nzoner 936 Posted November 17, 2014 For you NFL gamblers thought you might enjoy this. In the last four years or so I've been following what I'll call a betting trend as it's been hitting better than 50% so I'll share and see what you think. Also I use scoresandodds.com for the points. When a division game takes place check the over/under(do not bet) and then write down what the final was,the second time the teams play bet the opposite i.e. first was over so take the under etc. So far this season there's been 8 division games where both teams have played twice SF/STL,GB/Chicago,TB/Atlanta, Miami/Buffalo,SD/Oak,Clev/Pitt,Pitt/Balt and Cinn/Balt. Of those played it's sitting at 6-2 on the 2nd game coming in the opposite of the first game with the most recent being SD/Oak yesterday @ 13-6 when the first game was 31-28. I've put a few dollars on this but am tracking it very close this season and if the trend holds true there could be 4 more unders this next weekend NYJ/Buffalo,Jags/Indy,GB/Minn and Dallas/NYG Of course this isn't guaranteed but with so many of us into FF and gambling etc. thought it was time to put it out there and see if anyone had any thoughts. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthernVike 2,080 Posted November 17, 2014 Unless the under on the GB/MN game is 70, I wouldn't take it. And I'm assuming MN does not score. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
patweisers44 697 Posted November 17, 2014 interesting, thanks for sharing. Wonder what to take from this? If they were all in one direction (first game over, second under or vice versa) it might be easier to take something from this. But as a degen, i'll take any info I can get. Who do you like tonight? Thinking steelers Even and o 38.5 in a two-team, seven-point teaser Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 17, 2014 Unless the under on the GB/MN game is 70, I wouldn't take it. And I'm assuming MN does not score. Right now 48.5 and with the last two weeks at GB scoring 50+ on their own I see your thinking but then again so does Vegas Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 17, 2014 interesting, thanks for sharing. Wonder what to take from this? If they were all in one direction (first game over, second under or vice versa) it might be easier to take something from this. But as a degen, i'll take any info I can get. Who do you like tonight? Thinking steelers Even and o 38.5 in a two-team, seven-point teaser I really have no thoughts on tonight except I do not like the game and thus will watch for fantasy purposes only. As for the "trend" I only wish I had kept the past few seasons to look back on as maybe there's something there I'm missing.I hate betting unders too and that Jets/Bills game is sitting at 40. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 23, 2014 Taking all 4 unders today posted in the OP Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthernVike 2,080 Posted November 23, 2014 I'm impressed Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
penultimatestraw 473 Posted November 23, 2014 So you're suggesting the outcome of the first game influences the line for the second, maybe excessively so? Makes sense, though it must be terrifying to bet on the NFL this year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cloaca du jour 2,064 Posted November 23, 2014 Results so far today? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JTB 52 Posted November 23, 2014 Results so far today? 2-0 Colts/Jags - winner Packers/Vikings - winner Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 24, 2014 2-0 Colts/Jags - winner Packers/Vikings - winner Yep I took both of those but am staying away from tonight's game after all as SNF this season is 10 overs and one under,the only under though was an NFC East match-up. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voltaire 4,560 Posted November 24, 2014 SNF is over. Dallas beat NYG 31-28. Line was 49. Buff/Jets line is 42. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bweiser831 0 Posted November 24, 2014 The Eagles have covered the over 8 times out of 11. I would have thought it was higher. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 25, 2014 SNF is over. Dallas beat NYG 31-28. Line was 49. Buff/Jets line is 42. 38-3 Buffalo,it's now hit 9 of 12 times. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 8, 2014 Saints/Panthers yesterday was 49.5 and the theory said over,the final was 41-10 and now sits at 10-5 Next week it really gets rolling with 11 divisional games,let the fun begin. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted December 8, 2014 Saints/Panthers yesterday was 49.5 and the theory said over,the final was 41-10 and now sits at 10-5 Next week it really gets rolling with 11 divisional games,let the fun begin. It'll even out then. Be 13-13 by weeks end Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
edjr 5,567 Posted December 8, 2014 apparently you never heard quit while you're ahead Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 8, 2014 It'll even out then. Be 13-13 by weeks end I'll post the results next Monday. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 8, 2014 apparently you never heard quit while you're ahead More times than I can recall Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 12, 2014 After last night's FG fest 11-5 and to top it off the bookie was unavailable Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dain11279 928 Posted December 12, 2014 After last night's FG fest 11-5 and to top it off the bookie was unavailable You need an online account Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 12, 2014 In case anyone wants to follow this there's 10 games Sunday and the trend says... Oak/KC under Houston/Indy under Cinn/Clev over Miami/NE under TB/Car over Wash/NYG under Minn/Det over Den/SD under SF/Sea over Dal/Phil over Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 15, 2014 In case anyone wants to follow this there's 10 games Sunday and the trend says... Oak/KC under Houston/Indy under Cinn/Clev over Miami/NE under TB/Car over Wash/NYG under Minn/Det over Den/SD under SF/Sea over Dal/Phil over Day games at 3-6 left me chasing on SNF but thankfully the over worked out,now at 15-11 with 6 games this next weekend. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 31, 2014 Week 17 went 11-5 Season total was 30-17-1 So at $100 per plus vig on losers your total winnings were $960 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JTB 52 Posted January 1, 2015 Week 17 went 11-5 Season total was 30-17-1 So at $100 per plus vig on losers your total winnings were $960 Very nice. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
peenie 1,690 Posted January 1, 2015 What is over under? I keep forgetting.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 5, 2015 2015 and doing this again,so far it's at 1-1 with 2 games on the slate this week. Miami/Bills theory says under Philly/Dallas it says over Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 18, 2016 After last nights under 2016 is at 5-1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JTB 52 Posted November 18, 2016 After last nights under 2016 is at 5-1 Nice. When do you plan to up your anti? I'd say the trend is a very good bet. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JTB 52 Posted November 18, 2016 2015 and doing this again,so far it's at 1-1 with 2 games on the slate this week. Miami/Bills theory says under Philly/Dallas it says over How'd 2015 work out? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 18, 2016 How'd 2015 work out? I actually fumbled the ball on that one and stopped but decided to track again this year,I actually remembered this thread when making notations in my book this morning. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JTB 52 Posted November 18, 2016 It's amazing how some of our best techniques get lost in the shuffle. Happens to me in sales once in a while and I'm like, WTF. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 20, 2016 Titans @ Colts today the theory says under but have to admit this one makes me nervous. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RaiderHaters Revenge 3,585 Posted November 20, 2016 wow some huge moves in games today, would have given you 4 or 5 great middles Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 20, 2016 wow some huge moves in games today, would have given you 4 or 5 great middles Pitt/Clev down 6 points now Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted November 22, 2016 Titans @ Colts today the theory says under but have to admit this one makes me nervous. The theory wins again 6-1 Two more games Turkey Day Lions/Vikes over Skins/Cowboys under Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nzoner 936 Posted December 12, 2017 2017 so far 11-7-1 The AFC East is leading the pack at 3-0 thanks to the under last night. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
edjr 5,567 Posted December 12, 2017 Dolphins money line was sick last night. I wussed out Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gladiators 1,904 Posted December 12, 2017 Dolphins money line was sick last night. I wussed out As did I. I wasn't going to put much on, but would have been a nice little payout. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites