Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)

[jonmx 2,425]

1 hour ago, The Real timschochet said:

No thanks. I know you’re good for it. But while I feel good about this it’s only about 55%-45% in my mind and that’s not enough to risk $1000.00. 
 

Besides, if Trump wins we will both need every penny since the economy will be in terrible shape after the new tariffs next year. 

So you post polls that say things like Harris is up big in every swing state and up 7 nationally, but you don't believe it.  There are almost no undecides in this election.  The race is not going to move.  You are telling me you know you are full of crap. 

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

31 minutes ago, jerryskids said:

Tim:  Trump isn't going to do ridiculous tariffs like 20% on everything etc.  This is Trump doing his "art of the deal."  He's going to try to use it as a starting position in talks with other countries.  HTH

 

I don’t believe you’re correct about this. And since as President he has the power to do this without the assent of Congress it’s not a risk I’m willing to take. 

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

8 minutes ago, jonmx said:

So you post polls that say things like Harris is up big in every swing state and up 7 nationally, but you don't believe it.  There are almost no undecides in this election.  The race is not going to move.  You are telling me you know you are full of crap. 

I believe that Harris is going to win. I don’t know that she’s going to win. If you think that makes me full of crap so be it. I think YOU are cherry picking polls and delusional. 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,211]

So Trump wants Tariffs to protect American jobs and that’s a bad thing. Ok

[HellToupee 1,676]

Makes you sick hearing these things  

 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,211]

North Carolina just removed 750k ! Voters from its rolls, including dead people and duplicate registrations.  Voter suppression! Racism! 

[Alias Detective 1,393]

1 hour ago, MDC said:

As someone who lives in a city, I think you vastly overestimate the % of hoodlums who bother to vote at all. 

Hence my comment regarding bussing “them” to polling stations.  I knew you’d come around.  

[EternalShinyAndChrome 4,001]

3 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

No thanks. I know you’re good for it. But while I feel good about this it’s only about 55%-45% in my mind and that’s not enough to risk $1000.00. 
 

Besides, if Trump wins we will both need every penny since the economy will be in terrible shape after the new tariffs next year. 

WE NEED EVERY PENNY NOW WITH BIDEN/HARRIS IN CHARGE!!!

[MDC 7,258]

6 minutes ago, Alias Detective said:

Hence my comment regarding bussing “them” to polling stations.  I knew you’d come around.  

I can’t speak for every neighborhood in Philly, but there are at least 3 polling locations within 4 blocks to my house. That would be an awfully short bus trip. 

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

This Newsweek article, quoting Nate Silver, explains why Harris has the advantage in a very close race: 

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-polls-swing-states-election-1959933

Her lead in Michigan (and Wisconsin) is pretty firm and it’s hard to see how Trump catches up in those states. That leaves Pennsylvania where she’s got a 2 point lead within the margin of error. But if you look at the trend lines, some show a tie, some show her with a slight lead, but none that I have seen show Trump rebounding or increasing his percentage. In addition, if this comes down to Get Out the Vote efforts, everything I’ve read suggests her ground game is much better than his. 
 

I also believe there are two important factors that point in Kamala’s favor: first, I think the polling is too conservative about “likely voters”. The 18-29 crowd are not being taken into account enough (which is fair because they haven’t exactly shown up in previous elections). But I think they will this time and they favor Harris by 30 points or so. Second, I think most of  4% of undecided will swing to Harris at the last second. 
 

On the other hand there is always the fact that Trump has done far better on Election Day than the polls said he would in 2016 and 2020, because people don’t want to admit that they’re voting for him and then they do. And that could happen again; hence my caution. But I think most of the pollsters, seeking to correct past mistakes, have already factored this in. So I don’t think this will be a surprise. 

[Beaker15 236]

17 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

This Newsweek article, quoting Nate Silver, explains why Harris has the advantage in a very close race: 

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-polls-swing-states-election-1959933

Her lead in Michigan (and Wisconsin) is pretty firm and it’s hard to see how Trump catches up in those states. That leaves Pennsylvania where she’s got a 2 point lead within the margin of error. But if you look at the trend lines, some show a tie, some show her with a slight lead, but none that I have seen show Trump rebounding or increasing his percentage. In addition, if this comes down to Get Out the Vote efforts, everything I’ve read suggests her ground game is much better than his. 
 

I also believe there are two important factors that point in Kamala’s favor: first, I think the polling is too conservative about “likely voters”. The 18-29 crowd are not being taken into account enough (which is fair because they haven’t exactly shown up in previous elections). But I think they will this time and they favor Harris by 30 points or so. Second, I think most of  4% of undecided will swing to Harris at the last second. 
 

On the other hand there is always the fact that Trump has done far better on Election Day than the polls said he would in 2016 and 2020, because people don’t want to admit that they’re voting for him and then they do. And that could happen again; hence my caution. But I think most of the pollsters, seeking to correct past mistakes, have already factored this in. So I don’t think this will be a surprise. 

LOL He "thinks" the 4% of undecided will go to Harris.  What a clown.  His bias is almost as bad as Tims.  He also "thinks" younger folks will come out more to vote and that past election polling of Trump exceeding expectations will not happen this time.  Basically he thinks every possible break will go Kamalas way.  Good luck with that!

[OldMaid 2,130]

The Mr’s bother lives in Pittsburgh and is a registered Republican. He’s leaning towards voting for Harris, but he’s definitely not voting Trump this time around.

[Gepetto 1,341]

8 hours ago, The Real timschochet said:

It’s pretty high. Getting higher all the time. 

 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,211]

1 hour ago, OldMaid said:

The Mr’s bother lives in Pittsburgh and is a registered Republican. He’s leaning towards voting for Harris, but he’s definitely not voting Trump this time around.

You think he might be placating his far left SIL? Trying to keep the peace? Your side holds grudges. 

[OldMaid 2,130]

16 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

You think he might be placating his far left SIL? Trying to keep the peace? Your side holds grudges. 

Nope. The events surrounding the last election were a bridge too far for him. 

[Sean Mooney 1,966]

4 hours ago, MDC said:

I remember back during the 2020 riots, lots of talk about “Democrats” looting in downtowns. As somebody who lives in a city I had to laugh at anyone who saw those hood rats breaking windows on TV and thought, “Now there’s a group of reliable voters.”

 

Yes the people that we yell and scream about for breaking windows and looting stores are being asked "Hey want to get in this van and go participate in democracy" and they are readily agreeing and going from polling station to polling station.

People have to be stupid to think there are people being bussed from inner cities to go vote. 

[seafoam1 2,905]

22 minutes ago, Sean Mooney said:

 

Yes the people that we yell and scream about for breaking windows and looting stores are being asked "Hey want to get in this van and go participate in democracy" and they are readily agreeing and going from polling station to polling station.

People have to be stupid to think there are people being bussed from inner cities to go vote. 

Liberals are so stupid. 

[Gepetto 1,341]

5 hours ago, Hardcore troubadour said:

I remember watching the white van with homeless people roll up to vote in the  Bronx. Then the same van went to the next polling station.  And so on. 

Warren Buffet financed a bus in Omaha a while back to do just that. I think it was Obama's first term and he won 1 Electoral vote from our district that year. I haven't heard of Buffet doing that since, I'm guessing he got a lot of flack for it.

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

Fox News Poll: Harris ahead by 3 points in Georgia: 

https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-ahead-trump-3-points-georgia.amp

[The Psychic Observer 498]

 

[Hardcore troubadour 15,211]

58 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Fox News Poll: Harris ahead by 3 points in Georgia: 

https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-ahead-trump-3-points-georgia.amp

Of all the polls, believe that one the least. You’re welcome. 

[Beaker15 236]

59 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said:

Fox News Poll: Harris ahead by 3 points in Georgia: 

https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-ahead-trump-3-points-georgia.amp

You conveniently left off the North Carolina poll.  I wonder why?

[Dizkneelande 1,093]

10 hours ago, Beaker15 said:

You conveniently left off the North Carolina poll.  I wonder why?

Yeah it’s a huge mystery why. Also, The Fox poll is the only one out of 11 that has her up in Georgia. 
 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/georgia/trump-vs-harris

[Strike 5,373]

 

[Strike 5,373]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/27/exclusive-poll-arizona-trump-leads-harris/75385504007/

[Fireballer 2,641]

What does she mean by “I prosecuted”?   Has she ever made arguments in a real trial, even before being AG of CA?  

 

[Maximum Overkill 1,889]

2 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

What does she mean by “I prosecuted”?

It's code for I suk'd my way to the job. 

[Tree of Knowledge 1,789]

Looks like Dems are bringing in the big guns, literally, to try to keep Trump from Saving America  

 

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/report-informant-claims-trumps-plane-targeted-assassination-nine/

 

[RaiderHaters Revenge 4,303]

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DAbj-mdSNtc/?igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
 

nothing to see

[HellToupee 1,676]

 

[squistion 2,097]

 

[HellToupee 1,676]

oof

[5-Points 3,460]

30 minutes ago, squistion said:

 

 She's an idiot. 

[HellToupee 1,676]

29 minutes ago, squistion said:

 

 

[Frozenbeernuts 2,227]

It was fun seeing CNN laugh at Kamala for her less than half asses attempt to visit the border.

This is what happens when you run the person who is in office and is failing.

Many democrats are upset their families are more in danger now.

[Fireballer 2,641]

My values haven’t changed…

 

[Reality 3,121]

13 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

My values haven’t changed…

 

Wow.

[Hardcore troubadour 15,211]

Did Kamala meet those families at McDonalds in her middle class neighborhood where she worked?   No. Because those things don’t exist much like her meeting with those many families. Shameless 

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

25 minutes ago, Reality said:

Wow.

Do you understand that there is a difference between decriminalizing the personal use of fentanyl and attempting to prevent its flow into the country? And that these can be goals which do not contradict each other? 

[The Real timschochet 6,580]

She did a good job at the border. Her plan is is far more thoughtful than the fool she is running against. Too bad Trump is so weak on this issue.