

As always, best of luck to you all!

 

:doublethumbsup:

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1st QTR, 5:03

Buffalo 3 3

Akron 14 14 :headbanger:

 

Buffalo is a second half team. Out scoring Kent 38-0.

 

Thats right I had Kent last week :doublethumbsup:

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Adding a 3 team parlay:

 

Blackhawks will take the ice with a new perspective tonight. They break the 7 game streak tonight. They had a 6 day minicamp since their last game. I think the fundamentals will be played well tonight by the Hawks.

 

BYU moneyline + Louisville moneyline + CHicago Blackhawks moneyline =$$$(4.5 to 1 payoff)

 

 

 

GULP............... Let's go teams

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Blocked Xtra point, and the offense is allowed to pick it up and score. Is that legal? :ninja:

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L'ville-Rutgers Under 52 (-120) - 2X play; really need this to hit to get over my mini slump

 

BYU Team Over 33 (-115)

 

Thankfully, missed the Buffalo-Akron game. Akron are my boys so I didn't want to bet against them, plus Buffalo is so f'ing bad, it's embarrassing.

 

As always, best of luck to you all!

 

:ninja:

 

:doublethumbsup: :cry: :cry:

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