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The Football Guru

Member Since 05 Feb 2005
Offline Last Active Today, 03:33 PM
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Topics I've Started

Rookie Draft Rankings - Top 50

30 April 2018 - 12:02 AM

For those of you getting an early start on your rookie drafts, here is my top 50. Let me know if you need me to go deeper. I am planning to update my dynasty rankings (and have them posted) no later than this weekend.

 

OVR Pos Player Team
1 RB Saquon Barkley Giants
2 RB Ronald Jones II Buccaneers
3 RB Rashaad Penny Seahawks
4 RB Derrius Guice Redskins
5 RB Sony Michel Patriots
6 RB Nick Chubb Browns
7 RB Kerryon Johnson Lions
8 RB Royce Freeman Broncos
9 WR D.J. Moore Panthers
10 WR Calvin Ridley Falcons
11 WR Michael Gallup Cowboys
12 WR Christian Kirk Cardinals
13 WR Anthony Miller Bears
14 TE Mike Gesicki Dolphins
15 QB Lamar Jackson Ravens
16 WR Courtland Sutton Broncos
17 TE Hayden Hurst Ravens
18 QB Sam Darnold Jets
19 QB Josh Rosen Cardinals
20 WR DaeSean Hamilton Broncos
21 WR J'Mon Moore Packers
22 WR James Washington Steelers
23 WR Antonio Callaway Browns
24 QB Baker Mayfield Browns
25 QB Josh Allen Bills
26 WR Equanimeous St. Brown Packers
27 RB Nyheim Hines Colts
28 RB Kalen Ballage Dolphins
29 WR D.J. Chark Jaguars
30 TE Ian Thomas Panthers
31 RB Jordan Wilkins Colts
32 RB Mark Walton Bengals
33 RB John Kelly Rams
34 TE Mark Andrews Ravens
35 TE Dallas Goedert Eagles
36 WR Dante Pettis 49ers
37 RB Justin Jackson Chargers
38 WR Tre'Quan Smith Saints
39 WR Marcell Ateman Raiders
40 WR Keke Coutee Texans
41 TE Dalton Schultz Cowboys
42 RB Bo Scarbrough Cowboys
43 RB Chase Edmonds Cardinals
44 TE Christopher Herndon IV Jets
45 WR Jaleel Scott Ravens
46 TE Jordan Akins Texans
47 QB Mason Rudolph Steelers
48 WR Deon Cain Colts
49 WR Allen Lazard Jaguars
50 WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling Packers
 
EDIT: I do anticipate making some slight changes to this list after taking more time to consider everything.

Instant Fantasy Analysis - Round 6

28 April 2018 - 01:43 PM

RB John Kelly, Rams
 
There's probably always going to be a place in the NFL for backs like Kelly. The Detroit native consistently played bigger and runs tougher than his frame would suggest throughout most of what was a lost season for the Volunteers. There are a number of instances in which he showed the ability to absorb contact and the strength and balance to power through defenders he had no business driving through. Completing his physical profile, Kelly can throw a very effective stiff-arm as well. He needs to improve his technique as a pass blocker, but he seems very comfortable as a receiver. Kelly is a very good bet to beat out Malcolm Brown to be Todd Gurley, and that obviously means something in the Rams' explosive offense. He is worth a late pick in redraft formats for handcuff purposes, and Gurley owners should consider him as in the third-round area.

Instant Fantasy Analysis - Round 4

28 April 2018 - 10:59 AM

RB Nyheem Hines, Colts
 
The selection of Hines would seem to be a clear indication the new coaching staff is at least comfortable with the idea of Marlon Mack serving as the primary back, as Hines is an undersized (198 pounds) third-down back type who doesn't have the frame to add much more and certainly never figures to be a full-time back. His primary roles right away should be as a returner and as a Darren Sproles-like satellite back. If that is in fact the case, he may be worthy of a late draft pick in redraft leagues and a third- or fourth-round pick in rookie drafts.

Instant Fantasy Analysis - TE Jordan Akins, Texans

27 April 2018 - 10:33 PM

Houston's need for a tight end wasn't a huge one, but its current depth chart (Ryan Griffin and Stepehn Anderson) there isn't particularly awe-inspiring following the retirement of C.J. Fiedorowicz. Akins moves well for 250 pounds and is an above-average athlete overall, but he's mostly a bigger and older (he's already 26) version of Anderson and not the traditional in-line tight end the Texans would have preferred. Akins' only shot at carving out an offensive niche is beating out the injury-prone Anderson, whose ceiling is usually serving as a part-time detached tight end/slot. As such, Akins is a longshot to be worth a selection in a rookie draft, much less redraft formats.

Instant Fantasy Analysis - WR Tre'Quan Smith, Saints

27 April 2018 - 08:41 PM

Smith dramatically improved his stock at the NFL Combine by running a 4.49 and exploing for a 130-inch broad juimp after leading UCF in receiving in 2017. The 6-2, 203-pounder has very long arms (33 3/8 inches) for a receiver and a good vertical jump (37.5 inches), which makes him yet another weapon in New Orleans' wide receiving corps. Unfortunately, it's hard to imagine him bypassing Michael Thomas, Ted Ginn or Cameron Meredith on the depth chart anytime soon, making him worth avoiding for redraft fantasy purposes. He is also not worth anything more than a third-round pick in rookie drafts.