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The Real timschochet

Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

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19 hours ago, TrailGuy said:

I watched :17 of it.  Some British guy with grade school mocking of Harris and Walz.  Jerryskids has turned into Seafoam1.

Shouldn't  that be Seafoam2?

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13 hours ago, Engorgeous George said:

Just exercised my franchise.

Is this a euphemism for masturbation?

Doesn't matter, it is now!

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4 minutes ago, HotRod said:

That's what I said.  Kamala makes a fool of herself on stage, whales place their bets on Trump, odds move accordingly.

1 - Learn English

2 - Whales haven't been betting every single day for the past 10 days.    

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

That's just regular betters. Voter sentiment. Unless you want to link to some big bets, houses tout them to get more money coming in.  And BTW, most whales aren't stupid so it's a terrible argument anyway.  

 

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2 minutes ago, Horseman said:

1 - Learn English

2 - Whales haven't been betting every single day for the past 10 days.    

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

That's just regular betters. Voter sentiment. Unless you want to link to some big bets, houses tout them to get more money coming in.  And BTW, most whales aren't stupid so it's a terrible argument anyway.  

 

uh ok.  whatever.

We don't know why big money has come in on Trump.  Has anything really changed the past 2 weeks?  It's probably that it's October and more people think Trump is going to win and they waited to put their money down.

For polymarket we know that Elon has pimped it and that's probably why we saw its rise, which in turn caused other betters to bet on Trump in the other markets.

You think this is indicative of something about to happen?  You think political sharps have inside information that is about to come out?

My guess is that it's the fact that we got to 3 weeks away and Trump looks better than Kamala so all the money is coming in.  I believe that people waited for a surprise and it never happened.

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Just now, HotRod said:

uh ok.  whatever.

We don't know why big money has come in on Trump.  Has anything really changed the past 2 weeks?  It's probably that it's October and more people think Trump is going to win and they waited to put their money down.

For polymarket we know that Elon has pimped it and that's probably why we saw its rise, which in turn caused other betters to bet on Trump in the other markets.

You think this is indicative of something about to happen?  You think political sharps have inside information that is about to come out?

My guess is that it's the fact that we got to 3 weeks away and Trump looks better than Kamala so all the money is coming in.  I believe that people waited for a surprise and it never happened.

"Whatever"  "We don't know"  "My guess is"

Why do you even bother?  You've caught Timscochet disease.

 

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14 hours ago, thegeneral said:

Maybe you will answer. Why would you play music and dance along if this were occurring? 

Well, two people fell ill, so obviously you play Ava Maria.  :lol:  

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22 minutes ago, Fnord said:

Is this a euphemism for masturbation?

Doesn't matter, it is now!

I believe the widespread adoption of this euphemism might make me wear my "I voted" sticker with greater pride.

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1 hour ago, Strike said:

ROFLMAO You were all in on the betting markets until the odds changed in Trump's favor.  

I’m never all in on anything. I note them here when they make a difference. The betting markets are often very accurate but they rarely stray from the polling. This time they have. I think it’s reasonable to try and figure out why. 
 

Care to retract your defense of the Trump sh!tshow from Monday night? You took what the campaign said and repeated it like a lemming. 

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Two new national polls this morning: 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/16/trump-vs-harris-2024-polls-harris-leads-by-2-points-in-latest-survey/

Marist College: Harris 52%, Trump 47%
 

Economist/YouGov: Harris 49%, Trump 45%
 

And before I get accused by @Strike of cherry-picking again, these are the polls that are out as of this morning. Yes the betting odds say something different, but that’s who gamblers think is going to win while polls are supposed to be a survey of those who will actually decide. 
 

So I’m sure you guys will take all of this with a grain of salt but the polls consistently show Kamala Harris with a national lead of 3-4 points. If she has that lead on Election Day (a big if) she will win. 

 

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13 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I’m never all in on anything. I note them here when they make a difference. The betting markets are often very accurate but they rarely stray from the polling. This time they have. I think it’s reasonable to try and figure out why. 
 

Care to retract your defense of the Trump sh!tshow from Monday night? You took what the campaign said and repeated it like a lemming. 

No.   I didn't watch that rally.   Are you disputing that there were two medical emergencies at his rally?  Every article I've read, even the ones mocking him the music and dancing, acknowledge the medical emergencies.

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2 minutes ago, Horseman said:

 

 

HORRIFYING!!! 

Aren't you one of those that decries the pvssification of America? What's so horrifying? Or are you, Horseman of a thousand aliai, in fact a big pvssy yourself?

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21 minutes ago, Strike said:

No.   I didn't watch that rally.   Are you disputing that there were two medical emergencies at his rally?  Every article I've read, even the ones mocking him the music and dancing, acknowledge the medical emergencies.

ABC's Terry Moran sums it up pretty good if you don't want to watch the whole thing.   Not Tim's go to MSNBC, but ABC none the less.

 

 

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33 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Two new national polls this morning: 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/16/trump-vs-harris-2024-polls-harris-leads-by-2-points-in-latest-survey/

Marist College: Harris 52%, Trump 47%
 

Economist/YouGov: Harris 49%, Trump 45%
 

And before I get accused by @Strike of cherry-picking again, these are the polls that are out as of this morning. Yes the betting odds say something different, but that’s who gamblers think is going to win while polls are supposed to be a survey of those who will actually decide. 
 

So I’m sure you guys will take all of this with a grain of salt but the polls consistently show Kamala Harris with a national lead of 3-4 points. If she has that lead on Election Day (a big if) she will win. 

 

Of course you cherry picked.  No mention of the Marquette poll.  I wonder why........

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1 minute ago, Fnord said:

HORRIFYING!!! 

Aren't you one of those that decries the pvssification of America? What's so horrifying? Or are you, Horseman of a thousand aliai, in fact a big pvssy yourself?

Not 100% sure what he meant, but, I took it to mean her looks.  I was more posting about the idiot part which must have struck a nerve.  :thumbsup:

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Just now, Horseman said:

Not 100% sure what he meant, but, I took it to mean her looks.  I was more posting about the idiot part which must have struck a nerve.  :thumbsup:

LOL. You're not striking any nerves. I thought it was funny that anyone could be a big enough whiner to call a bunch of synched stump speeches horrifying. 

All those micro aggressions must be causing micro abrasions on your micro manhood.

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3 minutes ago, Strike said:

Of course you cherry picked.  No mention of the Marquette poll.  I wonder why........

InsiderAdvantage  Trump +2 

NBC yesterday, Tim's bastion of News reported it even +0

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2 hours ago, Horseman said:

Trump to host all women town hall next Tuesday in an effort to shore up the women voting numbers in key battleground states.

Kamala, who's been struggling with black men voters, should think about holding an all black men town hall.  Or as they call it in the Emhoff household, just another Tuesday night.

Heeeeyoooo!

Hopefully, Father Trump has extra security at this all women Town Hall.  We all know the ladies cannot control themselves around his machismo.  He may get his clothes ripped off just walking to the stage.  

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12 minutes ago, Strike said:

Nothing discreted here. It's a fact that he's biased, and Harris has a lot of guts to agree to a Fox nterview, particularly with this guy. Trump wouldn't dare go on CNN or MSNBC. Rachel Maddow would destroy him.

  • Haha 2

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5 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said:

Hopefully, Father Trump has extra security at this all women Town Hall.  We all know the ladies cannot control themselves around his machismo.  He may get his clothes ripped off just walking to the stage.  

I bet you can't wait to see that 380 pound belly and shrimp dck exposed.

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I noted with some interest that the ballot drop box I went to to submit my ballot had a line of 7 cars waiting to access it.  Each was driven by a woman.  No bumper stickers or flags signaling the affiliation of the drivers.  Two were hot mothers.

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Just now, Engorgeous George said:

I noted with some interest that the ballot drop box I went to to submit my ballot had a line of 7 cars waiting to access it.  Each was driven by a woman.  No bumper stickers or flags signaling the affiliation of the drivers.  Two were hot mothers.

Did one of them get there hand stuck in the mailbox and ask for your help? ..... go on....

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Trust me.  If Father Trump wins I will be happier than Diddy at a Nickelodeon Awards after party, but I would take the Kamala odds.  There is NO WAY they are going to let our man win.  

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Just now, Tree of Knowledge said:

6’3” 225 pounds. 

How is his 40 yard dash time?  The Lions need a new edge rusher.

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Using DHS/FEMA money on migrants is angering a lot of folks. 

  • Haha 1

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18 minutes ago, purdygood said:

I bet you can't wait to see that 380 pound belly and shrimp dck exposed.

You checked him out?  Phag

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Just now, BrahmaBulls said:

You checked him out?  Phag

No but Stormy did.   I have seen Melania naked.  What a classy first lady.

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36 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

She’s doing the interview.

Have you ever watched a Trump interview. He starts crying in the middle about the interviewer unless it’s a personal ballwasher like Hannity 😂

So much nicer than the community ballwashers.  

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42 minutes ago, purdygood said:

How is his 40 yard dash time?  The Lions need a new edge rusher.

Many scouts said 4.28 in his prime.  They clocked him at 4.76 last month saving a drowning flood victim.  

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Just now, Tree of Knowledge said:

🌈 🍉 🍎 🍌👬👨‍❤️‍👨

Interesting that they are spending money in Wisconsin on this.  Perhaps that indicates some polling data showing Wisconsin may be in play, or perhaps it is just a reaction to Hillary ignoring Wisconsin at her own peril back in the day.  

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