Stock Market bubble - will crash

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

The Recession Trade Is Back on Wall Street

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/recession-trade-war-bonds-investing-6557357c

[Cdub100 3,879]

On 11/21/2024 at 2:20 PM, Cdub100 said:

Nov-21-2024

Sell 50.000 Shares of CORZW

 

Filled at $11.8803

 

 

Nov-21-2024

Sell 50.000 Shares of CORZZ

 

Filled at $18.015

 

 

Nov-21-2024

Sell 50 Shares of CORZ at Market (Day)

 

Filled at $18.05

 

Since someone liked this post.

I completely unwound all my positions other than $FBTC and $STRK

Mostly sitting on cash in a 4.5% interest account.

I own Bitcoin, Solana, Cardano and Sui. Lots of smaller coins under 1k

If I take all my assets I am 50% cash and 50% Crypto

[easilyscan 906]

On 2/11/2025 at 3:44 PM, easilyscan said:

Yahoo finance has been my homepage since 1998. Always enjoyed commenting on Stocks, ETFs, etc. that I held, or was interested in. Now, there's a 50-50 chance that a seemingly civil comment like  "didn't realize Teslas sales in China we're down that much last quarter, thanks" will be rejected ?

It's almost as if Yahoo is trying to drive people away. If the comment problems weren't bad enough, the site has become excruciatingly slow.

Any suggestions on other investing sites that allow comments ?

 

I finally found the site I was looking for. The only thing missing is a comment section, but I can live without that. Also love how fast it is relative to Yahoo finance.

https://www.financecharts.com/stocks/CAG/growth/total-return

Another + is they stick to the rule of KISS (keep it simple stupid)

 

Link above is for ConAgra stock. Most sites that show returns for an individual stock do so using charts. The problem is, when it comes to a dividend paying stock like this one, those returns don't include dividend reinvestment, which can affect returns significantly.

A little further down the page, they compare this companies returns to their competitors which is great if you're looking to buy a stock in a particular sector.

 

The best part is that unlike most sites, it looks like all the features are available to use even if you don't register.

I'll continue to pimp this site for selfish reasons. I want it to get enough traffic to stay open.

PS: Appreciate those of you who suggested other sites.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[easilyscan 906]

30 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

Since someone liked this post.

That was me. I appreciate full disclosure in black & white. I belonged to an investing forum years ago and whenever I'd state my latest trade, there were a few members who would very subtly imply that I was just making it up. From that point forward, I added screen captures of the transaction to shut them up. I left that forum a couple years ago because they're a bunch of a holes who still don't allow any discussion on crypto, or investments in crypto. 

Quote

 

January 11, 2023

US federal regulators for the banking system, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, recently published a joint statement on cryptocurrency. The statement can be found here.

It is brief, clearly written, to the point, and easy to understand. Everyone should read it. They believe that cryptocurrency merits no place in our current banking system. It is far too risky, open to too much fraud and scams, is too unstable, and the threat of contagion to other financial markets too high. From their statement:

Based on the agencies’ current understanding and experience to date, the agencies believe that issuing or holding as principal crypto-assets that are issued, stored, or transferred on an open, public, and/or decentralized network, or similar system is highly likely to be inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices.

Based on this, ER Forum believes it is in the best interest our our community to discourage discussions about cryptocurrency. If the regulatory view changes forum rules will be revisited. Until that time, please refrain from posting about crypto, stablecoins, central bank digital currencies, tokens, etc.

 

What a bunch of bootlicking puzzies.

Regards

 

[Cdub100 3,879]

2 minutes ago, easilyscan said:

That was me. I appreciate full disclosure in black & white. I belonged to an investing forum years ago and whenever I'd state my latest trade, there were a few members who would very subtly imply that I was just making it up. From that point forward, I added screen captures of the transaction to shut them up. I left that forum a couple years ago because they're a bunch of a holes who still don't allow any discussion on crypto, or investments in crypto. 

What a bunch of bootlicking puzzies.

Regards

 

Most people only post their Ws. I win some I lose some. My latest big Cleanspark buy was a big L for me.

[easilyscan 906]

14 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

Most people only post their Ws. I win some I lose some. My latest big Cleanspark buy was a big L for me.

We just try to win more often than lose. My most recent L is Noble Corporation plc (NE) bought it because of its attractive dividend yield & sold covered calls for some additional income.

Problem is, the day I did the trade (December 30, 2024) oil was around $74 a barrel, today it's @ $67

 

 

 

 

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

Trump crash continues...

[Cdub100 3,879]

16 minutes ago, Ron_Artest said:

Trump crash continues...

Need a crash so interest rates come down and the gov can refinance the debt at a better 10nyear rate. 

Isn't it obvious?

[Cdub100 3,879]

Are yah winning son?

[easilyscan 906]

Added GOOG-SOXL 

https://www.imagebam.com/view/ME1081I9

[Cdub100 3,879]

25 minutes ago, easilyscan said:

Added GOOG-SOXL 

https://www.imagebam.com/view/ME1081I9

I'm not adding anything other than Bitcoin right now. We are for more dumpage. 

[easilyscan 906]

2 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

I'm not adding anything other than Bitcoin right now. We are for more dumpage. 

Probably.

It's impossible to guess the bottom, so I add small amounts at different times when the markets are angry.

I use a 1 year candlestick chart. This one is for Google. I only add to existing holdings when the share price is below both the 50 & 200 day moving averages. No guarantee that it won't drop further, but at least I'm never buying at the top. Do the same with positions that pay dividends. Once the cash arrives in my account, I look at that chart. If I think it's undervalued, I'll take the dividends & reinvest them, if not I hold them in cash until it is.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=GOOG

 

 

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

I'm just happy for Daulton who continues to make money hand over fist.  He saw through this trumpcession and invested accordingly.

[nobody 2,634]

There's blood in the streets!

[thegeneral 3,081]

4 hours ago, Cdub100 said:

Need a crash so interest rates come down and the gov can refinance the debt at a better 10nyear rate. 

Isn't it obvious?

Nice to be provided an opportunity to buy

[Horseman 2,438]

On 3/9/2025 at 2:11 PM, easilyscan said:

 

I finally found the site I was looking for. The only thing missing is a comment section, but I can live without that. Also love how fast it is relative to Yahoo finance.

https://www.financecharts.com/stocks/CAG/growth/total-return

Another + is they stick to the rule of KISS (keep it simple stupid)

 

Link above is for ConAgra stock. Most sites that show returns for an individual stock do so using charts. The problem is, when it comes to a dividend paying stock like this one, those returns don't include dividend reinvestment, which can affect returns significantly.

A little further down the page, they compare this companies returns to their competitors which is great if you're looking to buy a stock in a particular sector.

 

The best part is that unlike most sites, it looks like all the features are available to use even if you don't register.

I'll continue to pimp this site for selfish reasons. I want it to get enough traffic to stay open.

PS: Appreciate those of you who suggested other sites.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 hour ago, easilyscan said:

Probably.

It's impossible to guess the bottom, so I add small amounts at different times when the markets are angry.

I use a 1 year candlestick chart. This one is for Google. I only add to existing holdings when the share price is below both the 50 & 200 day moving averages. No guarantee that it won't drop further, but at least I'm never buying at the top. Do the same with positions that pay dividends. Once the cash arrives in my account, I look at that chart. If I think it's undervalued, I'll take the dividends & reinvest them, if not I hold them in cash until it is.

https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=GOOG

 

 

You're at Fidelity, why don't you use Active Trader Pro?

GOOG nearing a Death Cross.  That's about what I was eyeing as an entry point.  

 

[nobody 2,634]

Quote

January 11, 2023

US federal regulators for the banking system, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, recently published a joint statement on cryptocurrency. The statement can be found here.

It is brief, clearly written, to the point, and easy to understand. Everyone should read it. They believe that cryptocurrency merits no place in our current banking system. It is far too risky, open to too much fraud and scams, is too unstable, and the threat of contagion to other financial markets too high. From their statement:

Based on the agencies’ current understanding and experience to date, the agencies believe that issuing or holding as principal crypto-assets that are issued, stored, or transferred on an open, public, and/or decentralized network, or similar system is highly likely to be inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices.

Based on this, ER Forum believes it is in the best interest our our community to discourage discussions about cryptocurrency. If the regulatory view changes forum rules will be revisited. Until that time, please refrain from posting about crypto, stablecoins, central bank digital currencies, tokens, etc.

On 3/9/2025 at 11:21 AM, easilyscan said:

What a bunch of bootlicking puzzies.

Regards

 

They ain't wrong.  The value of bitcoin is not as a currency but as the token of exchange for a transaction network.  In that way, thinking of Bitcoin very much differently then a tech stock is probably not a good way to approach the investment.

I've said it about 100 times, but I'll say it again.  Bitcoin is basically a speculative tech stock.  Recession fear means no bueno on speculation.  Tech in general = speculation in the eyes of the market. Bitcoin even more so. Therefore, as long as we see recession fears, Bitcoin will be under downward price pressure.

That's why I was so amazed when someone said bitcoin was a store of value.  What's happening right now is exactly why bitcoin is not a store of value.

[Hardcore troubadour 15,171]

Back in the 2000’s my mortgage got sold 2-3 times. Hasn’t happened since until now. 

[easilyscan 906]

While this latest round of carnage has been going on, AWK has been going ballistic. Couldn't resist the urge to sell June 20, 2025 $165 calls for $3.20 
 

https://www.imagebam.com/view/ME1086X7

https://www.imagebam.com/view/ME1086X8

 

[Cdub100 3,879]

1 hour ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Back in the 2000’s my mortgage got sold 2-3 times. Hasn’t happened since until now. 

Mine just got sold too

 

[easilyscan 906]

1 hour ago, nobody said:

They ain't wrong.  The value of bitcoin is not as a currency but as the token of exchange for a transaction network.  In that way, thinking of Bitcoin very much differently then a tech stock is probably not a good way to approach the investment.

I wasn't saying they were wrong in being wary of bitcoin. I was only stating my disapproval of them trying to play God by not allowing others willing to speculate in it, to be able to do so & discuss their strategies with others who felt the same way. 

As for Fidelity active trader pro, I tried it in the past & it wasn't for me. I'm not that active of a trader & I use a minimal amount of technical analysis. 

Isn't a death cross a bearish signal ?

If I have that right, not sure why you'd want to start a position at that point.

 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,171]

48 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

Mine just got sold too

 

Interesting. Maybe there’s someone here with a minor in finance that can tell us what’s up? Don’t know if it’s related , but supposedly the Biden admin has kept 400k houses from going into foreclosure.  

[Horseman 2,438]

25 minutes ago, easilyscan said:

I wasn't saying they were wrong in being wary of bitcoin. I was only stating my disapproval of them trying to play God by not allowing others willing to speculate in it, to be able to do so & discuss their strategies with others who felt the same way. 

As for Fidelity active trader pro, I tried it in the past & it wasn't for me. I'm not that active of a trader & I use a minimal amount of technical analysis. 

Isn't a death cross a bearish signal ?

If I have that right, not sure why you'd want to start a position at that point.

 

Well for the moving averages, for example, you can set it up with your preferences then save that graph.  Then you can pull it up on any ticker you want in the future.  Highly customizable.   

Death Cross signals a bear market, but it's usually a level of resistance for a particular stock.  A big On Sale sign if you're holding long term - after the bear is over.  

[MDC 7,240]

The Economist reporting today that Trump’s erratic trade policies and mass layoffs are going to tank the economy. 

Buyer’s remorse.  

[Hawkeye21 2,389]

8 minutes ago, MDC said:

The Economist reporting today that Trump’s erratic trade policies and mass layoffs are going to tank the economy. 

Buyer’s remorse.  

We'll be fine.

[MDC 7,240]

2 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

We'll be fine.

Should’ve been Don’s campaign slogan.  

[Hawkeye21 2,389]

1 minute ago, MDC said:

Should’ve been Don’s campaign slogan.  

Things were worse when Obama was President and everything was fine.  Then Trump and Biden, once again, just fine.

[MDC 7,240]

4 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Things were worse when Obama was President and everything was fine.  Then Trump and Biden, once again, just fine.

I was told America  was a dystopian hellhole and the country would be made great again.  

[Hawkeye21 2,389]

2 minutes ago, MDC said:

I was told America  was a dystopian hellhole and the country would be made great again.  

It's almost like people overreact all the time.

[MDC 7,240]

1 minute ago, Hawkeye21 said:

It's almost like people overreact all the time.

You seem to have figured that out in the past few months.  

[HTH 95]

Just went all cash.

lost $3400 today.

Had so swallow hard on that one!

[HTH 95]

Now I'll get back in the Money Market with a safe 5%  

[The Real timschochet 6,549]

Lawrence O’ Donnell said something tonight that I think is 100% true: all Donald Trump has to do tonight is say “I changed my mind; there won’t be any more tariffs for the rest of my term and you won’t hear me talk about this again” and the stock market would go through the roof tomorrow. Plus we would avoid a recession. 

[Beaker15 236]

10 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Lawrence O’ Donnell said something tonight that I think is 100% true: all Donald Trump has to do tonight is say “I changed my mind; there won’t be any more tariffs for the rest of my term and you won’t hear me talk about this again” and the stock market would go through the roof tomorrow. Plus we would avoid a recession. 

We aren't anywhere near going into a recession

[seafoam1 2,880]

1 hour ago, Beaker15 said:

We aren't anywhere near going into a recession

Timmy is a focking is idiot who needs to shave off the top to hire illegals for $0.10 an hour. 

He knows less than nothing about what a recession is. He's simply just poor.

All these liberals are whacked and I'm happy seeing it. 

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

8 hours ago, Beaker15 said:

We aren't anywhere near going into a recession

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's widely tracked GDPNow model, which forecasts U.S. economic output will contract by an annualized rate of -2.4% in 2025's first quarter based on a series of economic data points. 3 days ago

https://www.forbes.com

[Hardcore troubadour 15,171]

The Biden admin changed the definition of recession.  The old models no longer apply.  

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

14 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

The Biden admin changed the definition of recession.  The old models no longer apply.  

Do you actually think that changing the definition of recession led to the strong growth between Q3 2022 and Q4 2024?

[Hardcore troubadour 15,171]

1 hour ago, Ron_Artest said:

Do you actually think that changing the definition of recession led to the strong growth between Q3 2022 and Q4 2024?

Thanks for acknowledging that they changed the definition. Much of the growth under Biden can be attributed to government spending and deceptive accounting. 

[Ron_Artest 1,276]

17 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Thanks for acknowledging that they changed the definition. Much of the growth under Biden can be attributed to government spending and deceptive accounting. 

deceptive accounting?