Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

[Horseman 2,438]

 

“They sent Obama to come get us and bring us back to the Democratic Plantation!”

"Obama out here scolding us, and shamming us for not voting for Madam Lock Up a Brotha"

[F1erce 88]

7 minutes ago, Horseman said:

 

“They sent Obama to come get us and bring us back to the Democratic Plantation!”

"Obama out here scolding us, and shamming us for not voting for Madam Lock Up a Brotha"

I hate that guy too voted for his lying ass the first time around. Then he straight up talked trash about us military & held back on giving us money (one of the smallest raises we ever saw). POS is now playing the race card & getting upset at black men not supporting KumAllOvaMe 

[Herbivore 1,122]

3 hours ago, RLLD said:

She could care less about the Jews.   What she cares about is winning and being in power.  And if their math suggests that winning Michigan delivers that outcome she would sacrifice every Jew alive to get it.  They do not really have the Jewish vote as it stands, given their allowance for terrorists to espouse vile anti semitic views.

In the end it will boil down to what lies to tell to manipulate the right sets of voters to deliver power.

You say this often, "the left only cares about winning and being in power". As if politicians on the right don't. I think you are either disengenuous or naive here. I don't think the jewish vote is gonna go the way want to believe. FWIW, see attached. Says its Dem leaning poll group. I didn't search long, it was the only one that was from the last few days. Others were from a month ago, but without clicking in, looked like similar %s. I don't put much into polls, just didn't have much else to go on. The %s they present align with historical figures. again fwiw, if you have any other polls or whatever, share. 

https://www.jta.org/2024/10/09/politics/democratic-poll-shows-71-of-jewish-voters-in-swing-states-favor-kamala-harris

[jerryskids 6,695]

I haven't been following all of the poll stuff, mostly because I think there is no value in any particular value.  Instead, there is value in group movement of polls.  Anyway, and I apologize if this was discussed, but Nate Silver recently joined the advisory board of Polymarket.  I learned this from a pod about the election of Freakonomics, which is if anything anti-Trump, that's not the point.  The point is that Polymarket may have more predictive value than people think.

Quote

Polymarket, a venture-backed predictions market, has hired statistician and journalist Nate Silver as an adviser while it looks to build out more forecasts around news events.

Why it matters: More Americans are flocking to prediction markets to interpret crazy news cycles. And more news outlets are beginning to cite prediction odds for the outcome of news events, particularly the election.

• "Probabilities really matter when you're trying to make plans," Silver said in a phone interview.
• He cited the dilemma facing Democrats and Joe Biden about whether the president should remain on the ticket as an example of how high-stakes decisions can be determined using probability calculations.

How it works: Prediction markets allow users to buy shares in the outcome of an event.

• Polymarket is in growth mode and doesn't yet monetize the hundreds of millions of dollars in trades happening across its platform, Polymarkets vice president David Rosenberg told Axios. Eventually, it will probably charge a fee for those transactions.

Between the lines: Founded in 2020, Polymarket has quickly risen to become one of the world's most popular prediction markets for U.S. elections, but it doesn't yet allow U.S. users to make trades off of its predictions.

• "All of the trading is happening outside the U.S.," Rosenberg said. "But we are exploring offering a regulated U.S. product soon."

By the numbers: The firm, which has raised $70 million in venture capital since launching in 2020, produces more than 80% of global predictions made around U.S. elections, by its estimates.

• Over $260 million worth of predictions related to the outcome of the 2024 election have been made on its platform in the past four years, per Rosenberg.
• More than $400 million of trades have occurred on its platform in 2024, including $8 million of trades made on the day of the first U.S. presidential debate last month.

 

Zoom out: While Polymarket is experiencing a massive engagement spike around the U.S. election, it also sees a fair amount of trade volume around other news stories, Rosenberg said. Last year, the outcome of Sam Altman's fate at OpenAI was a popular prediction trade, he noted.

The big picture: The rise in prediction markets mirrors a broader adoption of sports betting and online gambling, which have become more popular amid regulatory rollbacks and advances in blockchain technologies.

• Silver said he expects more of the investor class to leverage prediction markets to assess the risk of politics on their businesses.

What's next: Silver will continue to author his Substack newsletter in addition to advising Polymarket. He is also working on a new book.

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/16/nate-silver-polymarket

[purdygood 343]

51 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Sure old woman  Your value is already gone. So why are you commenting? 

You said your buddy said Trump could possibly win CA.  Now you say,  well he wont win, but he'll get a few more votes.  That's not a "win". 

[F1erce 88]

1 minute ago, purdygood said:

You said your buddy said Trump could possibly win CA.  Now you say,  well he wont win, but he'll get more votes.  That's not a "win". 

Reread what you just wrote slowly  If you still can’t grasp it then you really are an idiot 

[purdygood 343]

1 minute ago, F1erce said:

Reread what you just wrote slowly  If you still can’t grasp it then you really are an idiot 

You said "CA could flip to a RED state". If that doesnt imply Trump could win.  Then I dont know what to tell you. 

[F1erce 88]

Just now, purdygood said:

You said "CA could flip to a RED state". If that doesnt imply Trump could win.  Then I dont know what to tell you. 

Reread again idiot  You apparently are so stupid you can’t understand what it means when someone says “my FRIEND said it COULD flip to red”. Now where in that comment did I say that I, MYSELF, believe that? Or better yet, point out where I said I support abolishing the electoral college in favor of popular vote. 
 

Go on, I’ll wait  But I highly doubt your dumbass is going to cause I literally just embarrassed you by pointing out simple sentence structure which you apparently can’t grasp. Go back to middle school & retake your English classes from the beginning 

[Horseman 2,438]

13 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

I haven't been following all of the poll stuff, mostly because I think there is no value in any particular value.  Instead, there is value in group movement of polls.  Anyway, and I apologize if this was discussed, but Nate Silver recently joined the advisory board of Polymarket.  I learned this from a pod about the election of Freakonomics, which is if anything anti-Trump, that's not the point.  The point is that Polymarket may have more predictive value than people think.

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/16/nate-silver-polymarket

They've been consistently and correctly 12 to 24 hours ahead of the betting markets the entire past week since they predicted Trumpmentum and kind of went viral.  

[purdygood 343]

6 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Reread again idiot  You apparently are so stupid you can’t understand what it means when someone says “my FRIEND said it COULD flip to red”. Now where in that comment did I say that I, MYSELF, believe that? Or better yet, point out where I said I support abolishing the electoral college in favor of popular vote. 
 

Go on, I’ll wait  But I highly doubt your dumbass is going to cause I literally just embarrassed you by pointing out simple sentence structure which you apparently can’t grasp. Go back to middle school & retake your English classes from the beginning 

Ok my bad. So your friend is an idiot. You keep good company. Congrats!

[jerryskids 6,695]

3 minutes ago, Horseman said:

They've been consistently and correctly 12 to 24 hours ahead of the betting markets the entire past week since they predicted Trumpmentum and kind of went viral.  

My point is merely that, for someone like @The Real timschochetwho might put value in Nate Silver, the fact that he is advising Polymarket lends credibility to them.

[Horseman 2,438]

1 minute ago, jerryskids said:

My point is merely that, for someone like @The Real timschochetwho might put value in Nate Silver, the fact that he is advising Polymarket lends credibility to them.

Yes.  That may mean more to Tim than them actually predicting things accurately.  Since he's already discounted what they say because he doesn't like it.  True.  Good point. 

[F1erce 88]

5 minutes ago, purdygood said:

Ok my bad. So your friend is an idiot. You keep good company. Congrats!

Apparently you’re just a retarded idiot who can’t understand basic English structure  Look up the definition of “could” as well as the word “will” (when used as a verb) then get back to us. Cause you just exposed you’re as a moron who doesn’t understand English

[F1erce 88]

Can someone tell me who this idiot is? Is this another gutterboy alias? If so, the stupidity checks out. But @purdygood just seems to flat out be an idiot. Either that, or he’s not very good at trolling cause it comes off as him being a retarded moron. 

[EternalShinyAndChrome 4,000]

7 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Can someone tell me who this idiot is? Is this another gutterboy alias? If so, the stupidity checks out. But @purdygood just seems to flat out be an idiot. Either that, or he’s not very good at trolling cause it comes off as him being a retarded moron. 

he's yet another one of the GC Independents who claim they're not liberals (but actually lean right) but comes in here and defends liberals, liberal policy and liberal actions all day long while at the same time he rails on the right.  Y'know, in the same mold as fnretard, worms and a whole host of others who claim the same thing but aren't fooling anyone.

[IGotWorms 4,057]

2 hours ago, Horseman said:

You see, this is where you give TimShannonHauck a run for the metal helmet trophy.

I posted the betting odds up thread, we all *should* know what the odds are instead of using some pea brain hamster wheel logic.

It's almost twice as unlikely right now for Kackala to get that.  +425 vs +275  

Anyone that thinks it's a 50/50 race right now hasn't been paying attention.  

It’s what the polls say. Who knows if they’re right but it’s all we have

[IGotWorms 4,057]

26 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Reread again idiot  You apparently are so stupid you can’t understand what it means when someone says “my FRIEND said it COULD flip to red”. Now where in that comment did I say that I, MYSELF, believe that? Or better yet, point out where I said I support abolishing the electoral college in favor of popular vote. 
 

Go on, I’ll wait  But I highly doubt your dumbass is going to cause I literally just embarrassed you by pointing out simple sentence structure which you apparently can’t grasp. Go back to middle school & retake your English classes from the beginning 

Holy Christ, you’re fockin retarded

[League Champion 1,909]

1 minute ago, IGotWorms said:

we

You?

 

 

[F1erce 88]

1 minute ago, EternalShinyAndChrome said:

he's yet another one of the GC Independents who claim they're not liberals (but actually lean right) but comes in here and defends liberals, liberal policy and liberal actions all day long while at the same time he rails on the right.  Y'know, in the same mold as fnretard, worms and a whole host of others who claim the same thing but aren't fooling anyone.

Makes sense. Thought this was yet another gutterboy alias. Either way, morons like this do nothing but make themselves look even more like idiots. Just further validates that they have nothing positive going for them in real life so they take to this board to express their displeasure & disappointment with their own failure of a life. I got too much going on & people to hang out with to be here every day of every hour arguing with someone on a low rent message board 

[F1erce 88]

2 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

Holy Christ, you’re fockin retarded

Holy hell are YOU focking retarded  EVERYONE knows it too so what’s your dumbass even speaking for? Dont u have a make believe law case to go lie about? talk about TILT 

[F1erce 88]

4 minutes ago, EternalShinyAndChrome said:

he's yet another one of the GC Independents who claim they're not liberals (but actually lean right) but comes in here and defends liberals, liberal policy and liberal actions all day long while at the same time he rails on the right.  Y'know, in the same mold as fnretard, worms and a whole host of others who claim the same thing but aren't fooling anyone.

 

3 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

Holy Christ, you’re fockin retarded

You were right on the money  not even 1 minute later and the retarded pussii started crying like a baby back B1tch

[Horseman 2,438]

12 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

It’s what the polls say. Who knows if they’re right but it’s all we have

It's not all we have.  

11 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

Holy Christ, I'm fockin retarded

 

[thegeneral 3,095]

46 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Reread again idiot  You apparently are so stupid you can’t understand what it means when someone says “my FRIEND said it COULD flip to red”. Now where in that comment did I say that I, MYSELF, believe that? Or better yet, point out where I said I support abolishing the electoral college in favor of popular vote. 
 

Go on, I’ll wait  But I highly doubt your dumbass is going to cause I literally just embarrassed you by pointing out simple sentence structure which you apparently can’t grasp. Go back to middle school & retake your English classes from the beginning 

Your friend needs to lay off the weed.

[Horseman 2,438]

 

WI and MI are next.

[F1erce 88]

2 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

Your friend needs to lay off the weed.

Pot meet kettle

[thegeneral 3,095]

5 minutes ago, F1erce said:

Pot meet kettle

I don’t mind a little smoke…but you don’t see me saying that Kamala might win Texas

[Hardcore troubadour 15,210]

My man Digby getting the mushbrains all riled up again. It never gets old. Well done friend. 

[Horseman 2,438]

Here they come

 

 

[Strike 5,372]

4 minutes ago, Horseman said:

Here they come

 

 

Clinton was up in 2020?  Bill or Hitlery?

[jonmx 2,425]

4 hours ago, TimHauck said:

Lol, bookmarking this one

Please do, and promise me you will bump it when it nails the outcome.  

[Hardcore troubadour 15,210]

Colorado in play.  Oh boy. 

[F1erce 88]

6 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

I don’t mind a little smoke…but you don’t see me saying that Kamala might win Texas

No we just see you focusing your idiocy in other areas on the board The weed smoking makes even more sense now

[Strike 5,372]

[Horseman 2,438]

1 minute ago, Strike said:

Clinton was up in 2020?  Bill or Hitlery?

He clearly meant to type Biden

[thegeneral 3,095]

1 minute ago, F1erce said:

No we just see you focusing your idiocy in other areas on the board The weed smoking makes even more sense now

You seemed well balanced and totally not a dipshit.

[Strike 5,372]

1 minute ago, Horseman said:

He clearly meant to type Biden

Hard to take some random dude seriously when he can't even get the participants correct.  Accuracy matters.

[Horseman 2,438]

4 minutes ago, Strike said:

Hard to take some random dude seriously when he can't even get the participants correct.  Accuracy matters.

You can ignore the poster and vet the Real Clear Politics numbers if you want.  

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

[F1erce 88]

5 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

You seemed well balanced and totally not a dipshit.

No one cares what you think. HTH

[Horseman 2,438]

Extra Link for @Strike

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/michigan/trump-vs-harris

[thegeneral 3,095]

Just now, F1erce said:

No one cares what you think. HTH

You seem to dummy.