***Official Week #2 College Football***

[Yer mom 2]

Haven't had a chance to send them money (my cards don't work with them). I went with BetOnUSA for the next few weeks.

 

 

You still doing that 3 team over tomorrow GR? I dont know much about those teams, sounds like a fun bet though

[OGAR 0]

Just some info, Seattle has a horrible week one record 3-9 of last 12, don't see them losing, and I may actually bet them, just something to be aware of.

 

 

 

 

Really.... No clue. Thanks Dave. May back the size of the wager down a bit but I really am not impressed with Tampa's O line of the way they run the Offensive. I can never tell if they are a running team or a passing team and IMO their best player is Caddy and he was not used even remotely appropriately last season.

 

I think Alexander will have a nice rebound this season and Hasselbeck is normally really good or pretty bad.

[mikeso 0]

up pretty big this week thanks to rutgers tonight. im going with small 3 way parlays for tomorrow and cash out the winnings for the week....

 

30.00 /180.00

West Virginia -24 -110

Oklahoma -10½ -110

Michigan State -18½ -110

 

30.00/ 180.00

Nebraska -8½ -110 for Game

Minnesota U -8½ -110 for Game

Alabama -3½ -110 for Game

 

30.00 /184.77

California -14 -110 for Game

Michigan -7 -110 for Game

Boise State -3 -105 for Game

 

30.00 /184.77

Georgia -3½ -105 for Game

East Carolina -5 -110 for Game

Tennessee U -10½ -110 for Game

 

40.00/ 240.00

Indiana pk -110 for Game

Auburn -6½ -110 for Game

LSU -10½ -110 for Game

 

wish me luck guys and good luck to all....

 

btw, all this talk about baylor, im putting a 100 on them -7 lets do this !

[GiantsRule 0]

You still doing that 3 team over tomorrow GR? I dont know much about those teams, sounds like a fun bet though

 

Yeah, it's already in. Like every year, it's not for much. Just gives me a reason to root for mad points without caring about who wins!

 

Best of luck tomorrow!

[Yer mom 2]

Yeah, it's already in. Like every year, it's not for much. Just gives me a reason to root for mad points without caring about who wins!

 

Best of luck tomorrow!

 

 

Ditto brotha

[phillybear 366]

CFL YTD: 23-15; +18.6 units

Overall NCAA YTD: 17-15; -4.1 units

Subset: NCAA 2 unit plays or higher: 12-11; -4.7 units

Subset: 1st or 2nd H plays: 3-1; +3.0 units

 

Friday

 

CFL (9:00 PM EST)

Calgary (-2.5) for 2 units WINNER

Adding: Calgary 2nd H (-.5 units) for 3 units WINNER

 

NCAA

Navy (+17)@-120 for 2 units PUSH

Adding: Navy 2nd H (+6) for 3 units WINNER

 

Decent night...

CFL YTD: 25-15; +23.6 units

Overall NCAA YTD: 18-15-1; -1.1 units

Subset: NCAA 2 unit plays or higher: 13-11-1; -1.7 units

Subset: 1st or 2nd H plays: 4-1; +6.0 units

[needmoremoney 0]

NCAAF YTD: 19-12-0 +10.55 units

NFL YTD: 0-1-0 -1.05 units

 

WEST VIRGINIA @ MARSHALL o/u 62.5 over 1 unit WINNER

I was tempted to take Marshall for the first morning game, but realized that their star RB Bradshaw has moved on. I was still somewhat tempted with their above avg. o-line, and their sophomore sure-handed TE, but I just couldn't get myself to do it. I have confidence that their senior QB Morris can move them down field a few times for some scores and rush for a few first downs, but I just don't see much consistency, especially against better programs. They suffer from blocked punts, missed FG's, interceptions and not sure how their diminished running game will keep up with WV's offense. I will make a play on the over as I see WV moving down the field with ease, getting good field positions on special teams and perhaps getting some favorable TO's as well. Tired defense will lead to more scores for WV, with Marshall also putting up a few scores of their own with most of the same key players from last year. Over has covered at a high clip for both teams for those who care about stats. Hell.. i think I just talked myself into taking WV as well.. why not.

 

WEST VIRGINIA @ MARSHALL -24 1 unit WINNER

see above

 

DUKE @ VIRGINIA u41 1 unit WINNER

Neither have a running game to write home about. Virginia has edge in QB, but does not have the arm nor accuracy to carry the team every possession down the field. I just hope the interceptions that will occur wont lead to quick scores.

Under is 8-0-1 in Virginia's last 9 games as a favorite and under is 10-2 in Virginia's last 12 home games.

 

RICE @ BAYLOR -7 2 units WINNER

Baylor may have been outclassed by TCU 27-0, but they were still able to convert 3rd downs at 30% (6-20) vs TCU's 20% (3-15) conversion rate, and got 15 first downs to TCU's 17. Falling behind, their QBs combined for 4 ints and could not muster much of a run game. Baylor QB Blake may turnover the ball multiple times as he threw 4 TDs and 7 Ints last year, but against Okla, Okla St., Tex Tech, etc. Against Rice, i have much more confidence. This week, Rice will face a Baylor team looking for redemption and hoping for a bowl chance (probably not given their tough schedule again). This will be one of their easist matches with Rice, who were beat by Nicholls State (yea..who?) last week. They were outgained 218 to 281 and split time of possession pretty evenly. Rice's QB, Chase Clement, had a breakout year last year with a 21-5 TD/Int ratio but most of his TDs came in bunches against other TX lower tier schools. Their defense obviously is not a strength, nor their offense on any level.. Bottom line... Rice is one of my favorite teams to bet against.

 

CALIFORNIA @ COLORADO ST -13.5 2 units LOSER

Taking my Bears.... looking for a better performance from Longshore this week and for Jackson and Forsett to really wreak some havoc against a letdown last week for Col. St.

 

BUFFALO @ TEMPLE -3.5 2 units LOSER

NOTRE DAME @ PENN STATE -18 2 units WINNER

BYU @ UCLA -7 1 unit WINNER

TOLEDO @ C MICHIGAN -3 2 units WINNER

BOISE ST @ WASHINGTON +3 2 units WINNER

NEBRASKA @ WAKE FOREST +8.5 1 unit WINNER

OREGON +6.5 @ MICHIGAN 1 unit WINNER

NEVADA @ NORTHWESTER u52 2 units LOSER

[IAMWood 6]

Anyone know anything about TEXAS AM -17.5 vs. Fresno St.?. aggies should be decent but I know nothing about Fresno, wanna bet on it (.5 unit) cuz it is on TV.

 

 

 

TEXAS - TCU over 44.5

 

Texas defense is suspect and Texas' o will start producing today. It will be a shootout. 5 units.

 

Hook up some Frogs. I am hungry.

[GBFAVRE4 0]

Philly.....dont tell me you are going against Wisky again this week!?!?

 

Dont consider it.

Bucky may score 50 here on their own....and I dont see UNLV getting past the 50

[phillybear 366]

CFL YTD: 25-15; +23.6 units

Overall NCAA YTD: 18-15-1; -1.1 units

Subset: NCAA 2 unit plays or higher: 13-11-1; -1.7 units

Subset: 1st or 2nd H plays: 4-1; +6.0 units

 

Wow, I was a bit overly angry last night. Whether I am a sociopath or not, I'll try to keep my anger in check, in this thread anyway. Stupid hangover.

 

Saturday. In time order. All for 1 unit unless indicated otherwise. Any other changes will have an "Edit" next to the change.

 

Early

Northwestern (-10) LOSER

Wake Forest (+8.5) WINNER

Miami OH (+8.5) WINNER

Eastern Michigan (+3.5) LOSER

Vanderbilt (+3.5) LOSER

Temple (-3.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

Colorado St (+14) for 2 units WINNER!!

Oregon (+7) for 2 units WINNER!!

Washington (+3) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

South Carolina (+3.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

Mississippi (+6) LOSER

Penn St (-18) for 2 units WINNER!!

North Carolina (+4.5) WINNER

BYU (+7.5) LOSER!!

Air Force (+7.5) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Edit: Air Force 2nd Half for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Troy (+26.5) LOSER!!

 

Late

Baylor (-7) WINNER

TCU (+9) for 2 units LOSER!!

Tulane (+5.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

Florida International (+24) for 2 units WINNER!!

Central Michigan (-3) for 3 units WINNER

Edit: Adding Central Mich (pk)@-125 2nd H for 3 units WINNER

Hawaii (-27.5) for 3 units LOSER!!

Edit: Adding Hawaii (-14) 2nd H for 3 units LOSER!!

Arkansas St (+3.5) Postponed

SMU (-17.5) for 2 units LOSER!!

South Florida (+7) WINNER

Virginia Tech (+11) for 2 units LOSER!!

New Mexico St (+7) for 2 units LOSER!!

UNLV (+25.5) for 2 units WINNER

 

Good luck to all.

[phillybear 366]

Philly.....dont tell me you are going against Wisky again this week!?!?

 

Dont consider it.

Bucky may score 50 here on their own....and I dont see UNLV getting past the 50

 

UNLV has a decent run defense, so they matchup up well with a grind it out Wisconsin team. Wash St's defense isn't all that good, so Wisc got a lot more points than usual last week. UNLV showed me something with their come from behind road win last week; basically UNLV has some spark this season, and it's too early in the year for their annual quitting-on-the-season.. It's a lot to ask to cover a big spread like this on the road when you will try to run the ball 50 times in the game. The UNLV QB looked decent last week, including running for 150 yards. It might be tough to defend a dual threat QB like UNLV's Dixon. It will be an ugly game, but I think UNLV hangs inside the number.

[phillybear 366]

anyone have any inisght on texas texh vs utep??? i think the line is -24(posting from phone).....watched new mexico vs utep last week and they looked awful...is tt home? i like tt but dont see anyone else beting this game..

 

UTEP is pretty bad, but I didn't want to get involved in this game. It's hard to blow out opponents in back to back weeks, and this line is too high based on TT national TV win. But there is no way I would play on UTEP.

[phillybear 366]

Just wodering if anybody liked San Jose ST. this week getting laid 19.5 from K.st I like this game. Philly do u have a lean anyway?

 

Kansas St blew the win last week against Auburn. I don't know how they will react emotionally. San Jose St's defense got steamrolled by Arizona St last week. I though San Jose St would still be pretty good on offense, but they didn't do anything last week. I need to see more of San Jose St before I play on or against them. No lean, since I don't know if Kansas St will be flat or fired up.

[phillybear 366]

ok...earlier this week i was all ready to play Penn St. for a lot..... I have been looking at things tonight and for some reason im not as sold on the game as I once was. I realize Penn St. has Morelli and good wrs coming back.... they have a ton of players coming back on the D that was solid last year, but I think we may underestimate ND..... Can anyone give me a writeup. I realize Clauson is making his first start going into Happy Valley. One last thing I read that 75% of the public is on Penn St, but most of the money is looking NDs way....

 

It's a game keyed by the team's QBs. Penn State was a very good team last year, with one glaring weakness, the QB Morelli. He looks a lot more comfortable this year, and if he continues to play well, Penn St could go undefeated. Notre Dame's struggles have been well documented, and Weiss has zero confidence in his QBs, which makes me wonder why they are on the roster. It speaks of his ability to recruit. Anyway, Penn St playing with revenge for their worst loss of the year last year, in a game they lost 44-17 despite playing Notre Dame even in yardage. Just a bizarre final score in that game. Notre Dame still has a bad defense, just like last year. Penn St's defense is better than Georgia Tech, so points will be hard to come by for Notre Dame.

[IAMWood 6]

Anyone know anything about TEXAS AM -17.5 vs. Fresno St.?. aggies should be decent but I know nothing about Fresno, wanna bet on it (.5 unit) cuz it is on TV.

TEXAS - TCU over 44.5

 

Texas defense is suspect and Texas' o will start producing today. It will be a shootout. 5 units.

 

Hook up some Frogs. I am hungry.

[phillybear 366]

 

It's a tough game to figure, as both teams are coming off somewhat disappointing seasons. Fresno St's pass defense is not good, but their run defense is, and that matches up well with Texas A&M's offense preference, to grind it out. Texas A&M allowed Montana St to run 27 more offensive plays than their own offense last week, so I have a lot of quetions about the defense. Both teams will be searching for an identity early in the year, and I haven't seen or read enough about both teams to have an opinion on the game. Sorry.

[IAMWood 6]

It's a tough game to figure, as both teams are coming off somewhat disappointing seasons. Fresno St's pass defense is not good, but their run defense is, and that matches up well with Texas A&M's offense preference, to grind it out. Texas A&M allowed Montana St to run 27 more offensive plays than their own offense last week, so I have a lot of quetions about the defense. Both teams will be searching for an identity early in the year, and I haven't seen or read enough about both teams to have an opinion on the game. Sorry.

 

Thanks bro. I just put in a .5 unit bet on Fresno. +17.5, when in doubt, take the points.

 

Can't imagine that Texas TCU over not hitting.

[unclemercy 53]

phillis, i was thru page four when i skipped ahead to try and talk you outta that emu play. save the unit or move it somewhere else. no need to shred me for lack of a write up, due to lack of time, but i've always appreciated your postings so i wanted to chime in... cheers

[phillybear 366]

phillis, i was thru page four when i skipped ahead to try and talk you outta that emu play. save the unit or move it somewhere else. no need to shred me for lack of a write up, due to lack of time, but i've always appreciated your postings so i wanted to chime in... cheers

 

No worries. It's just a small play. It's a play against Ball St as much as on Eastern Mich. I am not a believer in Ball St, and losing at home last week just sets them up badly for this game. I think it will be close.

[OGAR 0]

Okey dokey! Got my plays for today all lined up and about to call them in. Thought I might give my bros here a chance to correct anything anyone thinks I am way off on.

 

So anyone up this early on a Sat. Let me know.

 

 

Oklahoma -11 40 cents

BC -14 60 cents

Penn st -17 30 cents

TCU +9.5 30 cents

Az st -15 60 cents

Boise st -3 30 cents

Hawaii -28 30 cents

Baylor -6.5 60 cents

 

I know, i know, lots of favs but as I stated much earlier in this thread, I believe the favs cover early in the season until the books can get their pencils sharpened and guage who is what.

[Bouve-Rules 0]

Bouve-Rules Morning Card:

 

OKLAHOMA -11 (2 units)

Temple -3.5

Wake Forest +9

 

PhillyBear Special: 3-Team Parlay (CMU -3, Wash +3, AFU +7.5) for 1 unit

 

Finally bit the bullet and signed up with Bodog again (I'm sorry Newbodog). Per usual, Bodog offers great lines if you like to play underdogs - not so good if you like the chalk. That helped last night with a push on Navy (+17)!

 

Afternoon and evening leans:

 

UNLV +25 (line will only go higher at Bodog)

Nortre Dame +17.5 (ditto)

Georgia -3.5 (watching to see if this dips at all)

 

Good luck to everyone - Go Sooners!

[Bouve-Rules 0]

Okey dokey! Got my plays for today all lined up and about to call them in. Thought I might give my bros here a chance to correct anything anyone thinks I am way off on.

 

So anyone up this early on a Sat. Let me know.

Oklahoma -11 40 cents

BC -14 60 cents

Penn st -17 30 cents

TCU +9.5 30 cents

Az st -15 60 cents

Boise st -3 30 cents

Hawaii -28 30 cents

Baylor -6.5 60 cents

 

I know, i know, lots of favs but as I stated much earlier in this thread, I believe the favs cover early in the season until the books can get their pencils sharpened and guage who is what.

 

 

I love your OU and Baylor (-7 for me though) plays. I'm on the other side of your Boise play (Philly Special).

 

There seems to be some much momentum on this board for Penn State that I'm concerned about my Notre Dame lean. You guys may have talked me out of that one.

 

Good luck.

[phillybear 366]

Notes:

 

Really liking Hawaii tonight. When I noticed that LaTech beat Central Arkansas 28-7 last week, I didn't read too much into it. Wow. LaTech got crushed in the stats, scored all their points on short drives off turnovers, and were completely outplayed. LaTech had a horrific defense last year, and will again this year. Hawaii's defense has a ton of talent and returning players, and will be much better. Hawaii beat LaTech 61-17 last year, and can name the score tonight.

 

Utah will be missing their top QB and RB today, thus making Air Force a bigger than usual play for me.

 

Boise St is not a good ATS team on the road the last few years, going 4-7 ATS and 3-5 ATS when favored. Wash went 2-1 SU as a home dog last year, and surprised me by how much they have improved after blowing out Syracuse in Carrier Dome last week.

 

Central Mich went 5-0 ATS at home last year, and covered 18 of last 24 games overall, and if they can recapture the rhythm of their 23rd ranked offense from last year, with all the key players back, they should beat up Toledo today.

[dpollaro 0]

can someone post where all the action is currently??

 

making last decisions on my picks then i will post them..

[American Chewy 98]

philly-

 

any feeling on florida st at -34?

[phillybear 366]

Lopsided action on games, 80% or higher..

 

West Virginia 92% over Marshall

Nebraska 84% over Wake Forest

Virginia 81% over Duke

Baylor 82% over Rice

Kansas St 84% over San Jose St

California 86% over Colorado St

Missouri 83% over Mississippi

UCLA 83% over BYU

Tennessee 91% over So Miss

Washington St 89% over San Diego St

Hawaii 87% over LaTech

Oklahoma St 82% over Flor Atlantic

[phillybear 366]

philly-

 

any feeling on florida st at -34?

 

It's Flor St or nothing. They have a history of blowout wins after an upset loss. UAB is awful on both sides of the ball. But unless it's Hawaii, I don't really like to lay that much chalk.

[mikecass7 0]

Had a wedding last night and missed alot of the fun in this thread. Looks like most I follow turned a profit which sucks because I woulda been all over that Philly CFL pick. After a nice week one lets keep it going in week 2. My card is a follows

 

NCAAF 11-8-0 (+5.2units)

NFL 0-0-0

CFL 3-1 (1.9 Units)

 

2 Units

 

Rutgers - 16 Winner

Boston College -14 WINNER

Boise State -3 LOSER

Central Michigan -3 WINNER

 

1 Units

 

Mississippi +6 LOSER

Alabama -3 WINNER

Hawaii -28 LOSER

 

 

1/2 unit

 

Wake Forest +8.5 WINNER

 

 

I will be adding to this before kickoffs.

[OGAR 0]

Notes:

 

 

 

Boise St is not a good ATS team on the road the last few years, going 4-7 ATS and 3-5 ATS when favored. Wash went 2-1 SU as a home dog last year, and surprised me by how much they have improved after blowing out Syracuse in Carrier Dome last week.

 

 

Yuck! might have to pass here.

[American Chewy 98]

It's Flor St or nothing. They have a history of blowout wins after an upset loss. UAB is awful on both sides of the ball. But unless it's Hawaii, I don't really like to lay that much chalk.

 

thats what i'm thinking. they way mich st dominated uab last week and with fla st's poor showing i can see the seminoles wanting to come out and lay the wood.

 

last question- another favorite, oklahoma st at -23?

[OGAR 0]

Notes:

 

 

 

Central Mich went 5-0 ATS at home last year, and covered 18 of last 24 games overall, and if they can recapture the rhythm of their 23rd ranked offense from last year, with all the key players back, they should beat up Toledo today.

 

 

Philly tell me about these 2 teams opening games. Toledo stats look better all around but that may be a result of who they each played last weekend.

[dpollaro 0]

Lopsided action on games, 80% or higher..

 

West Virginia 92% over Marshall

Nebraska 84% over Wake Forest

Virginia 81% over Duke

Baylor 82% over Rice

Kansas St 84% over San Jose St

California 86% over Colorado St

Missouri 83% over Mississippi

UCLA 83% over BYU

Tennessee 91% over So Miss

Washington St 89% over San Diego St

Hawaii 87% over LaTech

Oklahoma St 82% over Flor Atlantic

 

 

thanks philly

[phillybear 366]

last question- another favorite, oklahoma st at -23?

 

I hate to lay that much chalk with a team that is all offense, but zero defense. Florida Atlantic beat Midd Tenn St last week 27-14, and while they are no Louisville, they might finally be improving under Howard Schnellenberger.

[phillybear 366]

Philly tell me about these 2 teams opening games. Toledo stats look better all around but that may be a result of who they each played last weekend.

 

Yep. The stats are the product of the matchups last week. Central Mich got throttled on the road at Kansas, and Toledo lost badly at home to a mediocre Purdue team. After Gradkowski graduated, Toledo has had serious issues at QB, and it looks more of the same this year. Centr Mich won the MAC last year, won their bowl game, and still should be among the class of the MAC this year. Honestly, I don't understand why this line isn't higher than -3. I can't find any angle to support Toledo, and believe me, I looked.

[OGAR 0]

Yep. The stats are the product of the matchups last week. Central Mich got throttled on the road at Kansas, and Toledo lost badly at home to a mediocre Purdue team. After Gradkowski graduated, Toledo has had serious issues at QB, and it looks more of the same this year. Centr Mich won the MAC last year, won their bowl game, and still should be among the class of the MAC this year. Honestly, I don't understand why this line isn't higher than -3. I can't find any angle to support Toledo, and believe me, I looked.

 

 

 

Fair enough. My sophmore Fb coach played qb for CMU in the late 70s, so I sorta have a soft spot for them anyhow. I'm convinced and I'm going to throw 50 cent at them.

 

ps I dropped Boise st. the qb for washington spooked me and lets face it Boise has to lose sometime.

 

Best of luck.

[American Chewy 98]

I hate to lay that much chalk with a team that is all offense, but zero defense. Florida Atlantic beat Midd Tenn St last week 27-14, and while they are no Louisville, they might finally be improving under Howard Schnellenberger.

 

cool, thanks. i'm still thinking about that one, i'll wait till later today to decide.

[dpollaro 0]

NCAA YTD 5-3 +3 units

Subset 2 units or higher 2-1 +2 units

 

 

All games today 1 unit..didnt really like to many and some of these may be forced plays..

 

 

Nebraska -9 LOSS

California -14.5 LOSS

BC -14 WIN

UCLA -7.5 WIN

TCU +9.5 LOSS

 

 

also liked Texas Tech after watching the utep/new mexico game last week but decided to hold off...

 

good luck to all

[Clash of the Titans 1]

good morning clowns-BAMA - is the lock of the day- we will win this game by 14 points or more- lay it down and feel confident

 

 

ROLL FUCKIN TIDE BABY!

 

 

[phillybear 366]

I just checked the TV listings. Yeah, I don't worry about if a game is on TV until after my bet is in. No undue influence on picking. Just like I don't pay much attention to the Top 25 poll either and usally don't know who is ranked and who isn't, and the voters are a bunch of morons, but I digress.

 

Half my games will be on TV today. Nice.

[American Chewy 98]

2007 NCAA Football Betting Record

0-0

 

2006 NCAA Football Betting Results

158-133-6 (54.3%) +13.48 units

 

2005 NCAA Football Betting Results

78-58-1 (57.4%) +20.32 units

 

Well, here goes another season. Sat out last week because i've done poorly in the first week.

 

Unlike past years i am going to only play 4-5 games a week instead of 10-15. gonna try to stick to only 1 unit plays too. i also increased the amount i'm using for a unit this year because i'm feeling pretty good about what i'm doing.

 

What I do is look at stats, public betting percentages, line moves, and use a concensus of cappers i trust.

 

Heres what I got for today(bought some points):

 

Florida State -34

Penn State -17

Hawaii -27

UNLV +25.5

Oklahoma State -23 (.5 unit)

 

Dont normally like to lay this many points, but it seems early in the season is the time to do it. I might add one more game later.

 

Good luck everyone! I'm going to the K-State/San Jose State game tonight.