***Wagering thread***

[Horseman 1,515]

On 11/9/2023 at 12:12 PM, bostonlager said:

He is in Hawaii. Not sure if he will be checking in here or not for the next 2 weeks. 

Hawaii? Not even the correct ocean bro.  (I know, I called it The Island, but, I meant the island we always goto) 

On 11/9/2023 at 11:50 AM, listen2me 23 said:

@Horseman

Any read on ufc yet?  The 2 main events are as theit line suggests in my eyes, toss ups.  Wondering if you have leans either way.  At least 1 of the fights and maybe both are going to look obvious in hindsight.   

Questions on all 4 fighters involved in my opinion.  Lean as of now is Alex and Pav but could be swayed pretty easily.

I told myself a long time ago I'd never bet against Jiri. I'm betting a ton, but, dont do that because I tend to overvalue my favorites. It worked out with Strickland but my luck will run out someday. 

Like you said though, a percieved toss-up I'd take plus money on Jiri all day long.  +105

I love to lean towards the wrestlers in a big boy Striker vs. Jujitsu matchup. That's my biggest secret betting mma.  Sure Pavlovich can knock out Aspinall if foking Blaydes can.  But Aspinall has been wrestling since he was a tiny boy shorter than Gutterboy.  Has he learned from the Blaydes fight and can he wrestle early, instead of trying to trade punch for punch, and wear Pavlovich out and avoid the big damage?

That's the idea. Aspinall -120

Dern by points +400. . It's only-170 to go under 2.5.  That's a great number for the favorite to get the decision in a woman's matchup.  

Frevola +195.  If there is a big upset on the main card, this is it. 

Godinez by points -110

Rebecki by TKo/Ko +165

[listen2me 23 1,547]

10 hours ago, Horseman said:

Hawaii? Not even the correct ocean bro.  (I know, I called it The Island, but, I meant the island we always goto) 

I told myself a long time ago I'd never bet against Jiri. I'm betting a ton, but, dont do that because I tend to overvalue my favorites. It worked out with Strickland but my luck will run out someday. 

Like you said though, a percieved toss-up I'd take plus money on Jiri all day long.  +105

I love to lean towards the wrestlers in a big boy Striker vs. Jujitsu matchup. That's my biggest secret betting mma.  Sure Pavlovich can knock out Aspinall if foking Blaydes can.  But Aspinall has been wrestling since he was a tiny boy shorter than Gutterboy.  Has he learned from the Blaydes fight and can he wrestle early, instead of trying to trade punch for punch, and wear Pavlovich out and avoid the big damage?

That's the idea. Aspinall -120

Dern by points +400. . It's only-170 to go under 2.5.  That's a great number for the favorite to get the decision in a woman's matchup.  

Frevola +195.  If there is a big upset on the main card, this is it. 

Godinez by points -110

Rebecki by TKo/Ko +165

Hmm on the mains. 

Do like that Dern decision line.  Do think Frevola is lined wide.  

[WhiteWonder 2,176]

Should have laid the points but I just wanted an easy W so I took Michigan ML parlayed with Bama ML.

[bostonlager 2,465]

I will continue to fade the 49ers. Coming East to play at 1:00, Jax solid vs the run, Purdy magic might be gone. 
 

Jacksonville +3 +105

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

28 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I will continue to fade the 49ers. Coming East to play at 1:00, Jax solid vs the run, Purdy magic might be gone. 
 

Jacksonville +3 +105

Do the 49ers have Deebo back ?

[bostonlager 2,465]

1 minute ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Do the 49ers have Deebo back ?

Yes

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

Also wonder how Hussey is spending his bye week , maybe reffing some craps games on 52nd Street ?

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

Just now, bostonlager said:

Yes

Give me the 49ers then and many are writing them off to soon and on Jax bandwagon. Bet the money is landing that way.

[bostonlager 2,465]

4 minutes ago, BeenHereBefore said:

Give me the 49ers then and many are writing them off to soon and on Jax bandwagon. Bet the money is landing that way.

56% of the bets are in the 9ers

80% or the money is on jax

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

6 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

56% of the bets are in the 9ers

80% or the money is on jax

Got ya thanks!

[bostonlager 2,465]

Indianapolis at New England in China

Jonathan Taylor o 19.5 receiving

[bostonlager 2,465]

Cleveland at Baltimore 

Mark Andrews o 46.5

Keaton Mitchell o 22.5 rushing

New Orleans at Minnesota 

Alvin Kamara o 31.5 receiving

Alvin Kamara o 4.5 receptions

[bostonlager 2,465]

Dog sh1t week for props. I'll take a look at the late games tomorrow and post. 

[kilroy69 995]

Hahaha the title makes me laugh. 

 

I am betting heavy on Tenn this week against a decimated defensive secondary of the bucs 

[bostonlager 2,465]

20 minutes ago, kilroy69 said:

Hahaha the title makes me laugh. 

 

I am betting heavy on Tenn this week against a decimated defensive secondary of the bucs 

I like that play 

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

My NFL Picks For Tomorrow

Pats + 2

Browns + 6.5

Steelers - 3

Texans + 6.5

49ers  - 3

Vikings + 2.5

Titans + 2.5

Cardinals + 2

Lions + 2

Cowboys -17

Seattle - 6

Jets -1

MNF  Broncos + 7.5

 

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

12 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

I like that play 

I thought they look decent even losing to Pitt and on them this week as well as you two.

[bostonlager 2,465]

1 minute ago, BeenHereBefore said:

I thought they look decent even losing to Pitt and on them this week as well as you two.

Total matchup team. I hated them vs PIT, but like them vs TB secondary 

[kilroy69 995]

Jamel Dean (concussion) and Carlton Davis (toe) are questionable to play in the game. In addition, rookie defensive back Josh Hayes has also been ruled out due to a concussion.

 

They elevated a cb from the practice squad. They are about to be torched by levis. 

[listen2me 23 1,547]

Put pav in a parlay lost got frustrated and threw on pereira with over 1.5 +200.   Worked out but i didnt have any read on this card.  

[Alias Detective 1,180]

9 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Cleveland at Baltimore 

Mark Andrews o 46.5

Keaton Mitchell o 22.5 rushing

New Orleans at Minnesota 

Alvin Kamara o 31.5 receiving

Alvin Kamara o 4.5 receptions

Really like the Andrews play.  TIA 

[bostonlager 2,465]

Detroit at San Diego 

Amon St Brown o 84.5 receiving

Austin Ekeler o 37.5 receiving

Austin Ekeler u 49.5 rushing

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

17 hours ago, kilroy69 said:

Jamel Dean (concussion) and Carlton Davis (toe) are questionable to play in the game. In addition, rookie defensive back Josh Hayes has also been ruled out due to a concussion.

 

They elevated a cb from the practice squad. They are about to be torched by levis. 

This game killed all my early parlays!!!!  Would have won most if not for crap Tenn.

[bostonlager 2,465]

21 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Indianapolis at New England in China

Jonathan Taylor o 19.5 receiving

 

19 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Cleveland at Baltimore 

Mark Andrews o 46.5

Keaton Mitchell o 22.5 rushing

New Orleans at Minnesota 

Alvin Kamara o 31.5 receiving

Alvin Kamara o 4.5 receptions

3-2 early

Would have been nice to get 3 more yards out of Andrews, but the Ravens losing is a nice door prize. 

[bostonlager 2,465]

9 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Detroit at San Diego 

Amon St Brown o 84.5 receiving

Austin Ekeler o 37.5 receiving

Austin Ekeler u 49.5 rushing

Learned my lesson last week. I'm not going to force anything with the 2 crappy games left this week. 

Week 1: 11-7

Week 2: 7-14

Week 3: 20-11

Week 4:14-13

Week 5: 16-12

Week 6: 18-22

Week 7: 6-2

Week 8: 11-9

Week 9: 11-5

Week 10: 5 - 3 

Season: 119 -98 (.548) 

[kilroy69 995]

3 hours ago, BeenHereBefore said:

This game killed all my early parlays!!!!  Would have won most if not for crap Tenn.

Jesus I suck so bad at betting. Whatever I say bet against it. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

7 minutes ago, kilroy69 said:

Jesus I suck so bad at betting. Whatever I say bet against it. 

I thought they would win too. That Washington TD at the end cost me big time as well. Could have won two grand but thanks to them both I don't even want to watch football till next Sunday. Bad day and sh!t happens.

[listen2me 23 1,547]

On 11/10/2023 at 5:04 PM, listen2me 23 said:

Jayden Reed over 26.5 rec yds -115

Chris Boswell over 1.5 FGs made -105

 

On 11/10/2023 at 5:08 PM, listen2me 23 said:

Also Jayden Reed over 2.5 catches +114 to cover my ass if he catches a couple screens that go no where.  

3-0

Packers should have won the game.  Was there to be won multiple ways.   

[mattman7168 25]

3 hours ago, kilroy69 said:

Jesus I suck so bad at betting. Whatever I say bet against it. 

You and me both. Meanwhile my buddies are texting screen shots all day long of their winners - first TD scorers, random parlay TD scorers, overs, unders, etc.. Makes me want to .

I'm thinking I should just cash out.

[kilroy69 995]

12 hours ago, mattman7168 said:

You and me both. Meanwhile my buddies are texting screen shots all day long of their winners - first TD scorers, random parlay TD scorers, overs, unders, etc.. Makes me want to .

I'm thinking I should just cash out.

Odd fact of the day. Mattman was what  Matthew Perry called his alter ego.

[bostonlager 2,465]

23 hours ago, bostonlager said:

Learned my lesson last week. I'm not going to force anything with the 2 crappy games left this week. 

SIKE!!!!

Denver at Buffalo 

Javonte Williams o 54.5 rushing

Dalton Kincaid o 5.5 receptions

Josh Allen o 24.5 completions

[bostonlager 2,465]

We finally get a little action in the thread and you guys are talking about quitting 

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

5 minutes ago, bostonlager said:

We finally get a little action in the thread and you guys are talking about quitting 

I'll ride the Kincaid wagon again.

[bostonlager 2,465]

Just now, BeenHereBefore said:

I'll ride the Kincaid wagon again.

Could probably go yards too if you're feeling aggressive. I'm thinking Denver plays a 2 deep to limit Diggs damage leaving Kincaid to run wild underneath. 

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

1 minute ago, bostonlager said:

Could probably go yards too if you're feeling aggressive. I'm thinking Denver plays a 2 deep to limit Diggs damage leaving Kincaid to run wild underneath. 

Cool I may and looking for something to parlay. Thanks!

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

Did a two leg Kincaid for $10 and hate that FD doesn't let you add kicker so took Baas separate.

[Mookz 1,287]

Apologies in advance.  Trailing you guys on Kincaid.  

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

Getting close to time to live bet Buffalo.

[BeenHereBefore 1,336]

2 hours ago, Mookz said:

Apologies in advance.  Trailing you guys on Kincaid.  

We forgot to add Kincaid anytime TD, I live bet Buff also for $10 after the Denver TD.

[kilroy69 995]

Thursday, Nov. 16

• Bengals at Ravens  PRIME — Adrian Hill

Sunday, Nov. 19

• Cardinals at Texans  — Alex Kemp
• Bears at Lions  — Scott Novak
• Cowboys at Panthers  — Clay Martin
• Raiders at Dolphins  — Bill Vinovich
• Chargers at Packers  — John Hussey Chargers are +3 over is 44  just the type of game crappy calls control. 
• Giants at Commanders  — Brad Allen
• Steelers at Browns  — Shawn Hochuli
• Titans at Jaguars  — Brad Rogers
• Buccaneers at 49ers  — Craig Wrolstad
• Jets at Bills  — Alan Eck
• Seahawks at Rams  — Carl Cheffers
• Vikings at Broncos  NBC PEACOCK — Ron Torbert

Monday, Nov. 20

• Eagles at Chiefs  ESPN ABC ESPN+ — Shawn Smith