Stock Market bubble - will crash

[avoiding injuries 1,635]

New all-time high. It might be time for the Geeks who sold to get back in. 

[nobody 2,762]

3 hours ago, Cdub100 said:

I asked Grok to look at every rate cut since 200 and look if the S&P 500 went up or down after 30 days.

 

Since 2000, the S&P 500 decreased in the 30 days following rate cuts in 2001, 2007, and 2008 (recessionary periods) and increased in 2019 and 2024 (non-recessionary periods). The outcome heavily depends on whether the economy is in a recession, with non-recessionary cuts favoring gains. If you’d like a deeper dive into specific dates or more granular data, let me know.

 

Looking at the results I don't think either of us are correct. I don't think it's as simple as a rate cut determins if the price goes up or down. Other Economic factors take a major toll and are much more important than the cut itself 

Wait.  You're trying to trade around rate cuts?  Disregard what I said.  I wouldn't have confidence in market movements over any 30 day period even after a catalyst.  

In general, if everyone is talking about investing (ie. Not short term trading), you should specify that you're talking short term.

[Gepetto 1,399]

 

[easilyscan 966]

1 hour ago, avoiding injuries said:

New all-time high. It might be time for the Geeks who sold to get back in. 

Buy high, sell low, is the only way 2 go

 

[seafoam1 3,241]

I'm up $85k this calendar year alone in one of my accounts. This has been a stellar year all around other than the liberal violent murderers in this country. 

[thegeneral 3,383]

18 minutes ago, seafoam1 said:

I'm up $85k this calendar year alone in one of my accounts. This has been a stellar year all around other than the liberal violent murderers in this country. 

That’s all! Yikes…

[Ron_Artest 1,837]

2 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

If Gutterboy keeps doing his rain dance, eventually it will rain and he will claim victory. Book it. 

I never called for a market crash dummy.  I still don't.  Eventually it will crash but I can't tell you when.  We're approaching euphoria phase at the same time the economic numbers are flashing red, but this could last months or even years.

[thegeneral 3,383]

One person who called for a market crash so he wouldn’t look bad…One DJT

He’s all class

[Horseman 2,661]

32 minutes ago, Ron_Artest said:

I never called for a market crash dummy.  I still don't.  Eventually it will crash but I can't tell you when.  We're approaching euphoria phase at the same time the economic numbers are flashing red, but this could last months or even years.

Liar

On 5/2/2025 at 4:19 PM, Ron_Artest said:

This is your last chance to get out before it's too late.

Cue the simpleton semantics game.  

[Ron_Artest 1,837]

On 5/2/2025 at 4:19 PM, Ron_Artest said:

This is your last chance to get out before it's too late.

Unless the old fück caves again, we're still in trouble

Quote the whole thing.

Idiot.

Update, he caved again.

[Horseman 2,661]

6 minutes ago, Ron_Artest said:

Quote the whole thing.

Idiot.

Update, he caved again.

No more tariffs huh?  First I heard. Why is everyone crying about them then?  Like you dozens of since you told everyone this was your last chance. Example:

You're a cake and eat it to weakling poster, just like Tim. 

But keep posting, every time you skyscream it just keeps going UP.  

 

[Ron_Artest 1,837]

5 minutes ago, Horseman said:

No more tariffs huh?  First I heard. Why is everyone crying about them then?  Like you dozens of since you told everyone this was your last chance. Example:

You're a cake and eat it to weakling poster, just like Tim. 

But keep posting, every time you skyscream it just keeps going UP.  

 

Who said no more tariffs?  He caved from the insane tariffs.  Now we're at plain stupid tariffs.  But rate cut coming to provide relief.  Jesus do you even follow this Sh1t or do you not understand?

[Horseman 2,661]

22 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Cue the simpleton semantics game.  

Nailed it.

I meant the insane tariffs not the stupid ones!

[Ron_Artest 1,837]

4 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Nailed it.

I meant the insane tariffs not the stupid ones!

Bro thinks a 140% tariff is the same as a 20% tariff.

SEMANTICS

[Horseman 2,661]

2 minutes ago, Ron_Artest said:

Bro thinks a 140% tariff is the same as a 20% tariff.

SEMANTICS

Bro thought they weren't negotiable.  

Bro always pays full price at the swap meet. 

Last Chance!!!!!!!!!!!

[Ron_Artest 1,837]

13 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Bro thought they weren't negotiable.  

Bro always pays full price at the swap meet. 

Last Chance!!!!!!!!!!!

Unless the old fück caves again

Bro can't read

[Horseman 2,661]

Just now, Ron_Artest said:

Unless the old fück caves again

Bro can't read

Cake and eat it too poster. Just like Tim. 

Intellectually dishonest and signs of mild retardation. 

[seafoam1 3,241]

I guess all said and done, Trump is kicking ass!!! 

Life is good. 

[WhiteWonder 2,854]

Since this time last year, as we were ramping up to the election…

401k +10%
IRA +80%   
Trading Acct +400%

[Horseman 2,661]

38 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

Since this time last year, as we were ramping up to the election…

401k +10%
IRA +80%   
Trading Acct +400%

But the stupid tariffs!?!?! 

[Cdub100 3,976]

13 hours ago, nobody said:

Wait.  You're trying to trade around rate cuts?  Disregard what I said.  I wouldn't have confidence in market movements over any 30 day period even after a catalyst.  

In general, if everyone is talking about investing (ie. Not short term trading), you should specify that you're talking short term.

No I'm not trying to trade around rate cuts.