Timmy’s thread for general discussion

[Maximum Overkill 645]

 

[Fnord 1,141]

6 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I’m guessing a lot of those who chose not to attend are deathly afraid of their own sexuality. That’s usually the reason people are so anti-gay, and why they’re so obsessed with this topic. Something you might be a little familiar with? 

A LITTLE? There isn't a homosexual on earth as familiar with the rainbow emoji as Maxipad. He's so repressed that when he finally bursts through the closet door it will register on the Richter scale.

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

14 minutes ago, seafoam1 said:

No phobia. They simply hate gheys. They believe in being normal. 

You know, you obsess on gay issues nearly as much as Maximum Overkill. Maybe the two of you ought to compare notes? Or even get a room. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

7 minutes ago, seafoam1 said:

You use the word 'obsession' wrong. I simply stated a fact. 

The FACT is that nearly half of your posts are related in some way to gay and trans people. That’s a hell of a lot of posts. I think obsession is a reasonable assumption at this point. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

The time has come, as of this morning, to cut off all U.S. monetary aid to Israel. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

1 minute ago, seafoam1 said:

No they aren't. So, you lose again because you don't know what you are talking about.

 

Well I’m not going to go back and count. But I do think that a bit of self-examination is in order for you. 

[Fnord 1,141]

1 hour ago, The Real timschochet said:

Well I’m not going to go back and count. But I do think that a bit of self-examination is in order for you. 

Odds he needs to use magnification and a very small tweezers for that?

[Engorgeous George 1,176]

1 minute ago, Fnord said:

Odds he needs to use magnification and a very small tweezers for that?

No mirror?

[Fnord 1,141]

Just now, Engorgeous George said:

No mirror?

I don't know. I'm just guessing here, it's not really my area of expertise. Maybe the mirror is providing the magnification?

[Engorgeous George 1,176]

Just now, Fnord said:

I don't know. I'm just guessing here, it's not really my area of expertise. Maybe the mirror is providing the magnification?

Provides the angle around the gunt.

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

Hey @Jon_mx as much as I disagree with 99% of your political views, I think your analysis of the Ohtani issue is spot on. I think Shohei is innocent. 

That being said I still don’t understand how Ippei managed to a bookie to give him over 4 million in credit. And I’d like to know how he got into Ohtani’s account. But don’t think Ohtani was involved, 

[jonmx 1,591]

56 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Hey @Jon_mx as much as I disagree with 99% of your political views, I think your analysis of the Ohtani issue is spot on. I think Shohei is innocent. 

That being said I still don’t understand how Ippei managed to a bookie to give him over 4 million in credit. And I’d like to know how he got into Ohtani’s account. But don’t think Ohtani was involved, 

He was not only his interpreter, he was his closest friend who spent time at his house.  He could have saw where his passwords were stored or maybe even helped him set up his accounts.  The guy was extremely sharp and very slick.  I feel really bad for Shohei to have been stabbed in the back so badly, and I hope it does not impact him too much.  

You already know I am right about a lot of stuff based on hindsight.  I really wish the things I say about institutions I once trusted weren't true.  I may make judgements quickly, but they are sound and not based on bias.   

I once thought our foreign policies were based on spreading freedom and Democracy, but an honest look at our history has revealed dozens of coups to overthrow popular leaders only to be replaced by US puppet dictators who would do the bidding for US corporate and military interests, and this includes what is going on today in the Ukraine along with over 70 years worth of other atrocities. 

We have a legal system which favors the rights of government regulation over the rights of the people.  We have a medical establishment which is more concerned about promoting and protecting big Pharma over the lives of citizens.  We have food regulators who favor the interests of big farms and food corporations over the rights of the small farmer.  It is really sad that our big government agencies are far more concerned about their self-interests and expanding their power than they are with doing what is right and have forgotten what this country stands for.  

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

3 hours ago, jonmx said:

He was not only his interpreter, he was his closest friend who spent time at his house.  He could have saw where his passwords were stored or maybe even helped him set up his accounts.  The guy was extremely sharp and very slick.  I feel really bad for Shohei to have been stabbed in the back so badly, and I hope it does not impact him too much.  

You already know I am right about a lot of stuff based on hindsight.  I really wish the things I say about institutions I once trusted weren't true.  I may make judgements quickly, but they are sound and not based on bias.   

I once thought our foreign policies were based on spreading freedom and Democracy, but an honest look at our history has revealed dozens of coups to overthrow popular leaders only to be replaced by US puppet dictators who would do the bidding for US corporate and military interests, and this includes what is going on today in the Ukraine along with over 70 years worth of other atrocities. 

We have a legal system which favors the rights of government regulation over the rights of the people.  We have a medical establishment which is more concerned about promoting and protecting big Pharma over the lives of citizens.  We have food regulators who favor the interests of big farms and food corporations over the rights of the small farmer.  It is really sad that our big government agencies are far more concerned about their self-interests and expanding their power than they are with doing what is right and have forgotten what this country stands for.  

I think you’re overly cynical and pessimistic. 

[jonmx 1,591]

29 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I think you’re overly cynical and pessimistic. 

Unfortunately it is based on many years of insight into the waste and corruption.  We created a monster in these federal bureaucracies which are compassionless, have far too little oversight, and promote people who are hungry for expanding their authority.  I have seen far too much of it. 

[Maximum Overkill 645]

 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

4 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:

 

You’re going to be very disappointed, you won’t understand it, and you will assume fraud because Trump will tell you that’s what it is. 
 

But all of those states other than possibly Georgia will narrowly be in Biden’s column on Election Day. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

Mexico’s Lopez is a socialist, a populist, and much closer to Trump than either man will acknowledge (except possibly for the fact that Lopez appears to be an actual tough guy whereas Trump is a coward who only appears like an “alpha” to his most slavish fans.) 

But Lopez is essentially correct in identifying the roots of the migrant situation and the way to resolve it. We need to lift our trade embargoes on Venezuela and Cuba, reduce all tariffs with Latin America, and give economic aid in ways that will help build Latin Amarican economies. I know you nativists don’t want to hear any of this but it’s the only way you’re going to deal with the issue. All of your proposed restrictions, suggested deportations, tightening the border, won’t do a damn thing in the long run. 

[Fnord 1,141]

6 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:

 

Oh GOOD!!! Now the MAGAmooks can claim fraud from now until Biden gets inaugurated since this graphic, produced 8 months before the election, proves beyond all doubt that Trump will win the election in November. You better believe he'll be claiming fraud, even if he wins. Sad that people like you trust a lying, elitist coward over everyone else.

[seafoam1 1,879]

4 minutes ago, Fnord said:

Oh GOOD!!! Now the MAGAmooks 

Was with this "magamooks" ghey shlt you keep spewing? Are you really this retarded? generalpimpoledoosh 5.0?

[Baker Boy 1,485]

On 2/17/2024 at 5:04 PM, The Real timschochet said:

I read a couple of novels that changed my mind about it: 

The Confession by John Grisham 

The Green Mile by Stephen King 

Before I read those I was pretty neutral. Now I am opposed except in rare instances. For example, I’m still pretty good with rapists, habitual pedophiles, serial killers, mass murderers, and terrorists being put to death. But most of those executed don’t fall into those categories. 

He was against capital punishment in "The Chamber"I believe it was his fifth novel.

[Maximum Overkill 645]

 

[Sean Mooney 1,184]

9 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:

 

 

You're a dope

[Maximum Overkill 645]

4 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

 

You're a dope

 

 

[Sean Mooney 1,184]

4 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:

 

 

 

I see you are another Twitter posting douchenozzle . We have enough of them here. 

[Maximum Overkill 645]

1 minute ago, Sean Mooney said:

 

I see you are another Twitter posting . We have enough of them here. 

 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

I honestly don’t understand the Truth Social story. How can a company that has never done anything but lose money (49 million in losses last year, with no hope of future profits, suddenly be with 11 billion? How can Donald Trump walk away with 3 billion in cash? 
 

For once this is not an attack on Trump from me. If he can pull this off and it’s legal and not underhanded, more power to him. I never resent anyone who makes money fairly in our system. But that doesn’t mean I understand what’s happening here. Is this s a Ponzi scheme? Can someone explain it to me? 

[Mark Davis 169]

3 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

I honestly don’t understand the Truth Social story. How can a company that has never done anything but lose money (49 million in losses last year, with no hope of future profits, suddenly be with 11 billion? How can Donald Trump walk away with 3 billion in cash? 
 

For once this is not an attack on Trump from me. If he can pull this off and it’s legal and not underhanded, more power to him. I never resent anyone who makes money fairly in our system. But that doesn’t mean I understand what’s happening here. Is this s a Ponzi scheme? Can someone explain it to me? 

It's simply trading a stock.  If you feel strongly it's not worth that (I'd agree), you can short it and make money.  One caveat, you have to have the financial wherewithal to withstand and hold that short position if you get squeezed like a Gamestop or you end up being wrong.  There's nothing Ponzi about it, overexuberance I believe.  But my motto is never put myself into a short position with this much of a spotlight on it.  This thing is ripe for a group to bid it up and continue to do so and put you in some dire straits financially.  It doesn't mean they will, but when you short a stock you have a finite profit and a limitless loss.  The risk/reward is all wrong on this one for me to be on either side.

[squistion 896]

Tim -

You should probably periodically update the thread title to reflect the current discussion (space permitting).

This is similar to your failed thread you had on the PSF where people had no idea what was being discussed and then had to scroll backwards to try and figure out what is now being talked about (which wasn't always that obvious). 

Just a suggestion. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

36 minutes ago, squistion said:

Tim -

You should probably periodically update the thread title to reflect the current discussion (space permitting).

This is similar to your failed thread you had on the PSF where people had no idea what was being discussed and then had to scroll backwards to try and figure out what is now being talked about (which wasn't always that obvious). 

Just a suggestion. 

Thanks. I don’t think it’s necessary though. 

This thread is designed for those who want to seek me out and have discussions. All of those people are welcome no matter how much they might disagree with me, or think I’m a moron, or whatever. If you want to talk to me I’m happy to talk to you. If you’re not interested that’s fine too. In most cases I don’t think the topics are going to be that confusing to anybody. 
 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

1 hour ago, Mark Davis said:

It's simply trading a stock.  If you feel strongly it's not worth that (I'd agree), you can short it and make money.  One caveat, you have to have the financial wherewithal to withstand and hold that short position if you get squeezed like a Gamestop or you end up being wrong.  There's nothing Ponzi about it, overexuberance I believe.  But my motto is never put myself into a short position with this much of a spotlight on it.  This thing is ripe for a group to bid it up and continue to do so and put you in some dire straits financially.  It doesn't mean they will, but when you short a stock you have a finite profit and a limitless loss.  The risk/reward is all wrong on this one for me to be on either side.

I appreciate the explanation. 
 

But- if the stocks goes way up due to Trump promoting it, and then he sells his own shares for a few billion in cash, and then the stock proceeds to crash and is worthless, isn’t that a Ponzi scheme? Isn’t it simply a transfer of money from Trump’s followers to Trump himself without any kind of compensation? 

[jerryskids 5,206]

2 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Thanks. I don’t think it’s necessary though. 

This thread is designed for those who want to seek me out and have discussions. All of those people are welcome no matter how much they might disagree with me, or think I’m a moron, or whatever. If you want to talk to me I’m happy to talk to you. If you’re not interested that’s fine too. In most cases I don’t think the topics are going to be that confusing to anybody. 
 

Put another way: you are a narcissist who loves the idea of people coming to your thread to engage with you; the topic at hand is irrelevant and in fact would detract from your scratching your egotistical itch.

 

[Strike 3,979]

5 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

I honestly don’t understand the Truth Social story. How can a company that has never done anything but lose money (49 million in losses last year, with no hope of future profits, suddenly be with 11 billion? How can Donald Trump walk away with 3 billion in cash? 
 

For once this is not an attack on Trump from me. If he can pull this off and it’s legal and not underhanded, more power to him. I never resent anyone who makes money fairly in our system. But that doesn’t mean I understand what’s happening here. Is this s a Ponzi scheme? Can someone explain it to me? 

Happens all the time Tim.  You work in real estate.  One would think you'd have an understanding of how business works.  Another example.  REDDIT.  Has been around a lot longer than Trump's site.  People valued it pretty highly this week too. 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

7 minutes ago, Strike said:

Happens all the time Tim.  You work in real estate.  One would think you'd have an understanding of how business works.  Another example.  REDDIT.  Has been around a lot longer than Trump's site.  People valued it pretty highly this week too. 

Reddit makes money doesn’t it? 
I think I understand business and real estate of course. I have trouble with some of this other stuff.Never got the bitcoin thing, or the GameStop story either.

 

 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

22 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

Put another way: you are a narcissist who loves the idea of people coming to your thread to engage with you; the topic at hand is irrelevant and in fact would detract from your scratching your egotistical itch.

 

Well yeah. 

[Mark Davis 169]

52 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

I appreciate the explanation. 
 

But- if the stocks goes way up due to Trump promoting it, and then he sells his own shares for a few billion in cash, and then the stock proceeds to crash and is worthless, isn’t that a Ponzi scheme? Isn’t it simply a transfer of money from Trump’s followers to Trump himself without any kind of compensation? 

A couple of thoughts.  I don't think him promoting it is a problem at all.  Many people with large stakes in companies do the same.  The only crime would be if he had inside knowledge of fraudulent financials and misled the public.  I don't think there's anything to lead us to believe that.  I don't think the numbers support the valuation today so I don't think that financial reporting is behind this value.  If Trump supporters are buying it as a way to indirectly help him create wealth, I don't think that's a crime.  In fact, as long as it's heading north, it's creating wealth for them too and they can sell it for a profit today.  Those gains be it Trump or individual shareholders would be subject to cap gains treatment and taxation.  Even if you and I, and most of the investing community believe this is overvalued, a short squeeze can be created if there aren't enough shares out there to satisfy demand.  It's a self fulfilling prophecy in that regard until those people decide to sell off their shares.  It will be interesting to see the short float on this once those numbers are available.

[Mark Davis 169]

30 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Reddit makes money doesn’t it? 
I think I understand business and real estate of course. I have trouble with some of this other stuff.Never got the bitcoin thing, or the GameStop story either.

 

 

Gamestop was a company in financial distress.  As much as some may not like it, I have to be honest and admit it was brilliant that a group got together and figured out so many shares were shorted and the stock was so cheap that they could buy up all the available shares and create an incredible short squeeze.  As the shorts' losses mounted, there were simply no shares for them to purchase to cover their shorts and stop the bleeding.  That's why it's always important to remember that shorts have limited gains and unlimited losses.  To stay short on a company already in the toilet is a very low reward and extremely high risk proposition.  So many hedge funds were short Gamestop and they were just going to ride it to zero.  Rather than take their profits, they left themselves exposed and someone figured out a way to capitalize on their mistake.

[jonnyutah 122]

On 3/25/2024 at 9:16 AM, The Real timschochet said:

Are you trying to let us know here that rednecks are homophobic? Gee, that’s a new thought…

 

I’m guessing a lot of those who chose not to attend are deathly afraid of their own sexuality. That’s usually the reason people are so anti-gay, and why they’re so obsessed with this topic. Something you might be a little familiar with? 

 

You are the trying to get a rise out of somebody by calling them gay. 

In other words... you are using gay as an insult. 

No human is illegal! We trust the science! 

 

Also if you disagree with us, we will call you a homosexual!

[Strike 3,979]

1 hour ago, The Real timschochet said:

Reddit makes money doesn’t it? 
I think I understand business and real estate of course. I have trouble with some of this other stuff.Never got the bitcoin thing, or the GameStop story either.

 

 

REDDIT generates revenue.  It has never been profitable:

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/23/tech/reddit-ipo-filing-business-plan/index.html

[Maximum Overkill 645]

 

[The Real timschochet 2,939]

Polling continues to improve for Biden especially in battleground states: 

https://www.axios.com/2024/03/26/swing-state-poll-biden-trump-kennedy