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Gepetto

Stock Market bubble - will crash

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8 minutes ago, HTH said:

Man do I feel dumb.

:huh:

Might I suggest you employ the “inverse Gutterboy” strategy to investing? 

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2 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Might I suggest you employ the “inverse Gutterboy” strategy to investing? 

Not getting this. Please interpret!

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I very rarely buy options. Today, I bought 10 $310 TSLA Call options. I'm wondering if this overnight trading can hold into tomorrow.

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16 hours ago, Cdub100 said:

I very rarely buy options. Today, I bought 10 $310 TSLA Call options. I'm wondering if this overnight trading can hold into tomorrow.

It hasn't. 😭 

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On 3/25/2025 at 4:46 PM, Cdub100 said:

I very rarely buy options. Today, I bought 10 $310 TSLA Call options. I'm wondering if this overnight trading can hold into tomorrow.

What's the expiration date, & how much of a premium did you pay ? 

Still nibbling at google below 170 & considering adding some Nvidia at around $112 

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On 3/25/2025 at 10:30 AM, HTH said:

Not getting this. Please interpret!

Do the opposite.

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2 hours ago, easilyscan said:

What's the expiration date, & how much of a premium did you pay ? 

Still nibbling at google below 170 & considering adding some Nvidia at around $112 

I couldn't take it, and I sold my contracts at 277 today and then it immediately shot up to 293. FOCK!!!!!!!

I am never doing options again.

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29 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

I couldn't take it, and I sold my contracts at 277 today and then it immediately shot up to 293. FOCK!!!!!!!

I am never doing options again.

That's unfortunate. Options can drive you nuts, especially on high beta stocks like Tesla.

 

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43 minutes ago, easilyscan said:

That's unfortunate. Options can drive you nuts, especially on high beta stocks like Tesla.

 

Being too early and wrong are often the same thing.

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13 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

Being too early and wrong are often the same thing.

 

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26 minutes ago, easilyscan said:

Been accumulating google below 170, today I'm adding under 160.......OUCH

DCA down is a good strategy 

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12 minutes ago, Cdub100 said:

DCA down is a good strategy 

Thanks

For the past 15 years, I've bookmarked 6 month candlestick charts with 50 & 200 day moving averages for all my individual stocks, ETF's, REIT's, etc. 

I only add when the share price is below @ least one of those moving averages.

Here's the current Google chart. No guarantee it won't be lower in the future, but at least I didn't buy/add at the top in February.

https://www.imagebam.com/view/ME10NOKU

I've got into debates that actually got heated at times regarding this in the past, but I do the same thing with dividends. Whether it's an individual stock, ETF, or REIT, I always take them in cash & on the day it hits my account, I check the charts & if it looks like a good time to reinvest, I use the proceeds to purchase more shares. If it doesn't, I keep the cash until a better opportunity arises. This improved my returns, but the people on the other side of the debate claim I'm trying to time the market. I don't see it that way, but to each his own. 

 

 

 

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On 3/28/2025 at 1:48 PM, easilyscan said:

Been accumulating google below 170, today I'm adding under 160.......OUCH

Came here to post that it's time to scoop up GOOG now it's sub 160.  

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On 3/27/2025 at 4:09 PM, Cdub100 said:

I couldn't take it, and I sold my contracts at 277 today and then it immediately shot up to 293. FOCK!!!!!!!

I am never doing options again.

My best option trades in choppy markets have been selling out of the money puts on stocks I want to own.  That way either I collect the premium and move on, or I get to own the stock for substantially less than it is today, where I already value it.

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6 hours ago, Horseman said:

Came here to post that it's time to scoop up GOOG now it's sub 160.  

Intel at 22-23 is a steal too. They’ll bounce back, always do.

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Intel has been dogshìt for like twenty years.  The industry passed them by.  The only reason and I mean the only reason to consider buying this dogshìt company is that this new CEO might actually get it and turnover their entire dinosaur workforce and sell off the tumors that have been growing inside of it.  

Well not the only reason.  America can't let Intel's foundry business die so there is a built in safety net, but if Taiwan semi on shores some manufacturing, put Intel out of its misery.

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18 hours ago, nobody said:

Intel has been dogshìt for like twenty years.  The industry passed them by.  The only reason and I mean the only reason to consider buying this dogshìt company is that this new CEO might actually get it and turnover their entire dinosaur workforce and sell off the tumors that have been growing inside of it.  

Well not the only reason.  America can't let Intel's foundry business die so there is a built in safety net, but if Taiwan semi on shores some manufacturing, put Intel out of its misery.

Brutal but accurate.

TTM EPS starting in 2009

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/INTC/intel/eps-earnings-per-share-diluted

Profit Margins

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/INTC/intel/profit-margins

Not impossible for them to turn it around, but they've been talking about that for a helluva long time. 

 

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Can we go back to getting ripped off by everyone?!? 

Hey Orange Dummy - Just make your announcement already for this “Liberation Day” BS so we can all move forward. 

 

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AMZN below 190 in early trading. Add that to the on sale shopping list.  :banana:

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On 12/18/2024 at 6:46 PM, Cdub100 said:

I know a lot of you guys have dismissed me these past few months. I get it, it's hard when everything is up up up! But this latest cut and potential stop to cutting should be a warning sign for you. 

I have said I don't think the fed should be cutting at all but we all knew they would do it. 

2025 is going to be interesting. Protect your profits.

:thumbsup: Slowly... then all at once.

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Welp, US Markets hung on today. Japan, not so much.

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27 minutes ago, Gepetto said:

Welp, US Markets hung on today. Japan, not so much.

The Nikkei 225 is Japan's equivalent of our Dow Jones Industrial Average and/or S&P 500

It hit an all-time high of 37,697 on January 10, 1990

35 years later 

35,617.56 -1,502.77 (-4.05%)

Maybe zero interest rates aren't the way to go ?

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On 3/31/2025 at 2:15 PM, easilyscan said:

Newsmax IPO Today. Subscribed ages ago. 

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=NMAX&p=d

I predict this will turn out to be another classic wall street pump n dump.

 

This is why I never opened a margin account. I would've been tempted to short it after it exploded on its first day of trading.

Day 2

233.00 USD+149.49 (179.01%) 

 

 

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16 hours ago, easilyscan said:

This is why I never opened a margin account. I would've been tempted to short it after it exploded on its first day of trading.

Day 2

233.00 USD+149.49 (179.01%) 

 

 

It's all good until the margin calls start coming.  That's how these things gain steam.  Just brute force collecting more shares than shorts can buy back.  There's no way the value is legit, but it doesn't mean they can't break people first.

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11 minutes ago, Mark Davis said:

It's all good until the margin calls start coming.  That's how these things gain steam.  Just brute force collecting more shares than shorts can buy back.  There's no way the value is legit, but it doesn't mean they can't break people first.

If I knew how to do it I would short oil.

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41 minutes ago, Mark Davis said:

It's all good until the margin calls start coming.  That's how these things gain steam.  Just brute force collecting more shares than shorts can buy back.  There's no way the value is legit, but it doesn't mean they can't break people first.

You're exactly right. Those who shorted it near the close yesterday, are rich today. Those poor souls who bought near the close yesterday, will soon be eating a steady diet of government cheese & living in a van down by the river!

Close $ 52.63

 -180.37 -77.41%

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Healthy correction

Tariffs backed in already

Jobs report will be flat and unemployment stays at 4.1% Friday

Powder keg just waiting for the next spark

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1 hour ago, shadrap said:

If I knew how to do it I would short oil.

Commodities, specifically oil, are very tough to trade.  You have the whole factor of holding the product.  Remember that time a barrel of oil started trading negatively?  Basically people had no way to store the production.  Who wouldn't take free oil?  Well, the problem is where you store it.  When I tried, there was an ETF I think USO was the ticket that was the best tracker I could do for oil.

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1 hour ago, easilyscan said:

You're exactly right. Those who shorted it near the close yesterday, are rich today. Those poor souls who bought near the close yesterday, will soon be eating a steady diet of government cheese & living in a van down by the river!

 

Close $ 52.63

 -180.37 -77.41%

These gimmick stocks I stay far away from.  It's tempting to try to get in there and stick it out for the duration of what you know is right, but the problem with shorts is there is no cap on the loss you can accrue and you can be forced to fund the account to help cover the loss trying to wait it out.

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4 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

Check out the after hours markets.

Great work!!

Buying opportunity General. Take advantage of it. 

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4 minutes ago, thegeneral said:

Check out the after hours markets.

Great work!!

Damnit!!!  I had to rescind my notice.  I guess I'm not retiring after all.  TRUMP!!!!!!  :mad:

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2 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:

Buying opportunity General. Take advantage of it. 

😂. What a guy presenting all these opportunities. Trillions wiped off.

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1 minute ago, thegeneral said:

😂. What a guy presenting all these opportunities. Trillions wiped off.

I know, our Cities are burning 🔥 

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