2022 Midterm Elections

[Raven Fan 362]

2 minutes ago, RLLD said:

I can 100% see why you think about it the way you do. Your assertion makes sense on its face. But a deeper dig I think reveals something more interesting.

He may have been right by accident. He did influence the Fed, they did have to reverse course on interest rates and they did have to reverse on the balance sheet. Trump was not wrong on both of those issues, but how he got there might’ve been wrong.

But the Fed’s policy reversal was also a paradigm shift. Their perceptions about the relationship between unemployment and inflation had changed and with it their perception about interest rates. It vindicated some of Trump’s positions.

The Fed spent much of 2018 operating under the assumption that Trump’s tax cuts and a plunging unemployment rate would soon kick the economy into high gear, creating inflation. And until about five years ago, policymakers assumed that unemployment couldn’t get much lower than 5 percent, they were watchful of an overheating economy, but it never happened.

The secret? Growth. Trump loves business and growth. And while I doubt he fully understood that growth equated to an effective control of consumption because growth was matching it. Because of that factor inflation was "controlled" it existed and only when growth subsided would there be an inflationary period, but the Fed was built to see and handle this kind of inflation. 

Very interesting.  I'll need to think and digest this but very interesting. 

[RLLD 4,230]

1 minute ago, Raven Fan said:

Very interesting.  I'll need to think and digest this but very interesting. 

Thank you for your thoughts on this, I too need to do more reading as you have noted some things where my understanding is lacking.  Much appreciated,

[Raven Fan 362]

3 minutes ago, RLLD said:

Thank you for your thoughts on this, I too need to do more reading as you have noted some things where my understanding is lacking.  Much appreciated,

Not the subject really, but since we're talking about it, what are your thoughts on a soft landing from the Fed?  Initially I thought it was unlikely and we'd have a fairly serious recession before inflation really got under control.  However, the most recent CPI combined with the stubbornly good job market leads me to think now that we'll continue to see inflation fall slowly over the next 12 months or so and normalize around 4 or 5 percent.  At that point the Fed will need to decide what they're going to do because inflation at 4 or 5 percent with say 5 or 6 percent Fed rate is no bueno. 

[BiPolarBear 485]

Young voters are voting Democratic by a large percentage; one source I saw said 70%. There will be millions more young voters by 2024, as the Boomer group dies out.

Disagree? 

 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

Maricopa has to do an entire recount already

but they wonder why people question the election 

Arizona won’t be done by next week now. Yet Florida had 99% don’t by midnight 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,416]

2 hours ago, Raven Fan said:

Um, how much has Biden spent compared to Trump?  Which president bullied the Fed to keep rates stupid low?  Which president gave unnecessary tax cuts for the rich that flooded the economy with additional $'s?

Hint, it wasn't Biden.

Obama? 

[TimHauck 2,860]

48 minutes ago, BiPolarBear said:

Young voters are voting Democratic by a large percentage; one source I saw said 70%. There will be millions more young voters by 2024, as the Boomer group dies out.

Disagree? 

 

I wonder if any Republicans lost by a margin that could have been made up by the number of Covid deaths in the second half of 2021…

[Gepetto 1,368]

21 minutes ago, TimHauck said:

I wonder if any Republicans lost by a margin that could have been made up by the number of Covid deaths in the second half of 2021…

They vote Democrat after they die.

[BuckSwope 654]

5 hours ago, SUXBNME said:

I'm liking me some BuckSwope.

Mainly cause of music, but still.  Hope you stay. 

I can talk metal and movies all day.  My movie tastes usually go over like a lead balloon though.  

[BuckSwope 654]

41 minutes ago, TimHauck said:

I wonder if any Republicans lost by a margin that could have been made up by the number of Covid deaths in the second half of 2021…

Interesting point I hadn't thought of.   Covid deaths hit that population harder, correct? 

[Raven Fan 362]

1 minute ago, BuckSwope said:

Interesting point I hadn't thought of.   Covid deaths hit that population harder, correct? 

Of course.  Once past the initial wave of covid deaths, the folks who died from subsequent waves were anti-vaxxers by a bigly disproportionate amount. 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

7 minutes ago, Raven Fan said:

Of course.  Once past the initial wave of covid deaths, the folks who died from subsequent waves were anti-vaxxers by a bigly disproportionate amount. 

How many trump jabs you get?

[Gladiators 1,987]

55 minutes ago, TimHauck said:

I wonder if any Republicans lost by a margin that could have been made up by the number of Covid deaths in the second half of 2021…

Republicans will be really focked in the future since women can no longer kill their babies.

[Hardcore troubadour 15,416]

6 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

How many trump jabs you get?

[Raven Fan 362]

16 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

How many trump jabs you get?

lmfao.  Trump jabs?  Are you referring to injecting bleach and light up my ass?  That my friend is a Trump jab.

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

Just now, Raven Fan said:

lmfao.  Trump jabs?  Are you referring to injecting bleach and light up my ass?  That my friend is a Trump jab.

Good to see you’re one of those educated folk we should pay your student debt 

[dogcows 1,030]

1 hour ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

Maricopa has to do an entire recount already

but they wonder why people question the election 

Arizona won’t be done by next week now. Yet Florida had 99% don’t by midnight 

Arizona’s GOP-majority legislature could have done something about it. Instead, they hired “Cyber Ninjas” and then spent all their time obsessing over ballot drop boxes instead of figuring out a way to quickly and efficiently count ballots. Here’s a good summary of all their new election laws post 2020. I don’t see anything in there that would actually help count ballots faster. Instead, they focused on making it harder to vote from home and easier to purge people’s voter registrations.

https://www.azpolicy.org/2022/07/22/new-election-laws/

More info on why it took so long:

https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-election-why-is-it-taking-so-long-for-arizona-to-count-ballots

[Hardcore troubadour 15,416]

8 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

Good to see you’re one of those educated folk we should pay your student debt 

Lol. Ravens freak thinks Trump said to inject bleach. He’ll believe anything he’s told. Lol. 

[dogcows 1,030]

2 hours ago, BiPolarBear said:

Young voters are voting Democratic by a large percentage; one source I saw said 70%. There will be millions more young voters by 2024, as the Boomer group dies out.

Disagree? 

 

It turns out that kids who grew up with regular active-shooter drills in school are voting against the party of MOAR GUNZ. Quelle surprise!

[dogcows 1,030]

2 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Lol. Ravens freak thinks Trump said to inject bleach. He’ll believe anything he’s told. Lol. 

What an idiot he is. Trump clearly said to inject disinfectant, not bleach. Get it right, Ravens fan.

Quote

And then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute, one minute. And is there a way we can do something like that by injection inside or almost a cleaning?

 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

15 minutes ago, dogcows said:

Arizona’s GOP-majority legislature could have done something about it. Instead, they hired “Cyber Ninjas” and then spent all their time obsessing over ballot drop boxes instead of figuring out a way to quickly and efficiently count ballots. Here’s a good summary of all their new election laws post 2020. I don’t see anything in there that would actually help count ballots faster. Instead, they focused on making it harder to vote from home and easier to purge people’s voter registrations.

https://www.azpolicy.org/2022/07/22/new-election-laws/

More info on why it took so long:

https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-election-why-is-it-taking-so-long-for-arizona-to-count-ballots

voting from home should be illegal unless you register for an absentee ballot

[dogcows 1,030]

Just now, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

voting from home should be illegal unless you register for an absentee ballot

Why?

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

9 minutes ago, dogcows said:

What an idiot he is. Trump clearly said to inject disinfectant, not bleach. Get it right, Ravens fan.

 

he said to or did he ask a question to experts

god damn youre dumber than Chunk

[Hardcore troubadour 15,416]

8 minutes ago, dogcows said:

What an idiot he is. Trump clearly said to inject disinfectant, not bleach. Get it right, Ravens fan.

 

Asking a question is different than telling someone to inject something. And light therapy is a disinfectant.  But you heard bleach and ran with it. What a dope. 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

Just now, dogcows said:

Why?

why because I received 4 ballots for one adult in my house

 

[dogcows 1,030]

Just now, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

he said to or did he ask a question to experts

god damn youre dumber than Chunk

For somebody who claims not to be a Trump supporter, you sure get your panties in a twist whenever people rag on him. Sorry I posted a direct quote of somebody who has diarrhea of the mouth, but that is exactly what he said.

[Raven Fan 362]

1 minute ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

he said to or did he ask a question to experts

god damn youre dumber than Chunk

lololololol

Totally normal for a dude who knows ZERO about science to ask freaking scientist on national tv if they'd thought of shoving bleach and light up our butts to fight covid.

lolololololol

And that weather map wasn't sharpied up either right?

[dogcows 1,030]

1 minute ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

why because I received 4 ballots for one adult in my house

There’s an adult in your house? Oh right, your mom.

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

2 minutes ago, Raven Fan said:

lololololol

Totally normal for a dude who knows ZERO about science to ask freaking scientist on national tv if they'd thought of shoving bleach and light up our butts to fight covid.

lolololololol

And that weather map wasn't sharpied up either right?

is that what happened or do you think its something more Occum's razor

Trump is in a room with a bunch of doctors/scientists, not understanding much, he hears something and is curious about it, then he asks a question, not understanding it in the slightest

I suppose you prefer a president who doesn't speak to the press and runs and hides when he gets a question

 

[Pimpadeaux 2,406]

6 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Oh, so gas prices have gone up then. Al that other stuff blah blah. Glad we agree. And it’s Bidens fault. 

I could waste time pointing you to unbiased, non-political facts, and you'd still find ways to deflect and deny them, either dismissing the source or just saying "And it's Biden's fault" without backing that up with facts.

Voters made a statement Tuesday about MAGAtards like you, but you can't comprehend that when you view the world through MAGAtard lenses.

Biden's release of oil from the strategic reserve combined with a Federal Trade Commission crackdown on gas-price manipulation caused gas prices to go down. 

Oil as of Friday was around $89 a barrel. Biden announced another monster strategic-reserve release in December and wants oil down to around $70 a barrel, but $80 is the sweet spot for consumers and the oil industry.

Of course, you selfishly would prefer to pay less in your blue state and have those hard-working, God-fearing, Republican-voting boys in the oil patch out of work, like they were when oil was down to $23 a barrel.

Oil prices:

https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart

Energy industry unemployment:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU04032230

Check out the correlation between oil prices and energy-industry unemployment.

If you need these charts explained to you, let me know. See how when prices are low, unemployment is high? See how the opposite is true with higher prices?

 

 

[Pimpadeaux 2,406]

4 minutes ago, Raven Fan said:

lololololol

Totally normal for a dude who knows ZERO about science to ask freaking scientist on national tv if they'd thought of shoving bleach and light up our butts to fight covid.

lolololololol

And that weather map wasn't sharpied up either right?

Not to mention toodling down to Reggie's Feed Store to stock up on horse dewormer to treat COVID.

They won't take a scientifically tested vaccine but treat the disease with horse dewormer.

[Raven Fan 362]

5 minutes ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

is that what happened or do you think its something more Occum's razor

Trump is in a room with a bunch of doctors/scientists, not understanding much, he hears something and is curious about it, then he asks a question, not understanding it in the slightest

I suppose you prefer a president who doesn't speak to the press and runs and hides when he gets a question

 

How about he just shut the fok up about stuff he knows nothing about?  Oh wait, then he'd never have anything to say.

"Hey scientist who've studied for decades between school and research, haven't you thought of jamming light and bleach up our asses?  My cleaning lady uses bleach to clean I think"

How about he just STFU.

[shorepatrol 1,870]

2 hours ago, BiPolarBear said:

Young voters are voting Democratic by a large percentage; one source I saw said 70%. There will be millions more young voters by 2024, as the Boomer group dies out.

Disagree? 

 

Nothing to disagree with. That's a stone cold fact 

[Raven Fan 362]

Back on topic.  This was a historically bad showing for Republicans during challenging economic times and with an unpopular president that should have led to a massive red wave.  Instead Republicans will be lucky to eek out a small majority in the house.  If Republicans continue down this path in 24 with a recovered economy and someone not named Biden running, they're getting wiped out. 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

9 minutes ago, Raven Fan said:

How about he just shut the fok up about stuff he knows nothing about?  Oh wait, then he'd never have anything to say.

"Hey scientist who've studied for decades between school and research, haven't you thought of jamming light and bleach up our asses?  My cleaning lady uses bleach to clean I think"

How about he just STFU.

right, centrist point taken silence, dont ask questions, do as your told, continue on

[Pimpadeaux 2,406]

This crazy fock is putting this crap in people's mailboxes around here.

https://postimg.cc/bGG7kRd4

Sounds like a lot of the MAGAtards around here, and Fox is conveniently left out of the media sources listed, just like you guys do.

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,348]

1 minute ago, Pimpadeaux said:

This crazy fock is putting this crap in people's mailboxes around here.

https://postimg.cc/bGG7kRd4

Sounds like a lot of the MAGAtards around here, and Fox is conveniently left out of the media sources listed, just like you guys do.

omg words an opinions ban him from life

[Hardcore troubadour 15,416]

15 minutes ago, Raven Fan said:

How about he just shut the fok up about stuff he knows nothing about?  Oh wait, then he'd never have anything to say.

"Hey scientist who've studied for decades between school and research, haven't you thought of jamming light and bleach up our asses?  My cleaning lady uses bleach to clean I think"

How about he just STFU.

He’s breaking up! He’s breaking up! Can we put him back together again? The six dollar and sixty cent Libtard.  Lol. 

[Raven Fan 362]

7 minutes ago, Pimpadeaux said:

This crazy fock is putting this crap in people's mailboxes around here.

https://postimg.cc/bGG7kRd4

Sounds like a lot of the MAGAtards around here, and Fox is conveniently left out of the media sources listed, just like you guys do.

lol, what's that dudes handle here?  Jon something perhaps?

[Pimpadeaux 2,406]

1 hour ago, BuckSwope said:

I can talk metal and movies all day.  My movie tastes usually go over like a lead balloon though.  

My wife in the past hasn't been able to process why I like hard rock, metal and punk. 

A couple of years ago, I stumbled across this Australia band called Amyl and the Sniffers and wore out their first full-length album They released their second album last year, and it's great as well. They're a blend of hard rock, punk and old-fashioned riff rock. They make it sound fresh.

I couldn't wait to see them live, and I got my wish earlier this year, seeing them at a backyard venue in Austin. I even got to meet the singer, this crazy blonde chick with a mullet and buck teeth.

My wife went with an open mind, and we stood on the edge of the pit the whole time. She totally got it, which opened her up to giving Metallica a whirl.

We've been listening to the albums one by one on long trips, starting with the first album, and she gets them as well. We just listened to the black album yesterday.

Her favorite so far is "And Justice for All."