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The Real timschochet

Election Night 2025

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9 minutes ago, Meglamaniac said:

yeppie, TWITTA

Dems won two statewide seats, dethroning two incumbent Republicans. It’s the Dems’ first statewide win since 2007. Rep. Margie Greene said it merits being taken very seriously.

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25 minutes ago, SaintsInDome2006 said:

Dems won two statewide seats, dethroning two incumbent Republicans. It’s the Dems’ first statewide win since 2007. Rep. Margie Greene said it merits being taken very seriously.

She's a traitor to MAGA and has no clue what she's talking about.  

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36 minutes ago, SaintsInDome2006 said:

Dems won two statewide seats, dethroning two incumbent Republicans. It’s the Dems’ first statewide win since 2007. Rep. Margie Greene said it merits being taken very seriously.

OK

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Talking about putting a postive spin on things. 😁

GOP Rep. Lisa McClain says the GOP lost badly because everyone is happy. "Voter turnout from Republicans was not high. Not high at all. But I think part of that reason is because Republicans, for the most part, are happy with what’s happening."

 

 

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Look all of this is important (what happened Tuesday)  even though the MAGa folks will deny it. But ultimately it won’t change the facts which are these: unless prices somehow come way down over the next year, Democrats are going to win big time next November. If prices come way down, the GOP has a shot to hold the House. Not a great shot but a shot. 

Everybody knows this on both sides. It’s why Republicans are starting to suggest, softly, to Trump that he needs to cool it on tariffs and what ICE is doing (the two biggest drivers of our current inflation and, in terms of ICE, the main reason why Latinos are now voting Democrat as seen on Tuesday). But they won’t say it loudly (except maybe Greene who doesn’t care) because they’re terrified of the MAGA base, especially about the ICE part. That’s why Republicans are probably screwed. 

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2 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Look all of this is important (what happened Tuesday)  even though the MAGa folks will deny it. But ultimately it won’t change the facts which are these: unless prices somehow come way down over the next year, Democrats are going to win big time next November. If prices come way down, the GOP has a shot to hold the House. Not a great shot but a shot. 

Everybody knows this on both sides. It’s why Republicans are starting to suggest, softly, to Trump that he needs to cool it on tariffs and what ICE is doing (the two biggest drivers of our current inflation and, in terms of ICE, the main reason why Latinos are now voting Democrat as seen on Tuesday). But they won’t say it loudly (except maybe Greene who doesn’t care) because they’re terrified of the MAGA base, especially about the ICE part. That’s why Republicans are probably screwed. 

I posted this in another thread, but it's a good response to Tim's post.

The Dem victory laps are premature. All the self congratulating will simply make the Don even more vulnerable to his worst impulses. More emergency declarations, more troops in cities, more attempts for the federal government to exert control over local and state elections. If anything, the results this week have only affirmed the need for MAGA to act fast in turning voting on its head before midterms. 

It's going to get a lot worse before it gets better.

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1 minute ago, Fnord said:

I posted this in another thread, but it's a good response to Tim's post.

The Dem victory laps are premature. All the self congratulating will simply make the Don even more vulnerable to his worst impulses. More emergency declarations, more troops in cities, more attempts for the federal government to exert control over local and state elections. If anything, the results this week have only affirmed the need for MAGA to act fast in turning voting on its head before midterms. 

It's going to get a lot worse before it gets better.

I agree in part. Trump will be inclined to do this but I think Republicans will talk him out of a lot of it. Not because they’re in any way opposed but because they’re terrified of public opinion. Trump doesn’t care about polls, but they do. 

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Just now, The Real timschochet said:

I agree in part. Trump will be inclined to do this but I think Republicans will talk him out of a lot of it. Not because they’re in any way opposed but because they’re terrified of public opinion. Trump doesn’t care about polls, but they do. 

Well, not for the first time, I think you're being Pollyannish to a delusional degree. But I would prefer you to be right and me wrong.

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8 minutes ago, Fnord said:

Well, not for the first time, I think you're being Pollyannish to a delusional degree. But I would prefer you to be right and me wrong.

Real Tim is always Pollyannish....should be his name on here

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7 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

Real Tim is always Pollyannish....should be his name on here

But then how would people be able to look at FBGs to source threads from 10-20 years ago to make made up points about how awful he is?

Think of @Strike! What would he do with his time?

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38 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

Real Tim is always Pollyannish....should be his name on here

Hey you guys forget that it’s one of the classic Disney movies. Hayley Mills makes everyone in the town feel a lot better. 

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7 hours ago, Fnord said:

But then how would people be able to look at FBGs to source threads from 10-20 years ago to make made up points about how awful he is?

Think of @Strike! What would he do with his time?

I mean...I assume Strike would just find new inane things to say

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8 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

Look all of this is important (what happened Tuesday)  even though the MAGa folks will deny it. But ultimately it won’t change the facts which are these: unless prices somehow come way down over the next year, Democrats are going to win big time next November. If prices come way down, the GOP has a shot to hold the House. Not a great shot but a shot. 

Everybody knows this on both sides. It’s why Republicans are starting to suggest, softly, to Trump that he needs to cool it on tariffs and what ICE is doing (the two biggest drivers of our current inflation and, in terms of ICE, the main reason why Latinos are now voting Democrat as seen on Tuesday). But they won’t say it loudly (except maybe Greene who doesn’t care) because they’re terrified of the MAGA base, especially about the ICE part. That’s why Republicans are probably screwed. 

Prices are part of it but not the whole story. Things are chaotic with Trump. Troops in the street. The crazy pronouncements. But one thing that may have been an unexpected wild card is that the ICE / mass deportations program (or should I say pogrom) might not be going like they thought. I think Americans are genuinely disgusted by the scenes & stories of separated families, crying children, tear gas, people dragged from cars, doors kicked down, Americans detained with no charges & no information to relatives. This is basic family stuff.

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