Gallop Poll of Likely voters: Obama 49 McCain 47...

[posty 2,702]

At Drudge... Developing...

 

GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...

[BMoney 0]

Noooooooooooooooooooooooooo..it cant be I keep seeing in thread titles that its a landslide and all of the Obama folks say that its been over for weeks....

 

 

Obama better win for the sake of his party and other minorities who wish to run in the future..a lot is at stake...hes had a MONSTER lead....its as if hes the new england patriots...

 

got the looks that people like....smooth talker...cheaters...know their way around every lil corner....18-0...a perfect season.....

 

 

just 1 big game to go....either he pulls it off or it becomes 1 of the all time chokes...

[Rusty Syringes 478]

Noted.

 

Developing ...

[DAVID RUFFIN 2]

At Drudge... Developing...

 

GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...

 

 

This is getting more pathetic everyday. Keep fishing, I'm sure you'll get some bites.

[pimptastic69 0]

If Obama doesn't win, the Democratic party should just pack it in and call it a day. Seriously, Obama should have at least a 20 point lead right now.

[GettnHuge 2]

If Obama doesn't win, the Democratic party should just pack it in and call it a day. Seriously, Obama should have at least a 20 point lead right now.

 

It's a new overlooked block of voters. Plumber dads.

[Mungwater 597]

I bet there are also some people who have been saying they're going for Obama, who are going to change their tune when those curtains close.

[Recliner Pilot 61]

It's a new overlooked block of voters. Plumber dads.

 

Could be, but this poll was conducted on the 14th.....before the debate.

[GettnHuge 2]

Could be, but this poll was conducted on the 14th.....before the debate.

 

Stop spinning. What have you got against plumber dads>@?! :mad:

[itsbigmoni 1]

Right now on the website they have it at 49-43

[Recliner Pilot 61]

Right now on the website they have it at 49-43

 

You are looking at Registered voters. The 49-47 is Likely voters, which is more accurate.

[pimptastic69 0]

Right now on the website they have it at 49-43

 

That's still a pretty poor showing for Obama. A Fathead of Brett Favre could prolly do better. This election has pretty much been handed to Obama on a silver platter. The fact that it is still this close boggles my mind.

[IGotWorms 4,058]

That's still a pretty poor showing for Obama. A Fathead of Brett Favre could prolly do better. This election has pretty much been handed to Obama on a silver platter. The fact that it is still this close boggles my mind.

 

Well, if FFToday is any barometer, there are a lot of fockin' stupid people out there.

[Brad GLuckman 519]

Well, if FFToday is any barometer, there are a lot of fockin' stupid people out there.

Like these people?

[titans&bucs&bearsohmy! 2,745]

The electoral map is all that matters, and that isn't even close.

[GettnHuge 2]

drudge: AP/YAHOO Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%...

[DanXIII 8]

The electoral map is all that matters, and that isn't even close.

 

shhh...don't disturb the circle jerk.

[thetxstang 0]

Like these people?

 

Unbelievable. I'm never quite sure whether to or be when viewing such footage. Has our education system failed us to this degree?

[NewbieJr 541]

The only thing that could keep the general vote from being an absolute landslide would be if many of the Obama supporters get lazy and presumptuous and fail to vote, while the McCain supporters sense how badly he's getting crushed and go to the polls in huge numbers.

 

I saw it happen once before, when Chris Daughtry made an early exit on American Idol.

[thetxstang 0]

The following is an analysis from Gallup Daily of "Registered Voters" vs. "Likely Voters (Expanded)" vs. "Likely Voters (Traditional)." The data is from yesterday, October 16th.

 

1) Registered Voters -- 49% Obama / 43% McCain

 

2) Likely Voters (Expanded) -- 51% Obama / 45% McCain.

 

3) Likely Voters (Traditional) -- 49% Obama / 47% McCain

 

Note the two variations of "Likely Voters." The "Likely Voters (Expanded)" figures are based on current voting intentions only, whereas the "Likely Voters (Traditional)" figures are are based on current voting intentions and on and past voting behavior. The latter has "traditionally" shown a closer contest.

 

The Repubs are locked onto the '"Likely Voters (Traditional)" figures since that suits their cause. And there may be merit to it. Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.

 

My problem, to some degree, revolves around the "past voting behavior" portion. I believe past voting behaviors won't necessarily be as big a player as it has historically. There is more at stake this time around, and many more Americans have paid attention. Times have changed and election day voting should be a more active one on both sides of the aisle. At any rate, I believe the disparity of the popular votes come election day will indeed be closer than currently indicated.

 

As always, link.

[Uh-huh 0]

You folks are funny when you get desperate. Nice job creating a thread about an AP-Yahoo Internet poll started on October 3, 2008.

 

Don't you folks bother to check what you are linking to?

 

The survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanelSM, a probability-based Panel designed to be

representative of the U.S. population. Initially, participants are chosen scientifically by a random selection of

telephone numbers. Persons in selected households are then invited by telephone to participate in the webenabled

KnowledgePanelSM. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet access,

Knowledge Networks provides at no cost an Internet appliance and Internet service connection. People who

already have computers and Internet service are permitted to participate using their own equipment. Panelists

then receive unique log-in information for accessing surveys online, and then are sent emails three to four times

a month inviting them to participate in research.

 

You know those spam you get saying you can get money by filling out surveys?

[wiffleball 4,790]

Definitely agree that the electoral map is all that matters. If you get 48% of the people - and they're all located in KS, MT, etc., doesn't mean jack.

 

One other thing to add: The flaw here is that the people are contacted via landline. The majority of young (18-35) people don't even have one anymore. That's why polls like this tend to skew toward McCain.

 

If Virginia drops BO's way, this could be wild.

[titans&bucs&bearsohmy! 2,745]

Definitely agree that the electoral map is all that matters. If you get 48% of the people - and they're all located in KS, MT, etc., doesn't mean jack.

 

One other thing to add: The flaw here is that the people are contacted via landline. The majority of young (18-35) people don't even have one anymore. That's why polls like this tend to skew toward McCain.

 

If Virginia drops BO's way, this could be wild.

 

I would imagine that most of your inner city Black folks don't have landlines anymore either.

 

Then add the fact that most people aren't going to sit around and take a focking poll, especially in the middle of the day.

 

Who will sit around and answer poll questions on s landline in the afternoon? Cranky old ladies with sand in their vag. AKA McCain supporters.

[pimptastic69 0]

I would imagine that most of your inner city Black folks don't have landlines anymore either.

 

Then add the fact that most people aren't going to sit around and take a focking poll, especially in the middle of the day.

 

Who will sit around and answer poll questions on s landline in the afternoon? Cranky old ladies with sand in their vag. AKA McCain supporters.

 

The McCain supporters are prolly busy working.