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AxeElf

Axe Elf's 2022 Drafts

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14 minutes ago, Ray_T said:

I understand why you dont use tiers yourself.   but even if you dont use tiers yourself this tool is helpful in determining how others will behave because a lot of others use the tiering system.

As the subject of this claim, I am happy to report that it is completely false.

I never know if someone is using "tiers" or what players they may assign to what tiers even if they are.

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Jeez, almost forgot to report back to you guys on Sunday night's draft--a lesson in how to win a Superflex league with three $1 QBs.

Of course, I could really only consider that in a 10 team league; $1 QBs in a 12 team SFlex league are non-starters.

And it helps to have a little of that wacky rushing scoring like we saw in my first draft of the year, although in this case, not quite as extreme with the yardage pts (back to 1 pt per 10 yards, both rushing and receiving) or bonus points (1@100, 2@150, 3@200 both rushing and receiving).  It does still have the 1 and 2 pt bonuses for 40 yard plays (pass/rush/rec) and 40 yard TDs (pass/rush/rec) respectively, a full point for a first down pass/rush/reception, a full PPR--and most importantly, a full PPC!

QBs get standard scoring (25 yds/pt, 4 pt pass TDs, -1 INTs) PLUS 1 pt per completion and -1 pt per incompletion.  So a high-volume passer will make 3-4 pts per week on average more than low-volume passers--but QBs with wheels will get a boon from the full point-per-carry.  So WRs are not as devalued in this league as the other one, but they're still not on par with QBs, who are a little enhanced from the first league's scoring, but the real workhorse RBs getting 25 carries a game are still going to rule.  Pretty standard K/D scoring, with deductions for missed XPs and missed FGs under 30 yards.

Since we only start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 SFlex, 1 K and 1 D, with only 6 bench slots (10 teams x 15 players = 150 players drafted, including 20 Ks and Ds), I figured I could pretty much fill out my team with dollar players after landing Taylor and Henry and still be competitive.  Realistically, I figured I could get them both for $140.

I was close--Henry cost $71 and Taylor $66--which in retrospect are actually pretty ridiculous prices compared to what other quality RBs later sold for--but with this scoring, they're worth it!  These were actually the 2nd and 3rd highest prices paid for RBs in the auction; some poor guy typoed a $35 bid for Nick Chubb, and took him home for $135.

The only other RB to go for more than $46 was Ekeler, at $51.  So yup, I paid dearly for my advantage.  I just hope it's enough.

QB:  Marcus Mariota (14) $1, Deshaun Watson (9) $1, Jacoby Brissett (9) $1

RB:  Derrick Henry (6) $71, Jonathan Taylor (14) $66, Travis Etienne (11) $18, Damien Harris (10) $9, James Robinson (11) $6 (So $170 out of $200 spent on RBs.  lol)

WR:  Amon-Ra St. Brown (6) $8, Chris Godwin (11) $5, Diontae Johnson (9) $4, Juju Smith Schuster (8) $4, Marquise Brown (13) $4  ($25 more on WRs, leaving $5 for the other 5 players)

TE:  Mike Gesicki (11) $1

K:  (Empty)

DST:  Arizona Cardinals (13) $1

Remaining:  $0

Not sure why I drafted a DST, really--especially the one that plays KC in Week 1.  So I'll fix that before the games start.  I basically rostered Deshaun Watson instead of a Kicker.  Should know before the season starts if he'll play after 6 games, so I can drop him for a K if he's out for the year, but if he plays, he could be a league winner.

I also liked the fact that Marcus Mariota scored 14.7 fantasy points in this scoring system on the first drive of his first preseason game, so as with the other league, I think I'm getting some sneaky rushing stats out of this $1 QB.

As long as I have ONE decent QB, I'm not convinced that I would lose too much by Superflexing a solid RB like Etienne or Harris if I had to, with this scoring.  But hopefully the Henry/Taylor advantage will stay healthy and productive and I'll go undefeated--and I suddenly have a lot more interest in the Deshaun Watson situation.

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On 8/1/2022 at 10:37 AM, AxeElf said:

Yes, the bonuses are cumulative--so yeah, 125 rushing yards is 42.5 points, not counting the points per carry, any receiving stats, any TDs, and any first down or distance bonuses.

I think their projections for Taylor and Henry are a little low.  I think they will regularly post 55-60 points each per week, making their season totals closer to 1000 points than 700, but time will tell.

I think you're right about the Commish being a little sneaky, though.  That's why he made receptions .1 instead of 1--if you're not looking closely, one might think it's a full PPR, instead of a negligible PPR.

Being a sneaky commish is a good way to lose friends.

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30 minutes ago, DrG said:

Being a sneaky commish is a good way to lose friends.

there are no friends in fantasy football.  only opponents

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Depends who you are playing. If the commish isn’t above board with the rules, you’ll have a lot of pissed off people

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1 hour ago, DrG said:

Depends who you are playing. If the commish isn’t above board with the rules, you’ll have a lot of pissed off people

It's a private prize league on Yahoo.  He doesn't have the power to do anything underhanded without causing everyone's money to be refunded.

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I don't know if anyone out there has ever quit heroin, but I can't imagine that it's any worse than going from 60 leagues to 5 leagues in one season.

The fever is full upon me now, and the urge to draft twice a day stalks my every waking thought.

Three long weeks until the opener.

God help me...

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On 8/15/2022 at 11:19 PM, AxeElf said:

Jeez, almost forgot to report back to you guys on Sunday night's draft--a lesson in how to win a Superflex league with three $1 QBs.

Of course, I could really only consider that in a 10 team league; $1 QBs in a 12 team SFlex league are non-starters.

And it helps to have a little of that wacky rushing scoring like we saw in my first draft of the year, although in this case, not quite as extreme with the yardage pts (back to 1 pt per 10 yards, both rushing and receiving) or bonus points (1@100, 2@150, 3@200 both rushing and receiving).  It does still have the 1 and 2 pt bonuses for 40 yard plays (pass/rush/rec) and 40 yard TDs (pass/rush/rec) respectively, a full point for a first down pass/rush/reception, a full PPR--and most importantly, a full PPC!

QBs get standard scoring (25 yds/pt, 4 pt pass TDs, -1 INTs) PLUS 1 pt per completion and -1 pt per incompletion.  So a high-volume passer will make 3-4 pts per week on average more than low-volume passers--but QBs with wheels will get a boon from the full point-per-carry.  So WRs are not as devalued in this league as the other one, but they're still not on par with QBs, who are a little enhanced from the first league's scoring, but the real workhorse RBs getting 25 carries a game are still going to rule.  Pretty standard K/D scoring, with deductions for missed XPs and missed FGs under 30 yards.

Since we only start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 SFlex, 1 K and 1 D, with only 6 bench slots (10 teams x 15 players = 150 players drafted, including 20 Ks and Ds), I figured I could pretty much fill out my team with dollar players after landing Taylor and Henry and still be competitive.  Realistically, I figured I could get them both for $140.

I was close--Henry cost $71 and Taylor $66--which in retrospect are actually pretty ridiculous prices compared to what other quality RBs later sold for--but with this scoring, they're worth it!  These were actually the 2nd and 3rd highest prices paid for RBs in the auction; some poor guy typoed a $35 bid for Nick Chubb, and took him home for $135.

The only other RB to go for more than $46 was Ekeler, at $51.  So yup, I paid dearly for my advantage.  I just hope it's enough.

QB:  Marcus Mariota (14) $1, Deshaun Watson (9) $1, Jacoby Brissett (9) $1

RB:  Derrick Henry (6) $71, Jonathan Taylor (14) $66, Travis Etienne (11) $18, Damien Harris (10) $9, James Robinson (11) $6 (So $170 out of $200 spent on RBs.  lol)

WR:  Amon-Ra St. Brown (6) $8, Chris Godwin (11) $5, Diontae Johnson (9) $4, Juju Smith Schuster (8) $4, Marquise Brown (13) $4  ($25 more on WRs, leaving $5 for the other 5 players)

TE:  Mike Gesicki (11) $1

K:  (Empty)

DST:  Arizona Cardinals (13) $1

Remaining:  $0

Not sure why I drafted a DST, really--especially the one that plays KC in Week 1.  So I'll fix that before the games start.  I basically rostered Deshaun Watson instead of a Kicker.  Should know before the season starts if he'll play after 6 games, so I can drop him for a K if he's out for the year, but if he plays, he could be a league winner.

I also liked the fact that Marcus Mariota scored 14.7 fantasy points in this scoring system on the first drive of his first preseason game, so as with the other league, I think I'm getting some sneaky rushing stats out of this $1 QB.

As long as I have ONE decent QB, I'm not convinced that I would lose too much by Superflexing a solid RB like Etienne or Harris if I had to, with this scoring.  But hopefully the Henry/Taylor advantage will stay healthy and productive and I'll go undefeated--and I suddenly have a lot more interest in the Deshaun Watson situation.

Looks good.  All you need is a QB, TE, couple of WRs, and RB depth and you should do well.

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42 minutes ago, JagFan said:

Looks good.  All you need is a QB, TE, couple of WRs, and RB depth and you should do well.

Mariota is a wild card at QB. Watson would be a decent gamble for the back end of the year but he already said "If he's suspended I'm dropping him"

The Watson thing is a good example of you either have to go all in on a thought or not at all- you can't half butt it. 

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Looks like Watson will be available for the playoff push.

Although I'm not sure how interested I'd be in starting a guy who hasn't played in 2 years.

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1 hour ago, nobody said:

Looks like Watson will be available for the playoff push.

Although I'm not sure how interested I'd be in starting a guy who hasn't played in 2 years.

Not sure I'm really willing to hold him for 11 weeks either, with such small benches in a small league.  Probly just throw him back for a Kicker, and see how my QB situation has developed by Week 8 or 9 if he's still sitting there.

In any case, I wouldn't be starting him so much for his arm as I would be for his legs, so I'm not too concerned about the rust from not playing in two years.  You don't forget how to scramble.

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6 hours ago, AxeElf said:

Not sure I'm really willing to hold him for 11 weeks either, with such small benches in a small league.

Just dropped Watson for Zach Wilson; I'll decide who to drop for a Kicker between him and Brissett as Week 1 approaches.  Tempting to keep Wilson over Brissett, assuming he only misses a week or two--especially now that I know Brissett will be out for the playoffs as Watson returns.

Might try to pick up Watson again as Week 11 draws near, if he's still on the wire and I have expendable players--but yeah, 11 weeks taking up a non-IR bench slot for a 5 week playoff run seems silly--especially with the potential to suck eggs for the first few weeks he does play anyway.  That's all I would need, to start Deshaun Watson in the playoffs and have him throw for 178/0/3 or something.

...and Wilson was in the top half of the league in rushing yardage by a QB last year.

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Surprised Zach Wilson was on the waiver wire in a super flex league.  Even one this shallow.  That's a nice get.

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1 hour ago, nobody said:

Surprised Zach Wilson was on the waiver wire in a super flex league.  Even one this shallow.  That's a nice get.

Geno Smith and Drew Lock are both on waivers, as is Trubisky--and of course now Brissett--and every backup QB in the league.  I just thought Wilson had the most likelihood of meaningful rushing stats--he was #16 in rushing among QBs last season.

Like I said in a league this small with benches this short, no need to panic.

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2 hours ago, nobody said:

Surprised Zach Wilson was on the waiver wire in a super flex league.  Even one this shallow.  That's a nice get.

This is what I’ve thought for a while…nobody agrees with AxElf, and I’m assuming nobody cares.  I see no value in Zach Wilson personally, and I’ll bet nobody drafts him.

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31 minutes ago, JagFan said:

This is what I’ve thought for a while…nobody agrees with AxElf, and I’m assuming nobody cares.  I see no value in Zach Wilson personally, and I’ll bet nobody drafts him.

lol  Sounds like the kind of sour grapes that a fan of some terrible team who drafted the wrong rookie QB with the #1 pick last year might...

Oh.

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15 minutes ago, AxeElf said:

lol  Sounds like the kind of sour grapes that a fan of some terrible team who drafted the wrong rookie QB with the #1 pick last year might...

Oh.

Trevor will finish as a top 5 fantasy QB this year in most formats. Keep this thread handy to refer back to at the end of the season.

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He’s going to be a good stream Qb, but I don’t see top five, he doesn’t have the talent around him, and I question his talent to be a top five ff Qb. 

But for Jaguars fans I hope so. 

Good luck. 

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