*** '07 Player Projections By NFL Team ***

[NAn 39]

To prepare FFTodayers for the upcoming ’07 season, starting 5/14 will post threads listing offensive players by NFL team and invite posters to attach projections to each offensive player.

Posting of just commentary on one/multiple players, instead of projections, is welcomed and encouraged as well.

 

Will post 3 team threads per week (2 during 4th of July week) alphabetically by team city, so will have all 32 NFL teams posted before August 1st.

Through beginning of FF season will hopefully have this thread pinned as an ‘Archives’ thread, so will have opportunity to post replies for any previous team at any time.

 

Player Projections By NFL Team: Archives Thread Link

Arizona Cardinals: Team/Player Statistical History Link

 

ARIZONA CARDINALS

 

’06 Statistics

			|---------- PASSING -----------||----- RUSHING -----|  TOTAL 
		  CMP  ATT   YD	YPA   TD INT  ATT   YD	YPA  TD	 YD   
		  322  546  3924   7.19  17  17  419  1338  3.19  12   5262
NFL rank --->  14	7   10	 10   23  18   26   30	32   19	 19

QB
| Name				 |  G | CMP ATT   PCT YARD  Y/A TD IN | RSH YARD TD |
+----------------------+----+-------------------------------+-------------+
| Matt Leinart		 | 12 | 214 377  56.8 2547  6.8 11 12 |  22   49  2 
RB
| Name				 |  G |  RSH  YARD   AVG  TD  |  REC  YARD   AVG  TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Edgerrin James	   | 16 |  337  1159   3.4   6  |   38   217   5.7   0
WR
| Name				 |  G |  RSH  YARD   AVG  TD  |  REC  YARD   AVG  TD |
+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+
| Anquan Boldin		| 16 |	5	28   5.6   0  |   83  1203  14.5   4 |
| Larry Fitzgerald	 | 13 |	0	 0   0.0   0  |   69   946  13.7   6 |
TE
| Name				 |  G |  REC  YARD   AVG  TD |
+----------------------+----+----------------------+
| Leonard Pope		 | 16 |   16   161  10.1   0 |

Notes:

New HC in Ken Whisenhunt, OC for Steelers past few years

QB MLeinart: ’07 will be second season, first as projected starter for opening day

RB EJames: Disappointed overall FF wise in ’06, had worst ypc of career at 3.4

WR ABoldin: has played all 16 games 2 of 4 seasons

WR LFitzgerald: ’06 missed 3 games

WRs: Ironically, in ’06 many FFers liked LFitzgerald over ABoldin b/c ABoldin’s history of injury

 

Key Questions For '07 Season:

With HC Whisenhunt, who ran a run first throw second offense, will it affect production of qbs/wrs/rbs?how?

How much will MLeinart progress in year 2?

Will EJames bounce back from disappointing season?

Will ABoldin/LFitzgerald continue to be WR1/WR1A or will one leap way ahead of the other?Which one?

[famousb 11]

 

Notes:

QB MLeinart: ’07 will be second season, first as projected starter for opening day

RB EJames: Disappointed overall FF wise in ’06, had worst ypc of career at 3.4

WR ABoldin: ’06 first season where played all 16 games

WR LFitzgerald: ’06 missed 3 games

WRs: Ironically, in ’06 many FFers liked LFitzgerald over ABoldin b/c ABoldin’s history of injury

 

Key Questions For '07 Season:

How much will MLeinart progress in year 2?

Will EJames bounce back from disappointing season?

Will ABoldin/LFitzgerald continue to be WR1/WR1A or will one leap way ahead of the other?Which one?

 

ok, two points first:

1. Boldin played all 16 games his rookie year.

2. Alot of people had Fitz ranked higher cause they just assumed he'd get more of the looks in the redzone cause that's what he had gotten in 2005...

 

Another note you should add is that they have a brand new rookie HC, that came from the Steelers run-first-and-throw-in-gadget-plays offense. That is a huge factor when considering how these guys will do in 2007. Even w/ all of that offensive talent, will the game plan initially be more conservative like it was in PIT? if so, i think they will quickly learn that doesn't work since they don't have the same defense to keep things close, which will result in them trying to switch plans mid-season which is never good...

However, if they decide to use their talent and new OL'ers to try to build a dynamic O that spreads defenses out, Edge could be a huge beneficiary (when compared to last season), and both Boldin and Fitz's numbers could go into the 90+ rec. range, with both of them putting up over 1200 yds or more.

Leinart seems to have the ability and leadership quality needed, but a coaching change could adversely affect his development too...

[NAn 39]

Thanks famous.

 

Jeez, I knew about Whisenhunt signing, just totally flubbed that one.

 

Anyways, re: Whisenhunt/Boldin...fixored.

[famousb 11]

Thanks famous.

 

Jeez, I knew about Whisenhunt signing, just totally flubbed that one.

 

Anyways, re: Whisenhunt/Boldin...fixored.

 

[NAn 39]

Thanks mod for the pinnage, but was thinking the 'Archives' thread should be pinned (especially since it will have links to all other team threads anyway).

[ronnydobbs 0]

In the Pittsburgh (Whisenhunt 3rd year OC) Offense, FWP had 13 of the 16 rushing TDs, Roth had 2 and Davenport had the other one out of 60 carries. Out of the 12 Arizona rushing TDs, Edge had 6, Leinhart had 2 and Shipp had 4 out of 17 carries

 

If you figure that Edge would get most of the goalline carries in a Whisenhunt Offense much like FWP did last year, even at a paltry 12 rushing TDs, Edge would have had close to 10 TDs last year which would have made his number a lot more respectable. Now take this year where the OL has been bolstered and a suspected run first/pass second head coach, then I would definitely see Edge improving over last year statistically.

 

As far as the passing game goes, you can't deny that Boldin and Fitz are one hell of a 1-2 punch. These are their avg's per game over their careers applied to a 16 game season:

 

Boldin = 1315.2 yds & 6 TDs

Fitz = 1115.2 yds & 8.5 TDs

 

Which is 5 fantasy pts. difference at the end of a full season.

All this with different head coaches and different quarterbacks throwing to them....no consistency around them, however they are only 5 pts different at the end of 16 games statistically. I can see them being ranked back-to-back like last year on many predraft boards and barring injury it would almost be safe to assume similar production from each.

 

Leinhart goes into his second season with a 12 games under his belt as a rookie, not terribly impressive numbers at all, but not bad as a rookie. We will see how he reacts to a new system, but if it is a run first system then it can only help him. He won't have to do it all, but his fantasy numbers will be modest at best. Better OL gives him help and possibly more time in the pocket for better decision making. I still don't think he will be asked to do a whole lot, so 225yds 1-2 TDs a game will probably be his avg.

 

Projections for AZ Cardinals

Leinhart = 3100 yds 20 TDs

Edge = 1350 yds 11 TDs

Fitz = 1100 yds 9 TDs

Boldin = 1275 yds 7 TDs

[Jetdoc 20]

If Leinart only throws for 11 TD's this year, I think that there will be serious pressure on him going into 2008.

[NAn 39]

Thanks mod for the pinnage, but was thinking the 'Archives' thread should be pinned (especially since it will have links to all other team threads anyway).

 

Actually this thread has got more viewings/replies since being pinned so:

The plan was to keep the team threads up for a week...could we pin them for that time frame but ALSO still pin 'Archives' thread?

 

Come on mods...help out my needy ass!

[Fumbleweed 555]

Just some initial projections here:

 

Matt Leinart- 3,450 yards, 19 TDs, 14 INTs, 80 rushing yards, 3 TDs (261 fantasy points)

 

Edgerrin James- 310 carries, 1,230 yards, 7 TDs; 200 yards receiving, 1 TD (191 fantasy points)

 

Larry Fitzgerald- 83 receptions, 1,160 yards, 7 TDs (158 fantasy points)

 

Anquan Boldin- 79 receptions, 1,220 yards, 5 TDs; 75 rushing yards, 1 TD (165 fantasy points)

 

Leonard Pope- 28 receptions, 315 yards, 3 TDs (49 fantasy points)

 

The bottom line for me is that I don't think Leinart is going to be a gunslinger-type QB during his career no matter who the coach and OC are. I think he'll generally put up 200-250 yards most games with a TD or two and be a borderline fantasy starter. And Fitzgerald and Boldin with both fall in the 8-12 range in terms of wide receivers. I do think James will have a slightly better year this year even with reduced carries.

[The Moz 72]

leinart - 3750 yards 25 TD's 20 INT

 

edge - 1100 yds ru 300 yds rec 7 TD's

 

Fitz - 88 rec 1400 yds 8 TD's

Boldin 80 rec 1100 yds 9 TD's

Johnson 35 rec 550 yds 3 TD's

 

Pope 28 rec 280 yds 2 TD's

[RicemanX 20]

Nan, as much as I love and respect you for doing this..dont you think its a little too early for projections?

There are positions to be battled out and won.

FAs still to sign (players like Meshawn, Andre Davis, Troy Brown, Mahe, Stephan Davis) I mean, no one to drastically change statistics...just shake up the depth chart a little.

And trades to be made.

 

I'm sure all this will be changed in 2 months.

[NAn 39]

Nan, as much as I love and respect you for doing this..dont you think its a little too early for projections?

There are positions to be battled out and won.

FAs still to sign (players like Meshawn, Andre Davis, Troy Brown, Mahe, Stephan Davis) I mean, no one to drastically change statistics...just shake up the depth chart a little.

And trades to be made.

 

I'm sure all this will be changed in 2 months.

 

Well aware Rice and solid pt, thing is if I'm going to do all 32 teams (my plan is 3 a week so will take 11 weeks), so won't be done till last week in July as it is.

 

From there it's August and just 2-4 weeks before leagues start having their drafts, so thinking got to start now to get thru all teams.

 

With that said:

It won't be hard to edit players off/on teams once I have the threads posted.

The Archives thread will have links to all previous teams, so anyone at anytime could revisit a team/projections if things change.

[jocstrap 8]

Boldin 4td's in '06

Fitz 6td's in '06

 

YIKES

 

Those aren't worthy td #'s of where they were taken last year in redraft leagues. They did have nice yardage totals, but td's are nice to throw in there also. Was it the trasition from Warner to Lienart? Perhaps. I think one of the positions (qb,wr,rb) will be worthy of their high draft position. No way I can justify James late 1st early 2nd & fitz and Boldin both 2nd rounders.

 

I will be happy with Lienart deep into the 7th round

 

Projections

 

Edge - 1095 yards 6 td's 30 receptions 250 yards 2 td's - - total 1346 yards 8 tds- 1st round pick though?

Fitz - 89 receptions 1200 yards - - 8/9 td's - - Is this worthy of a second round pick?

Boldin 82 receptions 1095 yards - - 5/6 td's - - Is this worthy of a late second to mid 3rd round pick?

Lienart - - 3000 passing yards 22 td's 2 rushing td's - - Is this worthy of a 7th round pick

 

I see Lienart being the best value pick for this team. So much hype over the other guys and their numbers just didn't do it for me last year. Especially the td's.

[Dan 66]

A thought or more . . .

 

I'm not sure that the acquisition of Ken Whisenhunt means that Arizona suddenly becomes smash-mouth, or even run-first, pass-second. He gets labeled that way from his time with Pittsburgh, because that's Pittsburgh's philosophy. But he did something few coordinators do . . . he built the offense according to the talents of the players he had. With that in mind, I think Arizona could do some really big things.

 

However, the lynchpin in all this, is (1) the offensive line, and (2) Leinart. The offensive line has made some upgrades, but will they be immediately noticeable? They may have to rely on quick hitting passing plays just to keep defenses honest until that line comes together. If the line does come together, then there will be more of a running game, because Whisenhunt knows that you have to run to succeed, so there will be that element of philosophy brought in, for sure.

 

Leinart is the biggest question mark. Can he make the leap this year? He may be talented, and he certainly has a lot to work with, but he's played all of 12 games, and the impact on the rest of the players was evident, as well. Arizona is explosive if he steps up; if not, they will frustrate fantasy owners all year.

 

This is one to watch training camp on, but I would assert that Leinart will have his share of struggles this year, and it will affect either turnovers or sacks.

 

QB Matt Leinart: 3400 yds, 19 TDs, 17 INTs, 50 rush yards, 1 TD.

 

RB Edgerrin James: 1150 yards, 10 TDs, 38 Rec, 200 yds, 1 TD.

 

WR Anquan Boldin: 85 rec, 1250 yards, 7 TDs

 

WR Larry Fitzgerald: 69 rec, 1175 yards, 8 TDs

 

TE Leonard Pope: 35 rec, 450 yards, 2 TDs

[onejayhawk 3]

QB Matt Leinart: 3400 yds, 19 TDs, 17 INTs, 50 rush yards, 1 TD.

 

RB Edgerrin James: 1150 yards, 10 TDs, 38 Rec, 200 yds, 1 TD.

 

WR Anquan Boldin: 85 rec, 1250 yards, 7 TDs

 

WR Larry Fitzgerald: 69 rec, 1175 yards, 8 TDs

 

TE Leonard Pope: 35 rec, 450 yards, 2 TDs

I can buy this as upside. My biggest problem is the 11 Edge TD's. His line is poor, which was a factor in the lack of production last year. He should be better, but not that much. Giving Leinart more TD's than Int's is iffy as well. Bouldin, Fitzgerald and Pope I have no problem with, given 16 games.

 

J

[Dan 66]

I can buy this as upside. My biggest problem is the 11 Edge TD's. His line is poor, which was a factor in the lack of production last year. He should be better, but not that much. Giving Leinart more TD's than Int's is iffy as well. Bouldin, Fitzgerald and Pope I have no problem with, given 16 games.

 

J

 

I hear you regarding the interceptions. I think that he will have his struggles, either with turnovers (including fumbles) or by sacks. The number of INTs I'm suggesting is because I think he tightens and takes the sack often. That said, he could easily have more INTs. I think he'll be around 1-1 in TD/INT ratio, give or take.

 

The 11 TDs are measured by Whisenhunt. The Cards had enough rushing TDs to cover that, but I think the Edge gets a greater percentage of them. Plus, I think Whis gets that offense moving more.

 

This offense has a ton of potential.

[Scorpion 0]

I hear you regarding the interceptions. I think that he will have his struggles, either with turnovers (including fumbles) or by sacks. The number of INTs I'm suggesting is because I think he tightens and takes the sack often. That said, he could easily have more INTs. I think he'll be around 1-1 in TD/INT ratio, give or take.

 

The 11 TDs are measured by Whisenhunt. The Cards had enough rushing TDs to cover that, but I think the Edge gets a greater percentage of them. Plus, I think Whis gets that offense moving more.

 

This offense has a ton of potential.

 

Having watched the Cardinals for 10 plus seasons now (yes, I'm that bored), I would tell you that the offense has NEVER been able to get into a rhythm. If this were to happen AND if the TE were to be used, you would see the TD totals go up. My opinion is this team COULD score 28-30 points a game and make people beat them. Move the chains. That's what this team needs to do. Put together drives. The Cards have never been very successful at this. 3 and OUT is a way of life for this offense.

 

With the new depth that Grimm and Whisen.. have brought in, that can ONLY help. This team can sneak towards the .500 mark pretty easily this year.... win one unexpected game and they could hit the playoffs.....

 

(yes, I took the red pill today...)

 

But, this offensive line WILL be improved....

 

(it couldn't be worse!)

 

--Scorp

[Walter34 3]

 

 

QB Matt Leinart: 3400 yds, 19 TDs, 17 INTs, 50 rush yards, 1 TD.

 

RB Edgerrin James: 1150 yards, 10 TDs, 38 Rec, 200 yds, 1 TD.

 

WR Anquan Boldin: 85 rec, 1250 yards, 7 TDs

 

WR Larry Fitzgerald: 69 rec, 1175 yards, 8 TDs

 

TE Leonard Pope: 35 rec, 450 yards, 2 TDs

 

Pretty good n umbers overall. I see a slight decline over what you have.

 

QB Matt Leinart: 3250 yds, 17 TDs, 15 INTs, 50 rush yards, 1 TD.

 

RB Edgerrin James: 1150 yards, 6 TDs, 38 Rec, 200 yds, 1 TD.

 

WR Anquan Boldin: 80 rec, 1250 yards, 6 TDs

 

WR Larry Fitzgerald: 75 rec, 1175 yards, 7 TDs

 

TE Leonard Pope: 25 rec, 350 yards, 1 TDs

[kilroy69 1,271]

My question is how will Whisenhunt use pope? He is a focking giant.