Week1 Observations

[nobody 2,754]

 

• The James Conner top 10 RB free ride is probably coming to an end.  He split time evenly with Trey Benson
• Bo Nix looked like garbage.  He started out last year slow as well, so panic meter is at about a 3, but my spidey sense was tingling with him all off season and that putrid showing has me moving to defcon 3 on him.
• The lions offense was hot garbage.  If the hypothesis that Ben Johnson is an offensive coaching god, evidence seems to support it.  If the Bears come out and look great against the Vikes, I'm throwing in with the Ben and selling the lions.  They were hot garbage.  I just can't tell if it was because GB played with their hair on fire or if the lions are going to revert to being the lions.
  • That Montgomery/Gibbs touch split can't be making Gibbs investors happy.
• People following the off season probably saw the Miami situation seemed a little dysfunctional, but ho-lee-shyte.  what the hell was that
• Where the hell was the out of nowhere week 1 breakout.  Did we solve FF and now sleepers are extinct?
  • The first week of waivers is usually the most important week of the year.  But this year, I'm holding my water.  I can't remember a year where there was no unexpected breakouts.
• Not worried about the Dallas offense.  The plays were there, and the defense is putrid, so we'll be enjoying garbage time stats all year.  if someone wants to sell low on Dak, I'd be buying
• Justin Fields cheat code in full effect!
• I still don't think Keon Coleman is a good receiver, but it's clear Buffalo wants to make Coleman a thing.  It'll probably take them until week 10 to realize Shakir is their Amon-Ra and the passing game should run through him, but the Bills are stubborn when it comes to this stuff.
• I didn't see the Cardinals/Saints game, but was Marvin Harrison... good?
• Sam Darnold is who we thought he was.
• Anyone notice the Chargers who are supposed to be a run heavy team threw the ball all over the place on Friday?  Game script dependent probably against the Chiefs great run D, but they at least proved they have that gear when they need it.
• I wonder how many time Penix is going to lose a fumble stretching for a first down or TD?  He got lucky that he didn't have a turnover stretching for a first down, and then exposes the ball again stretching for a TD (albeit in a more desperate situation) 
• Cam Ward looks like a rookie.  No wonder no one cared about him being picked first overall.
• Brian Thomas Jr.  7 targets -> 1 catch.  Travis Hunter 8 targets.  Oy.  I hope they aren't going to ruin a good thing in Jacksonville.  

[Maximum Overkill 2,212]

Just now, nobody said:

The James Conner top 10 RB free ride is probably coming to an end.  He split time evenly with Trey Benson

And Benson looked explosive 

[cmh6476 1,050]

Chiefs are bottom feeders in the West

[weepaws 3,244]

I wouldn’t be trading Daniels for Nix. 

Anyone that drafted Gibbs, and ignored the obvious is foolish, when healthy Montgomery will get his fair share of the work load. 

Dimes looks little me a very good fit fir the Colts.  

And Henry continues to be the King.  

And Mccaffery had a very good stat game.  

[purplengold47 29]

 - Pearsall is a stud.

- Rodgers will be a decent 

- Egbuka looks good, wonder what happens when Godwin returns.

- Javonte williams will have the lion share of carries.

- Mclaurin  and Nico Collins hot garbage

- just a matter of time for Russel Wilson to get benched

[weepaws 3,244]

Russel shouldn’t start week two imo. 

Agree about Egbuka, sadly Godwin is going to return 

[Drogon 18]

Dallas should have won. Sanders fumble and CeeDee drops did them in.

Cleveland should have won.  Their kicker should be gone already.

Tennessee usually has a decent defense so not too worried about Nix (yet). 

Not sure what you could expect from a rookie playing his first NFL game in Denver against arguably the top defense in the NFL.

[TBayXXXVII 2,606]

Week 1 observation?  They stunk.  Outside of 2 or 3 games, it looked like no one actually prepared for this week.  I'd rather them go back to 4 pre-season games where starters actually played for more than 3 snaps.

[defectivesupport 8]

A lot of offenses didn't feel like they had their timings down.  Jags/Bengals/Lions/Cowboys all looked like they were lost with constant overthrows, drops, missed open wr's and much more.

The ravens, for all they looked good overall, only completed 14 passes.  Obviously they ran well and had a bunch of big plays, but this is something to watch in the next few weeks - pass catchers might be unplayable for them.  Flowers looked good this week at least though.

Bryce young is a bust.  T Mcmillan is going to be limited because of it.

Practically every WR2 that people prioritized in drafts did poorly. Tee/Adams/pickens/smith/williams etc.  This probably wont continue every week - but a lot of shorter targets went to TE/RB this week.  4 of the top 10 in receptions were RB/TE.  Something to keep an eye on as there might be a chance TE start being the better flex plays...

Speaking of which, RB usage seems to be trending towards 60:40 on pretty much every team.  And only 4 RB got over 70 yards rushing.  RB's might be VERY boom or bust this year stat wise.

 The dolphins look like a 0-17 team, even if they played in the UFL.  

 

 

[polecatt 484]

Kickers are hitting 60+ yd FGs with ease...

That along with the way they do kickoffs now, a touchback is basically 1 first down away from FG range...

[Maximum Overkill 2,212]

5 minutes ago, defectivesupport said:

Bryce young is a bust.  T Mcmillan is going to be limited because of it.

My fear as well. 

[polecatt 484]

Jaxson Dart is gonna be the NYG QB1 sooner rather than later.

If Russ struggles again in week 2 against the Cowboys, it wouldn't shock me if he starts week 3 against the Chiefs

[Maximum Overkill 2,212]

6 minutes ago, polecatt said:

Jaxson Dart is gonna be the NYG QB1 sooner rather than later.

Agree but I think that would be a huge mistake. The Giants and Dart aren't ready to win, regardless of who's QB. Dart's far from ready right now. 

At the worst roll with Jameis 

[nobody 2,754]

That would be cool.  Nabers would be deadly with Jameis

[LoOnAtIk 75]

Did anyone else think Omarion Hampton looked like a JAG?

 

I don't think he made a single defender miss. Felt like he left a lot of meat on the bone on a lot of his runs. Went down very easily. 

 

Hopefully I'm wrong.

[weepaws 3,244]

52 minutes ago, polecatt said:

Jaxson Dart is gonna be the NYG QB1 sooner rather than later.

If Russ struggles again in week 2 against the Cowboys, it wouldn't shock me if he starts week 3 against the Chiefs

Only if the Gmen organization wants to try to win games in 2025.  

[weepaws 3,244]

18 minutes ago, LoOnAtIk said:

Did anyone else think Omarion Hampton looked like a JAG?

 

I don't think he made a single defender miss. Felt like he left a lot of meat on the bone on a lot of his runs. Went down very easily. 

 

Hopefully I'm wrong.

Agreed. I would hang unto that Harris stock, i still think it’s going to be an RBBC with Harris being 1b. 

[Ray_T 765]

7 hours ago, nobody said:

The first week of waivers is usually the most important week of the year.  But this year, I'm holding my water.  I can't remember a year where there was no unexpected breakouts.

there are always a couple.

sometimes that breakout happens in week 2 or 3.    This year there were a few players who got more targets/touches than expected.   sometimes the breakout is week 1 but often the real breakout is in week 2/3 after a week 1 that shows promise.

there are a couple breakouts I've noticed on my players to watch list.    what position were you looking for?

[nobody 2,754]

I started dak, aj brown, calvin Ridley, jahmyr, McConkey, and trevyeon in one league.  I'm looking for everyone.

[weepaws 3,244]

I agree, looking to point totals, there isn’t a single player that anyone is going want to part with their f/a slot.   Even the Chargers Johnston is rostered in both leagues.    

But I will be streaming a Qb, Lawrence is awful.   

[jrokh 610]

Kayshon Boutte is intriguing…

[Ray_T 765]

38 minutes ago, jrokh said:

Kayshon Boutte is intriguing…

hes a good candidate.   5 star college recruit.  projected first round NFL pick but had double ankle surgery in his draft year and went late due to the perceived risks.

had a couple productive games late last year.    

he was on my players to watch list and likely now I'll try to get him with some FAAB money

 

[polecatt 484]

5 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:

Agree but I think that would be a huge mistake. The Giants and Dart aren't ready to win, regardless of who's QB. Dart's far from ready right now. 

At the worst roll with Jameis 

From what I'm hearing, I think they think he's ready. It's just a matter of how long they want to play Russ.

I don't think they'll start Jameis at all unless it's like a one or two game stop gap sort of thing. 

[Ray_T 765]

7 minutes ago, polecatt said:

From what I'm hearing, I think they think he's ready. It's just a matter of how long they want to play Russ.

I don't think they'll start Jameis at all unless it's like a one or two game stop gap sort of thing. 

well, the O line still has issues.

even if they think he is ready I think the right move is to wait until later in the season.   perhaps they insert him as starter after the bye (if that bye is sometime after week 8 ) or if the team is performing poorly and they need a spark.

 

I do agree, now is likely not the time.

but we have all been wrong on this before.   we could be wrong on this now.

your guess is as good as mine.

[The PosterFormerlyKnownAs 78]

Overall, the league looked like it wasn’t quite ready for regular season.  
 

too much of the game was close to the line of scrimmage, generally heavy rush or play calling that made for plodding games with too much short passing and punting for my liking.

good points made about shared backfields and longer field goals.  I’ll add that the refs have added even more sensitivity around sportsmanship and avoiding late hits.  Also lots of quarterback slides.  
 

on to week two … it needs to get better … which SNF and MNF games set the tone for.

 

[polecatt 484]

12 minutes ago, Ray_T said:

well, the O line still has issues.

even if they think he is ready I think the right move is to wait until later in the season.   perhaps they insert him as starter after the bye (if that bye is sometime after week 8 ) or if the team is performing poorly and they need a spark.

 

I do agree, now is likely not the time.

but we have all been wrong on this before.   we could be wrong on this now.

your guess is as good as mine.

Their bye is very late.

Week 14

I think if they're not in playoff contention, and he's not starting already, he definitely will play the final 4 after the bye

[weepaws 3,244]

Dart is going to going to give them a better change to win a few games, Russell probably the same, so I would choose the rookie has the tie breaker. 

[cmh6476 1,050]

this might be the first post-week 1 ever where I'm not making a claim on any available players

[Maximum Overkill 2,212]

5 minutes ago, cmh6476 said:

this might be the first post-week 1 ever where I'm not making a claim on any available players

Same 

[Ray_T 765]

9 hours ago, polecatt said:

Their bye is very late.

Week 14

I think if they're not in playoff contention, and he's not starting already, he definitely will play the final 4 after the bye

makes sense.

I dont think putting him in behind a leaky line is in anyones best interest if trying to develop this young man into a Pro QB.

[listen2me 23 1,910]

Caleb Williams stinks

[Skinny_Bastard 158]

• Jaylen Warren is the back to own in Pitts
• JJ McCarthy got the "IT" factor
• Bryce Young has overstayed as a starting QB in the NFL
• King Henry on mission to win the rushing title
• Puka will get 200+ targets this year
• It's week 1 over reaction 
• T. Lawrence regression continues
• Harold Fannin usage is awesome 

[nobody 2,754]

1 hour ago, Skinny_Bastard said:

• Harold Fannin usage is awesome 

This is an interesting one to me.  I'm assuming he's going to fade back behind Njoku, but are they running a bunch of two tightend sets?  

[nobody 2,754]

Thinking about that Bills/Ravens game.  This seems like one of those rare games where the Bills coaching staff will get to coach hard like they lost, but they also get the win.

Bills clearly need to figure out their safeties and LBs.  I mean Henry dribbled that one poor guy down the field on that first TD run and Rapp looked like a junior varsity guy going against varsity for the first time as Henry sprinted past him with ease on the second TD run.  

The Ravens were the better team, but the Bills should be thinking to themselves that they got lucky because they did.

[Chickie 76]

Dabol is smart like a fox. He’s saving Dart for the meat of the schedule after the NO home game where Dart can face Philly 2x, @ Denver, @ Chicago,  @Det, v GB and SF….all from the comfort of his RV as he tailgates with the rest of the oh and 2025 Giants. 

[nobody 2,754]

5 minutes ago, Chickie said:

Dabol is smart like a fox. He’s saving Dart for the meat of the schedule after the NO home game where Dart can face Philly 2x, @ Denver, @ Chicago,  @Det, v GB and SF….all from the comfort of his RV as he tailgates with the rest of the oh and 2025 Giants. 

[Maximum Overkill 2,212]

17 hours ago, jrokh said:

Kayshon Boutte is intriguing…

Very 

[Ray_T 765]

1 hour ago, Chickie said:

Dabol is smart like a fox. He’s saving Dart for the meat of the schedule after the NO home game where Dart can face Philly 2x, @ Denver, @ Chicago,  @Det, v GB and SF….all from the comfort of his RV as he tailgates with the rest of the oh and 2025 Giants. 

well, if you dont think the team will compete for a playoff spot, at least you wait until the team is eliminated from playoff contention.   that way the fan base wont blame the rookie for the bad year.   seems like a small thing but once the fans get on your rookie starter, thats a big burden for a young player to carry.    This at least takes the pressure off of him when he does finally get in to play.

[polecatt 484]

7 hours ago, listen2me 23 said:

Caleb Williams stinks

He's 

[Ray_T 765]

3 hours ago, polecatt said:

He's 

he looked good on the opening couple of drives, and it went downhill from there.

offense lost momentum on a 4th down gamble when they gave up the FG to try to go for the TD.   at that point I think Caleb was 10/11.   

this is a good defense, so I'd at least give it another week before letting panic set in.    I have a feeling this defense will make a few QB look bad this year.