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The Real timschochet

Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

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45 minutes ago, HellToupee said:

Did she speak with  a yinzer accent?

She spoke in a voice that was relatable to everyone in attendance. Her contagious laugh put everyone at ease and brought much joy. Most claimed they could feel their heart glow. There was no mention of sharks. 🦈

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20 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

Mark Cuban destroying trump.

Is there any non maga that defends these insane tariff ideas?

I can see why Cuban likes Harris.  They've got the word salad thing in common.

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Might want to update that thread title. Even CNN admits the Harris campaign is concerned about the polling. 

CNN — 

Harris campaign plans trip to the US southern border amid polling concerns

Vice President Kamala Harris is planning to visit the US-Mexico border while in Arizona on Friday, according to a source familiar with the discussions, as Harris tries to close the gap with former President Donald Trump on the issue of immigration.

Details of the visit – which CNN first reported Monday that campaign officials were weighing – are still being sorted.

Harris previously visited the border in her capacity as vice president and has cited her work as a US senator and state attorney general representing a border state – California.

Immigration has featured prominently in the 2024 presidential election. Democrats, grappling with years of border crises, have tried to flip the script on Republicans after the GOP blocked a bipartisan border measure earlier this year.

Some Harris campaign officials remain concerned about the gap in polling, which shows Trump holding a lead on the issue, but also see an opportunity to narrow a gap they believe is closing and try to shut down GOP attacks over her not visiting the border enough, according to one of the sources.

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15 minutes ago, Gladiators said:

I can see why Cuban likes Harris.  They've got the word salad thing in common.

I love this strategy of crying WORD SALAD anytime you can't refute a point.  Especially when it's Donald Trump that actually spews word salads every day now.  Actual non sensical ramblings.

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5 minutes ago, TrailGuy said:

I love this strategy of crying WORD SALAD anytime you can't refute a point.  Especially when it's Donald Trump that actually spews word salads every day now.  Actual non sensical ramblings.

Cuban said a lot of words, but gave no examples of how Harris is “very thorough” and “very precise.”

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23 minutes ago, Gepetto said:

Might want to update that thread title. Even CNN admits the Harris campaign is concerned about the polling. 

CNN — 

Harris campaign plans trip to the US southern border amid polling concerns

Vice President Kamala Harris is planning to visit the US-Mexico border while in Arizona on Friday, according to a source familiar with the discussions, as Harris tries to close the gap with former President Donald Trump on the issue of immigration.

Details of the visit – which CNN first reported Monday that campaign officials were weighing – are still being sorted.

Harris previously visited the border in her capacity as vice president and has cited her work as a US senator and state attorney general representing a border state – California.

Immigration has featured prominently in the 2024 presidential election. Democrats, grappling with years of border crises, have tried to flip the script on Republicans after the GOP blocked a bipartisan border measure earlier this year.

Some Harris campaign officials remain concerned about the gap in polling, which shows Trump holding a lead on the issue, but also see an opportunity to narrow a gap they believe is closing and try to shut down GOP attacks over her not visiting the border enough, according to one of the sources.

They’re concerned about the polling on immigration not on the polling overall which frankly looks great for Kamala. 

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4:43 p.m. CDT, September 24, 2024

Trump and Harris to participate in Univision townhalls 

From CNN's Kristen Holmes and Ebony Davis

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris will each participate in townhalls hosted by Univision, the network announced Tuesday.

“Each nominee will interact with undecided Hispanic voters and respond to questions,” Univision said in a statement.

The Trump townhall will air on October 8 from Miami. The Harris townhall will air on October 10 from Las Vegas.

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2:46 p.m. CDT, September 24, 2024

New Quinnipiac poll finds no clear leader nationally in presidential race

From CNN's Ariel Edwards-Levy

A Quinnipiac University poll of the presidential race released Tuesday finds no clear leader among likely voters nationally, with Donald Trump taking 48% to Harris’s 47% when third party candidates are included — nearly identical to the CNN poll released earlier.

In a head-to-head race between just Harris and Trump, Quinnipiac finds the two candidates tied at 48%.

In the Quinnipiac poll, 43% of likely voters say Harris would make a great or good president, 10% that she’d be “so-so,” and 46% that she’d be bad or terrible; for Trump, 47% say he’d be great or good, 6% that he’d be so-so, and 47% that he’d be terrible.

A 74% majority of Harris supporters and 60% of Trump supporters say they’d be “extremely upset” if their chosen candidate lost the election.

About the poll: Quinnipiac surveyed 1,728 likely voters by phone between September 19 and 22, with a margin of sampling error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.

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21 hours ago, Rabbit Range said:

Damn right! 💞

I hope it was OK and appropriate the way I phrased that. I super respect your journalistic skills. Glad to have you here to offer your views on issues.

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27 minutes ago, Gepetto said:

2:46 p.m. CDT, September 24, 2024

New Quinnipiac poll finds no clear leader nationally in presidential race

From CNN's Ariel Edwards-Levy

A Quinnipiac University poll of the presidential race released Tuesday finds no clear leader among likely voters nationally, with Donald Trump taking 48% to Harris’s 47% when third party candidates are included — nearly identical to the CNN poll released earlier.

In a head-to-head race between just Harris and Trump, Quinnipiac finds the two candidates tied at 48%.

In the Quinnipiac poll, 43% of likely voters say Harris would make a great or good president, 10% that she’d be “so-so,” and 46% that she’d be bad or terrible; for Trump, 47% say he’d be great or good, 6% that he’d be so-so, and 47% that he’d be terrible.

A 74% majority of Harris supporters and 60% of Trump supporters say they’d be “extremely upset” if their chosen candidate lost the election.

About the poll: Quinnipiac surveyed 1,728 likely voters by phone between September 19 and 22, with a margin of sampling error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.

This poll needs to be ignored.  Tim

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7 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Mark Cuban was on Deadline White House today. Just terrific. 

Did he explain why Biden/Harris kept the tariffs in place?

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13 minutes ago, Beaker15 said:

Did he explain why Biden/Harris kept the tariffs in place?

Nope. I’m sure he thought it was a mistake like I do. But you’re kind of an idiot for bringing that up because it has no bearing on the catastrophic new tariffs that Trump is proposing. 

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3 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Nope. I’m sure he thought it was a mistake like I do. But you’re kind of an idiot for bringing that up because it has no bearing on the catastrophic new tariffs that Trump is proposing. 

Trump presidency>>>>>>>Biden/Harris presidency

This is why Trump will win the election and is polling better against Kamala than he did against Hillary and Joe.  We all will have to wait on our 1st female President. 

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10 minutes ago, Beaker15 said:

Trump presidency>>>>>>>Biden/Harris presidency

This is why Trump will win the election and is polling better against Kamala than he did against Hillary and Joe.  We all will have to wait on our 1st female President. 

He’s not polling better, what are you smoking? And no his Presidency was far worse than Biden’s by nearly every measure. 

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8 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

He’s not polling better, what are you smoking? And no his Presidency was far worse than Biden’s by nearly every measure. 

He absolutely is polling better.  The polls had Hillary ahead in 2016 by 4% and Trump beat her.  Biden was polling up 7-9% on Trump in 2020 and he barely won.  Trump and Hillary are basically tied in national polls and she is behing in the battleground states.  She is doomed.  That is why she is panicking and may go to the border and desperately wants another debate.

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4 minutes ago, Beaker15 said:

He absolutely is polling better.  The polls had Hillary ahead in 2016 by 4% and Trump beat her.  Biden was polling up 7-9% on Trump in 2020 and he barely won.  Trump and Hillary are basically tied in national polls and she is behing in the battleground states.  She is doomed.  That is why she is panicking and may go to the border and desperately wants another debate.

OK. I misunderstood your post. I thought you were referring to Biden this time around. 

Kamala is consistently ahead and trending upward. She’s not panicking at all. In fact she pretty much knows she’s going to win at this point. 

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1 hour ago, Beaker15 said:

Trump presidency>>>>>>>Biden/Harris presidency

This is why Trump will win the election and is polling better against Kamala than he did against Hillary and Joe.  We all will have to wait on our 1st female President. 

Never underestimate kamala's ability to use her throat to her advantage. 

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7 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

OK. I misunderstood your post. I thought you were referring to Biden this time around. 

Kamala is consistently ahead and trending upward. She’s not panicking at all. In fact she pretty much knows she’s going to win at this point. 

Then why is she begging for another debate. Politicians who know they're going to win don't do that. 

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2 hours ago, steeler6 said:

Then why is she begging for another debate. Politicians who know they're going to win don't do that. 

Why was Trump begging Biden for debates?

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3 hours ago, Dizkneelande said:

State Polls: NC: Trump +3 | WI: Tied | GA: Trump +2 | PA: Tied | AZ: Trump +2

Barring a major change,  I believe Kamala Harris will win Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and Michigan and 1 vote in Nebraska, giving her 270. The other states you mentioned are toss ups but I feel good about them. 

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There are some problems for Harris, she is performing below both Clinton and Biden in those swing states.  Then again, we should resist trusting any polling.

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2 minutes ago, RLLD said:

There are some problems for Harris, she is performing below both Clinton and Biden in those swing states.  Then again, we should resist trusting any polling.

Exactly, she knows she is losing at this point

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Tim, did she jump out to a 7 point lead in national polling or in ONE national poll?  I suspect it's just you cherry picking a single poll once again and posting an inaccurate title AGAIN.  But you want fair, vigorous discussion. 

 

:rolleyes:

 

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2 minutes ago, Beaker15 said:

Exactly, she knows she is losing at this point

Not sure she is losing, she might be.   I think if we see more attempts on Trump to take his life that is demonstrative of the level of concern among Democrats.   The problem for Harris is she cannot really disassociate herself from the horrid performance of the Biden white house.

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4 hours ago, Dizkneelande said:

State Polls: NC: Trump +3 | WI: Tied | GA: Trump +2 | PA: Tied | AZ: Trump +2

And even those are gross underestimates of trump support.  When you dig down and see how these polls still have a significant bias in them overstating the Demcratic electorate, all those state polls move to about Trump +5.  

The outrageously retarded polls which Tom loves to quote, overstate Democrats by over 10 points.  So when the braindead cultists post polls saying Harris +7, the data weighted corrected give a more accurate Trump +3.  All honest polling is showing Trump either tied or with a 2 or 3 point lead nationally.  That is even true of the lying bastards polls when you correctly weight their data to match the 2020 election electorate demographics.  

This in nothing new.  The left has been manipulating presidential polling results for many decades.  Websites like 538 have been overtaken by propagandists.  

The current state of the election is Trump 313EV to Harris 225EV.  And there are very few states Harris has any hope of flipping.  The headlines in this thread are laughably terrible that only a total dumbass would buy. 

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8 minutes ago, RLLD said:

There are some problems for Harris, she is performing below both Clinton and Biden in those swing states.  Then again, we should resist trusting any polling.

Harris is underperformed Clinton and Biden in every demographic except single women.  But somehow despite underperforming Biden and Hillary among blacks, Hispanics, young males, old males, married women....leftist polling is showing Harris doing far better than Hillary.  It is impossible.  Their polling is actually decent, the problem is their intentionally misapplying weightings which they know are a fantasy.  

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I have 3 friends who have been polled.  All conservatives....Wouldn't go so far as to call them MAGAs...just more anti Democrat

Every one of them lied to the pollster and told them they were voting democrat.    They think it's funny

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3 minutes ago, jonmx said:

Harris is underperformed Clinton and Biden in every demographic except single women.  But somehow despite underperforming Biden and Hillary among blacks, Hispanics, young males, old males, married women....leftist polling is showing Harris doing far better than Hillary.  It is impossible.  Their polling is actually decent, the problem is their intentionally misapplying weightings which they know are a fantasy.  

Perhaps.   I think most polling is really trying to harvest the reality; most but not all.

I think media, across the board, are absolutely despicable lying political partisans......and cannot be trusted at all....ever....anything.....

It makes it tough to be sure you have all the information, free of political manipulation

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13 minutes ago, Strike said:

Tim, did she jump out to a 7 point lead in national polling or in ONE national poll?  I suspect it's just you cherry picking a single poll once again and posting an inaccurate title AGAIN.  But you want fair, vigorous discussion. 

 

:rolleyes:

 

It’s one poll. Reuters/Ipsos. She’s averaging a 3-4 point lead. 
 

Nobody knows for sure how this is going to play out. I predict that on election night we will know early on that Kamala has it in the bag, because she’s going to win North Carolina. But my predictions are often wrong, brilliant as I am. 

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5 minutes ago, jonmx said:

And even those are gross underestimates of trump support.  When you dig down and see how these polls still have a significant bias in them overstating the Demcratic electorate, all those state pools move to about Trump +5.  

The outrageously retarded polls which Tom loves to quote, overstate Democrats by over 10 points.  So when the braindead cultists post polls saying Harris +7, the data weighted corrected give a more accurate Trump +3.  All honest polling is showing Trump either tied or with a 2 or 3 point lead nationally.  That is even true of the lying bastards polls when you correctly weight their data to match the 2020 election electorate demographics.  

This in nothing new.  The left has been manipulating presidential polling results for many decades.  Websites like 538 have been overtaken by propagandists.  

Who is doing this "honest polling" you keep referring to?

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1 minute ago, The Real timschochet said:

It’s one poll. Reuters/Ipsos. She’s averaging a 3-4 point lead. 
 

Nobody knows for sure how this is going to play out. I predict that on election night we will know early on that Kamala has it in the bag, because she’s going to win North Carolina. But my predictions are often wrong, brilliant as I am. 

Hey Tim, seeing as you have told us that Trump is a threat to democracy, where on a scale of 1-10, 1 being the lowest, would you rate that threat? 1 - democracy lives on with a Trump victory, 10- we do away with congress and the courts and live in a dictatorship. ????

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11 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

It’s one poll. Reuters/Ipsos. She’s averaging a 3-4 point lead. 
 

Nobody knows for sure how this is going to play out. I predict that on election night we will know early on that Kamala has it in the bag, because she’s going to win North Carolina. But my predictions are often wrong, brilliant as I am. 

So your thread title is admittedly inaccurate, and you have no idea what she's averaging nationally.  That's just you making sh*t up to cover for your inaccurate thread title.  But yeah, you're here for fair, vigorous debate.

:rolleyes:

 

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6 minutes ago, Strike said:

So your thread title is admittedly inaccurate, and you have no idea what she's averaging nationally.  That's just you making sh*t up to cover for your inaccurate thread title.  But yeah, you're here for fair, vigorous debate.

:rolleyes:

 

Not inaccurate at all. 

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15 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

Hey Tim, seeing as you have told us that Trump is a threat to democracy, where on a scale of 1-10, 1 being the lowest, would you rate that threat? 1 - democracy lives on with a Trump victory, 10- we do away with congress and the courts and live in a dictatorship. ????

It’s pretty high. Getting higher all the time. 

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