***Wagering thread***

[Utilit99 4,099]

2 minutes ago, cyclone24 said:

So for example Wyoming is -5 so he’s taking them to cover that?

He explains in the bottom of his spreadsheet. Easiest way to look at it is instead of thinking of his lines as his lines, think of them as real predictions. So if he says something like over 145, then think of it is he thinks the game will total 145.   https://twitter.com/GUnit_81?s=09

[Utilit99 4,099]

5 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Wyoming is getting 3.5, but Greg believes they should be favored by 1 so we are betting Wyoming +3.5

Greg has Wyoming at -1.5. My book has them as +3.5. So I'm running with +3.5 in my book cause he thinks they should be favored.  

[Fireballer 2,642]

Badger takes the biggest variances between the "market" and Greg's picks.  For example, the "market"(Bovada) thinks Wyoming should be a dog of 3.5.  Greg thinks Wyoming should actually be a favorite of -1.5.  So theoretically you're beating the books by 5pts on the spread.  That's the number to the far right in green. The larger the number in green, the bigger theoretic advantage you have on the books.  This guy Badger saves a ton of time hunting through Greg's sheet to find the big variances.

[Utilit99 4,099]

9 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Badger takes the biggest variances between the "market" and Greg's picks.  For example, the "market"(Bovada) things Wyoming should be a dog of 3.5.  Greg thinks Wyoming should actually be a favorite of -1.5.  So theoretically you're beating the books by 5pts on the spread.  That's the number to the far right in green. The larger the number in green, the bigger theoretic advantage you have on the books.  This guy Badger saves a ton of time hunting through Greg's sheet to find the big variances.

Yeah, same thing I've been doing. It's nice someone is condensing it into a sheet. I'll probably keep just using Greg's sheet cause it's part of the fun for me. I guess I could use my own formulas to create a sheet myself but that seems to close to actual work. 

 

[Fireballer 2,642]

Just now, Utilit99 said:

Yeah, same thing I've been doing. It's nice someone is condensing into a sheet. I'll probably keep just using his sheet cause it's part of the fun for me. I guess I could use my own formulas to create a sheet myself but that seems to close to actual work. 

 

Yes.  Keep doing what you're doing.

[cyclone24 1,913]

6 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Badger takes the biggest variances between the "market" and Greg's picks.  For example, the "market"(Bovada) things Wyoming should be a dog of 3.5.  Greg thinks Wyoming should actually be a favorite of -1.5.  So theoretically you're beating the books by 5pts on the spread.  That's the number to the far right in green. The larger the number in green, the bigger theoretic advantage you have on the books.  This guy Badger saves a ton of time hunting through Greg's sheet to find the big variances.

Ohhh ok ok…so he feels best about taking Wyoming and the points…got it.

[Utilit99 4,099]

2 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Yes.  Keep doing what you're doing.

We need a baseball "Greg" to get through the summer. 

[Utilit99 4,099]

2 minutes ago, cyclone24 said:

Ohhh ok ok…so he feels best about taking Wyoming and the points…got it.

It does fock up the mind a bit being a bit as simple as it is. I've screwed up like 5 times or so.  

[Fireballer 2,642]

5 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

We need a baseball "Greg" to get through the summer. 

He does baseball

[bostonlager 2,665]

7 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

We need a baseball "Greg" to get through the summer. 

Are they still on strike/locked out? I haven't heard anything lately. 

[Fireballer 2,642]

Just now, bostonlager said:

Are they still on strike/locked out? I haven't heard anything lately. 

Yes AFIK

[Utilit99 4,099]

Just now, Fireballer said:

He does baseball

That's awesome.  

[Utilit99 4,099]

3 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Are they still on strike/locked out? I haven't heard anything lately. 

Yeah. Trying to figure out how to divide the wealth. I don't pay any attention to any of it. There is no appeal to the public on any of this shlt. Honestly, if I ever hear anyone in sports whine about their salaries, I put them on mute and completely dismiss anything that has to do with it. I don't care if they don't come back. No one really does in the big picture because those that initially care, will get over it. 

  

[listen2me 23 1,873]

Maryland +10 (-105)

Sdst Nev UNDER 130.5 (-110)

Minnesota +13 (-110)

Joel Dahmen to win Pebble (+900)

[Utilit99 4,099]

4 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

Small card today. Only 3 for me at this time. Maybe more later. 

Wyoming +3.5 at Fresno State - $55

Over 136 Washington at Stanford - $65

Manhattan +2 at Canisius - $45

I forgot to add my disclaimer.

DISCLAIMER: I know as much about college basketball as I do about how to safely perform an appendectomy. I'm no doctor.

Just took a peak at the Canisius game. No bueno at halftime but not out of reach.

[cyclone24 1,913]

I’m just going to play that Greg guys top four pics for just a little unit and see how they go. Would be nice to have a little more less volatile swings as what I’m doing now. I mean it’s working OK but it’s stressful.

[Utilit99 4,099]

I hate starting off on a bad note. Especially when only playing three games. 0-1. Now need 2 wins to not be in the negative. Bummer. Gotta take the bad with the good though I guess. 

 

[bostonlager 2,665]

3 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Maryland +10 (-105)

Sdst Nev UNDER 130.5 (-110)

Minnesota +13 (-110)

Joel Dahmen to win Pebble (+900)

Tailed you on JD. Tied for the lead 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

20 more points in the pro bowl (10 min left in the 2nd quarter ) to hit my odds boosted Over bet. Glad I took it. Wish I had wagered more 

[cyclone24 1,913]

1 hour ago, cyclone24 said:

I’m just going to play that Greg guys top four pics for just a little unit and see how they go. Would be nice to have a little more less volatile swings as what I’m doing now. I mean it’s working OK but it’s stressful.

Lol…hes 0-2 so far. Fock this…id rather lose betting games i sort of have interest in than pulling for Marist or some BS. Ha.

[cyclone24 1,913]

2 hours ago, cyclone24 said:

Lol…hes 0-2 so far. Fock this…id rather lose betting games i sort of have interest in than pulling for Marist or some BS. Ha.

Greg is 0-3. Focking cashing out his 4th top play. Some of these games werent even close. Some system.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

Ahhh. “Systems” lol. Always work until they don’t. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

Did a little Nascar betting and my long shot is Treux 2 for 50.

[Utilit99 4,099]

3 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

I hate starting off on a bad note. Especially when only playing three games. 0-1. Now need 2 wins to not be in the negative. Bummer. Gotta take the bad with the good though I guess. 

 

1-1 with one game to go. 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

diving into this thread was probably a poor idea 

but I am 2-1 on the miami dudes plays. won the bulls guy over assists and cam johnson 3 pointers and lost some other nba player prop. Lost tailing the Marshall underdog play. won pro bowl over 62.5

Meh.... Up overall due to the pro bowl odds boost.

 

making 2 plays of my own on the bucks-mavs game tonight.  Reggie Jackson over 25.5 pts+reb+assists (-110)  and a very small wager on Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris both to have at least 3 three pointers at +850.

[bostonlager 2,665]

1 hour ago, Utilit99 said:

1-1 with one game to go. 

Wyoming with the W 

[cyclone24 1,913]

2 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

Ahhh. “Systems” lol. Always work until they don’t. 

Yeah I just personally feel like I’m better playing off of feel and knowing most of the teams in the big 12 and big 10. I know it’s not the way you’re supposed to do it but I feel like I run into more trouble when I get cute with these little bs teams. 
 

 

[Fireballer 2,642]

37 minutes ago, cyclone24 said:

Yeah I just personally feel like I’m better playing off of feel and knowing most of the teams in the big 12 and big 10. I know it’s not the way you’re supposed to do it but I feel like I run into more trouble when I get cute with these little bs teams. 
 

 

You gotta dance with the one that brung ya

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

1 hour ago, WhiteWonder said:

diving into this thread was probably a poor idea 

but I am 2-1 on the miami dudes plays. won the bulls guy over assists and cam johnson 3 pointers and lost some other nba player prop. Lost tailing the Marshall underdog play. won pro bowl over 62.5

Meh.... Up overall due to the pro bowl odds boost.

 

making 2 plays of my own on the bucks-mavs game tonight.  Reggie Jackson over 25.5 pts+reb+assists (-110)  and a very small wager on Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris both to have at least 3 three pointers at +850.

I took The Bucks -5.

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

2 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I took The Bucks -5.

obviously i meant bucks clippers 

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

16 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

You gotta dance with the one that brung ya

What has work for me is I take the favs more times then not. Everyone is always chasing the underdog for the better payout. Just my two cents and not talking about anyone on here.

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

2 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

obviously i meant bucks clippers 

Haha.

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

3 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Did a little Nascar betting and my long shot is Treux 2 for 50.

I only bet 10 bucks a buck or two on about 5 drivers and Logano was one that payed 8-1 so I lost a dollar.

[Utilit99 4,099]

13 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

Day 12 - 2/5/22

Went 6-3 up $175.01 on the day.

Total bets on the day: $480 Total payout: $655.01

Overall  61-37-3 up $752.42 through 12 days of betting on select entries from Greg Peterson's card including 2 later bets from Miami Cappers. .

My bigger confidence bets hit yesterday which is good. Not a bad day. 

Let's see what we have today. 

Won: 

Over 128.5 UConn at Villanova - $55 to win $105 ($50)

Over 146 Northwestern at Nebraska - $35 to win $66.82 ($31.82)

Over 136.5 Tennessee at South Carolina - $55 to win $105 ($50)

Over 137.5 Fordham at St. Joseph's - $65  to win $124.09 ($59.09)

Under 138 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion - $65 to win $124.09 ($59.09)  - Added later.

Duke ML at North Carolina - $80 to win $130.01 ($50.01) - Added later.

 

Lost:

Texas Tech at West Virginia +4.5 - $45 

Under 138.5 Boston at Lehigh - $35 

Over 134 SMU at Wichita St. - $45 

 

Day 13 - 2/6/22

Went 2-1 up $64.09 on the day.

Total bets on the day: $165 Total payout: $229.09

Overall  63-38-3 up $816.51 through 13 days of betting on select entries from Greg Peterson's card.

Love winning the more confidence bets over the other in this case.  Doesn't always happen that way. But up on the day so happy for that. 

Won:

Wyoming +3.5 at Fresno State - Wager $55  to win $105 ($50)

Over 136 Washington at Stanford - Wager $65 to win 124.09 ( 59.09)

Lost:

Manhattan +2 at Canisius - $45 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

2 hours ago, WhiteWonder said:

making 2 plays of my own on the bucks-mavs game tonight.  Reggie Jackson over 25.5 pts+reb+assists (-110)  and a very small wager on Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris both to have at least 3 three pointers at +850.

 

garbage. should have gone with the middleton and portis rebound props

[Utilit99 4,099]

2 hours ago, cyclone24 said:

Yeah I just personally feel like I’m better playing off of feel and knowing most of the teams in the big 12 and big 10. I know it’s not the way you’re supposed to do it but I feel like I run into more trouble when I get cute with these little bs teams. 
 

 

Gotta do what you think is right. 

What you got for tomorrow? 

[listen2me 23 1,873]

17 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Maryland +10 (-105)

Sdst Nev UNDER 130.5 (-110)

Minnesota +13 (-110)

Joel Dahmen to win Pebble (+900)

Couple close wins and a OHS trouncing.

2-1 and obviously Joel did not win.  

Coupled with a Bama loss the day before.  Riding break even type of weekends lately.  

[cyclone24 1,913]

8 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

Gotta do what you think is right. 

What you got for tomorrow? 

Kansas.

[Fireballer 2,642]

2 hours ago, cyclone24 said:

Kansas.

Just so you know, Greg has Texas picked as actual favorite

[cyclone24 1,913]

32 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Just so you know, Greg has Texas picked as actual favorite

Sort of makes me feel better. Havent laid the coin yet…might pair it with Duke