***Wagering thread***

[cmh6476 1,010]

This tcu/ Colorado game is nuts

[BeenHereBefore 1,464]

23 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Taking Alabama - 39.5 vs Middle Tenn, Bama likes to beat up on teams early in the season. My pick of the day and I bet on others but more confident in this pick.

This worked and only bet 3 games yesterday 2 for 3 and Penn States garbage TD help. Hit a 12-1 horse too , so over all a good day.

[BeenHereBefore 1,464]

9 hours ago, cmh6476 said:

This tcu/ Colorado game is nuts

Texas Tech & Wyoming was pretty good one too.

[bostonlager 2,664]

1-3 yesterday and 4-7 to start the season is not how I wanted to start. When I was a young buck and first starting riding rodeo they told me - Go home or get back on. I'm getting back on today. 

 

Oregon State/San Jose State

Nick Nash u 43.5 receiving - DK

LSU/Florida State

Brian Thomas u 42.5 receiving - DK

Johnny Wilson u 62.5 receiving - DK

Keon Coleman u 59.5 receiving -  DK

Trey Benson u 68.5 rushing - Bovada

[BeenHereBefore 1,464]

PA. doesn't let me play college props so going to take a chance on San Jose + 14.5.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

FSU +1.5 tonight.

[GutterBoy 2,898]

3 hours ago, bostonlager said:

1-3 yesterday and 4-7 to start the season is not how I wanted to start. When I was a young buck and first starting riding rodeo they told me - Go home or get back on. I'm getting back on today. 

 

Oregon State/San Jose State

Nick Nash u 43.5 receiving - DK

LSU/Florida State

Brian Thomas u 42.5 receiving - DK

Johnny Wilson u 62.5 receiving - DK

Keon Coleman u 59.5 receiving -  DK

Trey Benson u 68.5 rushing - Bovada

I bet em.  The DK numbers are much higher than FD.

[bostonlager 2,664]

1 hour ago, GutterBoy said:

I bet em.  The DK numbers are much higher than FD.

Good deal you got better numbers. 
 

lets get a madden league started 

[WhiteWonder 2,675]

I have $25 on Clemson tomorrow night. Was a risk free bet offer on FD. 
 

clemson -12.5 

[GutterBoy 2,898]

15 hours ago, bostonlager said:

1-3 yesterday and 4-7 to start the season is not how I wanted to start. When I was a young buck and first starting riding rodeo they told me - Go home or get back on. I'm getting back on today. 

 

Oregon State/San Jose State

Nick Nash u 43.5 receiving - DK

LSU/Florida State

Brian Thomas u 42.5 receiving - DK

Johnny Wilson u 62.5 receiving - DK

Keon Coleman u 59.5 receiving -  DK

Trey Benson u 68.5 rushing - Bovada

Oof.

Let me know when you get your mojo back.

[Horseman 2,365]

Ok.  Let's try some tonight.

Holmes o290.5

Geoff u258.5

McKinnon o18.5

St. Brown u7.0 -150 u 74.5

Moore u47.5

Valdes-Scantling u42.5

Reynolds o28.5

[bostonlager 2,664]

David Montgomery o 12.5 rush att

 

[Horseman 2,365]

7 hours ago, bostonlager said:

David Montgomery o 12.5 rush att

 

Thata boy. That one was easy. 

[Horseman 2,365]

11 hours ago, Horseman said:

Ok.  Let's try some tonight.

Holmes o290.5

Geoff u258.5

McKinnon o18.5

St. Brown u7.0 -150 u 74.5

Moore u47.5

Valdes-Scantling u42.5

Reynolds o28.5

5-3. 

[bostonlager 2,664]

6 hours ago, Horseman said:

Thata boy. That one was easy. 

NFL may be the way to go this year. Since books quit offering college receptions last year it has hurt. You and I need to put our noggins together on these this year. I will start throwing out some ideas saturday when lines get released. 

[listen2me 23 1,825]

Saturday:

Israel Adesanya by stoppage -105

[Horseman 2,365]

1 hour ago, listen2me 23 said:

Saturday:

Israel Adesanya by stoppage -105

That's a good bet at even money.  As you know I love Strickland, but I realize betting on him is a hail mary in this fight.  I might use yours as a hedge so I come out even.

[Horseman 2,365]

3 hours ago, bostonlager said:

NFL may be the way to go this year. Since books quit offering college receptions last year it has hurt. You and I need to put our noggins together on these this year. I will start throwing out some ideas saturday when lines get released. 

I can find some time Saturday.

Do you remember what the Bender rule was and was it for week 2?  That's always fun to bet even though it wasn't a lock all the time.

[bostonlager 2,664]

14 minutes ago, Horseman said:

I can find some time Saturday.

Do you remember what the Bender rule was and was it for week 2?  That's always fun to bet even though it wasn't a lock all the time.

Week 2 overreaction. Find teams that won/lost in week 1 and jump on potential line flaws by the books. 

[listen2me 23 1,825]

14 minutes ago, Horseman said:

That's a good bet at even money.  As you know I love Strickland, but I realize betting on him is a hail mary in this fight.  I might use yours as a hedge so I come out even.

Tough because Israel sometimes dicks around and is fine with winning a decision.   Strickland just seems taylor made for him.   And applies forward pressure which usually creates openings for a KO shot.  

[listen2me 23 1,825]

Elijah Moore over 2.5 catches -130

[Horseman 2,365]

29 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Week 2 overreaction. Find teams that won/lost in week 1 and jump on potential line flaws by the books. 

Yeah.  Wasn't there some sort of all overs or unders week 1 or week 2 too?

That thread has a little life in it btw.  Facook posting some props last week.  Hooter blew his load on Sky Moore last night, but, I like his mma.

[Horseman 2,365]

Found it.

Quote

Week 1 unders that close b/w 41-48 have hit at 61% over the past 13 seasons.

That was 5 years ago though. 

https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/nfl-league-average-points-per-game-by-year-2001-to-2022

Last year hit 70%.

Last year 50% of the teams scored 20 points or less.

Without going and getting 2019, 2020 and 2021 it won't budge the percentage very much.

Bal/Hou u43.5

Cle/Cin u47.5

Ind/Jax u46.5

Min/TB u45.5

NO/Ten u41.5

Pti/49rs u41.5

Chi/GB u41.5

Den/Las u44.0

NE/Phi u 45.0

Sea/Lar u46.5

Nyg/Dal u45.5

Nyj/Buf u45.5

 

 

 

[BeenHereBefore 1,464]

I'm liking Penn State & Bama to beat up on some teams again this week.

[Horseman 2,365]

2 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Elijah Moore over 2.5 catches -130

Yes! 

Quote

Elijah Moore is expected to line up in the slot and out of the backfield this season, according to Zac Jackson of The Athletic.  The uncertainty with the team’s backup running back situation could end up partially being solved by Cleveland using Moore next to Watson.

 

[listen2me 23 1,825]

27 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I'm liking Penn State & Bama to beat up on some teams again this week.

The Bama game is interesting.   They beat Texas by a point last year and the Texas QB got hurt in the game.  From what I can see Bama's skill players are not what they usually are.  Texas has better pro prospects on offense thats for sure.  

But taking Texas almost seems square.  I will probably not bet that game.  

[listen2me 23 1,825]

4 hours ago, Horseman said:

Yes! 

 

Jumped to -175 now

[WhiteWonder 2,675]

6 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Elijah Moore over 2.5 catches -130

yeah, i'd have to bet that all day. I think they like Jerome Ford so i'm not really concerned about any potential usage out of the backfield but hes a good receiver who out of the slot should command 5-6 targets. 

[Fireballer 2,639]

DK has a boost Barkley/Pollard to combine for 120 rush yds +100

[Fireballer 2,639]

DK also has Adesanya ML boosted to +100.  Free money @Horseman?

max $25

[Horseman 2,365]

5 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

DK also has Adesanya ML boosted to +100.  Free money @Horseman?

Yeah, +EV since he's the -650 favorite.  I have a man crush on Strickland so it's hard to admit, but, I'd take Izzy all the way down to -250 or so.  As it is I'm going to hedge a Strickland bet with a Izzy knockout or a finish inside the distance to hope to break even.

Not a lot jumping out at me on this card yet.  Maybe Anton Turkalj -115.

[Fireballer 2,639]

Indiana U45

[bostonlager 2,664]

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

DK has a boost Barkley/Pollard to combine for 120 rush yds +100

 

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

DK also has Adesanya ML boosted to +100.  Free money @Horseman?

max $25

Good looking out. They also have your local teams sprinkled in the rewards section. I was able to grab Bengals ML +153

[Horseman 2,365]

11 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Tough because Israel sometimes dicks around and is fine with winning a decision.   Strickland just seems taylor made for him.   And applies forward pressure which usually creates openings for a KO shot.  

Izzy had 12 KO/TKOs in a row leading up to and including his first fight in the UFC. 

Buy you're right.  Hes only got 30% TKO in his wins since then. Sean has only 30% TKO in his wins. And u4.5 -150 isnt a big number.  I think this goes to a decision.  Izzy by pointz is +150, even better most SS and points is +185. 

Izzy SS and points +185 

Sean by points +1200

That should ensure Izzy knocks him out early. 

[Horseman 2,365]

@bostonlager are you thinking we split up games or do the same ones and compare?  I usually dont get through all 32, usually just focus on the ones I'm interested in and prime time games.  

[bostonlager 2,664]

19 minutes ago, Horseman said:

@bostonlager are you thinking we split up games or do the same ones and compare?  I usually dont get through all 32, usually just focus on the ones I'm interested in and prime time games.  

I was thinking we compare and see what we come up with. I’m the same way. I don’t always cap every game. 

[Horseman 2,365]

11 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I was thinking we compare and see what we come up with. I’m the same way. I don’t always cap every game. 

Well thinking about strengths, especially moving through the season, I follow the Cowboys and live in the Seahawk market. So those games and those two divisions are what I hear the most about. 

Morning Games: Cin-Cle/Bal-Tex

Afternoon: LaR-Sea/Phi-NE

Scan the rest and see what jumps out.  Bigger names.  That's the plan right now. 

[Horseman 2,365]

Strickland looked absolutely wreaked (not in a good way) after the cut at the after weigh in interviews. Extra pound for championship fights. 

Israel shouts "for China" when stepping off the scale. WTF?

Praying for a miracle.  

[Alias Detective 1,389]

Over 50

Maryland vs Charlotte 

[bostonlager 2,664]

Carolina at Atlanta

Drake London o 4.5 receptions 

Houston at Baltimore 

Lamar Jackson u 225.5 passing

Cincinnati at Cleveland 

Amari Cooper u 4.5 receptions

Don People-Jones u 3.5 receptions

Elijah Moore o 2.5 receptions

Tee Higgins o 4.5 receptions

Elijah Moore o 32.5 receiving