Percent chances of Making Super Bowl, per ESPN.

[tubby_mcgee 700]

1. Baltimore Ravens (13-4)  54.8%

2. Buffalo Bills (11-6)  25.8%

3. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)  8.2%

4. Houston Texans (10-7)  1.7%

5. Cleveland Browns (11-6)  2.4%

6. Miami Dolphins (11-6) 6.5%

7. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)  0.6%

 

--------

1. San Francisco 49ers (13-4)  59.3% (ESPN got their record wrong, it's 12-5)

2. Dallas Cowboys (12-5)  25%

3. Detroit Lions (12-5) 5.1%

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) 1.4%

5. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) 4.1%

6. Los Angeles Rams (10-7)  3.8%

7. Green Bay Packers (9-8)  1.3%

 

Questions...so...based on those percentages...on an even money bet (bet $100 to get back $200 total)

1.) would you take Baltimore or THE FIELD in the AFC to reach the SB?

2.) would you take the 49ers or THE FIELD in the NFC to reach the SB?

3.) would you take the 49ers vs Baltimore to BOTH reach the SB or a "FIELD vs FIELD" being the SB match up? 

 

If those percentages are "Correct" you should take the field. (not sure on #3, what those percentages would look like)

 

 

 

 

[IGotWorms 4,057]

1. Baltimore

2. The field

3. Niners vs Balt

[tubby_mcgee 700]

Just now, IGotWorms said:

1. Baltimore

2. The field

3. Niners vs Balt

Wait a minute...you'd take the field in #2...but Niners vs Baltimore in #3.  I don't think that is "consistent"???  In #2 you're betting against the 49ers making it.  But suddenly in #3, they are better than the field. 

[tubby_mcgee 700]

I'd go...

1.) field

2.) field

3. ) ...uhhhhhh...... well.... I suppose based on #1 and #2, I should go field vs field.....but I think ONE of them makes it. 

I think the #1 chance of a SB match up is

Field vs EITHER Baltimore or 49ers.  Who's with me on that prop bet?

[IGotWorms 4,057]

40 minutes ago, tubby_mcgee said:

Wait a minute...you'd take the field in #2...but Niners vs Baltimore in #3.  I don't think that is "consistent"???  In #2 you're betting against the 49ers making it.  But suddenly in #3, they are better than the field. 

You didn’t give an option of Balt v The Field

[tubby_mcgee 700]

4 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

You didn’t give an option of Balt v The Field

Not in the SB, but as far as WHO would you pick, Baltimore OR the FIELD to MAKE it to the SB. 

I gave these choices:
NFC Champ
AFC Champ

SB Match up IF it would be 9ers vs Baltimore. (yes or no)

I was only saying that your #3 option didn't make sense.  It should have said "Balt vs Field" based on your #1 and #2 choices. 

I added a "personal opinion" later....that in the totality of it all, I think that the SB will be EITHER SF OR Baltimore vs the Field.  One will make it, one won't.  To me, that is actually what will happen.

But looking at it individually (AFC/NFC), I'd pick the field both times if only picking the NFC/AFC results.

 

 

[cmh6476 1,023]

I wouldn't take the field, I'd take the Chiefs

[MDC 7,296]

49 minutes ago, tubby_mcgee said:

1. Baltimore Ravens (13-4)  54.8%

2. Buffalo Bills (11-6)  25.8%

3. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)  8.2%

4. Houston Texans (10-7)  1.7%

5. Cleveland Browns (11-6)  2.4%

6. Miami Dolphins (11-6) 6.5%

7. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)  0.6%

 

--------

1. San Francisco 49ers (13-4)  59.3% (ESPN got their record wrong, it's 12-5)

2. Dallas Cowboys (12-5)  25%

3. Detroit Lions (12-5) 5.1%

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) 1.4%

5. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) 4.1%

6. Los Angeles Rams (10-7)  3.8%

7. Green Bay Packers (9-8)  1.3%

 

Questions...so...based on those percentages...on an even money bet (bet $100 to get back $200 total)

1.) would you take Baltimore or THE FIELD in the AFC to reach the SB?

2.) would you take the 49ers or THE FIELD in the NFC to reach the SB?

3.) would you take the 49ers vs Baltimore to BOTH reach the SB or a "FIELD vs FIELD" being the SB match up? 

 

If those percentages are "Correct" you should take the field. (not sure on #3, what those percentages would look like)

 

 

 

 

1. BAL but they have a much tougher road given the likelihood that they’ll have to beat CLE/MIA and BUF/KC to move on. I wouldn’t feel great about this bet.

2. SF no doubt, their divisional round opponent should be a cream puff and they own DAL.

3. I’m cornfused. I’d take SF vs. BAL over not BAL vs. not SF. The odds that both SF and BAL don’t make it to the SB seem slim.

[tubby_mcgee 700]

1 minute ago, MDC said:

1. BAL but they have a much tougher road given the likelihood that they’ll have to beat CLE/MIA and BUF/KC to move on. I wouldn’t feel great about this bet.

2. SF no doubt, their divisional round opponent should be a cream puff and they own DAL.

3. I’m cornfused. I’d take SF vs. BAL over not BAL vs. not SF. The odds that both SF and BAL don’t make it to the SB seem slim.

 

2. I'd say that plays into Dallas hands actually. I believe that in the NFL, everything sort of gravitates back towards the middle.  I don't think SF can KEEP owning Dallas. I like Dallas chances vs SF.  And...on the same level....I do NOT like Dallas' chances vs GB. Same reason.  Dallas has won 16 in a row at home.  To me....that's a streak that says they'll LOSE ...not win.  In today's NFL...with the planned parity, 17 in a row at home....sounds nearly impossible.

3. Yes...odds individually are that they each make it. But odds that they BOTH make it.... are slim. I agree.

 

[frank 2,294]

Unless it is prime Tom Brady or Tiger Woods, you take the field. 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,316]

I'd take the field for sure

when was the last no 1 vs no 1 matchup?

 

[BiffTannen 932]

AFC - Field vs a retarded QB with a 1-3 playoff record. I take the field. 

 

NFC - much tougher but the 49ers are a complete football team. San Francisco over the field. 

[edjr 6,580]

Bills vs Eagles

[tubby_mcgee 700]

20 hours ago, edjr said:

Bills vs Eagles

Eagles not playing good football, but unless there are any recent injuries...it's the same team that started 10-1...so obviously dangerous. 

[MLCKAA 565]

Broncos

[Voltaire 5,281]

SF is way better than the NFC.

Baltimore has bigger landmines to navigate by way of Buffalo or Cleveland or the Chiefs but should still win. And if Baltimore does win the NFC team, SF or another, will not beat them.

[BunnysBastatrds 2,412]

23 hours ago, RaiderHaters Revenge said:

I'd take the field for sure

when was the last no 1 vs no 1 matchup?

 

 Saints and Colts

[Dozer FBG 325]

KC FTW.

[Mike Honcho 5,251]

ESPN has my prediction for the shark toof at 0.0078% of happening.  

 

[BeenHereBefore 1,506]

4 hours ago, tubby_mcgee said:

Eagles not playing good football, but unless there are any recent injuries...it's the same team that started 10-1...so obviously dangerous. 

Those was close games they won and their running game ain't the same as last year. I don't see the Eagles making it. They don't look like last years team when you watch them and that is a bad thing.

[Mookz 1,341]

If "the field" refers to an all-star team made up of the best players from the other teams, then I'll take the field vs. the field. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,506]

23 minutes ago, Mookz said:

If "the field" refers to an all-star team made up of the best players from the other teams, then I'll take the field vs. the field. 

What if it refers to Justin Fields

[Mookz 1,341]

Just now, BeenHereBefore said:

What if it refers to Justin Fields

Then I retract my prediction. 

[tubby_mcgee 700]

16 hours ago, Mookz said:

If "the field" refers to an all-star team made up of the best players from the other teams, then I'll take the field vs. the field. 

The field is any of the other 6 teams. 

[Mookz 1,341]

1 hour ago, tubby_mcgee said:

The field is any of the other 6 teams. 

Then I retract my prediction. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,506]

2 hours ago, Mookz said:

Then I retract my prediction. 

I would take the field in the NFC.

[Mookz 1,341]

1 hour ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I would take the field in the NFC.

Do you think you could rush for 10 yards? 

[BeenHereBefore 1,506]

1 hour ago, Mookz said:

Do you think you could rush for 10 yards? 

Behind the 1995 Cowboys OL, Yes! Not behind them at their ages now.