Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

[Hardcore troubadour 15,248]

29 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

I already said I was wrong. Now I'm having fun with it. It's called laughing at one self. Try it some time. We all laugh at you already anyway and I'd imagine most people in your personal life do as well. 

Simmer

[Sean Mooney 1,970]

5 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Simmer

Why do you hate fun?

[The Real timschochet 6,605]

44 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

I already said I was wrong. Now I'm having fun with it. It's called laughing at one self. Try it some time. We all laugh at you already anyway and I'd imagine most people in your personal life do as well. 

Watch it. If you get him frustrated he will wish you or a member of your immediate family would get a couple of fingers chopped off to see how you like it. 

[Sean Mooney 1,970]

10 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Watch it. If you get him frustrated he will wish you or a member of your immediate family would get a couple of fingers chopped off to see how you like it. 

He did once wish rape on a poster's kid. So that guy telling others to simmer is pretty funny. 

[MDC 7,279]

1 minute ago, Sean Mooney said:

He did once wish rape on a poster's kid. So that guy telling others to simmer is pretty funny. 

Tardcore also said my son watches porn. My boy was 10 at the time. Perverted creep.  

[The Real timschochet 6,605]

5 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

He did once wish rape on a poster's kid. So that guy telling others to simmer is pretty funny. 

That was me. Or at least I was one of them- I think there were several. 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,248]

. Spice girls 2.0.  lol. 

[Mike Honcho 5,250]

22 hours ago, squistion said:

Photo supposedly of Tim Walz family in Nebraska appears to have been created by AI (unless you believe they have some genetic defect that gives them only 3 fingers on a hand). 

https://x.com/realXanderXjork/status/1831375513941950785 (photo at link)

Seeing this Walz's for Trump fake photo is further proof that MAGA is a very gullible cult

Just because someone made some circles and arrows on a photo doesn't make that true also.  The AI phones use to take multiple photos and combine them to make the 'PERFECT' photo can cause anomalies like 3 fingers. Just sayin' you might not want to push all your chips into the pot just yet.

 

[iambuttugly 12]

 

[iambuttugly 12]

 

[Sean Mooney 1,970]

1 hour ago, Mike Honcho said:

Just because someone made some circles and arrows on a photo doesn't make that true also.  The AI phones use to take multiple photos and combine them to make the 'PERFECT' photo can cause anomalies like 3 fingers. Just sayin' you might not want to push all your chips into the pot just yet.

 

Can it be 3 chips?

[iambuttugly 12]

 

[purdygood 343]

Just now, iambuttugly said:

 

I am honestly asking... do you actually think ANYONE takes time out of their day to watch random youtube videos you post? Like seriously? You spent how long to watch the video. Copy/Paste the link on here. And you think people will actually watch it and have their mind's changed about anything?

[iambuttugly 12]

4 minutes ago, purdygood said:

I am honestly asking... do you actually think ANYONE takes time out of their day to watch random youtube videos you post? Like seriously? You spent how long to watch the video. Copy/Paste the link on here. And you think people will actually watch it and have their mind's changed about anything?

No,maybe,A few minutes and no

Does that help?

[OldMaid 2,130]

https://www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000009671449/allan-lichtman-presidential-polls-prediction.html

[IGotWorms 4,057]

18 minutes ago, OldMaid said:

https://www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000009671449/allan-lichtman-presidential-polls-prediction.html

The “key” thing is kinda dumb especially since they’re all weighted the same.

But if I was a betting man, it’d be Harris. Trump is just not palatable and Project 2025 really undermines the “but his policies” crowd 

[OldMaid 2,130]

6 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

The “key” thing is kinda dumb especially since they’re all weighted the same.

But if I was a betting man, it’d be Harris. Trump is just not palatable and Project 2025 really undermines the “but his policies” crowd 

He’s only been partially wrong once-Bush vs Gore. He asserts that if they had not stopped counting the votes, Gore would have won. 

[Tree of Knowledge 1,800]

Many people are saying the Regime is bringing in the National guard on 9/18 to incarcerate Trump because the NYPD is refusing to carry it out.  

[Maximum Overkill 1,901]

 

 

 

 

 

 

[OldMaid 2,130]

They cropped out her face in all the photos.

[Mark Davis 387]

13 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

The capital gains tax is pretty mild. Trump lowered it to 20%; Kamala wants it back up to 28%. Biden proposed 36%. 
Also no price controls. She wants specific penalties for gouging, not the same thing. 
 

None of this is socialist in the least or even particularly progressive. 

Honestly I don’t know much of what she wants. It’s being leaked she’s taking opposing positions to stances she’s on the record about. She never does interviews to explain and her website is devoid of policy. Basically we are speculating on what’s behind curtain number 3.
 

I know you don’t feel that way but I’ll disagree with Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders all day, but they at least are very forthright in what they are for and against. I thought I knew with Harris, but things I’ve heard her say, I’m now hearing she’s changed her mind on. But again, it’s what you choose to believe bc she isn’t clarifying it. 
 

As for capital gains, I’m speaking more to the unrealized cap gains tax idea. Do you know where she currently stands?  I’ve heard she supports it but again, I really don’t know. It’s pretty hard to tell. 

[Mark Davis 387]

Latest from Emerson

https://x.com/frankluntz/status/1831743113838391400?s=46&t=QA56vEicq_0uiHVUVTt_Hg

[Mark Davis 387]

1 hour ago, OldMaid said:

https://www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000009671449/allan-lichtman-presidential-polls-prediction.html

That Lichtman guy is the biggest blowhard I’ve ever seen. He’s been on quite a few shows, Cuomo is one. He’s very defensive anytime anyone challenges him. 

[OldMaid 2,130]

24 minutes ago, Mark Davis said:

That Lichtman guy is the biggest blowhard I’ve ever seen. He’s been on quite a few shows, Cuomo is one. He’s very defensive anytime anyone challenges him. 

Blowhard or not, his track record is pretty impressive. 

[jerryskids 6,714]

14 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

The capital gains tax is pretty mild. Trump lowered it to 20%; Kamala wants it back up to 28%. Biden proposed 36%. 
Also no price controls. She wants specific penalties for gouging, not the same thing. 
 

None of this is socialist in the least or even particularly progressive. 

Can you provide a link with details regarding these proposals, starting with the gouging plan.  I looked on her website and it is mostly about donating money, plus meet Kamala and Tim.   

[IGotWorms 4,057]

2 hours ago, OldMaid said:

He’s only been partially wrong once-Bush vs Gore. He asserts that if they had not stopped counting the votes, Gore would have won. 

I believe this was pretty much proven to be true, wasn’t it?

He does have an impressive track record, but it’s probably mostly luck 

[HellToupee 1,701]

2 hours ago, Tree of Knowledge said:

Many people are saying the Regime is bringing in the National guard on 9/18 to incarcerate Trump because the NYPD is refusing to carry it out.  

Lots of pics and video evidence of military taking over hotels in NYC on X. 

[Tree of Knowledge 1,800]

13 minutes ago, HellToupee said:

Lots of pics and video evidence of military taking over hotels in NYC on X. 

Riversco/JustinCharge was right all along unfortunately.  If patriots react they will just declare martial law and postpone election.  

[OldMaid 2,130]

20 minutes ago, IGotWorms said:

I believe this was pretty much proven to be true, wasn’t it?

He does have an impressive track record, but it’s probably mostly luck 

I don’t remember exactly. I was too busy out whoring around to pay too much attention to politics back then.

I could chalk maybe 1/2 a dozen times up to luck, but this guy is a data nerd. He poured over every US election and found a common set of denominators. Not saying I’m gonna go out and make a bet on his predictions, but if I did, I’d feel pretty confident.

[HellToupee 1,701]

7 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said:

Riversco/JustinCharge was right all along unfortunately.  If patriots react they will just declare martial law and postpone election.  

I’m sorry to say I didn’t believe him and would want to apologize to him. 
 

[MDC 7,279]

I think Harris is a lock to win the popular vote but the election will come down to a coin flip in the small handful of states that will decide the outcome.

[MDC 7,279]

10 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said:

Riversco/JustinCharge was right all along unfortunately.  

The Chargers are the Team of the Decade?  

[Mark Davis 387]

1 hour ago, OldMaid said:

Blowhard or not, his track record is pretty impressive. 

He came across to me as finding commonalities among winners, not really cause and effect.  Some of it is pretty intuitive but I don't think he's found some system.  He struck me as the guy who wanted you to call in the 1-900 number to get NFL winners because of some trend they found that nobody else has.

[Mark Davis 387]

1 hour ago, jerryskids said:

Can you provide a link with details regarding these proposals, starting with the gouging plan.  I looked on her website and it is mostly about donating money, plus meet Kamala and Tim.   

She did mention grocery stores.  Latest 2023 industry data I found on them suggest a 1.6% after tax margin, 2.2% pretax.  So her premise is wrong, but she wants to deflect from what has caused inflation, give her credit for throwing the shiny object in the other direction and get the story elsewhere.  She's got less than 60 days now to try and run the clock out.  Thing is, I'm not 100% she wins if the election were today.  Two weeks ago I would have said she would have won if election day were then.  She could win if it were today, but GA and PA are on a razor thin edge right now and AZ seems to have moved back into Trump's column.

[jerryskids 6,714]

1 hour ago, OldMaid said:

Blowhard or not, his track record is pretty impressive. 

Interesting model, thanks for posting.  I could argue that he took some liberties in determining true/false, things like the economy doing great (if so, why do we need Kamala's undefined price gouging idea), white house scandal, Trump not being charismatic.  Also the implication is that RFK dropping out helps Kamala, which I understand the historical reasoning, but seems incorrect in this specific case.

Nevertheless, like you said, he has an impressive track record.   

[jerryskids 6,714]

2 minutes ago, Mark Davis said:

She did mention grocery stores.  Latest 2023 industry data I found on them suggest a 1.6% after tax margin, 2.2% pretax.  So her premise is wrong, but she wants to deflect from what has caused inflation, give her credit for throwing the shiny object in the other direction and get the story elsewhere.  She's got less than 60 days now to try and run the clock out.  Thing is, I'm not 100% she wins if the election were today.  Two weeks ago I would have said she would have won if election day were then.  She could win if it were today, but GA and PA are on a razor thin edge right now and AZ seems to have moved back into Trump's column.

I've asked how this grocery store thing would work, but haven't seen a good response.  Is it on individual items, like we'd have a czar of dairy setting acceptable prices for different types of milk and cheese?  Or is someone determining an overall acceptable margin?  In either case, a company like Walmart has armies of accountants who can move costs around to avoid whatever arbitrary limits were set.  Kroger, probably not so much, since they are primarily/only in the grocery business (I think), although they can move costs around in the individual czar model.  Joe's Bodega in Little Dominican in Manhattan?  Fuggettaboutit.

The margin idea has the added issue of, like you said, their current margins are already slim.  It's a volume-based industry.

It's a dumb idea with no possible way of implementation, but as we've discussed here, the American people can be very stupid and increasingly like the idea of free stuff, so it will be popular to low-intelligence voters.

[Strike 5,404]

16 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

Nevertheless, like you said, he has an impressive track record.   

Not really:

https://goodreason.substack.com/p/you-can-ignore-allan-lichtman-and

[Mark Davis 387]

6 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

I've asked how this grocery store thing would work, but haven't seen a good response.  Is it on individual items, like we'd have a czar of dairy setting acceptable prices for different types of milk and cheese?  Or is someone determining an overall acceptable margin?  In either case, a company like Walmart has armies of accountants who can move costs around to avoid whatever arbitrary limits were set.  Kroger, probably not so much, since they are primarily/only in the grocery business (I think), although they can move costs around in the individual czar model.  Joe's Bodega in Little Dominican in Manhattan?  Fuggettaboutit.

The margin idea has the added issue of, like you said, their current margins are already slim.  It's a volume-based industry.

It's a dumb idea with no possible way of implementation, but as we've discussed here, the American people can be very stupid and increasingly like the idea of free stuff, so it will be popular to low-intelligence voters.

Definitely.  It's all about inventory turns.  To survive at those meager of margins you must turn inventory many many times a year.  Sadly, there is a way to implement price controls, they'd just be devastating.  The taxing unrealized gains though, even as a CPA I don't know quite how you'd set that up.  I do know you could keep CPA's employed for eternity at much higher salaries if you do it though because it's going to be nasty and manipulated.  Taxing unrealized cap gains is essentially equivalent to a wealth tax, which wealth is hard to calculate and pin down but if you make it harder and go after unrealized cap gains, it's such a briar patch I don't know how you ever agree on numbers.  Europe has tried wealth taxes in a few cases, they didn't work so well.

 

[OldMaid 2,130]

5 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

I've asked how this grocery store thing would work, but haven't seen a good response.  Is it on individual items, like we'd have a czar of dairy setting acceptable prices for different types of milk and cheese?  Or is someone determining an overall acceptable margin?  In either case, a company like Walmart has armies of accountants who can move costs around to avoid whatever arbitrary limits were set.  Kroger, probably not so much, since they are primarily/only in the grocery business (I think), although they can move costs around in the individual czar model.  Joe's Bodega in Little Dominican in Manhattan?  Fuggettaboutit.

The margin idea has the added issue of, like you said, their current margins are already slim.  It's a volume-based industry.

It's a dumb idea with no possible way of implementation, but as we've discussed here, the American people can be very stupid and increasingly like the idea of free stuff, so it will be popular to low-intelligence voters.

It would probably be similar to what 30 states already have in the books.

https://www.kiplinger.com/personal-finance/kamala-harris-calls-for-a-federal-ban-on-corporate-price-gouging

[Mark Davis 387]

Just now, OldMaid said:

It would probably be similar to what 30 states already have in the books.

https://www.kiplinger.com/personal-finance/kamala-harris-calls-for-a-federal-ban-on-corporate-price-gouging

Most of those deal with emergencies such as selling power generators and water in hurricane zones. If you want this at the federal level, ok.  That's a totally fair issue.  It just simply isn't a driver of inflation today and is a red herring.  She's throwing that shiny object out there to distract on what the causes of inflation are, and price gouging isn't it.  There's a huge difference in raising price due to a supply shortfall in a high demand time of emergency and raising price because of drastic increases in the cost of your inventory.