***Wagering thread***

[WhiteWonder 2,675]

3 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Good to hear and I'm sure you know FD is doing a $10 free for the SB.

Yup. I’m in on that  As well as a $5 DFS just for the hell of it since the winner takes home a mil. I always do those and most of the time cash $9 

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

1 minute ago, WhiteWonder said:

Yup. I’m in on that  As well as a $5 DFS just for the hell of it since the winner takes home a mil. I always do those and most of the time cash $9 

Cool and I will have to do the $5 DFS and thanks for the heads up!

[Horseman 2,366]

Number of Cheifs to score (includes kickers) o3.5 -130. 

[Horseman 2,366]

Something isnt adding up. Cheifs Rush Yards 94.5. Cheifs Net Yards 369.5. Mahomes Passing Yards 292.5.  Rush: Mahomes 20.5, Pacheco 50.5, McKinnon 18.5.  

Cheifs Net o369.5.  

[Hardcore troubadour 14,934]

What’s the prop on Riddick MVP? 

[GutterBoy 2,898]

45 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

What’s the prop on Riddick MVP? 

Theo Riddick?  Probably +170.

[Hardcore troubadour 14,934]

20 minutes ago, GutterBoy said:

Theo Riddick?  Probably +170.

Hey, I remember you saying you bought a tackling dummy to help your son tackle better. First of all, stupid. Second, who’s gonna teach him, you? Lol.  

[Horseman 2,366]

Cheifs total points -11.5 against Eagles first half total.  

[Horseman 2,366]

On 2/8/2023 at 10:42 PM, Horseman said:

Harrison Buckner 1st kick off a touch back. Yes -200.  His TB is at 66%  

Wheeeeew! 

I had an unhealthy amount down on that prop and that kick was ugly.  

[Horseman 2,366]

On 2/8/2023 at 10:08 PM, Horseman said:

Coin Flip Tails -102 because this game is asss. 

Yep

On 2/8/2023 at 10:11 PM, Horseman said:

Gatorade bath: Eagles are yellow and Cheifs are orange.  Take either or both at plus money. 

 

Nope

On 2/8/2023 at 10:26 PM, Horseman said:

If you're a Cheifs backer, or think it's going to be a competitive game (which I do) -270 gets you a TD plus the hook +7.5. 

Yep

On 2/8/2023 at 10:42 PM, Horseman said:

Harrison Buckner 1st kick off a touch back. Yes -200.  His TB is at 66%  

Yep, big time

On 2/9/2023 at 7:40 PM, Horseman said:

Chris Stapleton hat not black -600. 

No hat, not sure how this was graded. 

On 2/9/2023 at 7:55 PM, Horseman said:

First offensive play by Chiefs is a pass +125.  

Chiefs use quick toss as a run as much as anyone for plus money. 

Nope

On 2/10/2023 at 4:07 PM, Horseman said:

Chris Jones o0.5 sacks or will Chris Jones get a sack -yes around even money.

Nope

On 2/10/2023 at 7:41 PM, Horseman said:

Rihana lipstick color: Clear/None +275.  I mean I'm almost positive it's a brown colored lipstick, but 95% of her photos doesnt have a color: red/pink, purple, blue, black.  She occasionally uses red/pink which is the favorite -300.  

Nope

On 2/10/2023 at 7:44 PM, Horseman said:

First TO is a fumble +170.  I think INT is a bit overbet as FUM/INT ratio is usually around 0.7.  

Yep

On 2/10/2023 at 7:50 PM, Horseman said:

Same with eyeshadow +100, except the shark move might be Purple +400 that she occasionally uses (it's hard to tell) and the prop at sportsbetting goes out if it's way to classify it as "light or dark"  

Yep

On 2/10/2023 at 7:59 PM, Horseman said:

Mahomie u290.5

Sanders o62.5

A Brown o5.5

Ju-Ju o3.5 

Yep

Nope

Yep

Yep

8 hours ago, Horseman said:

Number of Cheifs to score (includes kickers) o3.5 -130. 

Yep

8 hours ago, Horseman said:

Something isnt adding up. Cheifs Rush Yards 94.5. Cheifs Net Yards 369.5. Mahomes Passing Yards 292.5.  Rush: Mahomes 20.5, Pacheco 50.5, McKinnon 18.5.  

Cheifs Net o369.5.  

Nope

5 hours ago, Horseman said:

Cheifs total points -11.5 against Eagles first half total.  

Yep 

 

10-6-1

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

To give this thread a bump

NCAA BB

Jacksonville + 1.5

Bellarmine + 5

NHL

Sabres vs Panthers 0 7

 

[Fireballer 2,639]

54 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

To give this thread a bump

NCAA BB

Jacksonville + 1.5

Bellarmine + 5

NHL

Sabres vs Panthers 0 7

 

Hey brother, where are you betting NASCAR drivers for Top 10s? I can only find top 3 or top 5 on most books.

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

15 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

Hey brother, where are you betting NASCAR drivers for Top 10s? I can only find top 3 or top 5 on most books.

I don't do top 10's and did some top 3 last week on FanDuel, All my top 3 drivers got took out in that one wreck towards the end of the race. Good luck bro and hope you find a site that does top 10, I mostly bet to win and sometimes top 3.

[Fireballer 2,639]

45 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I don't do top 10's and did some top 3 last week on FanDuel, All my top 3 drivers got took out in that one wreck towards the end of the race. Good luck bro and hope you find a site that does top 10, I mostly bet to win and sometimes top 3.

Ok.  I must have been mistaken.  I thought you bet top 10s also.

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

Just now, Fireballer said:

Ok.  I must have been mistaken.  I thought you bet top 10s also.

Yea I never tried and not sure does FD offer them ?

[Fireballer 2,639]

2 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Yea I never tried and not sure does FD offer them ?

Yep. FD must have added them this evening.  

[Fireballer 2,639]

I hit Harvick and Keselowski as top 10s but missed on Bubba over Suarez H2H.  

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

5 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

I hit Harvick and Keselowski as top 10s but missed on Bubba over Suarez H2H.  

Cool and I won on Bush to win. Lost on a couple other drivers but came away with $15 profit.

[Fireballer 2,639]

If youre doing NBA props, I found these two guys yesterday that do daily sheets.  The red under sheet did me well last night, but I haven’t dug too deep into them, but they seem interesting. Obviously, juice is a big deal here.  Hitting 65% on bets with -150 to -175 juice isn’t doing you much good.

 

[bostonlager 2,664]

4 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

If youre doing NBA props, I found these two guys yesterday that do daily sheets.  The red under sheet did me well last night, but I haven’t dug too deep into them, but they seem interesting. Obviously, juice is a big deal here.  Hitting 65% on bets with -150 to -175 juice isn’t doing you much good.

 

NIce find. Ever since football ended, I haven't been playing much and don't feel like doing my own research. Getting on board and hopefully these guys are good. 

[Fireballer 2,639]

5 hours ago, bostonlager said:

NIce find. Ever since football ended, I haven't been playing much and don't feel like doing my own research. Getting on board and hopefully these guys are good. 

Not only does this guy do the daily sheets, he does a few free bets.  I went 5-1 yesterday and he swept today, 5-0.  I added + 200 parlay from the unders sheet.  I’m gonna dig in a little more and see if I just happened to find this guy on a hot streak.  

 

[Fireballer 2,639]

Durant over 23.5 pts

And here’s the issue when tailing props...it’s -140 at DK which is pretty juicy. In contrast, another book has it 25.5 at even money.  

[Fireballer 2,639]

The 0, 10, 20 % under props on the red sheets have been 27-19 over Feb 28 Mar 1 2 3.  I haven’t done overs yet.  

[Fireballer 2,639]

I went 8-5 on the red sheet unders today.  I shoulda been 8-2, but I didn’t know to lay off Tyus Jones tonight.  He played prob twice the minutes that he normally plays, so his prop lines were adjusted to cover that.  But, the red sheet hit percentages for him were calculated on games where he didn’t play as many minutes.  Lesson learned. But, the sheets are 41-24 since Feb 28.  Some bets are juicy, so I’m guessing that prob about a 10 unit profit in a week 

[Alias Detective 1,389]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/2023/03/09/wwe-exploring-legalized-gambling-scripted-matches/11434836002/
 

WWE exploring legalized gambling for scripted matches

[bostonlager 2,664]

4 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/2023/03/09/wwe-exploring-legalized-gambling-scripted-matches/11434836002/
 

WWE exploring legalized gambling for scripted matches

They have been putting these on offshore for years. I have a buddy that watches it and I will lay down bets every once in a while based on his advice. . 

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

1 minute ago, bostonlager said:

They have been putting these on offshore for years. I have a buddy that watches it and I will lay down bets every once in a while based on his advice. . 

Why not the other sports have a little shady spread in here and there.

[Fireballer 2,639]

The red sheet unders are still steady producers.  I went 5-3 last night for 1.6 units.  The few losing nights that I have tracked since Feb 13 haven’t been terrible. I’m guessing, based on estimating juice, one would be up about 30 units in a month. Too bad I didn’t find this in November.  I’m gonna start dropping $25 on each prop.

[Fireballer 2,639]

The guy does a “community parlay” thread too where users post parlays.  I’ve done good on some of these low risk ones.  
 

 

[bostonlager 2,664]

4 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

The red sheet unders are still steady producers.  I went 5-3 last night for 1.6 units.  The few losing nights that I have tracked since Feb 13 haven’t been terrible. I’m guessing, based on estimating juice, one would be up about 30 units in a month. Too bad I didn’t find this in November.  I’m gonna start dropping $25 on each prop.

Care to post that link again?

[Fireballer 2,639]

5 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Care to post that link again?

Here’s today’s red and green.  I haven’t even touched the greens yet.  They may be good too. I’ve been betting the 0, 10, and 20% props only for each game. Tonight has a lot.  It’s normally less.

 

[Fireballer 2,639]

Just jumped on Perdue ML down by 6.  We’ll see.

And Princeton

[Fireballer 2,639]

 

[bostonlager 2,664]

This is my favorite day of the year. 

 

Maryland ML +135

[bostonlager 2,664]

Furman +5.5

Utah State -1.5

[Hawkeye21 2,382]

5 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Furman +5.5

Utah State -1.5

Those are my first two bets as well.  I have a friend who has his own system for college basketball and those are two of his picks.

[bostonlager 2,664]

3 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Those are my first two bets as well.  I have a friend who has his own system for college basketball and those are two of his picks.

I have decent success during football season, but for whatever reason the first 2 days of the NCAA tournament have always been losers for me. No way I can just sit around and not place bets though. Just hope to limit the damage. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,466]

I did okay last night taking the dogs with the better records and the points.

[Hawkeye21 2,382]

Here's my card for today.

Furman  +5.5

Utah St.  -1.5  

Arkansas  -1.5  

Iowa/Auburn  Over 151.5  

Northwestern  -1.5  

[GobbleDog 984]

25 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

Furman  +5.5

Got the farm on Virginia money-line.  Possible we're both happy, but more likely one of us ain't.

Eat my voodoo hex.