Strike 5,553 Posted June 27, 2024 Bump: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3900 And Nate Silver's first prediction: https://x.com/jessesingal/status/1806003352389497210?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1806003352389497210|twgr^effec7ad21afc31fa2b7631cf4be52602237c944|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fbonchie%2F2024%2F06%2F26%2Fnate-silvers-first-presidential-election-forecast-is-out-and-the-hand-wringing-has-begun-n2176004 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted June 27, 2024 7 hours ago, Strike said: Bump: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3900 And Nate Silver's first prediction: https://x.com/jessesingal/status/1806003352389497210?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1806003352389497210|twgr^effec7ad21afc31fa2b7631cf4be52602237c944|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fbonchie%2F2024%2F06%2F26%2Fnate-silvers-first-presidential-election-forecast-is-out-and-the-hand-wringing-has-begun-n2176004 Why use an individual poll? You got all over Tim for doing this and told him to use 538, which has it as a toss up. Also Nate Silver has a pretty bad track record. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 4,230 Posted June 27, 2024 I think we should consume polling with a grain of salt. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 4,230 Posted June 27, 2024 The more I think about the various tactics of the left to fight Trump......the lawfare to impugn him and silence him......all those efforts to silence him in social media.....the actions of CNN and others to not give him time on their platforms..... I think as a strategy it might be helping Trump a little. If he were out there more and people heard him talk more I think more people might matriculate away from him. Often it is his rhetoric, usually the malignment of some silly joke, that they can play up to pretend is some sort of problem.... but that is not happening..... I think this game they are playing is actually helping him.....by protecting him from himself. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 4,106 Posted June 27, 2024 The fear-mongering and hysteria by the left is off the charts. I'm sure you're all seeing the Youtube commercials with Jake Tapper saying, "Donald Trump calls for the termination of the US Constitution..." and the "Vote for Joe Biden otherwise the US may not get a second chance..." . It's patently absurd how hysterical they are. The said the same previously and yet Trump was already POTUS once and we're all still here and the US Constitution is still in place. We're all worse off with Biden than we were with Trump but, yeah, okay. Even though DJT didn't "destroy the US" last time like they said he would, he will certainly do it THIS TIME!!!! Trust us!!! F@ck those cowardly, fear-mongering panzies. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 15,438 Posted June 27, 2024 Remember when during a worldwide pandemic President Trump addressed the nation everyday, despite a hostile press undermining him at every turn? Now we have a president in Biden that has to go into hiding for a week because he’s going to sit down and talk for an hour and a half. So weak. Low energy. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 4,230 Posted June 27, 2024 33 minutes ago, Hardcore troubadour said: Remember when during a worldwide pandemic President Trump addressed the nation everyday, despite a hostile press undermine him at every turn? Now we have a president in Biden that has to go into hiding for a week because he’s going to sit down and talk for an hour and a half. So weak. Low energy. Trump was an ideological opponent for the media.....Biden is an ally for them.....so they protect the power that they prefer...... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Strike 5,553 Posted June 27, 2024 3 hours ago, GutterBoy said: Why use an individual poll? You got all over Tim for doing this and told him to use 538, which has it as a toss up. Also Nate Silver has a pretty bad track record. He has a better track record than most. Nothing is perfect of course, but unlike most people who gave the 2016 election to HItlery before it even happened, he left the door open for Trump to win. But libs love to denigrate people who don't spew the party line like you so Nate is in the crosshairs. You have your talking points down. You're a good little soldier. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
thegeneral 3,214 Posted June 27, 2024 1 hour ago, Hardcore troubadour said: Remember when during a worldwide pandemic President Trump addressed the nation everyday, despite a hostile press undermining him at every turn? Now we have a president in Biden that has to go into hiding for a week because he’s going to sit down and talk for an hour and a half. So weak. Low energy. Those were comedic gold until he got butthurt about getting made fun of for the disinfectant injections and stopped doing them Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted June 27, 2024 1 hour ago, Strike said: He has a better track record than most. Nothing is perfect of course, but unlike most people who gave the 2016 election to HItlery before it even happened, he left the door open for Trump to win. But libs love to denigrate people who don't spew the party line like you so Nate is in the crosshairs. You have your talking points down. You're a good little soldier. In 2016 he gave Trump a 28% chance to win and he prevailed, and then in 2020 he gave Trump a 10% chance to win and it was very close. So no he's not accurate, I don't know why you would share him other then it supports your guy. And you're a hypocrite for sharing 1 poll that goes against the 538 aggregation when you lambasted Tim for doing the same focking thing just a few weeks ago. This is why you're a clown. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Strike 5,553 Posted June 27, 2024 2 hours ago, GutterBoy said: In 2016 he gave Trump a 28% chance to win and he prevailed, and then in 2020 he gave Trump a 10% chance to win and it was very close. So no he's not accurate, I don't know why you would share him other then it supports your guy. And you're a hypocrite for sharing 1 poll that goes against the 538 aggregation when you lambasted Tim for doing the same focking thing just a few weeks ago. This is why you're a clown. No dumbass. I'm like @supermike80. I don't trust polls. I just like to fock with you idiots who do. And @The Real timschochet has been big on polls forever. They are gospel to him. So focking with him when the polls don't indicate what he WANTS to happen is pure gold. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 4,230 Posted June 27, 2024 7 minutes ago, Strike said: No dumbass. I'm like @supermike80. I don't trust polls. I just like to fock with you idiots who do. And @The Real timschochet has been big on polls forever. They are gospel to him. So focking with him when the polls don't indicate what he WANTS to happen is pure gold. If I may.....it will likely be true that polls are "reliable" or "not misinformation" where those polls support their already-held positions. HTH Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
supermike80 1,913 Posted June 27, 2024 1 hour ago, Strike said: No dumbass. I'm like @supermike80. I don't trust polls. I just like to fock with you idiots who do. And @The Real timschochet has been big on polls forever. They are gospel to him. So focking with him when the polls don't indicate what he WANTS to happen is pure gold. As I have mentioned. I feel polls lately are more a tool used to try to influence opinion, rather than measure it. And there is no way I will believe any poll unless I know the questions asked..for starters. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 4,106 Posted June 27, 2024 13 minutes ago, supermike80 said: As I have mentioned. I feel polls lately are more a tool used to try to influence opinion, rather than measure it. And there is no way I will believe any poll unless I know the questions asked..for starters. Unbiased Sample Poll Question: Will you vote for Joe Biden or the Fascist Felon Donald Trump? Tim: The polls are so accurate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted June 27, 2024 Very effective ad for Trump Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 4,106 Posted June 27, 2024 1 minute ago, Tree of Knowledge said: Very effective ad for Trump That's a good one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted June 27, 2024 So they already know Biden is gonna do well, but want us to ignore it and remember those clips and that he's gonna die soon anyway Man they are desperate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lod001 1,344 Posted June 27, 2024 1-2 minute delay tonight for when biden craps his diaper. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 15,438 Posted June 27, 2024 7 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said: Very effective ad for Trump Hell yeah. Keep pointing to Kamala. No one could possibly want that. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
seafoam1 3,031 Posted June 27, 2024 3 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said: Very effective ad for Trump Excellent. If creepy joe biden cheats and wins again, the liberals won't give a shlt if goes comatose and is in a coma for the remaimg four years after he swears in. In fact, I think they would prefer it. They can manipulate kamaltoe just as easily. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted June 27, 2024 38 minutes ago, lod001 said: 1-2 minute delay tonight for when biden craps his diaper. Many people are saying they have a “sh1t crew” on standby that can swap out his Depends in 8.7 seconds. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted June 27, 2024 39 minutes ago, lod001 said: 1-2 minute delay tonight for when biden craps his diaper. It's a lie and you're an idiot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
seafoam1 3,031 Posted June 27, 2024 28 minutes ago, Tree of Knowledge said: Many people are saying they have a “sh1t crew” on standby that can swap out his Depends in 8.7 seconds. This is true. They work in nascar as a pit crew when creepy joe is on vacation 320 days a year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Real timschochet 6,769 Posted June 28, 2024 Well the state of the race has changed in the last two hours. I wrote earlier that I still think Biden will win. Upon reflection that sure seems like wishful thinking. The odds have to favor Trump at this point. I don’t think Biden had any intention of quitting although he should. I hope for the best. Doesn’t look good at the moment. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
EternalShinyAndChrome 4,106 Posted June 28, 2024 14 minutes ago, The Real timschochet said: Well the state of the race has changed in the last two hours. I wrote earlier that I still think Biden will win. Upon reflection that sure seems like wishful thinking. The odds have to favor Trump at this point. I don’t think Biden had any intention of quitting although he should. I hope for the best. Doesn’t look good at the moment. Better start looking for alternatives to hiring illegal immigrants. You know, maybe pay American citizens a living wage instead? This would be a good practice what you preach moment for you. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted June 28, 2024 Let’s not get ahead of ourselves fellow patriots. They are going to throw Father Trump in jail on 7/11. Tonight was a Yuge win for the good guys but the fascists are not going to just quit. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mark Davis 398 Posted June 28, 2024 2 hours ago, The Real timschochet said: Well the state of the race has changed in the last two hours. I wrote earlier that I still think Biden will win. Upon reflection that sure seems like wishful thinking. The odds have to favor Trump at this point. I don’t think Biden had any intention of quitting although he should. I hope for the best. Doesn’t look good at the moment. Maybe he won't, but I find it hard to believe he continues. Surely the man would listen to his wife, President Obama, President Clinton. I pray that my wife would step in and stop this if it were me. I've been very up front saying I want Trump to win and honestly the best path to that is Biden staying in. But surely someone will put a stop to this. The man should be allowed to enjoy the rest of his life instead of being rolled out there and have this type scene continue. If he goes on they are going to be forced to put him in public more and is there any real doubt more of these scenes will occur? It's obvious now he shouldn't have ran, I don't think the Democrats want to just punt this election, now the question is can they get Biden to step aside and then what do they do? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted June 28, 2024 Dr. Jill loves the trappings of power too much to give it up. The Dems are going to have to write her a 9 figure check or let her continue the Cersi Lannister role. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Maximum Overkill 1,996 Posted June 28, 2024 Take the L Pedocrats Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted July 8, 2024 Goodnight Grandpa Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 15,438 Posted July 8, 2024 New Jersey in play. 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RLLD 4,230 Posted July 8, 2024 I might further note that that the odds were shifting prior to the debate. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDC 7,430 Posted July 8, 2024 At this rate Trump might even win the popular vote. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hardcore troubadour 15,438 Posted July 8, 2024 Maine and New Hampshire in play. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fireballer 2,642 Posted July 8, 2024 2 minutes ago, MDC said: At this rate Trump might even win the popular vote. Don’t underestimate Dons ability to say some really dumb things in the next 4 months. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Engorgeous George 2,331 Posted July 8, 2024 1 minute ago, Fireballer said: Don’t underestimate Dons ability to say some really dumb things in the next 4 months. Definitely want to keep him out of Bergdorf Goodman's dressing room area and away from the dressing rooms of teen beauty pageants. Basically he has a dressing room problem. Maybe for the next debate Biden can have the stage designed like a dressing room right off of a lingerie department. Distract Trump by having models browsing the garments and carrying them into dfressing rooms behind the podiums. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted July 8, 2024 1 minute ago, Engorgeous George said: Definitely want to keep him out of Bergdorf Goodman's dressing room area and away from the dressing rooms of teen beauty pageants. Basically he has a dressing room problem. Maybe for the next debate Biden can have the stage designed like a dressing room right off of a lingerie department. Distract Trump by having models browsing the garments and carrying them into dfressing rooms behind the podiums. Trump could just have a bunch of toddlers in tiara contestants show up and Pedo Joe would be completely flummoxed. No black kids of course. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Engorgeous George 2,331 Posted July 8, 2024 Just now, Tree of Knowledge said: Trump could just have a bunch of toddlers in tiara contestants show up and Pedo Joe would be completely flummoxed. No black kids of course. I think between the two of us we have developed an exciting debate format. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GutterBoy 2,899 Posted July 8, 2024 10 minutes ago, Fireballer said: Don’t underestimate Dons ability to say some really dumb things in the next 4 months. He's been saying really dumb things for years. They don't care. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tree of Knowledge 1,859 Posted July 8, 2024 15 minutes ago, GutterBoy said: He's been saying really dumb things for years. They don't care. He’s not a vegetable like your boy. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites