Brvee 1 Posted August 7, 2021 Anybody know when the Big Boards will be up? I’m looking at you Football Guru… 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 9, 2021 Doug's got a lot on his plate right now, but I think the first installment may be coming pretty soon. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 10, 2021 Well, looky here. Big Board - Top 225, PPR Big Board - Top 225, Half PPR Big Board - Top 225, Non-PPR Big Board - Top 225, Superflex Big Board - Top 225, FFPC Big Board - Ks & D/STs Big Board - Top 175, PPR Big Board - Top 175, Non-PPR Big Board - Top 175, Superflex Big Board - Top 175, Half-Point PPR Big Board - Top 175, FFPC 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 11, 2021 On 8/7/2021 at 8:45 AM, Brvee said: Anybody know when the Big Boards will be up? I’m looking at you Football Guru… Hope this pleases the masses 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 11, 2021 I see that Henry as a cross next to his name, is that because of his work load the last two seasons? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 11, 2021 That’s a great job Guru, that’s also a lot of work. Thanks. When does the non ppr come out? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 11, 2021 12 hours ago, weepaws said: That’s a great job Guru, that’s also a lot of work. Thanks. When does the non ppr come out? Probably Friday? I'll try to wrap it up tomorrow. I'll be away for the weekend defending my title at the King's Classic in Ohio. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jrokh 569 Posted August 11, 2021 I can't contemplate a league where I would draft Ekeler before Henry, not even in ppr. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 787 Posted August 11, 2021 18 minutes ago, jrokh said: I can't contemplate a league where I would draft Ekeler before Henry, not even in ppr. LOL! He has Ekeler before Henry??? I never look at this crap--and that helps to remind me why. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 12, 2021 17 hours ago, jrokh said: I can't contemplate a league where I would draft Ekeler before Henry, not even in ppr. Neither would the other owners if you did that, good news, you don’t have to do so, you can pick Henry before Ekeler, as of today where still a free country, but it’s ending soon. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Brvee 1 Posted August 12, 2021 I’m curious as to why J. Herbert is ranked so low, comparable to rankings elsewhere. I just think everything would have to break perfectly for Brady and Stafford to out-perform him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TBayXXXVII 2,117 Posted August 12, 2021 23 minutes ago, Brvee said: I’m curious as to why J. Herbert is ranked so low, comparable to rankings elsewhere. I just think everything would have to break perfectly for Brady and Stafford to out-perform him. Guessing you're a Chargers fan. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 12, 2021 18 hours ago, The Football Guru said: Probably Friday? I'll try to wrap it up tomorrow. I'll be away for the weekend defending my title at the King's Classic in Ohio. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DrG 94 Posted August 12, 2021 I’m speculating but Doug must think the Chargers new OC will have Herbert trying to make Ekeler Kamara 2.0 and that Herbert isn’t going to be unleashing the cannon as often as he did last season. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 12, 2021 Guys, I'll try to answer some (maybe all) of the questions Sunday. I'll leave you with this for now. 1) History is not kind to 400-touch backs the following year. I think Henry can be an exception, but that is a "I'll believe it when I see it." I can't exactly predict an injury to Henry, but I think we have to consider it will happen sooner or later. 2) Todd Downing is not Arthur Smith. How much of a drop-off he will be is the question. Plus, I don't believe the Titans will rely so much on Henry now that they have Julio. 3) Henry is very TD-reliant. TDs are highly unpredictable. Can he get 20 in this offense? Sure. Do I want to bet on it? Not so much. If the Titans pass more like I think they will, more of those TDs could be going to Brown/Julio Firkser. 4) Darrynton Evans was drafted last year to take some of the load off Henry. He could not stay healthy. Getting him even five touches per game would hurt Henry. 5) I'd say I'm not viewing Ekeler as Kamara 2.0. There are definitely similarities though. I would say that when we look at the Chargers RB room, it's not unthinkable Ekeler pushes for 190-200 carries. I definitely see him getting 100+ targets. If he gets even half of the GL work (possible), look out. The o-line should be the best he's run behind in his career. In summary, I see Henry's relative volume decreasing and Ekeler's increasing. Throw in what should be about a 70-80 point difference in receptions, and that should start to explain how Ekeler has a shot at outperforming Henry. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 787 Posted August 12, 2021 11 minutes ago, The Football Guru said: Guys, I'll try to answer some (maybe all) of the questions Sunday. I'll leave you with this for now. 1) History is not kind to 400-touch backs the following year. I think Henry can be an exception, but that is a "I'll believe it when I see it." I can't exactly predict an injury to Henry, but I think we have to consider it will happen sooner or later. 2) Todd Downing is not Arthur Smith. How much of a drop-off he will be is the question. Plus, I don't believe the Titans will rely so much on Henry now that they have Julio. 3) Henry is very TD-reliant. TDs are highly unpredictable. Can he get 20 in this offense? Sure. Do I want to bet on it? Not so much. If the Titans pass more like I think they will, more of those TDs could be going to Brown/Julio Firkser. 4) Darrynton Evans was drafted last year to take some of the load off Henry. He could not stay healthy. Getting him even five touches per game would hurt Henry. 5) I'd say I'm not viewing Ekeler as Kamara 2.0. There are definitely similarities though. I would say that when we look at the Chargers RB room, it's not unthinkable Ekeler pushes for 190-200 carries. I definitely see him getting 100+ targets. If he gets even half of the GL work (possible), look out. The o-line should be the best he's run behind in his career. In summary, I see Henry's relative volume decreasing and Ekeler's increasing. Throw in what should be about a 70-80 point difference in receptions, and that should start to explain how Ekeler has a shot at outperforming Henry. All of this completely misses the point that Derrick Henry is not human. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 12, 2021 1 minute ago, AxeElf said: All of this completely misses the point that Derrick Henry is not human. Well, at least you completely explained your rationale. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 13, 2021 I apologize for the non-PPR Big Board in advance. I didn't have enough time to iron out all the kinks, but I applied enough short-term fixes to get a board I'm OK with. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 787 Posted August 13, 2021 If Pressley Harvin III isn't your top-rated Punter in both PPR and standard, you've lost all credibility. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 13, 2021 Thank you. Have a great weekend. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 14, 2021 Non-PPR board is up! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 14, 2021 Thank you, appreciate the hard work. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Brvee 1 Posted August 14, 2021 Hear hear! Much appreciated. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DrG 94 Posted August 14, 2021 Appreciate the Big Boards as always. Doug respectfully 100 targets would make Ekeler Kamara 2.0 or at least 1.1. Chargers will monitor his touches 300 total I’d think outer limit everything works etc. 150 carries/120 targets might be a better split IMHO Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BuschWack 56 Posted August 16, 2021 Thank you Doug. Any timeline on .5 PPR? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 17, 2021 10 hours ago, BuschWack said: Thank you Doug. Any timeline on .5 PPR? Likely Thursday. I just got back from a four-day trip to/from Ohio. Superflex coming tomorrow (Tues). 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/14/2021 at 5:18 PM, DrG said: Appreciate the Big Boards as always. Doug respectfully 100 targets would make Ekeler Kamara 2.0 or at least 1.1. Chargers will monitor his touches 300 total I’d think outer limit everything works etc. 150 carries/120 targets might be a better split IMHO I try to avoid direct comps b/c people will inevitably say something like "you said he'd be the next Kamara." I could definitely see it in terms of carries/targets. The big difference is that Kamara is a proven stud in short-yardage and at the goal line too. I think Ekeler could be, but I doubt he'll get the chance to prove it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AxeElf 787 Posted August 17, 2021 54 minutes ago, The Football Guru said: I think Ekeler could be, but I doubt he'll get the chance to prove it. Is it his career-high 3 rushing TDs in a season that leads you to this conclusion? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Football Guru 212 Posted August 17, 2021 4 hours ago, AxeElf said: Is it his career-high 3 rushing TDs in a season that leads you to this conclusion? Hard to prove you can be good at something when you rarely get the chance to do it and have typically operated behind a poor o-line. Fourteen career carries (over four years) inside the 5. Benny Snell had 13 just last year. Kamara had 12. Wayne Gallman had 10. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TBayXXXVII 2,117 Posted August 17, 2021 3 hours ago, The Football Guru said: Hard to prove you can be good at something when you rarely get the chance to do it and have typically operated behind a poor o-line. Fourteen career carries (over four years) inside the 5. Benny Snell had 13 just last year. Kamara had 12. Wayne Gallman had 10. Something to consider with the Lions and Swift/Williams. Lynn has boasted about Williams this offseason. Last year, Williams (w/Packers), had 5 carries inside the 5 (totaled -1 yards and 1 TD), but Swift had 9 carries for 13 yards and 6 TD's. I wonder if Lynn is going to continue to use Swift, like his predecessor or try to force feed Williams. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 17, 2021 Superflex is up. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 20, 2021 Half-Point PPR is ready to go! 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 21, 2021 ... and now the FFPC BB. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 21, 2021 Do a lot of poster play in a half point ppr, reason I ask is, this is year five in my 14 team non ppr as a non ppr, then we like to change it up, thinking about going half ppr, if you play in onelt me know, if you would , and do you like it. Thanks Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike FF Today 608 Posted August 26, 2021 Doug has upped the stakes to 225! New PPR version, 2.0. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Phil Simms 11 127 Posted August 26, 2021 Why did Ekeler drop and Henry move up? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weepaws 2,460 Posted August 26, 2021 Hello Mr Guru, I draft non ppr this weekend , so I wanted to ask you based on your first non ppr board, where would you now rank J Robinson ? Thank you. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites