Stock Market bubble - will crash

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

Looks like the stock market has been doing well.

[supermike80 1,800]

1 minute ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Looks like the stock market has been doing well.

Totally!! Down 700 points since January  WEEEEEEE  Good stuff!

[thegeneral 2,891]

Dow Jones is up about 20% since Biden was elected.

No jinx

[thegeneral 2,891]

2 minutes ago, supermike80 said:

Totally!! Down 700 points since January  WEEEEEEE  Good stuff!

Up 25% from Sept 2020 if we are picking random dates

[supermike80 1,800]

Just now, thegeneral said:

Up 25% from Sept 2020 if we are picking random dates

Fair..I just looked at this year.   However, pretty easy to go up post pandemic I would think.    

 

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

4 minutes ago, supermike80 said:

Totally!! Down 700 points since January  WEEEEEEE  Good stuff!

Still doing very well overall.

[supermike80 1,800]

1 minute ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Still doing very well overall.

And I for one am happy.  6 years till retirement.   Every penny counts.

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

2 minutes ago, supermike80 said:

And I for one am happy.  6 years till retirement.   Every penny counts.

That's awesome.  I hope it stays strong.  I have another 20 years at least.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

6 minutes ago, supermike80 said:

Fair..I just looked at this year.   However, pretty easy to go up post pandemic I would think.    

 

The S&P is up 11% so far this year.

[supermike80 1,800]

2 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

That's awesome.  I hope it stays strong.  I have another 20 years at least.

It's funny how priorities change as you age.   Back when I was your age..I did't care about things like SS and the like.   Now, I do.   Not my only source of income but sure would like to have that as well as our 401k's.  Easy to see why politicians don't wanna mess with it.  Old focks like me vote.  Climate change, abortion, illegals, are far down the list of things I care about before SS.

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

1 minute ago, supermike80 said:

It's funny how priorities change as you age.   Back when I was your age..I did't care about things like SS and the like.   Now, I do.   Not my only source of income but sure would like to have that as well as our 401k's.  Easy to see why politicians don't wanna mess with it.  Old focks like me vote.  Climate change, abortion, illegals, are far down the list of things I care about before SS.

Absolutely.  It wasn't that long ago that I didn't pay any attention to what was going on with politics and stocks.  After starting a family and owning a business it changes things a bit more.

[supermike80 1,800]

Just now, Hawkeye21 said:

Absolutely.  It wasn't that long ago that I didn't pay any attention to what was going on with politics and stocks.  After starting a family and owning a business it changes things a bit more.

And I believe, I really do, that once those priorities change and those things you mention happen, the person tends to lean more right than left.  

Congrats on your family..Hope they are doing well.   Hard to do these days sometimes.

[thegeneral 2,891]

9 minutes ago, supermike80 said:

Fair..I just looked at this year.   However, pretty easy to go up post pandemic I would think.    

 

For sure. Really from mid March 2020 has been trending up (didn’t stop you know who from bragging about 1000 point days after it had just shet the bed…but I digress ).

I think most agree it was over inflated after that run and with interest rates being raised it is to be expected to be flat for a bit. Nice little run we have had with Tech leading the way past 6 months or so.

 

[BufordT 427]

I predict it'll be at least 5+ more years before the Dow, Nasdaq & S&P 500 set record highs and won't double for 20+ years (which at 55 yrs old sucks for me)

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

1 hour ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Absolutely.  It wasn't that long ago that I didn't pay any attention to what was going on with politics and stocks.  After starting a family and owning a business it changes things a bit more.

Inheriting a business. 

[thegeneral 2,891]

19 minutes ago, BufordT said:

I predict it'll be at least 5+ more years before the Dow, Nasdaq & S&P 500 set record highs and won't double for 20+ years (which at 55 yrs old sucks for me)

Dow is about 8% of all time highs. Not hitting that over next 5 years will be disappointing.

[BufordT 427]

7 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

Dow is about 8% of all time highs. Not hitting that over next 5 years will be disappointing.

No doubt. If a recession is looming like a lot of "experts" are predicting that 8% will be much higher, hopefully they're wrong and hopefully I have no idea what I'm talking about. 

[Wade Garrett 155]

And all these gains while the Fed has been raising rates like mad to fight Trumpflation.

Remember how the orange turd screeched whenever the Fed raised rates?  How he cried so at the impact to the stock market.

Joe has delivered us from the wreckage lefty by Trump.  2020, millions of jobs lost.  Negative GDP.  Negative gas prices.  The US with a top ten worst covid death rate.  All turned around now.

Thanks Joe!

[thegeneral 2,891]

30 minutes ago, BufordT said:

No doubt. If a recession is looming like a lot of "experts" are predicting that 8% will be much higher, hopefully they're wrong and hopefully I have no idea what I'm talking about. 

Let’s all hope no recession and for fat stock markets.

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

1 hour ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Inheriting a business. 

Just like my dad, cousins, uncles and grandfather.  that's how family businesses work.  It's incredible how much my life bothers you.  Is it jealousy or insecurity, or maybe both?

[GutterBoy 2,898]

10 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Just like my dad, cousins, uncles and grandfather.  that's how family businesses work.  It's incredible how much my life bothers you.  Is it jealousy or insecurity, or maybe both?

Both.  He does the same thing to me, and everyone he's jealous of.

[Cdub100 3,826]

I'm waiting for the Fed Pivot. Then we should see a crash. Or maybe not, nobody knows.

[thegeneral 2,891]

2 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

I'm waiting for the Fed Pivot. Then we should see a crash. Or maybe not, nobody knows.

What’s this now?

[Cdub100 3,826]

9 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

What’s this now?

Typically when the Fed starts cutting interest rates we generally see a market bottom 6 months later. But who knows, this time it could be different.

ETA - I'm an idiot and my market predictions are terrible.

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

48 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Just like my dad, cousins, uncles and grandfather.  that's how family businesses work.  It's incredible how much my life bothers you.  Is it jealousy or insecurity, or maybe both?

I’m only after accuracy. 

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

38 minutes ago, GutterBoy said:

Both.  He does the same thing to me, and everyone he's jealous of.

Jealous of you? Laughable.  I leave the house everyday.  You play video games and internet message board gotcha.  

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

3 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

I’m only after accuracy. 

What haven't I been accurate about?

2 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Jealous of you? Laughable.  I leave the house everyday.  You play video games and internet message board gotcha.  

What's your deal then?  You obviously have some kind of problem.  Is it that you're just old and grumpy?  Lighten up.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

2 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Jealous of you? Laughable.  I leave the house everyday.  You play video games and internet message board gotcha.  

You leave the house every day?  That's your claim to fame?  Hate to break it to you but so do I.  And you're the king of the message board gotcha?  How many times have you bumped decade old threads to try and get me?  You're so pathetic.

Ok so if it's not jealousy, why do you always make comments about how my parents set me up or I work for my uncle and sh1t like that?

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

23 minutes ago, GutterBoy said:

You leave the house every day?  That's your claim to fame?  Hate to break it to you but so do I.  And you're the king of the message board gotcha?  How many times have you bumped decade old threads to try and get me?  You're so pathetic.

Ok so if it's not jealousy, why do you always make comments about how my parents set me up or I work for my uncle and sh1t like that?

Because you don’t do any work.  So I assume someone is carrying you.  Like Hawkeye. Sad. 

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

22 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

What haven't I been accurate about?

What's your deal then?  You obviously have some kind of problem.  Is it that you're just old and grumpy?  Lighten up.

Old? Don’t you want to be old? Seems I have something you want. Good luck.  

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

1 minute ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Old? Don’t you want to be old? Seems I have something you want. Good luck.  

I don't want to be sad, angry and miserable like you.  I'm perfectly happy being me.

[Hardcore troubadour 14,923]

Just now, Hawkeye21 said:

I don't want to be sad, angry and miserable like you.  I'm perfectly happy being me.

I’m not any of those things. But I am older. And I appreciate the things I have. Earned them.  Sorry, off to the pool.  Last hot day for a while. Enjoy!

[Hawkeye21 2,380]

Apparently HT only respects people who started their own businesses.  With that way of thinking you'd think he would hate Trump.  He would also be against farmers and every family business there is.  Such a terrible and negative way of thinking.

[Wade Garrett 155]

1 hour ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

I’m not any of those things. But I am older. And I appreciate the things I have. Earned them.  Sorry, off to the pool.  Last hot day for a while. Enjoy!

Last hot day for a while?  It's the beginning of June FFS.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

2 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

I’m not any of those things. But I am older. And I appreciate the things I have. Earned them.  Sorry, off to the pool.  Last hot day for a while. Enjoy!

Oh you have to go to the pool?  I have my own.  Jealous?

[thegeneral 2,891]

Not bad!!

No jinx!

[thegeneral 2,891]

Four accounts including my wife’s. 

Three today at all-time high (previous high in three was late 2021I.

No jinx

[thegeneral 2,891]

NVDA

The next sell off will be steep! But this is a great run.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

On 1/5/2022 at 9:50 PM, Gepetto said:

I expect a stock market crash soon

[BufordT 427]

The stock market may or may not crash. Stagflation is more likely.  I don't believe the Dow, Nasdaq or S&P 500 will set record highs for another 10-15 years.