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The Football Guru

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  1. The Football Guru

    Hunter or Tet (Dynasty)

    Once again, my initial comment was only about the film grade I had for both of them. It is important to remember Nabers had Jayden Daniels as his QB during his breakout season as well. McMillan ... did not. I was probably slightly more impressed with McMillan's film than Harrison's, FWIW. There is also an earlier comment about Harrison's separation skills. It is hard to create separation when a guy who is not world-class fast and known more for his route-running is used to clear out as often as Harrison was last year. Harrison actually had a pretty good season when we consider how he was used. Hopefully, Arizona features him more often on the short and intermediate stuff this year, although that is far from a given.
  2. The Football Guru

    Hunter or Tet (Dynasty)

    I should have been clearer. I wasn't talking about them being similar in terms of play style or talent, but in terms of the quality of their college film (my film score). Nabers >> T-Mac by a decent margin in terms of talent. With that said, being the best of a bad class doesn't mean a guy stinks. It means he is the best of a bad class. Sometimes that can mean the whole class stinks. Sometimes that can mean one or two are actually good prospects and the rest are about average. I think the latter is the case with this year's class. IMO, it is T-Mac and then Hunter (mostly worried about his being able to hold up long-term), then a considerable gap before guys like Egbuka. I think the Evans' comps for McMillan are well-intentioned, but misguided. I understand the Drake London comps, but I think T-Mac is a better prospect than London was. I went with a discount Larry Fitzgerald in terms of what I think he can be if he maxes out. His run-after-catch ability is seriously underrated. (I'm not saying he's Luther Burden in that regard, but it is pretty good for a 6-4, 219-pound receiver. So is his ability to sink his hips and change direction.) His ability to play the ball in the air is special. I also think his ability to separate has been overblown and is less of an issue for a player with his size and wingspan than it would be for Hunter or Egbuka. The concern raised against man coverage was something I discussed in my draft profile, but I also think he invites the physicality because he knows cornerbacks can't match him physically. Additionally, he was awesome against zone, which is what the NFL defenses play about 75% of the time now. My guess (without doing any projections yet) is that McMillan pushes for 120-130 targets as a rookie. If you can get him as your WR3 in redraft or at the 1.04 pick or later in your rookie drafts, I think you will be pleased.
  3. The Football Guru

    Hunter or Tet (Dynasty)

    I thought McMillan's film was as good as any player's I have seen in years, certainly at the receiver position. I think he belongs in the Marvin Harrison Jr./Nabers conversation. Hunter has much work to do to be a technically sound receiver. A part of me hopes I can land both in the one rookie draft where I have 1.02 and 1.04. With that said (and my perspective changes regularly), I am now leaning Hunter over McMillan. If Hunter develops, he could be the OBJ 2.0. No matter how high I think McMillan's ceiling as an individual talent, I don't see his high being as high in Carolina as Hunter's highs could be in Jacksonville.
  4. The Football Guru

    2025 NFL Draft Profile - QB Shedeur Sanders

    I completely agree. I think the way I described him somewhere was a nice drive down the fairway, but not one that gets you on the green off the tee. I think he will be a capable-to-good QB, but I don't think he will put a franchise on his shoulders or make good players look great.
  5. The Football Guru

    Week 17 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    I will get to the questions I skipped in the article sometime tonight.
  6. The Football Guru

    Week 17 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    As has become an annual tradition, I use my final three columns of the season to answer your start/sit questions for the fantasy playoffs. Please ask them below or tweet me @DougOrth. Dynasty questions are also fair game. All I ask is that you include anything that would help me sway my decision one way or the other, especially if there is an unusual scoring setup. I will assume that you are OK with your question(s) being featured in the column(s) unless you say otherwise.
  7. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    Tough call. I believe the loss of Monty and all the injuries on defense helps LaPorta. However ... Given all of the injuries in Miami, I don't think the Jonnu train stops this week.
  8. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    Even in a non-PPR, I think I would go with White over Robinson. Ford is not a consideration for me with DTR at quarterback. Especially since you are looking for a ceiling play, I think White is the right call. At WR ... I'm rooting against Thomas in several leagues, but I'd be a fool to tell you to sit him. I think Thielen is the other play for me at WR. (Meyers is a close second choice.) I like what I'm hearing about Metcalf getting more involved, but this is not a new problem. It has existed for over a month.
  9. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    If this is Robinson vs. Hill, I would have gone with Robinson.
  10. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    TD-only league with the only yardage bonus coming at 100 yards?
  11. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    I ask myself a version of this question almost every week ... and I probably had the best fantasy regular season I've ever had this year.
  12. The Football Guru

    Week 16 All-Out Blitz (2024) ...

    As has become an annual tradition, I use my final three columns of the season to answer your start/sit questions for the fantasy playoffs. Please ask them below or tweet me @DougOrth. Dynasty questions are also fair game. All I ask is that you include anything that would help me sway my decision one way or the other, especially if there is an unusual scoring setup. I will assume that you are OK with your question(s) being featured in the column(s) unless you say otherwise.
  13. The Football Guru

    The Final All-Out Blitzes of the season (2024) ...

    Complete toss-up in my book. With Jaire Alexander out again, I guess I feel better about DK.
  14. The Football Guru

    The Final All-Out Blitzes of the season (2024) ...

    1. All things considered, I would probably go with Schultz. And I would not like it one bit. 2. I don't know who would need to be dropped to get Downs, but he should be on a roster at the very least. I think I would feel the best about starting him, followed by Moore (especially if Njoku is ruled out).
  15. The Football Guru

    The Final All-Out Blitzes of the season (2024) ...

    I guess I would be surprised if Pollard sits. However, we have to treat it as a possibility, so ... I would prefer what I believe would be a 15-touch ceiling in a good matchup over what Nabers has to deal with at QB against a defense that is playing better than it was earlier in the season. I think Spears would also have a much better chance at 100 yards than Nabers if Pollard is ruled out.
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