***Wagering thread***

[Fireballer 2,642]

14 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

Where can I see Greg’s stuff. The shiit badger posts is full of incomplete games with no variance

Yeah, I think moving to the VSIN site fuked Badgers method.. You can go daily to his Twitter account and get the link to his sheet.

 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

Thanks. 
so Greg’s sheet doesn’t actually show any variance? So I have to look for the biggest variance versus DK line? 
 

that’s fine. I never looked at Greg’s sheet before. Only badgers. I thought badger was simply regurgitating Greg but placing the picks in order of variance. 

[Fireballer 2,642]

26 minutes ago, WhiteWonder said:

Thanks. 
so Greg’s sheet doesn’t actually show any variance? So I have to look for the biggest variance versus DK line? 
 

that’s fine. I never looked at Greg’s sheet before. Only badgers. I thought badger was simply regurgitating Greg but placing the picks in order of variance. 

Ahhh...OK.  Yeah, Greg has always just simply given "his line" and Badger did the heavy lifting and compared Greg's to Bovada in his own sheet.

[TBayXXXVII 2,545]

Bet on Kent State to win and/or cover (take the better payout), every game they play in the MAC conference tournament.  I usually bet $1 or $2 on games... but I drop $50 on them to win the MAC Tournament, then $200 on them to cover 6.5 last night.  Took those winnings (374 total), and put it on them to beat Ohio tonight (+105).  I'll be at $767 after tonight.  Betting all of that on the championship game.  Free money guys.

[TBayXXXVII 2,545]

1 hour ago, Fireballer said:

Yeah, I think moving to the VSIN site fuked Badgers method.. You can go daily to his Twitter account and get the link to his sheet.

 

 

1 hour ago, WhiteWonder said:

Thanks. 
so Greg’s sheet doesn’t actually show any variance? So I have to look for the biggest variance versus DK line? 
 

that’s fine. I never looked at Greg’s sheet before. Only badgers. I thought badger was simply regurgitating Greg but placing the picks in order of variance. 

His chart just backs up my last post.  Bet on Kent State.  He's willing to lay 3.5... on DraftKings, they're getting 1.5.

[Alias Detective 1,399]

13 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

 

His chart just backs up my last post.  Bet on Kent State.  He's willing to lay 3.5... on DraftKings, they're getting 1.5.

Just took them +1.5.  Thanks for the play.

[Mookz 1,346]

5 hours ago, TBayXXXVII said:

Bet on Kent State to win and/or cover (take the better payout), every game they play in the MAC conference tournament.  I usually bet $1 or $2 on games... but I drop $50 on them to win the MAC Tournament, then $200 on them to cover 6.5 last night.  Took those winnings (374 total), and put it on them to beat Ohio tonight (+105).  I'll be at $767 after tonight.  Betting all of that on the championship game.  Free money guys.

Tailed ya.  

[bostonlager 2,665]

5 hours ago, Mookz said:

Tailed ya.  

Which book did you end up going with?

[Mookz 1,346]

3 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Which book did you end up going with?

The one you suggested, sportsbetting.ag.  

[bostonlager 2,665]

25 minutes ago, Mookz said:

The one you suggested, sportsbetting.ag.  

They have a decent poker set up too if you're into that. 

[TBayXXXVII 2,545]

11 hours ago, Mookz said:

Tailed ya.  

I'm letting it ride!  Got'em at -1 today.

[Mookz 1,346]

23 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

I'm letting it ride!  Got'em at -1 today.

-3 now for me.   

May be willing to go ML on them. 

You seem to feel pretty strongly.   

[TBayXXXVII 2,545]

7 minutes ago, Mookz said:

-3 now for me.   

May be willing to go ML on them. 

You seem to feel pretty strongly.   

I got in like 20 minutes after the game last night, that's why I got it at -1.  They had a slow start to the season with some sloppy play.  But after a 2-3 start in conference play, they went 14-1 the rest of the way.  With 2 wins in the conference tournament, now 16-1 in their last 17, winning 14 in a row.

 

Akron was their first win in that run and beat them again last month.  They're playing their best basketball right now.  Gonna ride or die with them at this point.  I've been getting on them a lot lately, just like a couple bucks a game.  As I said, I'm not a big gambler, but if I strongly believe in something, I'll go hard at it.

[Alias Detective 1,399]

Apparently Kisner is a mudder.  I put a few on him to finish top 10.

[bostonlager 2,665]

5 hours ago, Mookz said:

-3 now for me.   

May be willing to go ML on them. 

You seem to feel pretty strongly.   

 

5 hours ago, TBayXXXVII said:

I got in like 20 minutes after the game last night, that's why I got it at -1.  They had a slow start to the season with some sloppy play.  But after a 2-3 start in conference play, they went 14-1 the rest of the way.  With 2 wins in the conference tournament, now 16-1 in their last 17, winning 14 in a row.

 

Akron was their first win in that run and beat them again last month.  They're playing their best basketball right now.  Gonna ride or die with them at this point.  I've been getting on them a lot lately, just like a couple bucks a game.  As I said, I'm not a big gambler, but if I strongly believe in something, I'll go hard at it.

And now it is back down to 1

[Mookz 1,346]

2 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

And now it is back down to 1

Yeah, they have four players suspended for the first half, or somethin'?  

[Utilit99 4,099]

3 minutes ago, Mookz said:

Yeah, they have four players suspended for the first half, or somethin'?  

Four Kent State men's basketball players—DJ Johnson, Malique Jacobs, Cli'Ron Hornbeak and Julius Rollins—have been suspended for at least part of tonight's MAC championship game against Akron.

The four players appeared in a video posted to social media, showing a raucous locker room celebration after the team’s MAC tournament semifinal win over Ohio to reach the title game against rival Akron. In the video, players rapped along with an expletive-laced song that took direct shots at the Zips, calling out Akron leading scorer Ali Ali by name and other players by number. 

“The Mid-American Conference has announced that four members of the Kent State University men’s basketball team have received disciplinary action for a social media post which occurred on Friday night,” the MAC said in a statement.

https://www.si.com/college/2022/03/12/mac-suspends-four-kent-state-mbb-players-for-conference-title-game#:~:text=Four Kent State men's basketball,MAC championship game against Akron.

[bostonlager 2,665]

2 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

Four Kent State men's basketball players—DJ Johnson, Malique Jacobs, Cli'Ron Hornbeak and Julius Rollins—have been suspended for at least part of tonight's MAC championship game against Akron.

The four players appeared in a video posted to social media, showing a raucous locker room celebration after the team’s MAC tournament semifinal win over Ohio to reach the title game against rival Akron. In the video, players rapped along with an expletive-laced song that took direct shots at the Zips, calling out Akron leading scorer Ali Ali by name and other players by number. 

“The Mid-American Conference has announced that four members of the Kent State University men’s basketball team have received disciplinary action for a social media post which occurred on Friday night,” the MAC said in a statement.

https://www.si.com/college/2022/03/12/mac-suspends-four-kent-state-mbb-players-for-conference-title-game#:~:text=Four Kent State men's basketball,MAC championship game against Akron.

Are those guys starters? 

[Utilit99 4,099]

4 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Are those guys starters? 

I just saw that Jacobs is a guard and leads them in rebounds and steals and averages 34.4 minutes a game. Good for 12.5 points per game. #2 on the team. 7.8 rebounds average I think. 

Johnson 13.5 minutes a game. 

Hornbeak 6.5 mpg 

I don't even see Rollins name. 

[Utilit99 4,099]

22 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

Are those guys starters? 

I tailed on the last game since I haven't been betting at all lately. I put $150 on it. 

I was probably going to tail on this one too, but, I think this is enough for me to sit it out. Maybe I'll look a little closer at it and change my mind. 

[WhiteWonder 2,734]

43 minutes ago, Utilit99 said:

Four Kent State men's basketball players—DJ Johnson, Malique Jacobs, Cli'Ron Hornbeak and Julius Rollins—have been suspended for at least part of tonight's MAC championship game against Akron.

The four players appeared in a video posted to social media, showing a raucous locker room celebration after the team’s MAC tournament semifinal win over Ohio to reach the title game against rival Akron. In the video, players rapped along with an expletive-laced song that took direct shots at the Zips, calling out Akron leading scorer Ali Ali by name and other players by number. 

“The Mid-American Conference has announced that four members of the Kent State University men’s basketball team have received disciplinary action for a social media post which occurred on Friday night,” the MAC said in a statement.

https://www.si.com/college/2022/03/12/mac-suspends-four-kent-state-mbb-players-for-conference-title-game#:~:text=Four Kent State men's basketball,MAC championship game against Akron.

Because I bet them

[Utilit99 4,099]

4 hours ago, Utilit99 said:

I just saw that Jacobs is a guard leads them in rebounds and steals and averages 34.4 minutes a game. Good for 12.5 points per game. #2 on the team. 7.8 rebounds average I think. 

Johnson 13.5 minutes a game. 

Hornbeak 6.5 mpg 

I don't even see Rollins name. 

Oh, Johnson is suspended indefinitely and won't play at all the article says.

[Horseman 2,452]

On 3/11/2022 at 1:14 PM, Horseman said:

Decent week last week.  Was treading water in the prelims, but went 4-1 on the main card, heavy on my boy Colby Covington.

Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Lots of dogs this week including the main and co-main.  I think the numbers are deceptive and overbought.  I’m betting on at least one upset in the top 2 fights. Fade appropriately!

Santos v. Ankalaev:  Strikers, almost identical numbers.  Santos 3 loss skid is deceptive as it was two split decisions with a loss to the current champ in between.  I just don’t see why such a huge number, so there must be value in Santos +400.

Moraes v. Yadong:  Different weight class, same story as the main card.  Strikers with identical numbers and Moraes loosing streak is deceptive. Sandhagen, Rob Font and round of the year last year against Dvalishivili.  Going Moraes +200 and if either of these two hit we’ll be money ahead.

Yusuff v. Caceres: Younger striker against a more rounded fighter with grappling skills.  Caceres has fought a ton of fights with a less that stellar record.  If Yusuff can fight off takedown attempts he should be able to out punch Caceres.  Yusuff -240.

Roundtree v. Robertson:  Roundtree is a physical specimen.  Hard KO punches and kicks.  But Roberson can punch, and grapple and Roundtree is susceptible to being taken down.  Robertson has been submitted by the likes of Teixeira, Marvin Vettori and Brendan Allen, but he’s never been TKO’d.  Going with the better-rounded fighter Robertson -130.

Dober v. McKinney:  This will be a fun fight.  I expect a fair amount of grappling, but both can win by TKO or submission.  McKinney has an unusually low strikes per minute.  Going with the guy with the most experience here, Dober -170.

Pereira v. Silva: Silva is another fighter that’s never been TKO’d while handing out a bunch during his career. I’m not betting against Bruno Silva.  I’m not betting against Bruno Silva against a kick boxer with just 5 MMA fights.  I’ll take plus money on Silva all day long.  2 units to start the main card +150.

------------------------------

Semelsberger v. Fletcher:  Fletcher is undefeated, but, he’s also new to the UFC.  I’ll take the guy that’s got a pretty good record against much better fighters.  Semelsberger -210.

Aldrich v. Robertson: Fairly evenly matched striker v. grappler and I usually like to take the grappler.  Robertson also submitted Cochoeira who out punched J.Kim in an absolute slugfest two weeks ago. I don’t see Aldrich punching more that Cochoeira so Robertson -125.

Jones v. Basharat: Undefeated Basharat has better numbers in striking and grappling.  Jones does have a bit more experience, but, this one seems pretty straight forward.  Basharat -150.

Mazo v. Maverick:  Similar numbers, slight edge in volume of punches to Mazo and slight edge in takedowns to Maverick.  Maverick probably wins this fight but it’s such a huge number at -330.  I sit this one out or sprinkle some on Mazo +260.

Lungiambula v. Brundage:  Another close match up on paper, who knows.  I will be cheering for the American so Brundage +110.

Moutinho v. Cannetti:  Similar records, not a lot of info on Moutinho as this is his first UFC fight.  Cannetti has been in the UFC for a while so theoretically faced better opponents.  Cannetti +125.

Nchukwi v. Murzakanov:  At first I didn’t get this line as the numbers favor Nchukwi, then I realized that only two of Murzakanov’s fights made it past the first round.  He’s a KO artist.  I like that and am excited to see this guy punch.  Murzakanov -180.

.  5-2 on the prelims. Really 5-1. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

I'm 3-0 today so far and threw a couple bucks on Kent ST.

[Utilit99 4,099]

I threw a wager on Akron to win actually, but not heavy duty $. Only $45.

[TBayXXXVII 2,545]

Kent massively choked tonight. 

[Utilit99 4,099]

7 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

Kent massively choked tonight. 

They choked when they put out a video making fun of their opponents.

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

27 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

Kent massively choked tonight. 

Was close to the 68 massacre lol. Sorry for ya Bro and mean that.

[Utilit99 4,099]

9 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Was close to the 68 massacre lol. Sorry for ya Bro and mean that.

Yeah, that is such a shltty way to lose. 

[bostonlager 2,665]

Princeton -3.5

Houston -3.5

Iowa +2.5

[MTSkiBum 1,620]

I am in Colorado for spring break, put 20 bucks on the Houston money line.

 

I will put some money on Montana state as well and hopefully Wyoming but that will be a nail biter tonight but most people have them as one of the last couple in.

This may be the first time ever the 3 college teams I root for are all in the tournament.

[bostonlager 2,665]

Early NCAA plays

Va Tech +1

San Francisco -1.5

Davidson +1.5

Colorado State +2.5

San Diego State -2.5 

Notre Dame -1

[Fireballer 2,642]

Every first half under

[bostonlager 2,665]

East Regional winner - Va Tech +1500

[Fireballer 2,642]

If you use Draft Kings, they have a special boost where they're making Gonzaga ML +100 on Thurs.  $50 limit. @jerryskids

[jerryskids 6,790]

2 hours ago, Fireballer said:

If you use Draft Kings, they have a special boost where they're making Gonzaga ML +100 on Thurs.  $50 limit. @jerryskids

Thanks man, $50 bet is placed.   

I haven't been in here much recently because mostly I'm just betting the Suns with MGM build your own parlays which I mentioned before.  Treading water, maybe up a little since football ended but about even.  It's mostly to have something to root for while watching the Suns.

I will need to place some March Madness bets though.  Maybe I'll follow your unders and Lager's picks.   

[Fireballer 2,642]

On 3/14/2022 at 8:15 AM, Fireballer said:

Every first half under

First 1st half under cashes

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

12 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

First 1st half under cashes

On tonight's game two options 61.5 or 62 under and thoughts ?

[Fireballer 2,642]

24 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

On tonight's game two options 61.5 or 62 under and thoughts ?

I got U62 on Wyoming game

[BeenHereBefore 1,517]

8 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

I got U62 on Wyoming game

Cool and will take it too. Going to take Wyoming and the 4.5 points as well.